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Darragh Kelly vs. Mike Hamel Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Darragh Kelly vs Mike Hamel – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: June 20, 2025
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: INTRUST Bank Arena, Wichita, KS

Game Overview

Darragh Kelly, undefeated at 7-0 in professional MMA and 16-0 overall, faces Mike Hamel, who holds a record of 11-6, in the Lightweight division of the PFL World Tournament 6. Kelly, known as the 'Moville Mauler,' is making his American debut, while Hamel returns after a period of inactivity following a loss to Tim Wilde in 2023.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Darragh Kelly is undefeated and has a strong overall record, indicating a superior skills set. Mike Hamel has a solid background in wrestling, which could pose a threat.
  • No prior head-to-head matches between the fighters.
  • No reported injuries.
  • Kelly's first fight in the US, while Hamel returns after inactivity.
  • Kelly is highly motivated for his American debut, while Hamel seeks to regain momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Darragh Kelly: -265, Mike Hamel: +205 Darragh Kelly ★★★★☆ 80%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Darragh Kelly -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Darragh Kelly is likely to win due to his undefeated record and strong performance history.

Predicted Score: Not applicable for MMA matches.


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Gadzhi Rabadanov vs. Kevin Lee Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Gadzhi Rabadanov vs Kevin Lee – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-20
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: INTRUST Bank Arena, Wichita, Kansas

Game Overview

Former UFC title challenger Kevin Lee makes his PFL debut as a late replacement, stepping in for the injured Jay-Jay Wilson to face reigning 2024 PFL lightweight champion Gadzhi Rabadanov in the main event of the 2025 PFL World Tournament 6 Semifinals. Despite his experience and high-level resume, Lee is considered a significant underdog against the dominant champion Rabadanov, who is coached by Khabib Nurmagomedov[1][4].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Gadzhi Rabadanov is on a strong run, holding a 25-4-2 record and the current PFL lightweight title. Kevin Lee (20-8) is a seasoned veteran who has faced elite competition in the UFC but has struggled with injuries and consistency in recent years[1][4].
  • This is the first meeting between Gadzhi Rabadanov and Kevin Lee. No prior head-to-head history exists[1][4].
  • Kevin Lee is stepping in as an alternate for the injured Jay-Jay Wilson. Lee himself has dealt with multiple injuries throughout his career but reports indicate he is currently healthy. No injuries reported for Rabadanov[1][4].
  • Kevin Lee is debuting in the PFL as an official alternate and must adapt to the promotion’s tournament format and cage environment on short notice. Rabadanov benefits from stability and championship experience within the PFL[1][4].
  • Lee is highly motivated to prove he remains a top contender at lightweight, while Rabadanov aims to retain his championship momentum and make another run at the title[4].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gadzhi Rabadanov: -2000, Kevin Lee: 1000 Gadzhi Rabadanov to win ★★★★★ 90%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Gadzhi Rabadanov -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Gadzhi Rabadanov at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Gadzhi Rabadanov is heavily favored to win this semifinal matchup. Kevin Lee’s experience and skill present a challenge, but Rabadanov’s current form, championship pedigree, and superior odds make him the clear pick.

Predicted Score: Gadzhi Rabadanov wins by stoppage (submission or KO/TKO) in Rounds 2–3


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Ilara Joanne vs. Saray Orozco Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Ilara Joanne vs Saray Orozco – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: Friday, June 20, 2025
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: INTRUST Bank Arena, Wichita, KS

Game Overview

The Women's Flyweight semifinal match between Ilara Joanne and Saray Orozco is part of the 2025 PFL World Tournament. Ilara Joanne, from Brazil, faces Saray Orozco from Mexico. Joanne holds a record of 12-10, while Orozco has a record of 8-6. The match is significant as it determines which fighter advances to the finals.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ilara Joanne has a more extensive fight history, which might give her an edge in experience. However, recent performances and training could influence the outcome.
  • No prior head-to-head data is available, so this factor is neutral.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • Venue and crowd support may have minimal impact as both fighters are experienced.
  • Both fighters are motivated to win and advance to the finals, but their preparation and strategy will be key.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ilara Joanne: -165, Saray Orozco: 135 Ilara Joanne ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ilara Joanne -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Ilara Joanne at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ilara Joanne is favored to win due to her experience, but Saray Orozco's determination and recent form could make for a competitive match.

Predicted Score: Ilara Joanne via decision


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Alfie Davis vs. Brent Primus Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Alfie Davis vs Brent Primus – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-20
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Wichita, Kansas

Game Overview

Alfie Davis faces Brent Primus in a highly anticipated PFL World Tournament Semifinal matchup. Both fighters are known for their skill and tenacity, making this a closely contested bout.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alfie Davis is recognized for his dynamic striking, while Brent Primus is a formidable grappler. The fight's outcome will depend heavily on whether Davis can evade takedowns and land decisive strikes.
  • There is no reported head-to-head history between Davis and Primus, so their strategies will be largely based on past performances.
  • No recent injuries have been reported for either fighter.
  • The crowd in Wichita, Kansas, may influence the fighters' performance, but both are seasoned professionals.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated to win, with significant career implications and a championship title at stake.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alfie Davis: 160, Brent Primus: -190 Brent Primus ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Brent Primus -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Brent Primus at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Brent Primus is favored to win due to his grappling expertise and ability to control fights on the ground.

