Match Analysis: Alexei Pergande vs Ethan Goss – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-22
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: PFL World Tournament Finals

Game Overview

The upcoming MMA bout between Alexei Pergande and Ethan Goss is part of the 2025 PFL World Tournament Finals. Pergande is a younger fighter at 24 with an undefeated record of 6-0, while Goss is the more experienced contender at age 33, holding a record of 12-7. Both fighters weigh in around 145 lbs and have similar physical stats, with Pergande having a slight height and reach advantage. The fight is expected to feature a contrast in styles, with Pergande having more wins by decision and submission, while Goss shows a higher number of KO/TKO and submission wins.

Key Factors to Consider

• Pergande is undefeated (6-0) with 2 submission wins and 4 decisions, showing solid defensive and control ability. Goss has a more mixed record of 12-7, with 2 KO/TKO, 5 submission, and 5 decision wins, indicating more finishing ability but less consistency.
• There are no direct previous matchups between Pergande and Goss, so this will be their first encounter. Their styles and records suggest a competitive fight with Pergande favored by bookmakers.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading into this fight.
• The fight takes place at the PFL World Tournament Finals, a high-stakes environment that could affect fighter motivation and performance. Both fighters are likely highly motivated given the tournament context.
• Pergande, as the younger fighter with an undefeated record, is likely highly motivated to maintain his perfect streak. Goss, as the veteran, is likely motivated to leverage experience and finishing ability to overcome the favorite.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Alexei Pergande: -900, Ethan Goss: 600	Alexei Pergande	★★★★☆ 85%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Alexei Pergande 1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Alexei Pergande at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alexei Pergande is favored to win due to his undefeated status, youth, and superior reach and height advantage. However, Ethan Goss's experience and finishing capability make it probable for him to secure a finish if the fight opens up. The most likely outcome is a victory for Pergande by decision or submission, with some chance of Goss winning by KO or submission.

Predicted Score: Alexei Pergande wins by submission or unanimous decision within 3 rounds

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Match Analysis: Bryce Meredith vs Lazaro Dayron – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-22
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: Seminole Hard Rock Hotel & Casino (PFL World Tournament 10 Finals)

Game Overview

Bryce Meredith and Lazaro Dayron face off in the PFL World Tournament 10 finals in a classic matchup of pressure versus power. Meredith is known for his relentless wrestling and suffocating control, while Dayron is a compact, hard-hitting counterpuncher with an aggressor mindset. Both fighters weigh in evenly at 135.8 lbs, and each brings undefeated spirit and contrasting fight styles to this highly anticipated bout.

Key Factors to Consider

• Meredith holds a record of 7-0 with 2 KO/TKO wins, 3 submissions, and 2 decision victories. Dayron has an 8-1 record with 3 KO/TKOs, 1 submission, and 4 decision wins. Meredith typically dominates with wrestling control, while Dayron leverages pressure and power striking with a high rate of finishes.
• This is their first documented head-to-head meeting. Analysts lean slightly towards Meredith due to wrestling advantage and fight control, but Dayron's compact power and counter striking pose a significant threat.
• No publicly reported injuries or health concerns for either fighter leading into the match.
• The fight takes place at the iconic Seminole Hard Rock venue as part of the PFL World Tournament 10 Finals, adding pressure and spotlight. Both athletes are highly motivated with championship aspirations at stake.
• Dayron carries the mentality of being undefeated in spirit despite a draw on his record, showing resilience and toughness. Meredith openly acknowledges the chaotic nature of fighting, preparing for a war of wills with an aggressive wrestling approach.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Bryce Meredith: -140, Lazaro Dayron: +120, Draw: +2500	Bryce Meredith	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Meredith -1.5: -110, Dayron +1.5: -110	Meredith -1.5	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -105, Under 2.5 rounds: -115	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bryce Meredith edges out Lazaro Dayron via decision or late-round submission due to superior wrestling control, but the fight is closely contested with high risk of an early knockout from Dayron.

