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Corey McLaughlin vs. Nahom Wedi Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Corey McLaughlin vs Nahom Wedi – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: The SSE Arena, Belfast, Northern Ireland

Game Overview

Corey McLaughlin (0-1-0, Northern Ireland) is set to face Nahom 'Blessed' Wedi (professional debut, Eritrea) in a featherweight bout under the PFL Europe banner. Wedi is a decorated amateur fighter making his pro debut, while McLaughlin seeks his first win after a loss in his pro debut.

Key Factors to Consider

  • McLaughlin: 0-1-0 professional record; Wedi: Pro debut, but highly decorated amateur background.
  • First official professional meeting.
  • No public injury reports for either fighter.
  • Bout is scheduled for Belfast, McLaughlin's home region, which may provide a minor crowd advantage.
  • McLaughlin is motivated to get his first pro win. Wedi is eager to make a strong debut impression.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Corey McLaughlin: +175, Nahom Wedi: -260 Nahom Wedi β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Nahom Wedi -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Nahom Wedi at -10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nahom Wedi enters with significant amateur success and is expected to control the fight, especially given the betting odds and his opponent's limited pro experience. However, McLaughlin's home advantage and determination could provide a wildcard factor.

Predicted Score: Nahom Wedi by Submission or Decision, round 2 or 3


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Salahdine Parnasse vs. Marian Ziolkowski Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Salahdine Parnasse vs Marian Ziolkowski – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: LDLC Arena, Lyon, France

Game Overview

Salahdine Parnasse, a KSW Double Champion, is set to face Marian Ziolkowski, a former champion. Parnasse is heavily favored, indicating he is expected to dominate.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Salahdine Parnasse has a strong background as a double champion, likely giving him an edge in skill and experience.
  • This is the first reported match between these fighters, so there is no head-to-head history.
  • There is no reported information about injuries affecting the fight.
  • The venue in Lyon may influence local support, but given the fighters' backgrounds, it should not be a significant factor.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, given the profile of their opponents.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Salahdine Parnasse: -1800, Marian Ziolkowski: 700 Salahdine Parnasse High

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Salahdine Parnasse -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Salahdine Parnasse is likely to win due to his strong record and championship titles.

Predicted Score: Array


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Michal Guzik vs. Joel Kouadja Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Michal Guzik vs Joel Kouadja – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

Michal Guzik is favored to win against Joel Kouadja, with odds of -500 for Guzik and 300 for Kouadja. The fight is part of KSW 106.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Michal Guzik is considered the stronger fighter, with a significant betting advantage. Joel Kouadja is the underdog, but his performance could surprise given the right circumstances.
  • No prior head-to-head data available for these fighters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The venue and crowd could influence the fighters' performance, but this information is not available.
  • Both fighters are likely highly motivated, but Guzik's favored status could impact his motivation compared to Kouadja's.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Guzik: -500, Kouadja: 300 Michal Guzik to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 80%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Michal Guzik -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Michal Guzik is expected to win, given his odds and the betting public's confidence in him.

Predicted Score: Michal Guzik wins by TKO


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Alioune Nahaye vs. Piotr Kacprzak Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Alioune Nahaye vs Piotr Kacprzak – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Lyon

Game Overview

This MMA match between Alioune Nahaye and Piotr Kacprzak is scheduled for KSW 106 in Lyon. The fight is part of the main card, indicating both fighters are prominent in the KSW organization.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Limited information is available on their past performances, but Piotr Kacprzak is favored due to his odds. Alioune Nahaye may have an advantage if he can capitalize on any Kacprzak weaknesses.
  • No past head-to-head matchups are mentioned, so this is a first encounter between the two fighters.
  • No recent injuries reported for either fighter.
  • The crowd in Lyon could influence the fight, but typically, MMA fights are more focused on individual skill rather than home-field advantage.
  • Both fighters are motivated to win, but Kacprzak might be more driven given his status as the favorite.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alioune Nahaye: 110, Piotr Kacprzak: -150 Piotr Kacprzak β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Piotr Kacprzak 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Piotr Kacprzak at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Piotr Kacprzak is favored to win due to his odds, but Alioune Nahaye has a chance to upset if he executes a strong strategy.

Predicted Score: Not available for MMA fights


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Amaury Wako vs. Kacper Fornalski Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Amaury Wako vs Kacper Fornalski – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

This MMA match between Amaury Wako and Kacper Fornalski is part of KSW, scheduled for May 10, 2025. The fight is highly anticipated, with Amaury Wako favored to win.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Amaury Wako has shown strong performance in previous fights, while Kacper Fornalski's recent results are less documented.
  • There is no documented head-to-head history between these fighters.
  • No recent injuries have been reported for either fighter.
  • External factors such as training camps and recent strategy changes are not well-documented.
  • Both fighters are likely highly motivated to win, given the visibility of the event.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -300 for Amaury Wako, +200 for Kacper Fornalski Amaury Wako to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Amaury Wako -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Amaury Wako is predicted to win based on current odds and favored status.

