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Francesco Nuzzi vs. Lucas Rodrigues Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Francesco Nuzzi vs Lucas Rodrigues – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: October 4, 2025
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Rome

Game Overview

This Cage Warriors fight features Francesco Nuzzi, a strong favorite, against Lucas Rodrigues. Nuzzi's recent performances and statistical advantages position him as the likely winner.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Francesco Nuzzi has shown consistent form, leading to him being favored by bookmakers.
  • There is no established head-to-head history between these fighters, which makes it difficult to use past matchups as a reference.
  • No significant injuries reported for either fighter.
  • Rome's home crowd might favor Nuzzi, potentially boosting his motivation.
  • Both fighters are motivated to win, but Nuzzi's confidence from recent successes might give him an edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -400 (Nuzzi), 300 (Rodrigues) Francesco Nuzzi ★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under Over 1.5: -150, Under 1.5: 130 Over 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Francesco Nuzzi 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Francesco Nuzzi is predicted to win based on his form and odds.

Predicted Score: Decision or TKO in favor of Francesco Nuzzi


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Alexander O'Sullivan vs. Manuel Lancioli Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Alexander O'Sullivan vs Manuel Lancioli – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: PalaPellicone, Rome

Game Overview

The lightweight matchup between Alexander O'Sullivan and Manuel Lancioli features a contrast of styles, with O'Sullivan known for striking power and Lancioli excelling in grappling and endurance. O'Sullivan's heavy favorite status is reflected in the moneyline odds, while Lancioli offers significant value as the underdog in submission attempts.

Key Factors to Consider

  • O'Sullivan has consistently demonstrated knockout power with a strong recent winning streak, including a unanimous decision win over Lancioli previously. Lancioli shows durability and grappling prowess but has struggled to finish top opponents.
  • O'Sullivan holds a unanimous decision victory over Lancioli (29-28 across judges) from a prior encounter, suggesting a tactical edge in their direct matchup.
  • No public injury reports for either fighter leading into this bout, indicating both should be at full health.
  • Fighting in Rome at Cage Warriors 195, O'Sullivan may have fewer local fans than Lancioli, an Italian favorite, but his professional experience offsets crowd advantage.
  • O'Sullivan aims to solidify dominance and pursue higher-profile fight opportunities, while Lancioli seeks an upset on home soil to boost his standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -1700 / +875 Alexander O'Sullivan ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread +1.5 Lancioli +275, -1.5 O'Sullivan -400 Alexander O'Sullivan -1.5 ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 1.5 +135, Under 1.5 -155 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alexander O'Sullivan -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alexander O'Sullivan to win by decision

Predicted Score: Alexander O'Sullivan wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Jaime Cordero vs. Samuel Kristofic Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jaime Cordero vs Samuel Kristofic – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 11:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

The upcoming MMA fight between Jaime Cordero and Samuel Kristofic is a highly anticipated matchup. Cordero, a skilled middleweight with a record of 9-2, is known for his aggressive style and current three-fight finish streak. Kristofic, with a record of 17-7, is a formidable opponent with a strong background in the OKTAGON MMA circuit.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Jaime Cordero is on a three-fight finish streak, indicating strong recent form. Samuel Kristofic has a more extensive fight history and is known for his aggression.
  • No previous head-to-head matchups have been recorded between these fighters.
  • No significant injuries have been reported for either fighter.
  • The event's atmosphere and fan support could play a role, but specific details are not provided.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with Cordero looking to extend his win streak and Kristofic seeking a major victory.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -150 for Jaime Cordero, +110 for Samuel Kristofic Jaime Cordero ★★★☆☆ 64%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jaime Cordero -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Jaime Cordero at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jaime Cordero is favored to win due to his recent form and aggressive fighting style.

