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Connor Hughes vs. Sebastien Di Franco Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Connor Hughes vs Sebastien Di Franco – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 10, 2025
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: The SSE Arena, Belfast

Game Overview

Connor Hughes faces Sebastien Di Franco in the PFL Europe Lightweight Tournament. Hughes, a seasoned English fighter, is favored to win against the Belgian newcomer Di Franco.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Connor Hughes has a strong record with one-punch knockout power, while Sebastien Di Franco debuts in the PFL with a solid background from Belgium and France.
  • No previous head-to-head matches between the fighters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The tournament setup and the fighters' adaptation to the PFL format may influence performance.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated to advance in the tournament.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Connor Hughes: -430, Sebastien Di Franco: 300 Connor Hughes ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Connor Hughes -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Connor Hughes at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Connor Hughes is likely to win due to his experience and knockout power.

Predicted Score: Connor Hughes by TKO/KO


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Mickael Lebout vs. Amin Ayoub Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Mickael Lebout vs Amin Ayoub – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: LDLC Arena, Lyon, France

Game Overview

This is a main card MMA fight at KSW 106, catchweight (159 lbs). Mickael Lebout, a French veteran with a strong wrestling and submission base, faces Amin Ayoub, known for dynamic stand-up and grappling skills. Both fighters have experience in high-profile promotions, with Ayoub coming in as a moderate favorite according to bookmakers.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ayoub is a versatile fighter with recent success in stand-up and scrambles. Lebout, while experienced, has shown inconsistency in recent years against higher-paced opponents. Ayoub’s ability to dictate the pace and use a diverse skillset gives him a slight edge.
  • No direct head-to-head history between these fighters in official MMA competition. Each has faced a diversified level of competition in European promotions.
  • No significant injuries reported for either fighter leading into this bout.
  • Event in France provides a home-crowd advantage for Lebout, but there is no indication of significant weigh-in issues or external distractions for either athlete.
  • Both fighters are motivated for a high-profile win on a major MMA card. Lebout seeks to re-establish himself, while Ayoub looks to build momentum for future title opportunities.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Amin Ayoub: -260, Mickael Lebout: 175 Amin Ayoub wins High (75%)

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Amin Ayoub -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Amin Ayoub at -7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Amin Ayoub is favored to win by decision or late technicality, likely controlling the fight with speed, volume, and versatility. Lebout's best chance is an early takedown leading to a submission, but Ayoub's defensive grappling and cardio are expected to prevail.

Predicted Score: Predicted fight outcome: Amin Ayoub by Unanimous Decision (29-28, 30-27)


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Claudio Pacella vs. Gavin Hughes Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Claudio Pacella vs Gavin Hughes – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: The SSE Arena, Belfast, Northern Ireland

Game Overview

Claudio Pacella is set to face Gavin Hughes in a lightweight matchup at PFL Europe. Pacella, with a record of 5-2, is favored over Hughes, who boasts an 11-4 record. The fight is part of the PFL Europe Lightweight Tournament.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Claudio Pacella has a good balance in his skills, but his record is significantly shorter than Gavin Hughes'. Hughes' experience could be crucial in the fight.
  • There is no known head-to-head data between these fighters.
  • No recent injuries reported for either fighter.
  • The fight at the SSE Arena in Belfast could favor a more aggressive, crowd-pleasing style.
  • Both fighters are motivated by advancing in the PFL Europe tournament.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Claudio Pacella: -350, Gavin Hughes: 225 Claudio Pacella Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Claudio Pacella 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Claudio Pacella at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Claudio Pacella is favored due to his listed odds, but Gavin Hughes' experience could lead to a competitive bout.

Predicted Score: Claudio Pacella win via decision


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Lewis McGrillen vs. Alan Philpott Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Lewis McGrillen vs Alan Philpott – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: The SSE Arena, Belfast, Northern Ireland

Game Overview

Lewis McGrillen, the reigning PFL Europe bantamweight champion, faces veteran Alan Philpott in the PFL Europe 1 co-main event. McGrillen comes in riding a wave of momentum after capturing the title, while Philpott brings a wealth of experience but has struggled with consistency in recent years. This bout represents McGrillen’s return to PFL Europe after forgoing a move to the global roster to continue his ascent in Europe.

