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Bruno Souza vs. Hector Fajardo Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Bruno Souza vs Hector Fajardo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-02
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Hard Rock Live in Sacramento

Game Overview

A1 Combat 27 features a highly anticipated bantamweight championship bout between Bruno Souza and Hector Fajardo. Both fighters are known for their skill and tenacity, making this a closely watched event in the MMA community.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bruno Souza is favored due to his strong recent performance, while Hector Fajardo's determination and experience make him a formidable opponent.
  • No prior head-to-head fights between Souza and Fajardo have been documented.
  • No significant injuries have been reported for either fighter.
  • The event will be held at the Hard Rock Live in Sacramento, which could influence crowd support and energy.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with the championship title at stake.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bruno Souza: -400, Hector Fajardo: 250 Bruno Souza ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bruno Souza -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Based on available data and odds, Bruno Souza is more likely to win due to his favorability in the moneyline odds.

Predicted Score: Not applicable for MMA matches


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Sean Climaco vs. Akif Guluzada Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Sean Climaco vs Akif Guluzada – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 2, 2025
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Lumpinee Stadium, Bangkok, Thailand

Game Overview

Sean Climaco and Akif Guluzada are set to face off in a flyweight Muay Thai contest at ONE Fight Night 31. Climaco, known for his knockout power, seeks to derail Guluzada's rising career.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sean Climaco has a history of delivering show-stopping performances, while Akif Guluzada is an aggressive and explosive young fighter.
  • This is their first matchup.
  • No reported injuries.
  • The fight is in Bangkok, Thailand, which could potentially favor Guluzada due to experience in competing in high-pressure environments.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with Climaco looking to prove his power against a rising star and Guluzada seeking to continue his victories.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sean Climaco: +175, Akif Guluzada: -260 Akif Guluzada ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market EV Pick
Moneyline Akif Guluzada -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Akif Guluzada at -6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sean Climaco has the power to upset Akif Guluzada, but Guluzada's youth and aggression might give him an edge.

Predicted Score: N/A


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Hunter Azure vs. Alvaro Quiroga Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Hunter Azure vs Alvaro Quiroga – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-02
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Westworld Scottsdale – Equidome

Game Overview

Hunter Azure and Alvaro Quiroga are set to face off in a highly anticipated MMA match. Hunter Azure, with a record of 11-4-0, is favored due to his experience and skill set. Alvaro Quiroga, a flyweight fighter from Team Altitud, has a record of 6 wins, with a mix of knockout, submission, and decision victories.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Hunter Azure's team seems more seasoned given his record. Alvaro Quiroga's team, however, is known for its tough training regimen.
  • There is no reported head-to-head history between the fighters.
  • No recent injuries have been reported for either fighter.
  • Venue and crowd support might slightly favor Hunter Azure due to familiarity.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated to secure a win, but Hunter Azure may have more pressure as the favorite.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -800 vs. +425 Hunter Azure ★★★★☆ 80%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market EV Pick
Moneyline Hunter Azure -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Hunter Azure at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Hunter Azure is predicted to win given his superior record and odds favoring him.

Predicted Score: Decision in favor of Hunter Azure


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Reyes Cortez vs. Ricardo Lamas Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Reyes Cortez vs Ricardo Lamas – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-02
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Location unspecified (data not available in provided sources)

Game Overview

MMA bout between Reyes Cortez (heavily favored) and veteran Ricardo Lamas (notable wins: Charles Oliveira, Cub Swanson). Analysis focuses on Cortez's implied dominance (-600 ML) versus Lamas' underdog potential (+350 ML).

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cortez: Limited available data, but implied strong favoritism. Lamas: Known for victories against ranked opponents but likely past prime (age and recent record unavailable in sources).
  • No historical matchup confirmed (no head-to-head data found in sources).
  • No injury data available (not mentioned in provided sources).
  • Potential weight management concerns (general MMA factor, no specific data for this match).
  • Cortez likely defending/proving favorite status; Lamas potentially fighting for career relevance.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cortez -600 / Lamas +350 Reyes Cortez moneyline ★★★★☆ 85%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market EV Pick
Moneyline Reyes Cortez -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Reyes Cortez at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Reyes Cortez by decision or late TKO (high confidence in moneyline, low confidence in finish method).

