Stephen Erceg vs. Ode Osbourne Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Stephen Erceg vs Ode Osbourne – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-08-09
Time: 11:00 PM UTC
Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada

Game Overview

Stephen Erceg faces Ode Osbourne in a bantamweight UFC fight at UFC Vegas 109. Erceg is favored heavily on the moneyline, with a more precise striking rate and defense. The fight features contrasting styles with Erceg’s orthodox stance and Osbourne’s southpaw approach, both with solid striking records but Erceg showing superior statistical metrics.

Key Factors to Consider

Erceg has a 12-4 record, demonstrating consistent performance with 4.45 significant strikes landed per minute at 46% accuracy and 52% strike defense. Osbourne’s 13-8 record includes a respectable 3.20 strikes landed per minute at 40% accuracy but poorer defense at 46%.
No direct prior matchups between Erceg and Osbourne, making this a stylistic matchup based on their respective fight metrics and recent form.
No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the bout, suggesting both are in optimal physical condition.
Both fighters are competing in the UFC Apex in Las Vegas; no travel or venue disadvantage is evident. Erceg’s younger age (30 vs 33) and recent betting market support suggest higher confidence in his current form.
Erceg may have higher motivation to maintain/improve ranking given his favored status and younger career stage. Osbourne, as the underdog, may be motivated to upset but lacks supporting recent momentum indicators.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Erceg -600, Osbourne +425	Stephen Erceg	★★★★☆ 82%
Spread	Not explicitly provided for spread, typical UFC spread -1.5 rounds for Erceg around -150	Stephen Erceg -1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 1.5 -160, Under 1.5 +130	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Stephen Erceg -10%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 38%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 38% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Stephen Erceg to win by decision

Predicted Score: Erceg wins by decision after 3 rounds

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Jean Matsumoto vs. Miles Johns Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Jean Matsumoto vs Miles Johns – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-08-09
Time: 11:00 PM UTC
Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

The UFC Featherweight matchup features Jean Matsumoto, a 25-year-old Brazilian fighter with a 16-1 record, fighting orthodox stance and known for high volume striking but weaker defense. He faces Miles Johns, a 31-year-old American with a 15-3 record, also orthodox, who is more precise and defensively sound. Both fighters weigh 135 lbs and have similar height and reach, making it a competitive bout where striking accuracy and defense will be key.

Key Factors to Consider

Matsumoto boasts a higher output rate of significant strikes at 5.18/min compared to Johns' 3.16/min but with less accuracy (41% vs 44%). Johns excels at defense, allowing only 2.65 significant strikes/min with a 67% defense rate, whereas Matsumoto allows 5.40/min with 45% defense.
No previous fight history between them; this is their first encounter, making adaptability during the fight a factor.
No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the matchup.
Fight held at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, neutral location with no home advantage; both fighters seem motivated by career progression at this main card event.
Matsumoto aims to maintain his near-perfect record and prove striking dominance; Johns wants to leverage his experience and defensive skills to upset the younger fighter.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Jean Matsumoto: -298, Miles Johns: 240	Jean Matsumoto	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Jean Matsumoto -3.5: -115, Miles Johns +3.5: -115	Jean Matsumoto -3.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -298, Under 2.5: 220	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Jean Matsumoto -8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 92%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 92% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 41.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jean Matsumoto to win by decision, leveraging his striking volume advantage and physical prime despite defensive deficits.

Predicted Score: Jean Matsumoto wins by unanimous decision after three rounds

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Anthony Hernandez vs. Roman Dolidze Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Anthony Hernandez vs Roman Dolidze – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-08-09
Time: 11:00 PM UTC
Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

Anthony Hernandez and Roman Dolidze face off in a UFC middleweight main event, with Hernandez favored after a dominant winning streak, while Dolidze carries solid experience but recent wins of questionable quality.

