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Jesus Pinedo vs. Gabriel Alves Braga Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jesus Pinedo vs Gabriel Alves Braga – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: June 12, 2025
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Nashville Municipal Auditorium

Game Overview

This is a featherweight semifinal match in the PFL 2025 World Tournament between Jesus Pinedo, the 2023 PFL Featherweight Champion, and Gabriel Alves Braga. Both fighters have a history of competing against each other, currently standing at 1-1.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Jesus Pinedo is 25-6-1 in his career, with a recent win over Borch by first-round KO. Gabriel Alves Braga is 17-2, having beaten his last opponent by first-round submission.
  • The two fighters are 1-1 against each other, with Pinedo winning by third-round TKO in their most recent matchup for the title.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The match is part of the PFL tournament format, which could lead to increased motivation for both fighters to progress.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated to win and advance in the tournament.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gabriel Alves Braga: 175, Jesus Pinedo: -215 Jesus Pinedo ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jesus Pinedo -12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Jesus Pinedo at -12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jesus Pinedo is favored to win based on his recent performances and the fact that he holds a title win over Braga.

Predicted Score: Jesus Pinedo to win by decision or TKO


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Joseph Luciano vs. Sarek Shields Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Joseph Luciano vs Sarek Shields – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-12
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Nashville Municipal Auditorium

Game Overview

Joseph Luciano and Sarek Shields will face off in a welterweight alternate bout during the 2025 PFL World Tournament 5 Semifinals. Luciano, with a 10-3 record, is favored against Shields, who holds a 6-2 record.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Luciano has a more extensive experience, with 13 fights under his belt compared to Shields' 8. Luciano's opponents have generally been more experienced, which could be an advantage.
  • This is the first time these fighters will meet, so there is no prior head-to-head data.
  • No recent injuries have been reported for either fighter.
  • The match is part of a high-stakes tournament, and both fighters will be highly motivated. However, Luciano's experience in larger tournaments might give him an edge.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, but Luciano's experience in high-pressure situations could be a deciding factor.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Joseph Luciano: -290, Sarek Shields: 230 Joseph Luciano ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Joseph Luciano -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Joseph Luciano is predicted to win based on his experience and past performances.

Predicted Score: N/A


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Jason Danner vs. Nathan Gilmore Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jason Danner vs Nathan Gilmore – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: June 13, 2025
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Nashville Municipal Auditorium

Game Overview

Jason Danner, an undefeated fighter from Tennessee, faces off against Nathan Gilmore in a bantamweight bout during the PFL 2025 World Tournament Semifinals. This match is significant as it determines who will advance to the finals.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Jason Danner is undefeated with a 2-0 record, while Nathan Gilmore has a 4-5 record. Danner's recent performance and undefeated status might give him an edge.
  • There is no recorded head-to-head history between these fighters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The match takes place in Nashville, which could favor Danner due to local support.
  • Both fighters are motivated to win, but Danner's undefeated record might add pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jason Danner: -300, Nathan Gilmore: 240 Jason Danner High

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jason Danner -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Jason Danner is likely to win due to his undefeated record and recent performance.

Predicted Score: Decision or TKO in favor of Jason Danner


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Logan Storley vs. Masayuki Kikuiri Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Logan Storley vs Masayuki Kikuiri – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: June 12, 2025
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Nashville Municipal Auditorium

Game Overview

Logan Storley vs. Masayuki Kikuiri is a Welterweight Semifinal match in the 2025 PFL World Tournament. Storley, a former Bellator Champion, faces Kikuiri, a strong contender from Japan.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Logan Storley has a significant record, with 17 wins and 3 losses, while Masayuki Kikuiri has 11 wins, 2 losses, and 1 draw. Storley's experience and past success as a Bellator Champion could be a decisive factor.
  • There is no reported head-to-head record between the two fighters.
  • No current injury reports are available for either fighter.
  • The match takes place in Nashville, Tennessee, which might favor Storley due to his North American experience.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with a desire to advance in the tournament.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Logan Storley: -725, Masayuki Kikuiri: 525 Logan Storley ★★★★☆ 80%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Logan Storley -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Logan Storley at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Logan Storley is predicted to win due to his experience and past success.