Predicted Score: Predicted outcome: Reyes Cortez victory (specific round/format unavailable)


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Richard Mahan vs. Patrick Cornett Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Richard Mahan vs Patrick Cornett – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-02
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Westworld Scottsdale – Equidome

Game Overview

Welterweight Division bout between Richard Mahan (2-1-0) and Patrick Cornett (2-2-0) in the United Fight League 6 event. Mahan represents Team Scottsdale as the home fighter, while Cornett fights for Team Orange County. The match occurs at a neutral venue despite Team affiliations.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Team Scottsdale and Orange County's recent performances are unspecified, but both fighters enter with similar experience levels in professional MMA.
  • No prior head-to-head record found between Mahan and Cornett.
  • No injury reports disclosed. Cornett's Instagram post ('may be my last fight') suggests potential retirement considerations but no physical limitations.
  • Event occurs at Westworld Scottsdale, which may provide a slight crowd advantage for Mahan as the designated 'home' fighter.
  • Cornett's social media hints at this potentially being his final fight, which could drive an aggressive approach. Mahan seeks to defend home-region credibility.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mahan -450 | Cornett +275 Mahan by decision ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Mahan -3.5 | Cornett +3.5 (estimated) Mahan covers spread via decision ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 1.5 Rounds (-150) | Under 1.5 Rounds (+120) (hypothetical based on trends) Over 1.5 Rounds ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Richard Mahan 193%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Richard Mahan at 193% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 70% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Richard Mahan wins by decision (confidence: 70%) due to slight record advantage and home-region support. Cornett's higher risk-taking could lead to a submission upset.

Predicted Score: Mahan via unanimous decision (29-28 across all scorecards)


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Randall Wallace vs. Kyle Stewart Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Randall Wallace vs Kyle Stewart – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-02
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

Randall Wallace (22-10-1) faces off against Kyle Stewart (15-6) in a middleweight contest at UFL 6. The event is part of a series led by legendary MMA figures like Henry Cejudo and Quinton 'Rampage' Jackson, emphasizing explosive fights and strategic coaching.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Randall Wallace comes from Team Orange County, known for his dangerous finishing skills. Kyle Stewart represents Team Scottsdale, with a notable record in MMA.
  • There is no recorded head-to-head match between these fighters.
  • No significant injuries have been reported for either fighter.
  • UFL's unique scoring system encourages fighters to finish fights quickly, potentially impacting their strategies. The event will be streamed live on Rumble.
  • Kyle Stewart is competing for the final time in MMA, which may increase his motivation to perform well.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Kyle Stewart: 275, Randall Wallace: -450 Randall Wallace Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Randall Wallace -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Randall Wallace at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Randall Wallace is favored to win due to his experience and UFL's emphasis on explosive finishes.

Predicted Score: Randall Wallace wins via TKO in Round 2


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Geno Morelli vs. Austin Wourms Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Geno Morelli vs Austin Wourms – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-02
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Westworld Scottsdale – Equidome

Game Overview

Austin Wourms (7-5-0 record) faces undefeated prospect Geno Morelli (4-0-0) in a welterweight bout at UFL 6. The match is part of the Team Scottsdale vs. Team Orange County event, scheduled for 3 rounds[3][4][5].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Geno Morelli maintains a flawless professional record (4-0-0), indicating superior consistency and technical prowess compared to Wourms' 7-5-0 record[4][5]. Wourms' recent performance history shows vulnerability (losses in 5 professional bouts), while Morelli has never been defeated in sanctioned competition[3][4].
  • No prior meeting between fighters[1][3][4]
  • No injury reports available
  • UFL 6 represents a team-based event format, potentially adding psychological pressure for both fighters to perform for their respective squads (Team Scottsdale vs. Team Orange County)[3][5].
  • Morelli seeks to preserve his undefeated status and rising prospect status. Wourms aims to rebound from a .500 career record and potential gatekeeper status[4][5].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Austin Wourms +225 / Geno Morelli -350 Geno Morelli ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Geno Morelli -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Geno Morelli at -7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Geno Morelli by decision (confidence 75%) – Likely outcome based on technical superiority and undefeated record. Wourms' experience may push fight beyond 1.5 rounds, but Morelli's cleaner record suggests consistent scoring across three rounds[3][4][5].