Predicted Score: N/A


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Hugo Deux vs. Krystian Blezien Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Hugo Deux vs Krystian Blezien – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: LDLC Arena, Lyon, France

Game Overview

This MMA match between Hugo Deux and Krystian Blezien is part of KSW 106, taking place at the LDLC Arena in Lyon, France. Hugo Deux, nicknamed 'Nemesis,' enters the fight with a 4-1 record, while Krystian Blezien's record is not detailed in the available data. The bout is likely to be competitive, with Deux favored slightly by the odds.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Hugo Deux has shown a strong performance in recent fights, winning against Francesco Moricca and Gino van Steenis. However, he lost to Adam Brysz last year. Krystian Blezien's recent performance is less documented, which might affect his chances.
  • There is no available head-to-head data between Hugo Deux and Krystian Blezien, so this factor remains neutral.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter at the time of analysis.
  • The match is taking place in Lyon, France, but there's no indication that this will significantly impact the fighters' performance.
  • Both fighters are likely motivated to win, but Hugo Deux might have an edge due to his recent successes.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -150 for Hugo Deux, +110 for Krystian Blezien Hugo Deux β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Hugo Deux -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Hugo Deux is favored to win due to his recent form and the odds. However, Krystian Blezien could pose a challenge if he has been preparing well.

Predicted Score: Not applicable for MMA


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Allan Begosso vs. Davaajamts Batsuren Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Allan Begosso vs Davaajamts Batsuren – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-09
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: LFA 208 (Legacy Fighting Alliance)

Game Overview

Allan Begosso (8-3-1, Brazil) faces off against Davaajamts Batsuren (7-6-0, Mongolia) in a bantamweight bout at LFA 208. Begosso is the favorite, while Batsuren comes in as the underdog. This fight features Begosso's well-rounded attack (KO/TKO, submission, and decision wins) against Batsuren's decision-heavy record and limited finishing power.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Begosso has a strong record (8-3-1) with finishes in 6 of 8 wins, including KO/TKO and submission victories. Batsuren (7-6-0) has 4 decision wins and 3 submission wins, but no KO/TKO finishes. Begosso's finishing rate and experience in higher-level promotions give him the edge in this matchup.
  • No previous meetings between fighters.
  • No significant injury updates reported.
  • Begosso has more experience in larger promotions, including LFA and DWCS. Batsuren's full fighting style and camp details are less publicly available, which could indicate a preparation gap.
  • Begosso is likely motivated to climb the regional rankings and potentially secure another shot at the UFC. Batsuren may be seeking to upset the heavily favored opponent and make a name for himself in international MMA.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -450, away: 275 Allan Begosso β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Allan Begosso -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Allan Begosso at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Allan Begosso is favored to win due to his higher finishing rate, more well-rounded skill set, and superior experience. Expect him to aggressively pursue a finish, likely by submission or KO/TKO in the early rounds. Batsuren's best path is to survive early pressure and take the fight to the later rounds, where his decision wins suggest he may be comfortable, but this is an uphill battle against Begosso's aggression and finish rate.

Predicted Score: Predicted Method of Victory: Begosso by Submission or KO/TKO (inside 2 rounds)


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Chris Mecate vs. Javier Reyes Rugeles Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Chris Mecate vs Javier Reyes Rugeles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-09
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Kaiser Permanente Arena, Santa Cruz, California