Predicted Score: Not applicable for MMA fights


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Richie Smullen vs. Ivan Buchinger Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Richie Smullen vs Ivan Buchinger – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 11:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Tipos Arena, Bratislava

Game Overview

Lightweight division main card fight in Oktagon MMA between Ivan Buchinger and Richie Smullen.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ivan Buchinger has shown consistent striking and grappling balance with effective takedowns and solid striking defense, while Richie Smullen demonstrates strong recent form with aggressive striking but less takedown success.
  • No recorded previous encounters between Buchinger and Smullen, making this a fresh tactical matchup.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter that would impact performance.
  • Fight taking place in Bratislava, giving a slight home crowd advantage to Ivan Buchinger (Slovakia).
  • Both fighters are motivated; Buchinger returning home seeking to assert dominance, Smullen aiming to continue upward trajectory in Oktagon MMA lightweight rankings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ivan Buchinger: +110, Richie Smullen: -150 Ivan Buchinger ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Ivan Buchinger -0.5: -120, Richie Smullen +50: -110 Ivan Buchinger -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: -130, Under 1.5 rounds: +110 Over 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Richie Smullen 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Richie Smullen at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Pick Ivan Buchinger on the moneyline due to home advantage, well-rounded skill set, and value in odds.

Predicted Score: Ivan Buchinger wins by decision


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Ayton De Paepe vs. Karol Rosa Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Ayton De Paepe vs Karol Rosa – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 11:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

Ayton De Paepe vs Karol Rosa is a competitive matchup in the MMA world. Both fighters have distinct strengths that could influence the outcome.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ayton De Paepe is favored, possibly due to recent form or style advantages. Karol Rosa, however, has extensive experience and a strong record.
  • No past head-to-head data available.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • Fighter motivation and external factors like training camp quality could impact performance.
  • Both fighters are likely highly motivated, given the stakes.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -145 for Ayton De Paepe, +105 for Karol Rosa Ayton De Paepe ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ayton De Paepe -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Ayton De Paepe at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ayton De Paepe is favored to win due to being the odds favorite and potential advantages in recent performances.

Predicted Score: No specific score prediction applicable for MMA fights.


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Hojat Khajevand vs. Krzysztof Jotko Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Hojat Khajevand vs Krzysztof Jotko – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 11:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Unspecified

Game Overview

Hojat Khajevand and Krzysztof Jotko face off in a high-stakes MMA bout at OKTAGON 77. Jotko, with his extensive UFC experience, is favored over Khajevand, who is younger and hungrier for a major victory.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Jotko's UFC background gives him an edge in experience, having competed in 17 UFC fights with 11 wins. Khajevand relies on his wrestling skills.
  • No prior H2H matchups exist between these fighters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The Tipsport Gamechanger tournament offers significant financial and professional incentives for both fighters.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with Jotko seeking to prove his elite status and Khajevand looking for a career-defining win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Hojat Khajevand: 400, Krzysztof Jotko: -700 Krzysztof Jotko ★★★★☆ 84%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Krzysztof Jotko -14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Krzysztof Jotko at -14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Krzysztof Jotko is favored to win due to his UFC experience and well-rounded skills.

Predicted Score: Cannot provide for this MMA matchup as it does not involve a traditional score format.


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Dominik Humburger vs. Kerim Engizek Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Dominik Humburger vs Kerim Engizek – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 11:00 AM UTC
  • Location: OKTAGON MMA Event

Game Overview

Middleweight main card fight at OKTAGON MMA between Dominik Humburger and Kerim Engizek, with Engizek the odds favorite based on recent line movements.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Kerim Engizek has shown consistent dominance in recent fights with a stronger winning streak and superior grappling and striking diversity, whereas Dominik Humburger has had mixed results coming into this bout.
  • No prior head-to-head matchups recorded between Engizek and Humburger, making stylistic analysis more critical.
  • No reported recent injuries for either fighter, suggesting both in prime physical condition for the bout.
  • The fight being held in Oktagon MMA maintains a neutral venue with no clear home advantage; however, Engizek is more established in this promotion which could enhance mental readiness.
  • Engizek’s motivation appears higher given his status as a slight favorite aiming to solidify his position, while Humburger seeks an upset to elevate his profile.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dominik Humburger: +155, Kerim Engizek: -220 Kerim Engizek ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Kerim Engizek -1.5 rounds: -120, Dominik Humburger +1.5 rounds: -105 Kerim Engizek -1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 3.5 rounds: -110, Under 3.5 rounds: -110 Under 3.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Kerim Engizek -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Kerim Engizek at -8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Kerim Engizek to win via moneyline with a victory inside the distance (under rounds 3.5).