Predicted Score: Geno Morelli via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)


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Oussama Assli vs. Naiimov Firdavszhon Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Oussama Assli vs Naiimov Firdavszhon – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-02
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Karate Combat (specific venue not listed)

Game Overview

Welterweight matchup in Karate Combat league. Assli enters as the betting favorite (-215) with Firdavszhon as the underdog (+165). Both fighters are early in their professional careers, with Firdavszhon holding a 1-0 record.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Limited performance data available. Firdavszhon shows potential with undefeated record, while Assli's experience level remains unclear from available records.
  • No prior meetings between fighters
  • No injury reports found
  • Potential psychological edge for Firdavszhon entering his second professional fight. Assli appears more established based on social media presence.
  • High stakes for both: Firdavszhon seeks to maintain undefeated status, Assli aims to validate favorite status.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Assli -215 / Firdavszhon +165 Assli moneyline ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Oussama Assli 72%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Oussama Assli at 72% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 43.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Assli by decision – Superior technical striking expected to overcome Firdavszhon's aggression (65% confidence)

Predicted Score: Technical Decision (Karate Combat scoring system)


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Sam Alvey vs. Tyrone Spong Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Sam Alvey vs Tyrone Spong – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 2, 2025
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Dubai, UAE

Game Overview

This MMA match between Sam Alvey and Tyrone Spong will feature a heavyweight title fight in Karate Combat 54. Alvey, the current champion, faces Spong, a renowned kickboxer.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alvey's experience in MMA may clash with Spong's kickboxing prowess. Alvey's ability to take the fight to the ground could be crucial.
  • There are no prior matchups between Alvey and Spong, making this a unique challenge for both fighters.
  • There is no public information about any significant injuries affecting either fighter.
  • Spong's kickboxing background may influence his style, while Alvey's MMA experience could provide an edge in transitions.
  • Both fighters are motivated to win, with Alvey defending his title and Spong seeking to claim the championship.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sam Alvey: 350, Tyrone Spong: -600 Tyrone Spong ★★★★☆ 80%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market EV Pick
Moneyline Tyrone Spong -24%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Given Spong's significant odds advantage, he is favored to win this matchup, leveraging his kickboxing skills.

Predicted Score: Not applicable for this format (MMA)


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Hossein Mollamahdi vs. Saufullakh Khambakhadov Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Hossein Mollamahdi vs Saufullakh Khambakhadov – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-02
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Undisclosed (Karate Combat 54 event per Fight Odds data)

Game Overview

Saufullakh Khambakhadov enters as significant favorite (-400) against underdog Hossein Mollamahdi (+250) in this MMA bout. No head-to-head history found, with insufficient performance data available for detailed stylistic breakdown.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Insufficient historical performance data available for both fighters
  • No previous matchups documented in available records
  • No injury reports available through public sources
  • Potential visibility/promotion considerations for emerging fighters in Karate Combat 54 event
  • High stakes for regional/undercard fighters seeking career advancement

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mollamahdi +250 / Khambakhadov -400 Khambakhadov moneyline High (75-80%)

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Saufullakh Khambakhadov 150%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Saufullakh Khambakhadov at 150% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 60% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Khambakhadov via decision or late stoppage (given oddsmakers' confidence)

Predicted Score: N/A (MMA decisions lack numerical scoring)


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