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Dalton Rosta vs. Aaron Jeffery Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Dalton Rosta vs Aaron Jeffery – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-28
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: PFL World Tournament 7 Semifinals Venue

Game Overview

The PFL World Tournament 7 Semifinals features a highly anticipated middleweight MMA bout between Dalton Rosta and Aaron Jeffery. Both fighters are 1-0 in the PFL season, with Rosta holding a 10-1 overall record and Jeffery 16-5. This matchup is a rematch, with Jeffery having won their first encounter in 2023 by using effective takedown defense and clinch striking to neutralize Rosta's ground-and-pound style. Rosta has since evolved his game, demonstrated by a recent submission victory, and is highly motivated to avenge his only loss and advance to contend for the world title.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Dalton Rosta appears in top form, showing explosiveness and improved submission skills in his recent fights, notably submitting Sadibou Sy with a brabo choke. Aaron Jeffery has demonstrated effective takedown defense and clinch striking, using sharp sprawls and point accumulation strategies to outpoint opponents, including Rosta previously.
  • In their previous fight in 2023, Aaron Jeffery defeated Dalton Rosta by utilizing superior takedown defense and clinch control to negate Rosta's grappling. Rosta lost that fight but has since refined his approach and is seeking redemption in this rematch.
  • No public reports of injuries affecting either fighter leading up to this bout, indicating both are likely entering the fight at full health.
  • The fight is part of the PFL 2025 World Tournament semifinals with high stakes. Both fighters have strong motivation to secure a spot in the finals. The event is broadcast live on ESPN and ESPN+, suggesting a high-profile spotlight.
  • Dalton Rosta is highly motivated to avenge his only career defeat and to cement his status as a world title contender. Aaron Jeffery aims to defend his previous victory and continue his momentum in the tournament. Both fighters are locked in mentally and physically for this critical matchup.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dalton Rosta: -140, Aaron Jeffery: 110 Dalton Rosta ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Dalton Rosta: -1.5, Aaron Jeffery: +1.5 Dalton Rosta to win by more than 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under over_1.5_rounds: 1.85, under_1.5_rounds: 1.95 Over 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 57%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Dalton Rosta 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Dalton Rosta at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Dalton Rosta is favored to win due to his recent improvements, well-rounded skill set including submission ability, and motivation to avenge his loss. However, Aaron Jeffery’s proven takedown defense and clinch effectiveness make him a formidable opponent likely to make the fight competitive.

Predicted Score: Dalton Rosta wins via submission in Round 2


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Phil Davis vs. Sullivan Cauley Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Phil Davis vs Sullivan Cauley – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-28
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Wintrust Arena, Chicago

Game Overview

The upcoming light heavyweight MMA bout between Phil Davis and Sullivan Cauley is a highly anticipated semifinal match in the Professional Fighters League (PFL) 2025 tournament. Phil Davis, a veteran fighter known as 'Mr. Wonderful,' boasts extensive experience and a strong grappling background. Sullivan Cauley enters the fight with momentum after a first-round TKO win in his last bout, marking his return from injury with a dominant performance. With Cauley’s aggressive style and history of early finishes contrasting Davis's technical and control-oriented approach, this fight presents an intriguing stylistic clash.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Phil Davis has a deep MMA career marked by high-level wrestling and control tactics, often winning by decision or late finishes. Sullivan Cauley has an explosive start style with seven of his eight professional MMA fights ending in the first round, showcasing powerful striking and finishing ability early in the match. Cauley’s recent first-round TKO win after returning from ACL injury demonstrates effective recovery and form. Davis’s consistent performances against top competition lend him reliability over longer fights.
  • There is no recorded previous matchup between Phil Davis and Sullivan Cauley, making this encounter their first head-to-head fight. Hence, data from direct competition is unavailable and the prediction must rely on comparative career stats and recent form.
  • Sullivan Cauley recently recovered from a torn ACL and made a successful return with a first-round TKO victory, which shows strong recovery and readiness. There are no reported current injuries for Phil Davis, who appears physically fit for competition.
  • The match takes place at Wintrust Arena in Chicago, where crowd support is expected to be neutral or slightly favor Davis due to his veteran status. Cauley has momentum from recent wins, potentially providing psychological edge. The PFL tournament setting adds pressure and high stakes, likely motivating both fighters maximally.
  • Cauley is highly motivated to capitalize on his return to top form and advance in the PFL light heavyweight tournament after an impressive comeback win. Phil Davis, as a seasoned competitor and former champion, is motivated to leverage experience and tactical prowess to advance to the finals, preserving his reputation and career legacy.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Phil Davis: -260, Sullivan Cauley: 200 Phil Davis to win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Phil Davis -1.5 Phil Davis to win by at least 2 rounds or clear margin ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds -110 / Under 1.5 rounds -110 Over 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Phil Davis -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Phil Davis at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Cauley’s striking explosiveness and first-round finishing ability combined with his recent injury comeback win, he has a strong chance to start fast and attempt a quick finish. However, Phil Davis’s extensive experience, wrestling dominance, and ability to control fights and withstand early aggression gives him a significant advantage in a longer fight scenario. The prediction favors Phil Davis by decision or late stoppage with Cauley posing a serious early threat.