Predicted Score: Bryce Meredith wins by unanimous decision or submission in Round 3 or 4

Match Analysis: Oleg Popov vs Alexander Romanov – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-21
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: Seminole Hard Rock Hotel & Casino

Game Overview

The 2025 PFL World Tournament Heavyweight Finals pits Alexander Romanov (Moldova) against Oleg Popov (Russia) in a 5-round MMA bout. Both fighters have strong records, with Romanov at 19-3-1NC and Popov at 21-2. The fight represents the climax of the PFL Heavyweight division for 2025, scheduled at a prominent venue and set to test each fighter’s grappling, striking, and endurance over potentially five rounds.

Key Factors to Consider

• Oleg Popov has a slightly superior win record (21-2) compared to Romanov (19-3-1NC). Both fighters have demonstrated effective grappling and ground control with Popov slightly favored for pressure and volume striking. Recent performances in semifinals show both advancing decisively to the finals, indicating peak form.
• There is no recorded direct prior matchup between Oleg Popov and Alexander Romanov, making this a fresh contest without historical combat data between the two.
• No major injury reports or medical issues have been disclosed for either fighter leading into the bout, suggesting both are at full physical capacity.
• The fight is held at a neutral venue in the USA, eliminating typical hometown advantages. Both fighters compete internationally and are familiar with travel conditions. The event’s broadcast and digital exposure may add motivation but also pressure equally to both.
• As this is for the PFL World Tournament Heavyweight title, motivation is extremely high for both Romanov and Popov. Both fighters seek to capitalize on the biggest stage in their division, with substantial prize money and career legacy at stake.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Alexander Romanov: +180, Oleg Popov: -220	Oleg Popov	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Oleg Popov: -1.5	Oleg Popov to win by more than 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 3.5 rounds: -110, Under 3.5 rounds: -110	Over 3.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Oleg Popov -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Oleg Popov at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Oleg Popov is the slight favorite due to his experience and track record, with a strong likelihood of winning by decision through sustained pressure, though Romanov's grappling threat and resilience make a stoppage or upset possible.

Predicted Score: Oleg Popov wins by unanimous decision after 5 rounds

Match Analysis: J.P. Saint Louis vs Tyler Ray – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-21
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: PFL World Tournament 10 Finals – venue unspecified

Game Overview

The PFL World Tournament 10 Finals will feature a welterweight bout between J.P. Saint Louis and Tyler Ray. Both fighters have an identical professional record of 11 wins and 5 losses, with no draws. Saint Louis is 32 years old, 178 cm tall, with a reach of 178 cm and weighed in at 170 lbs. Tyler Ray is slightly taller at 183 cm with reach of 183 cm and weighed in heavier at 184.6 lbs. Their fighting dynamics differ in finishing styles and decision rates, making this a competitive and closely matched fight.

Key Factors to Consider

• Both fighters have similar records of 11-5-0. Saint Louis shows a higher tendency for submissions (8 of 11 wins) compared to Ray (5 submissions), while Ray has more wins by decision (5) than Saint Louis (1), indicating differing fight pacing and possibly endurance.
• No previous direct fights recorded between J.P. Saint Louis and Tyler Ray, making this their first encounter.
• No current injury reports available for either fighter ahead of this bout.
• The fight is part of a major tournament final with high stakes and is expected to be broadcast on ESPN, adding pressure and motivation. The venue details are not explicitly stated, but this is a high-profile PFL event.
• Both fighters have strong incentives to win as this is a tournament final. Saint Louis may have slight psychological advantage as the favorite in betting odds.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	J.P. Saint Louis: -160, Tyler Ray: +135	J.P. Saint Louis	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	J.P. Saint Louis: -1.5, Tyler Ray: +1.5	J.P. Saint Louis to cover -1.5 rounds (win decisively or by finish)	★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under	over: 1.85, under: 1.95	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	J.P. Saint Louis 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: J.P. Saint Louis at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

J.P. Saint Louis is predicted to narrowly outpoint Tyler Ray, leveraging his submission proficiency and slightly better odds. The fight is expected to be competitive with potential for a finish or decision.