Predicted Score: Decision or TKO in favor of Logan Storley


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Merab Dvalishvili vs. Sean O'Malley Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Merab Dvalishvili vs Sean O'Malley – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: June 7, 2025
  • Time: 4:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Prudential Center, Newark, New Jersey

Game Overview

UFC 316 features a highly anticipated bantamweight title fight between reigning champion Merab Dvalishvili and challenger Sean O'Malley. Dvalishvili seeks his second title defense against O'Malley, whom he defeated via unanimous decision in their previous encounter. The bout is expected to be intense, with Dvalishvili favored due to his dominant performance in their first meeting.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Merab Dvalishvili's wrestling skills and ability to control fights are significant advantages. Sean O'Malley is known for his striking prowess but may struggle against Dvalishvili's grappling.
  • Dvalishvili won their first fight via unanimous decision, showcasing his superiority in wrestling and control. This rematch will likely see Dvalishvili utilizing similar strategies.
  • There are no reported significant injuries affecting either fighter's performance.
  • The fight takes place in New Jersey, which could have psychological effects on the fighters but is unlikely to significantly impact performance.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with O'Malley seeking redemption and Dvalishvili looking to solidify his title reign.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Merab Dvalishvili: -285, Sean O'Malley: 230 Merab Dvalishvili ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Merab Dvalishvili: -5.5 (100), Sean O'Malley: 5.5 (-135) Merab Dvalishvili ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 4.5: -280, Under 4.5: 210 Over 4.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Merab Dvalishvili -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 4.5 -25%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Merab Dvalishvili at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Merab Dvalishvili is expected to win due to his wrestling control and previous performance against O'Malley.

Predicted Score: Merab Dvalishvili via decision


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Julianna Pena vs. Kayla Harrison Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Julianna Pena vs Kayla Harrison – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-08
  • Time: 3:45 AM UTC
  • Location: Prudential Center, Newark, NJ

Game Overview

UFC 316 features a highly anticipated women's bantamweight title fight between current champion Julianna Peña and challenger Kayla Harrison. The bout is expected to be intense, with both fighters known for their aggressive styles. Julianna Peña seeks to defend her title against a formidable opponent in Kayla Harrison, who has been making waves in the MMA world with her impressive career history, including being a two-time Olympic gold medalist and a two-time PFL champion.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Kayla Harrison comes into this fight as a strong favorite, having transitioned successfully from other promotions and weight classes. Julianna Peña, despite being a champion, faces skepticism but has a history of pulling off upsets.
  • There is no prior head-to-head between these fighters, but both are known for their toughness and ability to adapt.
  • No significant injuries have been reported for either fighter.
  • The fight is heavily hyped, with a lot of trash talk involved, which could affect the fighters' mental preparation.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with Peña looking to prove doubters wrong and Harrison seeking to cement her legacy.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Julianna Peña: +525, Kayla Harrison: -750 Kayla Harrison ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread Julianna Peña: +5.5 (215), Kayla Harrison: -5.5 (-310) Kayla Harrison ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over: 4.5 (+150), Under: 4.5 (-195) Under ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Kayla Harrison -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 4.5 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 4.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Kayla Harrison is likely to win due to her impressive background and the current odds favoring her.

Predicted Score: Kayla Harrison via Decision


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Vicente Luque vs. Kevin Holland Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Vicente Luque vs Kevin Holland – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-07
  • Time: 2:15 AM UTC
  • Location: Prudential Center, Newark, NJ

Game Overview

Vicente Luque and Kevin Holland are set to face off in a highly anticipated welterweight bout at UFC 316. Both fighters are known for their aggressive styles, with Luque showcasing his strong takedown skills and Holland focusing on his rangy kickboxing and opportunistic grappling.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Kevin Holland has a recent win over Gunnar Nelson, while Vicente Luque has been facing challenges in maintaining his durability in fights.
  • No previous head-to-head matches between the two fighters.
  • No significant reported injuries for either fighter.
  • Both fighters are looking to make a statement in a division filled with contenders.
  • Both are motivated to win, with Luque hoping to regain his form and Holland seeking another victory at welterweight.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Kevin Holland: -270, Vicente Luque: +220 Kevin Holland ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Kevin Holland: -3.5 (-165), Vicente Luque: +3.5 (+120) Kevin Holland ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 1.5: -175, Under 1.5: +135 Over 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Kevin Holland -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 26%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 45% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Kevin Holland is favored to win due to his recent performances and Vicente Luque's declining ability to take punishment.