Key Factors to Consider

Hernandez is on a 7-fight winning streak with superior recent performances, demonstrating strong endurance, speed, and pressure fighting both standing and on the ground. Dolidze has a 3-fight win streak, but some wins were against injured or less prepared opponents. Hernandez outstrikes Dolidze significantly and absorbs fewer strikes per minute.
No prior head-to-head fights between Hernandez and Dolidze; stylistically Hernandez’s pressure and high-volume striking could control the bout against Dolidze’s measured striking.
No recent reported injuries for either fighter; both appear physically prepared going into the bout.
Fight will be held at UFC Apex, Las Vegas, a neutral venue with no location advantage. Hernandez’s youth and momentum favor him versus the older Dolidze.
Hernandez is motivated to maintain an undefeated streak since early career setbacks, seeking to solidify his place as a top middleweight contender. Dolidze aims to prove his ranking merits but may lack the same recent confidence level.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Hernandez: -345, Dolidze: +275	Anthony Hernandez	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Hernandez -5.5 (-195), Dolidze +5.5 (140)	Anthony Hernandez -5.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 3.5 rounds (-130), Under 3.5 rounds (+100)	Under 3.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Anthony Hernandez -2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 3.5 24%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Anthony Hernandez to win by decision

Predicted Score: Anthony Hernandez wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds

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Christian Rodriguez vs. Andre Fili Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Christian Rodriguez vs Andre Fili – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-08-09
Time: 11:00 PM UTC
Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

Christian Rodriguez vs Andre Fili is a featherweight UFC bout featuring a younger, highly accurate striker in Rodriguez against a taller, experienced fighter Fili with a contrasting style and more reach.

Key Factors to Consider

Rodriguez (12-3) has a higher significant strike accuracy (50%) and defense (54%) compared to Fili's 37% accuracy and 51% defense. Fili lands more strikes per minute (3.84 vs 3.63) but absorbs significantly more (4.15 vs 2.66), indicating Rodriguez is more efficient and durable.
No documented previous direct matchup exists between Rodriguez and Fili, making this a stylistic clash rather than familiarity-based contest.
No known injuries reported for either fighter going into the fight, suggesting both are physically prepared.
The fight is at UFC Apex amid a neutral environment favoring no athlete by location—Rodriguez being younger and possibly hungrier, Fili older but experienced.
Rodriguez, at 27, is on the rise with a strong recent form and motivation to climb ranks, while Fili, at 35, may face declining physical attributes despite experience.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Christian Rodriguez: -245, Andre Fili: +200	Christian Rodriguez	★★★★☆ 74%
Spread	Christian Rodriguez -3.5: 105, Andre Fili +3.5: -140	Christian Rodriguez -3.5	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -230, Under 2.5 rounds: 175	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 63%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Christian Rodriguez -3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 73%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 73% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 41.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Christian Rodriguez to win on the moneyline by decision

Predicted Score: Christian Rodriguez wins by decision, fight lasting 3 rounds

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Christian Leroy Duncan vs. Eryk Anders Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Christian Leroy Duncan vs Eryk Anders – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-08-09
Time: 11:00 PM UTC
Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States

Game Overview

Christian Leroy Duncan, a younger and highly efficient striker with an 11-2 record, faces veteran Eryk Anders with a 17-8 record in a middleweight bout. Duncan’s reach advantage and higher striking accuracy position him as the strong favorite in this matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

Duncan boasts a superior recent form and striking output, landing 4.75 significant strikes per minute at 59% accuracy versus Anders' 3.54 strikes at 48%. Duncan also defends slightly better allowing 3.01 strikes per minute compared to Anders' 4.05.
No prior head-to-head matches between these opponents, making stylistic and statistical comparisons crucial.
No known injuries reported for either fighter leading into the bout.
Fight scheduled at UFC Apex, neutral ground with no home advantage. Duncan’s youth and physical dimensions (6'2" height and 79" reach) provide a natural edge against the older Anders (38 years old, 6'1", 75" reach).
Duncan is driven to solidify himself as a rising contender, while Anders may rely on experience; age disparity favors Duncan’s motivation and physical peak.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Duncan -550, Anders +410	Christian Leroy Duncan	★★★★☆ 82%
Spread	Duncan -3.5 (-205), Anders +3.5 (+150)	Christian Leroy Duncan -3.5	★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under	Over 2.5 (-188), Under 2.5 (+145)	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Christian Leroy Duncan -4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 59%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 59% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 40.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Christian Leroy Duncan to win by decision

Predicted Score: Christian Leroy Duncan wins via unanimous decision after three rounds

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Eric McConico vs. Cody Brundage Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Eric McConico vs Cody Brundage – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-08-09
Time: 8:00 PM UTC
Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

A middleweight contest featuring Eric McConico (9-3-1) and Cody Brundage (11-6-1), both standing 6'0" and weighing 185 lbs. Brundage fights orthodox with a 72" reach, McConico is a southpaw with a 77" reach advantage. Brundage has a higher significant strike accuracy and lower absorption per minute, while McConico has better significant strike defense percentage.