Predicted Score: Saint Louis wins by submission or decision in round 3

Match Analysis: Joshua Silveira vs Murad Ramazanov – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-21
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: Seminole Hard Rock Hotel & Casino, Hollywood, Florida

Game Overview

This highly anticipated UFC Middleweight bout between Joshua Silveira (14-5) and Murad Ramazanov (12-3) is part of the PFL World Tournament 10 Finals. The fight is scheduled for 3 rounds, with both fighters seeking to prove their grappling and striking prowess in a championship context. Silveira brings experience and physicality, while Ramazanov is regarded as a rising star with a strong grappling background.

Key Factors to Consider

• Joshua Silveira has demonstrated solid grappling and endurance across his 19 professional fights, showing resilience in decision wins and knockouts. Murad Ramazanov shows a high finishing rate with only three losses, highlighting his aggressive style and technical skill, especially on the ground.
• There is no publicly available record of a previous head-to-head matchup between Joshua Silveira and Murad Ramazanov, making this fight a critical benchmark for both.
• No reported injuries or health concerns have been indicated for either fighter leading up to the bout.
• The fight occurs at a prominent venue during the PFL World Tournament Finals, with heightened audience and media attention; location in Florida may offer neutral conditions with no clear home advantage.
• Both fighters are motivated by the PFL title and the significant financial reward, increasing stakes that typically enhance performance intensity and focus.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Joshua Silveira: +140, Murad Ramazanov: -170	Murad Ramazanov to win	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Silveira +1.5 rounds: +110, Ramazanov -1.5 rounds: -130	Ramazanov to win by more than 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110	Over 2.5 rounds (fight goes the distance)	★★★☆☆ 60%

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Murad Ramazanov -7%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Murad Ramazanov at -7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Murad Ramazanov is favored to win based on current moneyline odds and his recent momentum. His grappling control and ability to finish fights present a plausible path to victory, though Silveira’s durability ensures the fight could extend to the judges’ decision.

Predicted Score: Murad Ramazanov wins via unanimous decision after 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Sergey Bilostenniy vs Karl Williams – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-21
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: Seminole Hard Rock Hotel & Casino, Hollywood, Florida

Game Overview

The heavyweight bout between Sergey Bilostenniy and Karl Williams is a key feature of the final stop of the 2025 PFL World Tournament. Both fighters bring strong grappling backgrounds and solid MMA records into this clash as they compete for heavyweight tournament glory. Bilostenniy holds a 13-4 record while Williams stands at 10-3. The bout is scheduled for five five-minute rounds, showcasing top-tier MMA competition.

Key Factors to Consider

• Bilostenniy has a 13-4 record with recent wins including a first-round heel hook submission over Tyrell Fortune. Karl Williams has a slightly shorter ring experience with a 10-3 record. Both fighters have demonstrated strong grappling and submission skills in recent bouts, making ground control a critical factor.
• This match is their first direct meeting, with no previous head-to-head encounters between Bilostenniy and Williams found in the data.
• No reported injuries or fitness concerns for either fighter leading up to the August 21 bout.
• The fight takes place at the PFL World Tournament Finals in Hollywood, Florida, a high-stakes environment with significant prize money influencing fighter motivation. Both fighters are experienced and used to fighting under pressure in major events.
• With the heavyweight championship on the line and over $20 million in prize money at stake in the 2025 PFL World Tournament Finals, motivation levels for both Sergey Bilostenniy and Karl Williams are extremely high to perform and secure the title.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Karl Williams: +150, Sergey Bilostenniy: -185	Sergey Bilostenniy to win	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Sergey Bilostenniy: -1.5, Karl Williams: +1.5	Bilostenniy to win by more than one round or decisively	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	over_2.5_rounds: -110, under_2.5_rounds: -110	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Sergey Bilostenniy -3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sergey Bilostenniy at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sergey Bilostenniy is favored to win due to his slightly more extensive record and recent submission success. His aggressive grappling style and experience in five-round fights at high-stakes events give him an edge over Karl Williams, though Williams’ resilience and power present a credible challenge.

