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Jordan Molinari vs. Redgie Hingston Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Jordan Molinari vs Redgie Hingston – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-21
  • Time: 6:05 PM UTC
  • Location: BEC Arena, Manchester

Game Overview

The match between Jordan Molinari and Redgie Hingston is a Flyweight (125 lbs/57 kg) division fight at Cage Warriors 197: Unplugged, scheduled as a 3-round preliminary bout on November 21, 2025. Molinari's record shows 2 wins by decision and 2 losses, while Hingston has a record of 0 wins, 1 loss by KO/TKO, and 1 draw. The event is held at a prestigious venue, and the fight will be streamed live on UFC Fight Pass.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Jordan Molinari holds a slight edge with more professional wins (2-2) compared to Redgie Hingston who is still seeking his first win (0-1-1). Molinari's decision wins contrast with Hingston's lack of victories, but Hingston's losses have been less frequent recently.
  • There are no recorded previous encounters between Jordan Molinari and Redgie Hingston, making this their first meeting.
  • No reported injuries affecting either Molinari or Hingston ahead of the fight.
  • The fight is part of an invite-only event in Manchester, possibly motivating the hometown enthusiasm. Social media activity shows strong support for both fighters including fellow Cage Warriors participants, enhancing morale.
  • Jordan Molinari appears motivated to deliver a strong performance in his home country and improve his recent record. Redgie Hingston is motivated to secure his first UFC/Cage Warriors win, likely pushing him to be aggressive.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jordan Molinari: -200, Redgie Hingston: +150 Jordan Molinari to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Jordan Molinari: -1.5, Redgie Hingston: +1.5 Jordan Molinari to win by more than 1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 Under 2.5 rounds, expecting a finish before full three rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jordan Molinari 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Jordan Molinari at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the superior fight record and betting odds favoring Jordan Molinari (-200) compared to Redgie Hingston (+150), Molinari is predicted to win with moderate confidence. Hingston’s limited wins and a knockout loss suggest a lower probability of victory, but his potential to surprise cannot be entirely ruled out.

Predicted Score: Jordan Molinari via unanimous decision or late stoppage (Round 3)


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Mitchell Goode vs. Jordan O'Neill Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Mitchell Goode vs Jordan O'Neill – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-21
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Manchester, England

Game Overview

The fight between Mitchell Goode and Jordan O'Neill is a Middleweight bout scheduled for three rounds as part of Cage Warriors 197. O'Neill enters undefeated with a 3-0 record, while Goode holds a 2-1 record. Both fighters are from the United Kingdom and will contest in the main card of this event.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Jordan O'Neill is undefeated (3-0) with a balanced finish record including KO/TKO, submission, and decisions. Mitchell Goode has a 2-1 record with one loss, showing resilience but slightly less consistency. O'Neill's grappling is notably strong with 67% submission wins while Goode shows versatility with knockouts and submissions.
  • No direct head-to-head matches recorded between Mitchell Goode and Jordan O'Neill prior to this event.
  • No publicly reported injuries for either fighter leading into the match.
  • Fight takes place in Manchester, England, favoring local fighters' comfort and fan support. No significant external disruptions noted.
  • O'Neill likely motivated to maintain undefeated status and climb rankings in the Cage Warriors Middleweight division. Goode seeks to prove his ability to overcome undefeated opponents and improve his standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jordan O'Neill: -230, Mitchell Goode: 175 Jordan O'Neill β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread Jordan O'Neill: -1.5, Mitchell Goode: +1.5 Jordan O'Neill -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jordan O'Neill -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Jordan O'Neill at -7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jordan O'Neill is favored to win the match given his undefeated record, stronger grappling submission stats, and odds advantage. Mitchell Goode's aggressive striking and resilience may pose a threat, but O'Neill's overall skill balance gives him the edge.