Predicted Score: Phil Davis wins via decision or late round stoppage, fight lasts 3 to 4 rounds


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Oleg Popov vs. Rodrigo Nascimento Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Oleg Popov vs Rodrigo Nascimento – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-28
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Wintrust Arena, Chicago, Illinois

Game Overview

The match between Oleg Popov and Rodrigo Nascimento is a heavyweight semifinal bout in the 2025 PFL World Tournament 7 taking place at Wintrust Arena. Both fighters have strong records, Popov at 20-2 and Nascimento at 12-3, indicating a high-level contest. This bout is a key part of the tournament's main card and will test their striking, grappling, and stamina under intense competitive pressure.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Oleg Popov has a more extensive professional record with 20 wins and 2 losses, showcasing consistent performance and experience in high-stakes fights. Rodrigo Nascimento, with 12 wins and 3 losses, is a formidable opponent but less experienced overall. Popov's slight physical advantages in reach and height could offer leverage in striking exchanges.
  • There are no recorded previous encounters between Oleg Popov and Rodrigo Nascimento, making this their first direct competition and adding unpredictability to the outcome.
  • No current injury reports or fitness concerns have been disclosed for either fighter heading into this semifinal bout.
  • The fight will take place in Chicago's Wintrust Arena, potentially offering neutral conditions with no home advantage for either fighter. The high stakes of a PFL semifinal could add pressure but also motivation for both fighters.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with a chance to advance to the PFL finals and compete for a significant title and prize, enhancing their drive to perform at their best.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Oleg Popov: -226, Rodrigo Nascimento: 186 Oleg Popov ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Oleg Popov: -1.5, Rodrigo Nascimento: +1.5 Oleg Popov -1.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Oleg Popov -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Oleg Popov at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Oleg Popov's superior experience, recent form, and betting odds advantage, he is favored to win the semifinal bout against Rodrigo Nascimento. Popov's technical skill and composure in high-pressure situations give him the edge, though Nascimento's power and resilience could make it competitive.

Predicted Score: Oleg Popov wins by TKO in the 2nd round


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Francesco Mazzeo vs. Aldo Pereira Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Francesco Mazzeo vs Aldo Pereira – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-27
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: TBD