Key Factors to Consider

  • McGrillen: 11-1-0 pro record, #119 bantamweight, 8-1-0 in last 3 years. Recently stopped two opponents in the PFL Europe tournament, demonstrating KO power and championship mentality. Philpott: 21-16-0 pro record, experienced but with a lower win percentage and inconsistent results in bigger fights.
  • No previous head-to-head history between these fighters.
  • No major injuries publicly reported for either fighter ahead of this match.
  • Event takes place in Belfast, offering a regional advantage to Philpott, who has fought extensively in the UK/Ireland, but McGrillen shows strong composure in hostile environments.
  • McGrillen is motivated to solidify his PFL Europe legacy before moving to the global stage. Philpott is looking to upset the champion and reassert himself as a contender.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline McGrillen -1000, Philpott 550 Lewis McGrillen High (90%)

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Lewis McGrillen -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Lewis McGrillen at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Lewis McGrillen will impose his athleticism, power, and momentum to dictate the fight, likely stopping Philpott in the later rounds or taking a decisive decision. The betting odds and recent form strongly favor McGrillen.

Predicted Score: McGrillen by late TKO (Round 3 or 4)


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Decky McAleenan vs. Gino van Steenis Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Decky McAleenan vs Gino van Steenis – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: SSE Arena, Belfast

Game Overview

This match is part of the PFL Europe 2025 Lightweight Tournament, featuring Decky McAleenan (9-5-1) from Ireland versus Gino van Steenis (5-1) from Spain. Both fighters aim to progress in the tournament, with McAleenan seeking his first European belt for Ireland and van Steenis looking to follow in his brother's footsteps.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Decky McAleenan has more professional fights but faces a younger, aggressive opponent in Gino van Steenis, who is driven by his brother’s success.
  • There is no recorded head-to-head matchup between these fighters.
  • No reported injuries at this time.
  • Home advantage could favor McAleenan, but van Steenis's ambition might counterbalance that.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, but McAleenan’s local support could be an additional motivator.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Decky McAleenan: -125, Gino van Steenis: -115 Decky McAleenan ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Decky McAleenan -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Decky McAleenan at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the experience and home advantage, Decky McAleenan might have a slight edge, but Gino van Steenis’s potential for aggression could make this a closely contested match.

Predicted Score: This is a decision-based sport, so predicting a score isn't applicable. However, a closely contested five-round decision is likely.


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Mark Ewen vs. Aleksandr Chizov Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Mark Ewen vs Aleksandr Chizov – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 10, 2025
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: The SSE Arena, Belfast, Northern Ireland

Game Overview

Mark Ewen, representing Scotland with a 100% finish rate in his wins, faces Latvia's Aleksandr Chizov in the PFL Europe 1: 2025 Regular Season main card. Ewen debuts in the tournament format, while Chizov brings a 10-3 professional record. The match promises high stakes and aggressive styles.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mark Ewen enters with a 6-0 record and 100% finish rate, indicating a strong, aggressive style. Aleksandr Chizov, with a 10-3 record, brings experience and versatility, having faced a higher level of competition.
  • No prior head-to-head encounters between the fighters have been documented.
  • No injury reports have been found for either fighter ahead of this match.
  • This is Ewen's debut in the PFL tournament format, which could add pressure, while Chizov may use his experience in international competition as an advantage.
  • Ewen is motivated to make an impact in his PFL debut, while Chizov aims to leverage his experience to advance further in the tournament.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mark Ewen (-350), Aleksandr Chizov (+225) Mark Ewen High (75%)

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mark Ewen -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Mark Ewen at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mark Ewen is the favorite according to odds and his undefeated, high-finish record. However, Chizov's experience and well-rounded skills could pose a significant challenge, making this a closer fight than the odds suggest. Ewen is predicted to win by stoppage, but Chizov's resilience may push the fight to later rounds.

Predicted Score: Mark Ewen by TKO/KO in Round 2


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Gemma Auld vs. Sammy-Jo Luxton Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Gemma Auld vs Sammy-Jo Luxton – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 10, 2025
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: The SSE Arena, Belfast, Northern Ireland

Game Overview

Gemma Auld and Sammy-Jo Luxton are set to face off in a highly anticipated match at PFL Europe 1. Both fighters are looking to make a strong impression in their upcoming bout. The match is significant for both participants, with Luxton aiming to become a prominent figure in the PFL.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both fighters have shown strong performances in their previous matches, with Luxton expressing her desire to become one of PFL's stars. Gemma Auld also has a solid record and is looking to assert her dominance.
  • There is no prior head-to-head data available for these fighters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The fight takes place in Belfast, which might provide a home advantage for Gemma Auld, but both fighters are well-prepared.
  • Luxton is highly motivated to make a strong impression and move towards a strawweight division in the future.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -120 vs -120 Sammy-Jo Luxton ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sammy-Jo Luxton 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sammy-Jo Luxton at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

This match is closely contested, with both fighters having strong potential. However, Sammy-Jo Luxton's recent focus on becoming a face of the PFL might give her an edge in terms of motivation.