Predicted Score: Jordan O'Neill wins by submission or decision in 3 rounds


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Giacomo Michelis vs. Michael Dubois Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Giacomo Michelis vs Michael Dubois – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 21, 2025
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: BEC Arena, Manchester, England

Game Overview

Welterweight bout between Italian fighter Giacomo Michelis and Swiss fighter Michael Dubois at Cage Warriors 197. Michelis enters as the heavy favorite with a record of 16-11, while Dubois brings an 8-1 record to the cage. This is a main card fight in the welterweight division at an invite-only Cage Warriors event in Manchester.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Giacomo Michelis holds a 16-11 professional record with 4 KO/TKO wins (15%), 10 submissions (37%), and 2 decisions (7%). His record shows a submission-heavy style with solid knockout power. Michael Dubois maintains an 8-1 record, indicating a significantly higher win percentage (88.9%) with 3 KO/TKO wins (33%), 1 submission (11%), and 4 decisions (44%). Dubois demonstrates a more balanced striking and grappling approach with a focus on decision victories.
  • This appears to be the first meeting between these two fighters. No direct head-to-head history is available in the provided data.
  • No injury information is available in the provided search results.
  • The event is held at BEC Arena in Manchester as part of Cage Warriors 197 Unplugged, an invite-only show. The venue and event structure may impact fighter preparation and crowd dynamics.
  • Both fighters are competing on a significant card for Cage Warriors promotion. Michelis, as the favorite, carries expectations of victory, while Dubois has an opportunity to secure an upset win against a higher-profile opponent and further pad his impressive 8-1 record.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Michelis: -700 | Dubois: +500 Giacomo Michelis by decision or submission β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: 105 | Under 2.5 rounds: -125 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Giacomo Michelis -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 -1%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Giacomo Michelis at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Giacomo Michelis is heavily favored to win this welterweight bout. The betting market reflects his experience advantage, though Michael Dubois' undefeated record (8-1) and balanced fighting style present genuine threats. Michelis' submission expertise (37% submission rate) could be decisive, but Dubois' 88.9% win rate and decision-focused approach suggest he can navigate the fight distance.

Predicted Score: Michelis wins via submission or decision in rounds 2-3. Expected outcome: Michelis 29-28 or 30-27 on judges' scorecards, or submission victory in round 2 via rear-naked choke or armlock utilizing his 37% submission rate.


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Eimear Darcy vs. Katharina Rychkova Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Eimear Darcy vs Katharina Rychkova – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-21
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: BEC Arena, Manchester, England

Game Overview

Eimear Darcy (3-1-0) faces Katharina Rychkova (1-0-0) in a flyweight bout at Cage Warriors 197: Unplugged. Both fighters are rising prospects, with Darcy showing a balanced record and Rychkova boasting a submission win in her debut. The fight is scheduled for three rounds at 125 lbs.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Eimear Darcy has a more experienced record with three wins (two by KO/TKO, one by decision) and one loss. She has shown finishing ability and resilience. Katharina Rychkova is undefeated with one win by submission, indicating strong grappling skills but limited fight exposure.
  • No previous encounters between the fighters. Darcy has faced more experienced opposition, while Rychkova's sole win came against a less experienced opponent.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter as of the latest updates.
  • The fight takes place in Manchester, England, which is neutral territory for both fighters. Cage Warriors events typically feature high-paced, competitive matchups.
  • Darcy will look to rebound from her only loss and establish herself as a top flyweight. Rychkova aims to build on her undefeated streak and make a statement in her second professional fight.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Eimear Darcy: -130, Katharina Rychkova: 100 Eimear Darcy Not available
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: 100 Over 2.5 rounds Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Eimear Darcy -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Eimear Darcy at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Eimear Darcy is favored due to her experience and finishing ability. Rychkova's grappling could pose a threat, but Darcy's well-rounded game and composure under pressure give her the edge. Expect a competitive fight, likely going the distance or ending in a finish by Darcy.

Predicted Score: Eimear Darcy wins by decision or late finish in round 3


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Nell Ariano vs. Riku Urholin Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Nell Ariano vs Riku Urholin – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-21
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: BEC Arena, Manchester, England

Game Overview

Nell Ariano faces Riku Urholin in a lightweight bout at Cage Warriors 197: Unplugged. Both fighters are ranked in the top 10 of the CWFC lightweight division. The fight is scheduled for three rounds and is a key matchup on the main card.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Nell Ariano is undefeated with a 4-0 record, all wins by KO/TKO, showcasing strong striking and finishing ability. Riku Urholin has a 5-2 record, with 3 submission wins and 2 losses, indicating a well-rounded grappling game but less finishing power in recent bouts.
  • No previous fights between Ariano and Urholin. This is their first encounter.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the event.
  • The fight takes place in Manchester, England, which is neutral territory for both fighters. The event is part of a high-profile double-header, increasing pressure and exposure.
  • Ariano is looking to maintain his undefeated streak and climb the rankings. Urholin aims to rebound from recent losses and prove his top-tier status in the division.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Nell Ariano: -750, Riku Urholin: 450 Nell Ariano β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Over/under over: 1.5 140, under: 1.5 -185 Under β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Nell Ariano -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 8%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nell Ariano is favored due to his undefeated record and strong finishing ability. Riku Urholin's grappling skills could pose a challenge, but Ariano's striking and momentum give him the edge.