Game Overview

The upcoming MMA match between Francesco Mazzeo and Aldo Pereira on June 27, 2025, promises a compelling contest, with Mazzeo entering as the betting favorite. Mazzeo’s robust striking and overall MMA experience contrast with Pereira’s grappling expertise, setting the stage for a classic striker vs. grappler matchup. The fight is anticipated to test each athlete's ability to impose their style effectively.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Francesco Mazzeo has demonstrated strong recent performances characterized by effective striking and consistent fight control. Aldo Pereira, on the other hand, brings a solid grappling background, making the fight dynamic and tactically interesting. Both fighters have shown improvements but Mazzeo's recent form and power give him the edge.
  • There are no recorded previous encounters between Mazzeo and Pereira, making this their inaugural fight against one another. This adds an element of unpredictability, with both fighters likely relying heavily on game plans tailored to neutralize each other's strengths.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the bout, indicating both athletes should be at full physical capacity for the fight.
  • The fight date is fixed for June 27, 2025, with no venue confirmed yet publicly. No other external factors such as travel issues or legal problems have been noted that might affect fighter preparation or performance.
  • Both athletes appear highly motivated; Mazzeo looks poised to maintain his winning momentum, while Pereira aims to prove his grappling prowess against a favored striker. This motivation could elevate the intensity and unpredictability of the fight.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Francesco Mazzeo: -450, Aldo Pereira: 275 Francesco Mazzeo to win ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Mazzeo -1.5 rounds Mazzeo to cover the spread ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds Over 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Francesco Mazzeo -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Francesco Mazzeo at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Mazzeo’s favored status and strong striking ability combined with Pereira’s grappling challenge, the prediction leans toward Francesco Mazzeo winning by decision or late stoppage if he manages to maintain distance and control. Pereira’s best path to victory is to bring the fight to the ground early to exploit his grappling specialty.

Predicted Score: Francesco Mazzeo wins by decision or TKO in round 3


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Manuel Del Valle vs. Theodor Berggren Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Manuel Del Valle vs Theodor Berggren – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-27
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Bec Arena, Manchester

Game Overview

The welterweight bout between Manuel Del Valle and Theodor Berggren at Cage Warriors 190: Unplugged promises an intense grappling and striking battle. Del Valle, with a 4-1 record, is known for his grappling dominance and finishing ability via submissions and TKOs. Berggren, with a 6-3 record, brings a balanced threat with KO/TKO and submission victories and is motivated to prove his place on the international stage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Manuel Del Valle has 4 wins and 1 loss with a high finish rate, showing strong grappling and submission skills. Theodor Berggren holds a 6-3 record with more KO/TKO wins but has a slightly less consistent win ratio. Berggren's recent training changes could improve his performance.
  • This is the first recorded professional matchup between Manuel Del Valle and Theodor Berggren with no previous head-to-head fights.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the match.
  • The fight is in Manchester's Bec Arena, potentially favoring Del Valle as the home fighter. Berggren is motivated by fighting on foreign soil and competing internationally without long travel.
  • Del Valle is the favorite with grappling superiority, while Berggren is highly motivated to make a statement and turn his recent losses into a career resurgence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Manuel Del Valle: -170, Theodor Berggren: 130 Manuel Del Valle ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Not explicitly provided; typical MMA over/under around 2.5 rounds Under 2.5 rounds (fight finishes early) ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manuel Del Valle 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Manuel Del Valle at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Manuel Del Valle is favored to win by submission or TKO due to his grappling dominance and finishing ability with a 68% confidence, while Berggren's striking and improved training could lead to an upset with a 32% chance.

Predicted Score: Manuel Del Valle wins via submission or TKO in round 2


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Nell Ariano vs. Charles Joyner Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Nell Ariano vs Charles Joyner – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-27
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Manchester, Greater Manchester, England

Game Overview

The upcoming MMA match between Nell Ariano and Charles Joyner at Cage Warriors 190 represents a clash in the Light-heavyweight division. Ariano enters the fight undefeated at 3-0, showing a strong finish rate of 66.7% with two KO/TKO wins. Joyner, with a professional record of 5-1-1, brings more ring experience and recent intense camp preparations, indicating readiness for a competitive bout. The fight will be contested at 205 lbs, and it is anticipated to showcase a blend of striking power and tactical grappling exchanges.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Nell Ariano has a flawless professional record (3-0) with a high finishing rate, suggesting strong striking skills and fight-ending capability. Charles Joyner holds a more extensive record (5-1-1), indicating more combat experience and potential resilience. Joyner's last five fights have seen a mix of wins and losses, reflecting a competitive but inconsistent pattern, whereas Ariano is on an upward trajectory.
  • No previous meetings have been recorded between Nell Ariano and Charles Joyner, making this their first encounter.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the match based on current available information.
  • The fight is set in Manchester, England, a neutral venue with no clear home advantage. Both fighters have shown motivation in training camps, with Joyner recently highlighting an intense final training session, suggesting high readiness and focus.
  • Nell Ariano, being undefeated, is motivated to maintain his perfect record and establish himself as a rising contender. Charles Joyner appears motivated to rebound and capitalize on his experience, finishing camp with intensity to secure a win that boosts his standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Charles Joyner: +105, Nell Ariano: -145 Nell Ariano to win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread +1.5/-1.5 Nell Ariano -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds / Under 2.5 rounds Over 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Nell Ariano 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Nell Ariano at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nell Ariano is predicted to narrowly outpoint Charles Joyner or possibly finish early due to his high finish rate and unbeaten momentum, but Joyner's experience and conditioning may keep it competitive. A decision win or late finish for Ariano is probable.