Predicted Score: Bilostenniy wins by unanimous decision after 5 rounds

Match Analysis: Rasul Magomedov vs Guilherme Viana – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-21
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: Hollywood, Florida, USA

Game Overview

The MMA bout between Rasul Magomedov and Guilherme Viana is the main event of the 2025 PFL World Tournament Finals, held in Hollywood, Florida. Magomedov is undefeated with a 7-0 record, known for a balanced finishing style including KO/TKO and submissions. Viana is the more experienced fighter at 39 years old, with a 9-3 record and a size advantage in height and reach but has been less consistent recently.

Key Factors to Consider

• Magomedov boasts a perfect 7-0 record with 4 KO/TKOs and 2 submissions, showing versatility and dominance. Viana has more total fights (9-3) and higher KO wins but has 3 losses, indicating some vulnerability. Magomedov fights in prime age (30) with peak physical condition compared to Viana (39).
• No prior head-to-head fights between Rasul Magomedov and Guilherme Viana have been recorded.
• No recent injuries or weight issues have been reported for either fighter heading into the match.
• The fight takes place at a neutral site in Hollywood, Florida, at the PFL 10 event which has heightened stakes including tournament finals status that could influence fighter motivation and performance.
• Magomedov is highly motivated to maintain an undefeated record and capture the PFL championship at his peak age. Viana aims to leverage experience and size to overcome the younger fighter and prolong his career with a big upset.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Rasul Magomedov: -2000, Guilherme Viana: 950	Rasul Magomedov to win	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Rasul Magomedov -1.5: -110, Guilherme Viana +1.5: -110	Rasul Magomedov to win by more than 1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: 100	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Rasul Magomedov -14%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Rasul Magomedov at -14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rasul Magomedov is favored to win given his undefeated record, younger age, and balanced finishing ability. The odds heavily favor Magomedov (-2000) versus Viana (+950), suggesting strong confidence in Magomedov's victory. Expect a likely finish via KO/TKO or submission before decision.

Predicted Score: Rasul Magomedov wins by KO/TKO or submission in Round 2

Match Analysis: Impa Kasanganay vs Andrew Sanchez – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-21
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: Professional Fighters League World Tournament Finals Venue (Exact location not specified)

Game Overview

The MMA middleweight bout between Impa Kasanganay and Andrew Sanchez at the Professional Fighters League 2025 World Tournament Finals features a matchup of two technically skilled fighters. Kasanganay enters as a strong favorite due to his aggressive striking and cardio, while Sanchez is considered an underdog with potential to exploit grappling exchanges.

Key Factors to Consider

• Impa Kasanganay has demonstrated consistent performance in recent PFL events, showing improved striking and control in middleweight bouts. Andrew Sanchez has had mixed results but is respected for his grappling and resilience inside the cage.
• This fight marks the first meeting between Impa Kasanganay and Andrew Sanchez, so there is no direct head-to-head data available.
• No reported injuries affecting either fighter have been noted leading into this match.
• The fight is part of the PFL 2025 World Tournament Finals card, potentially adding elevated pressure and motivation for both fighters to secure a win and advance in PFL rankings.
• Impa Kasanganay is highly motivated to capitalize on his favored status to secure a dominant victory, while Andrew Sanchez is motivated as an underdog to upset and advance, potentially leading to a high effort and strategic fight.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Impa Kasanganay: -600, Andrew Sanchez: 425	Impa Kasanganay to win	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Impa Kasanganay: -1.5 rounds, Andrew Sanchez: +1.5 rounds	Impa Kasanganay covering -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	over: 2.5 rounds – 1.90, under: 2.5 rounds – 1.90	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Impa Kasanganay -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Impa Kasanganay at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Impa Kasanganay is predicted to win by decision or late stoppage given his favored odds and momentum, with a 70% confidence level in this outcome.