Predicted Score: Nell Ariano wins by KO/TKO in the second round


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Jack Della Maddalena vs. Islam Makhachev Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Jack Della Maddalena vs Islam Makhachev – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 15, 2025
  • Time: 5:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Madison Square Garden, New York

Game Overview

UFC 322 features a welterweight championship bout where defending champion Jack Della Maddalena (18-2-0, Australia) faces former lightweight titleholder Islam Makhachev (27-1-0, Russia) in the main event. Della Maddalena, 29 years old, won his title at UFC 315 in May and has recorded 18 consecutive victories with an 8-fight UFC winning streak. Makhachev, 34 years old, transitions from lightweight after four successful title defenses, seeking to capture a second championship belt. This is Della Maddalena's first title defense, while Makhachev aims to extend his winning streak to 16 consecutive fights.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Della Maddalena enters as the defending champion with exceptional momentum, winning his last 18 fights consecutively and maintaining an 18-2 overall record. His striking is considered a significant strength, with notable boxing skills that he plans to deploy strategically. Makhachev arrives with a 27-1 professional record and demonstrates superior grappling credentials, as evidenced by his 3.20 takedown average per 15 minutes compared to Della Maddalena's 0.16. Makhachev also maintains a 53.62% takedown accuracy rate versus Della Maddalena's 11.11%. However, Della Maddalena shows superior striking accuracy at 56.60% significant strike accuracy versus Makhachev's 71.17%, though Makhachev's striking output is significantly lower at 2.63 significant strikes per minute compared to Della Maddalena's 6.84.
  • No previous head-to-head record exists between these fighters. This represents a fresh matchup between a dominant welterweight champion and an elite lightweight transitioning to a higher weight class. The stylistic contrast is pronounced: Della Maddalena's striking-oriented approach against Makhachev's grappling-dominant methodology creates an intriguing dynamic.
  • No injury information is available from the provided search results. Both fighters appear to be fully healthy and cleared for competition.
  • The event takes place at Madison Square Garden, a prestigious venue with a storied history of hosting memorable MMA moments. Madison Square Garden traditionally favors striking-heavy, exciting matchups, which may influence judging tendencies. The main card begins at 10:00 PM ET on ESPN pay-per-view, indicating strong promotional backing and mainstream visibility for this championship bout.
  • Della Maddalena aims to establish himself as a legitimate welterweight champion by successfully defending against elite competition in only his first title defense. He has expressed 'vicious intentions' and confidence that his superior boxing will carry him to victory. Makhachev seeks to become a two-division champion and extend his remarkable winning streak to 16 consecutive victories, leveraging his grappling advantage and combat experience from his four previous championship title defenses at lightweight.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Makhachev -285 | Della Maddalena +230 Islam Makhachev by submission or decision β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Spread Makhachev -5.5 (-150) | Della Maddalena +5.5 (110) Islam Makhachev wins by 4-5 rounds or TKO β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%
Over/under Over 3.5 Rounds (-135) | Under 3.5 Rounds (105) Under 3.5 Rounds (Fight goes to decision) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 71%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Islam Makhachev 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 33%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

This matchup presents a classic striking versus grappling dynamic. Islam Makhachev's superior grappling credentials (3.20 takedown average, 53.62% accuracy) and championship experience position him as the technical favorite, despite moving up in weight class. Jack Della Maddalena's exceptional striking (6.84 sig strikes per minute, 56.60% accuracy) and undefeated recent run provide significant counterbalance. The betting odds favor Makhachev at -285, reflecting his technical superiority and experience. However, Della Maddalena's championship status, home advantage (as the defending titleholder), and recent dominance suggest a more competitive fight than the odds indicate. Makhachev's tendency to control fights through wrestling and submissions, combined with his championship pedigree and marginal weight advantage at 34 years old versus 29, likely enables him to neutralize Della Maddalena's striking and secure victory through attrition and submission threat.