Game Overview

The main event of LFA 208 features a Lightweight bout between Chris Mecate and Javier Reyes Rugeles over 3 rounds with a 155 lbs weight limit. Mecate enters the fight riding a 5-fight win streak, holding a professional record of 10-2, and is viewed as a rising contender aiming for a UFC call-up. Reyes Rugeles, with a solid but less highlighted profile, will challenge Mecate in this crucial match for both fighters' career trajectories.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Chris Mecate has demonstrated strong recent form with 5 consecutive wins, including a 2-1 record inside LFA. His aggressive style and finishing ability have been notable, positioning him as a top lightweight prospect. Javier Reyes Rugeles has less documented recent performance but remains a skilled opponent within the division.
  • No documented previous encounters between Chris Mecate and Javier Reyes Rugeles have been found, making this their first official meeting.
  • No current injury reports or fitness issues for either competitor prior to the fight have been noted.
  • The bout is held at a neutral location in California with no home advantage for either fighter. Mecate’s motivation is high given his pursuit of a UFC contract, which could influence performance positively. Broadcast on UFC Fight Pass worldwide increases exposure stakes.
  • Chris Mecate is highly motivated to secure a decisive and dominant victory to attract UFC attention, openly expressing ambitions of calling out UFC CEO Dana White. Reyes Rugeles will be motivated to derail Mecate’s momentum and advance his own standing in the lightweight ranks.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Chris Mecate: -250, Javier Reyes Rugeles: 170 Chris Mecate win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread Chris Mecate -1.5 rounds: -110, Javier Reyes Rugeles +1.5 rounds: -110 Chris Mecate to win by more than 1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: 100 Under 2.5 rounds (shorter fight expected) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Chris Mecate -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Chris Mecate at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Mecate’s momentum, track record inside LFA, and high motivation for a UFC breakthrough, he is favored to win the fight by a decisive decision or finish.

Predicted Score: Chris Mecate wins via 3-round unanimous decision or late stoppage


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Abdalrahman Alhyasat vs. Taha Bendaoud Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Abdalrahman Alhyasat vs Taha Bendaoud – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-09
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Onyx Arena, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia

Game Overview

This featherweight bout is part of the PFL MENA 1: 2025 Regular Season. Abdalrahman Alhyasat of Jordan faces Taha Bendaoud of Morocco in a highly anticipated quarterfinal match in the featherweight tournament. The fight is scheduled for three rounds and is a critical step for both fighters aiming to advance in the 2025 PFL MENA season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alhyasat had a strong 2024 season with notable wins, including over Abdullah Al-Qahtani, the eventual champion, before withdrawing due to injury. He enters this fight fully recovered and confident. Bendaoud, meanwhile, is coming in with determination to upset the favored Alhyasat and make his mark in the tournament.
  • No recorded previous fights between Abdalrahman Alhyasat and Taha Bendaoud, making this their first professional encounter.
  • Alhyasat recovered from a prior injury that forced him out of last season's final; currently reported as fully healthy and ready. No reported injuries for Bendaoud.
  • The fight takes place at Onyx Arena in Jeddah with home region advantage for Alhyasat being from Jordan, regionally closer and possibly with more fan support; the tournament setting heightens the stakes for both fighters.
  • Alhyasat is motivated by redemption and the chance to claim a title he almost secured last season. Bendaoud appears motivated to prove himself against a top contender and advance in the tournament.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -450, away: 275 Home win – Abdalrahman Alhyasat β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread home: -1.5 rounds, away: +1.5 rounds Alhyasat to win by more than one round β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Over/under over: 2.5 rounds -110, under: 2.5 rounds -110 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Abdalrahman Alhyasat -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Abdalrahman Alhyasat at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Abdalrahman Alhyasat is predicted to win the bout based on superior recent performance, recovery status, and betting odds, though Bendaoud’s resilience and motivation could make it competitive.

Predicted Score: Alhyasat wins by unanimous decision or late-round stoppage, estimated 29-28 or TKO Round 3


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Cory Sandhagen vs. Deiveson Figueiredo Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Cory Sandhagen vs Deiveson Figueiredo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 3, 2025
  • Time: 4:45 AM UTC
  • Location: Des Moines

Game Overview

Cory Sandhagen, known for his dynamic striking and high fight IQ, faces Deiveson Figueiredo, a formidable grappler and former flyweight champion, in a highly anticipated bantamweight bout. Sandhagen's advantages in height, reach, and striking output could play significant roles. However, Figueiredo's grappling skills and takedown attempts might challenge Sandhagen's defense.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cory Sandhagen has a strong striking background with 5.02 strikes landed per minute, while Deiveson Figueiredo excels in grappling, with more takedown attempts and submission attempts than Sandhagen.
  • There is no prior head-to-head match between them.
  • No reported injuries at this time.
  • The fight is at bantamweight, where Sandhagen is more established, potentially giving him an edge over Figueiredo, who is moving up from flyweight.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with Figueiredo looking to prove himself at bantamweight and Sandhagen seeking to solidify his position in the division.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cory Sandhagen: -575, Deiveson Figueiredo: +425 Cory Sandhagen β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Cory Sandhagen: -5.5 (-190), Deiveson Figueiredo: +5.5 (140) Cory Sandhagen β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 4.5: -220, Under 4.5: +170 Over 4.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cory Sandhagen -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 4.5 -20%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Cory Sandhagen at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cory Sandhagen is predicted to win due to his strong striking and significant advantages in height and reach.

Predicted Score: Cory Sandhagen wins by TKO or decision in the later rounds.


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