Key Factors to Consider

Brundage has a more active and accurate striking approach, landing 2.23 significant strikes per minute at 52% accuracy compared to McConico's 0.90 strikes per minute at 38%. McConico shows a slight edge in defensive strike absorption (52%) over Brundage (46%).
No recorded previous matchups between the two fighters.
No public information or recent injury reports affecting either fighter prior to the bout.
Fight taking place at UFC Apex, a neutral site favoring neither fighter; McConico is older (35) versus younger Brundage (31), potentially impacting stamina.
Brundage appears motivated to improve his winning consistency after an 11-6-1 record; McConico’s fewer fights may add unpredictability but less recent activity might impact sharpness.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Brundage -160 / McConico +140	Cody Brundage	★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under	Over 1.5 (+115) / Under 1.5 (-135)	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Cody Brundage -3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 18%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cody Brundage to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Cody Brundage wins by decision or late stoppage before Round 2

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Iasmin Lucindo vs. Angela Hill Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Iasmin Lucindo vs Angela Hill – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-08-09
Time: 8:00 PM UTC
Location: UFC Strawweight Division (venue not specified)

Game Overview

This is a UFC Strawweight division fight between Iasmin Lucindo and Angela Hill scheduled for August 9, 2025, at 20:00 UTC. Both fighters have contrasting styles and recent activity trends entering this matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

Iasmin Lucindo comes in as the betting favorite (-198) with slightly better recent performance metrics, showing strong striking accuracy and grappling defense. Angela Hill (+164) has been aggressive and motivated, training new skills but carries a slightly older age factor (40 years) compared to Lucindo.
There is no record of direct previous matchups between Iasmin Lucindo and Angela Hill, making this fight a test of adaptations and strategy on fight night.
No reported recent injuries for either fighter. Both appear healthy going into this contest.
Angela Hill has demonstrated high motivation publicly, even working on new techniques in camp. Lucindo’s home country advantage (Brazil) cannot be verified and may be neutral depending on location.
Angela Hill's public statements indicate strong desire to dominate this fight. Lucindo’s favored odds imply confidence from bookmakers, suggesting strong underlying performance and preparation.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Angela Hill: +164, Iasmin Lucindo: -198	Iasmin Lucindo	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Angela Hill: -205 on +3.5, Iasmin Lucindo: +150 on -3.5	Iasmin Lucindo to win by more than 3.5 points	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -720, Under 2.5 rounds: +450	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Iasmin Lucindo -7%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 285%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 285% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 63.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Iasmin Lucindo to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Iasmin Lucindo wins by decision or late finish within 3 rounds

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Uros Medic vs. Gilbert Urbina Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Uros Medic vs Gilbert Urbina – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-08-09
Time: 8:00 PM UTC
Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

Uros Medic and Gilbert Urbina face off at UFC Vegas 109 in a welterweight bout. Medic is the strong favorite based on recent form, statistical combat metrics, and defensive ability.

Key Factors to Consider

Medic has a 10-3 career record with a high significant strike accuracy (60%) and better strike defense (56%) compared to Urbina's 57% accuracy and 44% defense. Medic absorbs fewer strikes per minute (3.46) than Urbina (4.61), indicating a better defensive profile.
No direct head-to-head matchups recorded between Medic and Urbina.
No recent injury reports for either fighter, suggesting both are in good health coming into the fight.
Fight takes place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, a neutral venue with no clear home advantage. Both fighters have equal weight class conditions.
Medic, as the favorite, is likely motivated to solidify his status with a decisive win. Urbina is considered an underdog, potentially increasing his motivation to upset.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Uros Medic -450 / Gilbert Urbina +350	Uros Medic	★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under	Over 1.5 rounds +120 / Under 1.5 rounds -150	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Uros Medic -8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Uros Medic to win on the moneyline with a fight likely finishing under 1.5 rounds due to his striking accuracy and defensive skills limiting exchanges.