Predicted Score: Islam Makhachev 50-45 by Unanimous Decision (or 50-44, 49-46 depending on round control). Alternative outcome: Makhachev wins by submission in Round 2 or 3 via rear-naked choke or guillotine as Della Maddalena attempts takedown defense. Least likely outcome: Della Maddalena TKO victory in Round 1 or 2 via striking combination.


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Valentina Shevchenko vs. Weili Zhang Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Valentina Shevchenko vs Weili Zhang – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-16
  • Time: 4:45 AM UTC
  • Location: TBD

Game Overview

The UFC 322 main event features Valentina Shevchenko defending her status against challenger Weili Zhang in a high-stakes bantamweight MMA match. Both fighters have elite striking and grappling, with Shevchenko known for precision and tactical control, while Zhang brings explosive power and aggression.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Shevchenko has consistently demonstrated dominance in recent fights with technical striking and effective fight IQ. Zhang’s recent bouts show resilience and a capability to finish fights quickly, adding an unpredictable element.
  • This is a highly anticipated matchup with limited direct past competition between them; however, Shevchenko’s historical record against top-tier opponents edges her as the favorite.
  • No reports of recent major injuries affecting either fighter, suggesting both will compete at full capacity.
  • The fight location and conditions are standard UFC event settings; no notable external factors such as altitude, travel strain, or controversial judging are currently expected.
  • As a reigning champion, Shevchenko is highly motivated to maintain her legacy, while Zhang aims to upset and claim the title, driving high stakes and intensity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Valentina Shevchenko: -135, Weili Zhang: 114 Valentina Shevchenko β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%
Spread Valentina Shevchenko: -5.5, Weili Zhang: 5.5 Valentina Shevchenko covers the spread (-5.5) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 54%
Over/under Over: -270, Under: 200 Under 4.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Valentina Shevchenko -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 4.5 116%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 4.5 at 116% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 58% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Valentina Shevchenko is predicted to win by decision or a late stoppage, leveraging her strategic approach and adaptability over Zhang’s aggressive style.

Predicted Score: Valentina Shevchenko wins by decision at 5 rounds (3-2 rounds)


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Leon Edwards vs. Carlos Prates Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Leon Edwards vs Carlos Prates – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-16
  • Time: 3:45 AM UTC
  • Location: To Be Announced

Game Overview

The UFC welterweight fight between Leon Edwards and Carlos Prates features two highly skilled strikers with complementary fighting styles. Edwards, a 34-year-old southpaw standing 6'2" with a record of 22-5-0 (1 NC), uses solid grappling and wrestling skills alongside a precise striking game. Prates, 32 years old and standing 6'1" with a 22-7-0 record, is a switch fighter known for his volume striking and takedown ability, with an aggressive style that lands 3.82 significant strikes per minute compared to Edwards' 2.62. Edwards demonstrates better takedown defense (63%) while Prates has a higher takedown success rate (85%). The average fight duration points towards Edwards favoring longer bouts (average fight time 17:19) compared to Prates' shorter average (9:08), indicative of Prates' aggressive finishing tendencies. Both fighters land strikes with about 54% accuracy, suggesting a technical striking contest. This matchup pits Edwards' grappling control against Prates' relentless striking and takedown pressure.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Edwards has a strong recent run with a well-rounded game blending wrestling and precise striking. Prates relies on high output striking and takedowns, with a tendency to finish fights earlier. Edwards' takedown defense and fight IQ give him an edge in controlling the pace and distance, while Prates' aggressive style could disrupt Edwards if he imposes early pressure.
  • There is no direct previous matchup between Edwards and Prates, but both hold similar professional records with Edwards having more experience against top-tier competition. Edwards' success rate in longer fights may neutralize Prates' fast finishing style.
  • No recent injuries reported for either fighter. Both appear healthy and in optimal condition leading into the bout.
  • No significant external distractions for either fighter. Both are motivated to advance their ranks in the welterweight division. The match is scheduled in a neutral venue with no home advantage.
  • Edwards is motivated to reaffirm himself as a top contender and possibly set up a title shot by defeating a dangerous striker in Prates. Prates seeks to upset a more established opponent and climb the rankings through a decisive victory.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Carlos Prates: -177, Leon Edwards: 153 Leon Edwards β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Spread Carlos Prates: -3.5 (-110), Leon Edwards: +3.5 (-120) Carlos Prates -3.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -135, Under 2.5 rounds: 105 Over 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Carlos Prates 54%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 6%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Carlos Prates at 54% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Leon Edwards is favored to win via a tactical and strategic contest, using his grappling and strike accuracy to control Prates. The bout is likely to go beyond the first round, with Edwards securing a decision or late finish if he imposes his wrestling. Prates may score an early finish if he successfully pressures and overwhelms Edwards, but the probability favors Edwards' experience and game plan.