Predicted Score: Nell Ariano wins by decision or TKO in round 3 or later


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Alexander Loof vs. Aiden Lee Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Alexander Loof vs Aiden Lee – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-27
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: BEC Arena, Manchester, United Kingdom

Game Overview

The main event at Cage Warriors 190 'Unplugged' features a featherweight bout between Aiden Lee and Alexander Lööf scheduled for June 27, 2025. This fight is set for three rounds at the 145 lbs featherweight limit. Lee is the more experienced fighter with 13 wins against 9 losses, while Lööf has a strong undefeated record of 7 wins and no losses. The bout will be streamed live on UFC Fight Pass, starting at 8:00 PM BST from the BEC Arena in Manchester.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Aiden Lee shows a more extensive fight record (13-9) with a balanced finishing ability (3 KO/TKO and 8 submissions), indicating a versatile skill set. Alexander Lööf is undefeated (7-0) with fewer finishes by submission but a solid decision win ratio (5 out of 7). Lööf's undefeated streak and fewer losses suggest rising momentum, but Lee's experience and grappling prowess cannot be underestimated.
  • No direct head-to-head match history is available between Lee and Lööf, making this their first encounter at a major promotion.
  • No public reports of current injuries or health issues for either fighter heading into the bout.
  • The fight takes place in Manchester at the BEC Arena, potentially giving some home advantage to Alexander Lööf if he is more acclimated or locally supported. The event is invite-only, which might elevate pressure and focus for both athletes.
  • Aiden Lee aims to rebound and prove himself against an undefeated opponent, bringing motivation from a strong grappling camp. Alexander Lööf looks to maintain his unbeaten record, leveraging his youth and momentum to elevate his standing in the featherweight division.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Aiden Lee: -144, Alexander Lööf: 104 Alexander Lööf ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Aiden Lee -1.5: -110, Alexander Lööf +1.5: -110 Alexander Lööf +1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: +100 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Aiden Lee 12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Aiden Lee at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alexander Lööf by decision. Lööf's undefeated record combined with a strong striking and decision game suggests he will outpoint Lee over three rounds despite Lee's submission threat. Lööf's youth and recent form give him a slight edge in endurance and pace.

Predicted Score: Alexander Lööf wins by unanimous decision


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Nathan McGillian vs. Jake McHugh Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing


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Match Analysis: Nathan McGillian vs Jake McHugh – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-27
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Cage Warriors 190

Game Overview

Cage Warriors 190 features a compelling matchup between Nathan McGillian and Jake McHugh. McHugh is the betting favorite according to available odds, but statistical records for McGillian are sparse. The lack of detailed fight records for McGillian introduces uncertainty, while McHugh has a recorded professional record of 2 wins, 1 loss, with both wins coming by submission[2][5].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Jake McHugh has a clear professional record edge (2-1) over Nathan McGillian, whose record is unavailable. McHugh’s victories are both by submission, indicating a strong grappling game[5].
  • No previous head-to-head encounters between McGillian and McHugh are documented[1][3][5].
  • No injury reports are available for either fighter at this time.
  • The bout is part of Cage Warriors 190, aired live on UFC Fight Pass. No major external factors, such as event changes or crowd influence, have been reported[4].
  • Both fighters are motivated to make an impact; McHugh has more to prove with a recent loss, and McGillian has the opportunity for a breakout performance.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jake McHugh -350, Nathan McGillian +260 (approx.)[2] Jake McHugh High (70%)

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given McHugh’s experience and grappling strength, he is favored to win by submission in the early-to-middle rounds. However, uncertainty around McGillian’s preparation and style makes this less predictable than typical matchups.