Predicted Score: Kerim Engizek wins by TKO in round 2


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Daniel Schwindt vs. Vlasto Cepo Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Daniel Schwindt vs Vlasto Cepo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 11:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

An intriguing matchup between Daniel Schwindt and Vlasto Cepo, with Schwindt's grappling skills potentially offsetting Cepo's striking power.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cepo's recent form shows strong striking, while Schwindt excels in grappling.
  • No recent head-to-head data available.
  • No reported injuries.
  • Fight is part of OKTAGON MMA, with crowd and environment potentially favoring neither due to neutral venue.
  • Both fighters are motivated, but Cepo's momentum might give him an edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -325 (Cepo), 215 (Schwindt) Vlasto Cepo ★★★★☆ 74%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vlasto Cepo -22%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Vlasto Cepo to win via knockout due to his striking power.

Predicted Score: N/A (MMA doesn't use score in the traditional sense)


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Usman Nurmagomedov vs. Paul Hughes Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Usman Nurmagomedov vs Paul Hughes – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: October 3, 2025
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Coca-Cola Arena, Dubai

Game Overview

Usman Nurmagomedov, the undefeated lightweight champion, faces Paul Hughes in a highly anticipated rematch. Their first bout was closely contested, with Usman winning by majority decision.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Usman Nurmagomedov is undefeated and has shown strong performance in recent fights. Paul Hughes lost in the first bout but is highly motivated for revenge.
  • Usman Nurmagomedov won the first bout by majority decision, indicating a slight edge over Hughes.
  • No significant injuries reported for either fighter.
  • The rematch and the Dubai setting could add pressure, but both fighters are experienced.
  • Paul Hughes is highly motivated for revenge, while Usman Nurmagomedov aims to continue his winning streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Usman Nurmagomedov: -225, Paul Hughes: +190 Usman Nurmagomedov ★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under Over 4.5: -125, Under 4.5: +105 Over 4.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Usman Nurmagomedov -21%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 4.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 4.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Usman Nurmagomedov is likely to win by decision.

Predicted Score: Usman Nurmagomedov by decision


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Corey Anderson vs. Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Corey Anderson vs Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-03
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: PFL Champions Series 3 (venue unspecified)

Game Overview

Corey Anderson and Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov face off in a PFL Light Heavyweight World Title rematch, with Anderson as the reigning champion defending his belt on October 3, 2025.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Corey Anderson boasts a strong recent form with a 3-1 run over the last three years, including a TKO win in his most recent fight on July 19, 2025. He is currently the PFL Light Heavyweight World Champion with solid experience across top promotions. Yagshimuradov, while a skilled opponent, has lacked recent high-profile wins comparable to Anderson’s, making his momentum less pronounced.
  • This is a rematch scenario, where Anderson’s past dominance and championship status suggest superiority. Anderson previously defeated Karl Moore decisively, while details on direct prior encounters with Yagshimuradov are limited, indicating Anderson as the likely favorite.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout, indicating both will likely enter at full health and preparedness.
  • The bout is a high-stakes title fight within the PFL Champions Series, streamed exclusively on ESPN Unlimited. There is no evident disruption or external disadvantage affecting either fighter.
  • Anderson is motivated to defend his inaugural PFL Light Heavyweight title and continue his championship reign. Yagshimuradov has high motivation to reclaim the title and avenge previous results, but Anderson’s established champion status enhances his psychological advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -210, away: 180 Corey Anderson ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread home: -110, away: -110, line: -1.5 Corey Anderson -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under over: 120, under: -140, line: 3.5 Under 3.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Corey Anderson -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Corey Anderson wins by moneyline

Predicted Score: Corey Anderson wins by decision or TKO before round 4


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