Predicted Score: Uros Medic wins by TKO in Round 2

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Julius Walker vs. Raffael Cerqueira Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Julius Walker vs Raffael Cerqueira – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-08-09
Time: 8:00 PM UTC
Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Game Overview

Julius Walker (-675) faces Raffael Cerqueira (+490) in a light heavyweight UFC bout at UFC Vegas 109. Walker is a younger, taller orthodox fighter with a 6-1 record, known for high significant strike output and solid defense. Cerqueira is an experienced southpaw with an 11-2 record but absorbs many strikes and has a lower strike rate.

Key Factors to Consider

Walker holds a recent record of 6-1 with high striking volume and efficiency (5.73 significant strikes/min at 50% accuracy), while Cerqueira is 11-2 with a lower strike rate (3.28/min at 43%) but better strike defense (42%). Walker's defense allows fewer strikes absorbed (5.80 per min) compared to Cerqueira's high absorption (14.43 per min).
No prior head-to-head bouts between Julius Walker and Raffael Cerqueira.
No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the fight.
Fight takes place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, neutral venue; Walker benefits from youth and reach advantage (78" vs 76"), potentially favoring striking exchanges.
Walker, at 26, is seeking to establish himself as a rising contender with a near-flawless record; Cerqueira, at 35, chasing relevance against a top prospect, potentially motivated but possibly impacted by age.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Walker: -675, Cerqueira: +490	Julius Walker	★★★★☆ 83%
Spread	Walker -3.5 (-525), Cerqueira +3.5 (330)	Julius Walker -3.5	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	Over 1.5 (+200), Under 1.5 (-270)	Under 1.5	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Julius Walker -6%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Julius Walker wins by decision

Predicted Score: Julius Walker via decision

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Joselyne Edwards vs. Priscila Cachoeira Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Joselyne Edwards vs Priscila Cachoeira – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-08-09
Time: 8:00 PM UTC
Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

Joselyne Edwards and Priscila Cachoeira face off in a Women’s Bantamweight bout at UFC Vegas 109. Edwards is favored according to bookmaker odds, showing superior striking accuracy and defensive metrics, though both have similar MMA experience and records.

Key Factors to Consider

Edwards holds a 15-6 career record with a 6-4 UFC record, landing 4.62 significant strikes per minute at 53% accuracy and absorbing 3.20 strikes per minute. Cachoeira has a 13-6 record with a 5-6 UFC record, landing 4.03 significant strikes per minute at 44% accuracy while absorbing 7.15 strikes per minute.
No previous head-to-head bouts between Edwards and Cachoeira.
No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout.
Fight takes place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, a neutral venue with no altitude or climate issues. Both fighters are orthodox and similarly matched in weight class.
Edwards, younger and holding a better recent UFC record, likely has stronger motivation to advance her standing. Cachoeira, at 36, may be motivated to prove longevity but has had mixed recent results.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Joselyne Edwards: -350, Priscila Cachoeira: 285	Joselyne Edwards	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Joselyne Edwards -1.5: -150, Priscila Cachoeira +1.5: 130	Joselyne Edwards -1.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -180, Under 2.5: 150	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Joselyne Edwards -10%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 50%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 50% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Joselyne Edwards to win by decision

Predicted Score: Edwards wins by decision (3 rounds)

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Stephen Erceg vs. Ode Osbourne Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Stephen Erceg vs Ode Osbourne – Prediction

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Jean Matsumoto vs. Miles Johns Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Jean Matsumoto vs Miles Johns – Prediction

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Anthony Hernandez vs. Roman Dolidze Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Anthony Hernandez vs Roman Dolidze – Prediction

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Christian Rodriguez vs. Andre Fili Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Christian Rodriguez vs Andre Fili – Prediction

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Christian Leroy Duncan vs. Eryk Anders Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Christian Leroy Duncan vs Eryk Anders – Prediction

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Eric McConico vs. Cody Brundage Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Eric McConico vs Cody Brundage – Prediction

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Iasmin Lucindo vs. Angela Hill Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Iasmin Lucindo vs Angela Hill – Prediction

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Uros Medic vs. Gilbert Urbina Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Julius Walker vs. Raffael Cerqueira Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Julius Walker vs Raffael Cerqueira – Prediction

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Joselyne Edwards vs. Priscila Cachoeira Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Joselyne Edwards vs Priscila Cachoeira – Prediction

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