Predicted Score: Decision or late stoppage in favor of Kevin Holland


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Kelvin Gastelum vs. Joseph Pyfer Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Kelvin Gastelum vs Joseph Pyfer – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: June 7, 2025
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Prudential Center in Newark

Game Overview

The highly anticipated UFC 316 middleweight match between Kelvin Gastelum and Joe Pyfer is set to take place on June 7. Pyfer, considered a significant favorite, looks to capitalize on his youth and recent form against Gastelum, who has been less active in recent years due to injuries. The fight is crucial for both fighters, with Pyfer hoping to boost his career and Gastelum seeking a comeback win.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Joe Pyfer is the younger and more active fighter, with a better MMA record since joining the UFC. Kelvin Gastelum has experienced a period of inactivity and is considered past his prime.
  • This will be their first official bout, although they were initially scheduled to fight in March before Pyfer fell ill.
  • Gastelum has been dealing with multiple injuries, which have significantly impacted his recent activity.
  • Pyfer benefits from fighting close to home, which could provide a psychological boost.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, but Pyfer's confidence in calling Gastelum a 'layup' indicates his eagerness to perform well.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -380 for Pyfer, +300 for Gastelum Pyfer to win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread -3.5 for Pyfer at -170, +3.5 for Gastelum at +125 Pyfer to cover the spread ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 at -130, Under 2.5 at +100 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Joseph Pyfer 200%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 20%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Joseph Pyfer at 200% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 66.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Joe Pyfer is expected to win by a TKO/KO finish, given his physical advantages and recent form.

Predicted Score: Pyfer wins by TKO in Round 1 or 2


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Patchy Mix vs. Mario Bautista Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Patchy Mix vs Mario Bautista – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-07
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Prudential Center, Newark, New Jersey

Game Overview

The highly anticipated bantamweight bout at UFC 316 features Mario Bautista, currently ranked No. 12 in the UFC bantamweight division, against Patchy Mix, who is making his UFC debut. Both fighters are on impressive winning streaks, with Bautista aiming to maintain his top 10 position and Mix seeking to make a strong impression in the UFC. Bautista boasts a high-volume striking style, while Mix excels in grappling with a black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mario Bautista has a professional record of 15-2, including a seven-fight winning streak. Patchy Mix holds a 20-1 record, also on a seven-fight winning streak, with notable victories in Bellator.
  • There is no prior head-to-head matchup between the two fighters.
  • No recent injuries have been reported for either fighter.
  • The bout takes place at the Prudential Center, which could favor neither fighter specifically in terms of crowd support.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated. Bautista seeks to maintain his ranking, while Mix aims to make a successful UFC debut.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mario Bautista: 154, Patchy Mix: -185 Mario Bautista ★★★☆☆ 52%
Spread Mario Bautista: 3.5 -135, Patchy Mix: -3.5 100 Mario Bautista +3.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 2.5 -188, Under: 2.5 145 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mario Bautista 47%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 35%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Mario Bautista at 47% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on the fighting styles and recent performances, Mario Bautista is slightly favored to win, given his versatile skillset and experience in the UFC. However, Patchy Mix's grappling skills pose a significant threat.

Predicted Score: Decision victory for Mario Bautista


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Bruno Silva vs. Joshua Van Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Bruno Silva vs Joshua Van – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: June 7, 2025
  • Time: 1:35 AM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

The upcoming MMA fight between Bruno Silva and Joshua Van at UFC 316 promises to be an exciting clash between two skilled fighters. Bruno Silva, a Brazilian mixed martial artist with a long career, faces Joshua Van, an active American-Burmese fighter known for his aggressive style.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bruno Silva has a wealth of experience but has struggled with consistency, while Joshua Van is on a three-fight winning streak and is known for his aggressive fighting style.
  • This is their first encounter, so there is no head-to-head record.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • Joshua Van's recent activity and success may give him an edge in terms of fight rhythm.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, but Joshua Van's current form might provide additional motivation for him to keep his winning streak alive.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bruno Silva: 470, Joshua Van: -650 Joshua Van ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Bruno Silva: +3.5 175, Joshua Van: -3.5 -245 Joshua Van ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over: 2.5 -154, Under: 2.5 120 Over ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Joshua Van -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Joshua Van is likely to win due to his recent form and aggressive fighting style.

Predicted Score: Joshua Van by decision or late stoppage


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