Predicted Score: Jake McHugh by Submission, Round 2


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Adam Darby vs. Tato Primera Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Adam Darby vs Tato Primera – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-27
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: BEC Arena, Manchester, Greater Manchester, England

Game Overview

The fight between Adam Darby and Tato Primera is a light heavyweight bout scheduled at the Cage Warriors 190: Unplugged event. Adam Darby enters as a strong favorite with significantly better odds compared to Tato Primera. The event is taking place in a prestigious setting with a competitive fight card, highlighting the importance of this matchup for both fighters.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Adam Darby has shown consistent performance and is favored to win by most bookmakers, indicating superior recent form and skill level over Tato Primera. Primera is considered the underdog with longer odds, suggesting less confidence from the betting public in his performance.
  • There is no recorded previous matchup between Adam Darby and Tato Primera, making this encounter their first direct competition, which adds unpredictability to the fight dynamics.
  • No reports of injuries for either fighter leading into the fight have been made public, suggesting both athletes are at full health entering the match.
  • The fight is held in Manchester, England, which may favor Darby given regional support and familiarity with the venue. The event is invite-only, which could influence fighter motivation and focus.
  • Both fighters appear motivated, with Darby looking to capitalize on his favored status to maintain momentum in his career while Primera aims to pull off an upset against a heavily favored opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Adam Darby: -1400, Tato Primera: 800 Adam Darby to win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Adam Darby: -1.5, Tato Primera: +1.5 Adam Darby covers the spread (-1.5 rounds) ★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: -105, Under 1.5 rounds: -125 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Adam Darby -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Adam Darby at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Adam Darby is predicted to win the bout decisively due to superior odds, perceived skill, and home advantage. The fight is expected to be competitive but Darby’s dominance is probable.

Predicted Score: Adam Darby wins by TKO in Round 2


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Josh Abraham vs. Harry Shaw Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing


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Match Analysis: Josh Abraham vs Harry Shaw – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-27
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: BEC Arena, Manchester, Greater Manchester, England

Game Overview

The upcoming MMA bout between Josh Abraham and Harry Shaw is set for Cage Warriors 190: Unplugged. Both fighters compete in the 145 lbs weight class. Shaw enters as the favorite with moneyline odds suggesting a stronger likelihood of victory, while Abraham is the underdog. This fight marks Abraham’s return after some time away from top-tier competition, facing Shaw who is actively competing and motivated on a big European MMA platform.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Josh Abraham has a respectable MMA record but has been less active recently compared to Harry Shaw, who has been steadily building momentum in Cage Warriors. Shaw’s recent performances show good grappling and striking balance. Abraham, despite the layoff, has a diverse skill set and power, which can be pivotal if he manages to impose his game early.
  • There are no prior recorded head-to-head matchups between Josh Abraham and Harry Shaw, making this fight an important first encounter to define dominance and style advantage in their rivalry.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the match, suggesting both are in full training and fight-ready condition.
  • The fight takes place at home turf advantage for both fighters competing in England, with no significant external distractions noted. Media and promotions indicate strong motivation, particularly for Abraham’s comeback and Shaw’s rise on the European MMA scene.
  • Joshua Abraham is highly motivated to prove himself after a period away from Cage Warriors’ main events, while Harry Shaw aims to continue his ascent and solidify his reputation by defeating a well-known opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Josh Abraham: +120, Harry Shaw: -163 Harry Shaw ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Josh Abraham: +1.5 (-200), Harry Shaw: -1.5 (+160) Harry Shaw -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 Rounds: -110, Under 2.5 Rounds: -110 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Harry Shaw's status as the favorite, recent activity, and momentum, combined with Abraham’s layoff but power, the prediction leans toward Harry Shaw winning by decision or late stoppage. Abraham's explosiveness could pose a threat early, but Shaw's consistency and conditioning give him the edge as the fight progresses.

Predicted Score: Harry Shaw wins by decision or late stoppage after 3 rounds


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