Predicted Score: Edwards wins via decision or late round finish (Round 3 or later)


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Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Cody Haddon Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Malcolm Wellmaker vs Cody Haddon – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 15, 2025
  • Time: 1:15 AM UTC
  • Location: Not specified in available data

Game Overview

UFC 322 features Malcolm Wellmaker facing Cody Haddon in a matchup where Wellmaker enters as the favored fighter. Wellmaker has been generating significant buzz and recently discussed his knockout streak aspirations in pre-fight interviews. This represents a notable opportunity for Wellmaker at this stage of his career, with analysts noting this bout presents a different challenge compared to his originally scheduled opponent.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Malcolm Wellmaker has maintained an active knockout streak and is targeting a first-round KO. He has been receiving considerable media attention, including appearances on major platforms like the Aerial Hani show at MSG. Cody Haddon's specific performance metrics are limited in available data, but the matchup is framed as presenting distinct technical challenges.
  • No previous matchup history between these fighters is available in the search results.
  • No injury information is available in the provided data.
  • This is a UFC 322 main card or significant fight slot. Wellmaker has expressed he may need to expand his striking arsenal given Haddon's particular fighting style.
  • Wellmaker is motivated to maintain his knockout streak and has publicly stated his target of securing a first-round KO. The bout represents a career opportunity for both fighters on a major UFC card.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Wellmaker -155 / Haddon +130 Malcolm Wellmaker Victory 60-65%
Spread Wellmaker -3.5 (-120) / Haddon +3.5 (-110) Wellmaker wins by decision/KO without exceeding 3.5 round handicap, or fight is competitive 55-58%
Over/under Over 2.5 Rounds (+120) / Under 2.5 Rounds (-154) Fight concludes Under 2.5 Rounds (within first 2.5 rounds) 62-65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Malcolm Wellmaker 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 -14%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Malcolm Wellmaker at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Malcolm Wellmaker is favored to win this matchup. Market odds reflect a 64% implied probability for Wellmaker versus 41% for Haddon based on prediction market data. However, the odds structure suggests this is a competitive fight despite Wellmaker's favorite status.

Predicted Score: Malcolm Wellmaker via KO/TKO in Round 1 or early Round 2 (Under 2.5 rounds). If the fight extends beyond early rounds, Wellmaker is favored to win via decision. Expected outcome favors Wellmaker with 60-65% confidence.


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Ethyn Ewing vs. Malcolm Wellmaker Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Ethyn Ewing vs Malcolm Wellmaker – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-16
  • Time: 1:15 AM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

The MMA match between Ethyn Ewing and Malcolm Wellmaker is set for November 16, 2025, at 01:15 UTC. This is a heavyweight bout with Malcolm Wellmaker favored significantly in live moneyline odds, indicating strong market confidence in his winning chances. Ethyn Ewing enters as the underdog with +400 odds, suggesting an upset scenario if he wins.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ethyn Ewing has shown resilience and emerging skills but lacks the consistent winning streak of Malcolm Wellmaker, who is considered a top contender with multiple high-profile wins in recent bouts. Wellmaker's technical striking and grappling have outmatched most opponents.
  • No available data suggests that Ethyn Ewing and Malcolm Wellmaker have faced each other previously, leaving an unknown direct matchup dynamic.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter as of current information, allowing both to compete at full capacity.
  • UFC 322 recently had a fight cancellation before weigh-ins, possibly affecting card reshuffles and fighter preparations, but no direct impact on this match is reported.
  • Both fighters have high motivation: Wellmaker aims to solidify his status as a top contender, while Ewing is motivated to upset a favorite and elevate his career prospects.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ethyn Ewing: +400, Malcolm Wellmaker: -550 Malcolm Wellmaker β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under over: 140, under: -160 Under 1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Malcolm Wellmaker -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 -3%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Malcolm Wellmaker is predicted to win based on current odds and superior recent performance metrics, with a confidence level of approximately 70%. Ethyn Ewing's chances remain as a potential upset but lower confidence around 30%.

Predicted Score: Malcolm Wellmaker wins by stoppage in round 2


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