Predicted Score: Impa Kasanganay defeats Andrew Sanchez via unanimous decision (3-0 rounds)

Match Analysis: Brandon Holmes vs Cam Rowston – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-20
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Dana White's Contender Series

Game Overview

The match is a Middleweight division bout on the main card of Dana White's Contender Series between American Brandon Holmes and Australian Cam Rowston. Holmes is making his Contender Series debut with an undefeated 5-0 record, while Rowston has more professional experience with an 11-3 record. The fight is scheduled for August 20, 2025, and features a battle between Holmes' rising undefeated status and Rowston's seasoned approach from City Kickboxing.

Key Factors to Consider

• Brandon Holmes enters undefeated at 5-0, showing early career momentum and potential. Cam Rowston has an 11-3 record with a solid mix of finishes: 50% submissions, 25% KOs, and 16.7% decisions, indicating diverse skill sets. Rowston trains with City Kickboxing under Scott Ireland, known for producing well-rounded fighters.
• This is the first documented encounter between Brandon Holmes and Cam Rowston; no prior head-to-head data is available.
• No reported injuries or medical issues for either fighter ahead of the bout.
• The fight is held under high stakes within Dana White's Contender Series, providing strong motivation for both fighters to impress for a UFC contract. Holmes replaced Jon Kunneman, which may impact preparation time slightly but demonstrates his readiness.
• Both fighters are highly motivated to secure a UFC contract. Holmes aims to maintain his undefeated streak and capitalize on this high-profile opportunity. Rowston brings experience and a track record of finishing fights, aiming to solidify his status for the UFC as well.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Brandon Holmes: -140, Cam Rowston: 110	Brandon Holmes	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Brandon Holmes: -1.5 (-110), Cam Rowston: +1.5 (-110)	Brandon Holmes by more than 1.5 rounds or decisive finish	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -125, Under 2.5 rounds: -105	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 55%

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Brandon Holmes -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Brandon Holmes is favored due to his slight moneyline advantage and undefeated status, but Cam Rowston's experience and submission skills make this competitive. Expect a tactical fight where Holmes uses striking and pace to control, but Rowston could capitalize on grappling opportunities to secure a submission or decision win.

Predicted Score: Brandon Holmes wins by decision or late stoppage within 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Josh Hokit vs Guilherme Uriel – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-20
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Dana White's Contender Series

Game Overview

The fight between Josh Hokit and Guilherme Uriel is a heavyweight main card bout scheduled for Dana White's Contender Series on August 20, 2025. Both fighters are undefeated or nearly undefeated prospects with contrasting fighting styles and records, making the match highly competitive.

Key Factors to Consider

• Josh Hokit holds a perfect 5-0 record with 60% of his wins by submission and 40% by knockout, showing a balanced finishing ability in grappling and striking. Guilherme Uriel is 6-1, with a higher proportion of KO/TKO wins (three) alongside three submission victories, indicating a strong finishing skill set and slightly more experience.
• The fighters have not faced each other before, making this an intriguing first encounter lacking prior direct matchup data. Both stand at 185 cm with identical reach, leveling physical advantages.
• There is no available information on any current injuries for either Josh Hokit or Guilherme Uriel heading into the fight.
• The fight is staged on the prestigious Dana White's Contender Series platform which adds motivation for both fighters to impress for potential UFC contracts. The event date and timing are firm with no disruptions announced.
• Josh Hokit, fighting out of the Jackson Wink MMA Academy and undefeated, aims to maintain his perfect record and advance his career. Guilherme Uriel, with one loss but more professional bouts, looks to cement his status as an elite prospect by defeating a rising undefeated fighter.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Josh Hokit: -450, Guilherme Uriel: 350	Josh Hokit	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Josh Hokit -1.5 rounds: -200, Guilherme Uriel +1.5 rounds: +160	Josh Hokit -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 1.5 rounds: 120, Under 1.5 rounds: -150	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Josh Hokit -15%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 -0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Josh Hokit is favored to win given his undefeated status, balanced finishing ability, and recent form, although Guilherme Uriel’s slight experience edge and finishing power make it a competitive bout.

Predicted Score: Josh Hokit wins via submission in round 2