Predicted Score: N/A


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Eoin Sheridan vs. Malachi Edwards Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Eoin Sheridan vs Malachi Edwards – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Jeddah, Saudi Arabia

Game Overview

This is a Professional Fighters League (PFL) MENA 1: 2025 Regular Season welterweight bout between Eoin Sheridan, a rising prospect with a professional record of 2-0-0, and Malachi Edwards, whose record and recent form suggest he may be the underdog. The bout is set to be part of an international MMA event with potential regional significance due to the PFL MENA initiative.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Eoin Sheridan enters undefeated at 2-0-0, showing promise in his early career with finishes in both fights. Malachi Edwards's record is less clear from available sources, but the betting odds and fight context suggest he's less favored. Sheridan's undefeated run and recent momentum are notable.
  • No previous head-to-head encounters between the two fighters are recorded.
  • There are no publicly reported injuries for either fighter ahead of this matchup.
  • Sheridan is fighting as a slight favorite, which could impact expectations and pressure. The card is a high-profile event in the Middle East, potentially adding extra scrutiny. Both fighters likely face travel and adaptation to a new environment in Jeddah.
  • Sheridan is motivated to continue his unbeaten streak and establish himself in the PFL MENA region. Edwards may be hungry to upset the odds and make a name himself in an international spotlight.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Eoin Sheridan: -182, Malachi Edwards: 142 Eoin Sheridan by decision or late stoppage ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Eoin Sheridan -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Eoin Sheridan at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Eoin Sheridan is favored by odds and momentum. His undefeated record and recent performances suggest he is the more likely winner, though MMA is unpredictable, and Edwards cannot be counted out.

Predicted Score: Eoin Sheridan via Decision (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)


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Paul Hughes vs. Bruno Miranda Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Paul Hughes vs Bruno Miranda – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: SSE Arena, Belfast, Northern Ireland

Game Overview

Paul 'Big News' Hughes (13-2) faces Brazil's Bruno 'Robusto' Miranda (17-5) in the lightweight main event of PFL Europe Belfast. Miranda, a Muay Thai specialist with nine KO/TKOs, recently beat former champ Patricky Pitbull, but has only lost to top contenders in the PFL. Hughes, fighting at home, is a rising star on a solid win streak.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Hughes is on an impressive run with strong local support and a well-rounded game. Miranda boasts high-level striking and recent momentum, including a high-profile win over Patricky Pitbull.
  • No previous head-to-head record between Hughes and Miranda.
  • No significant injuries reported for either fighter ahead of the bout.
  • Hughes fighting at home provides a notable crowd advantage. Miranda is comfortable in high-pressure situations, having fought top-tier competition.
  • High for both: Hughes seeks to cement his status in front of his fans; Miranda aims to overcome the home fighter and continue his upward trajectory.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Home: -1300; Away: 625 Hughes (Home) wins High (75%)

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Paul Hughes 516%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Paul Hughes at 516% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 82.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Hughes is favored due to home advantage, momentum, and well-rounded skills. However, Miranda's striking and recent form make him a dangerous underdog capable of an upset, especially if he can keep the fight standing.

Predicted Score: Hughes by 2nd-round TKO


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Souheil Kaouchen vs. Oskar Stachura Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Souheil Kaouchen vs Oskar Stachura – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: LDLC Arena, Lyon, France

Game Overview

Souheil Kaouchen vs Oskar Stachura is a featherweight bout on the KSW 106 card. Both fighters are climbing the ranks, with Kaouchen on a winning streak in French regional promotions and Stachura favored by oddsmakers. The matchup is significant for regional and European featherweight standings, with both athletes seeking momentum and recognition in the KSW organization.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Souheil Kaouchen is on a six-fight winning streak, with recent victories by TKO and decision in regional French promotions. Stachura, while less publicized in recent local results, is favored in the odds, suggesting market recognition of his skills, possibly based on his broader European experience or fight style.
  • No previous head-to-head encounters between Kaouchen and Stachura in professional MMA.
  • No official reports of significant injuries for either fighter leading up to this match.
  • The fight takes place in Lyon, France, likely favoring Kaouchen with home support. The event is high-profile for KSW, which could add pressure but also motivation for both athletes.
  • Kaouchen is riding a hot streak and is likely highly motivated to prove himself against a favored opponent. Stachura has the bookmakers' confidence and is likely motivated to validate that status in the KSW featherweight division.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Oskar Stachura: -150, Souheil Kaouchen: 110 Oskar Stachura ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Oskar Stachura -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Oskar Stachura at -7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Oskar Stachura is favored by oddsmakers, but Souheil Kaouchen's regional momentum and home advantage could make this a competitive bout. Expect a close fight, possibly decided by Stachura's experience and ability to control pace, but do not discount Kaouchen's finishing skills and recent form.

Predicted Score: Oskar Stachura by Decision


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