Predicted Score: Decision in favor of Brent Primus


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Lazaro Dayron vs. Matheus Mattos Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Lazaro Dayron vs Matheus Mattos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: June 20, 2025
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: INTRUST Bank Arena, Wichita, KS

Game Overview

The upcoming MMA match between Lazaro Dayron and Matheus Mattos is part of the 2025 PFL World Tournament, featuring a bantamweight bout. The event in Wichita, Kansas, is crucial for determining the finalists in the tournament.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Lazaro Dayron, hailing from Cuba, is favored with odds of -175, suggesting a strong performance history or recent form. Matheus Mattos from Brazil is the underdog with odds of +145.
  • There is no available information on past matches between these two fighters, making form and recent performances crucial for predictions.
  • No injury reports have been mentioned for either fighter, but any late injuries could significantly impact the fight.
  • Home advantage is minimal in MMA, but the crowd could influence the fighters' motivation and energy levels.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, competing in a semifinal match with significant stakes for advancing in the tournament.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Lazaro Dayron: -175, Matheus Mattos: 145 Lazaro Dayron ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Lazaro Dayron -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Lazaro Dayron is favored to win based on current odds, indicating a likely victory. However, Matheus Mattos has a strong chance as an underdog if he can capitalize on any mistakes by Dayron.

Predicted Score: N/A


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Justin Wetzell vs. Mando Gutierrez Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Justin Wetzell vs Mando Gutierrez – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-20
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

Justin Wetzell faces Mando Gutierrez in the PFL 2025 Bantamweight Semifinals. Wetzell, with a record of 11-2, is favored against Gutierrez, who holds a 11-3 record. The bout is part of the PFL World Tournament 6 Semifinals.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both fighters have strong records, but Wetzell's recent performance and experience might give him an edge.
  • No previous fights between the two are reported.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The event's broadcast on ESPN and ESPN+ might add pressure, but both fighters are likely accustomed to such audiences.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, given the semifinal stage and potential for advancement.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -201 for Justin Wetzell, +161 for Mando Gutierrez Justin Wetzell ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Justin Wetzell 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Justin Wetzell at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Justin Wetzell is expected to win based on his current form and odds.

Predicted Score: N/A (as MMA results are typically not scored numerically)


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Nick Meck vs. Alan Domínguez Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Nick Meck vs Alan Domínguez – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: June 20, 2025
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: INTRUST Bank Arena, Wichita, KS

Game Overview

The upcoming MMA bout between Nick Meck and Alan Domínguez is set to take place at the INTRUST Bank Arena in Wichita, Kansas, as part of the 2025 PFL World Tournament Semifinals. This welterweight showdown features Meck, a Kansas native competing in front of his hometown crowd, against Domínguez from Mexico.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alan Domínguez recently had a three-fight win streak before being stopped by Lorenz Larkin, while Nick Meck has a strong record with fewer fights. Domínguez's experience might be a factor, but Meck's home advantage could be significant.
  • There is no recorded head-to-head matchup between Nick Meck and Alan Domínguez.
  • There are no reported injuries affecting either fighter at this time.
  • The event's location in Wichita might favor Meck, given the local support.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, as this bout is part of a tournament with significant career implications.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alan Domínguez: 190, Nick Meck: -240 Nick Meck ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Nick Meck -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Nick Meck at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on the odds and fighter performance, Nick Meck is favored to win.

Predicted Score: Decision or TKO in favor of Nick Meck


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Liz Carmouche vs. Elora Dana Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Liz Carmouche vs Elora Dana – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: June 20, 2025
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Intrust Bank Arena in Wichita, Kansas

Game Overview

Liz Carmouche, a seasoned fighter with a record of 23-8, faces undefeated Elora Dana, who is 8-0, in the women's flyweight semifinals of the PFL 2025 World Tournament. This bout is significant as it pits experience against rising talent, with Carmouche seeking to maintain her momentum and Dana aiming to continue her unbeaten streak.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Elora Dana is on an impressive run with six finishes in eight fights, while Liz Carmouche has demonstrated her power with a recent TKO win.
  • This is their first meeting, with no prior head-to-head matchup.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • Carmouche's veteran status and desire for a 'bucket-list finish' might influence her strategy, while Dana's youthful energy could play a significant role.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with Carmouche nearing retirement and Dana seeking to prove herself as a top contender.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Elora Dana: 375, Liz Carmouche: -500 Carmouche to win ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Liz Carmouche 209%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Liz Carmouche at 209% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 55.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Elora Dana is expected to give Liz Carmouche a tough challenge, but Carmouche's experience might give her an edge in the end.

Predicted Score: Carmouche by decision or late stoppage


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Jena Bishop vs. Katerina Shakalova Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jena Bishop vs Katerina Shakalova – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: June 20, 2025
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: INTRUST Bank Arena, Wichita, Kansas, United States

Game Overview

This highly anticipated flyweight bout between Jena Bishop and Katerina Shakalova promises to be a closely contested match. Both fighters are known for their skillset and determination, making it a compelling fight for fans.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both fighters have shown impressive skills in their respective careers. Jena Bishop brings a strong background in BJJ, while Katerina Shakalova has demonstrated versatility in her fighting style.
  • There is no prior head-to-head match between these fighters, making this a fresh encounter.
  • No recent injury reports have been noted for either fighter.
  • The venue in Wichita, Kansas, could influence crowd support slightly, but both fighters are likely to be well-prepared for the external environment.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated to win, with this match being a significant step in their careers.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jena Bishop (-125), Katerina Shakalova (-105) Katerina Shakalova ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Katerina Shakalova 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Katerina Shakalova at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Katerina Shakalova is predicted to win due to her recent form and the slight advantage in the moneyline odds.

Predicted Score: Decision (Katerina Shakalova wins via unanimous decision)


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Magomed Magomedov vs. Sarvarjon Hamidov Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Magomed Magomedov vs Sarvarjon Hamidov – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-20
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Wichita, Kansas

Game Overview

Magomed Magomedov, a former ACB bantamweight champion from Russia with a record of 24-4, faces undefeated Tajik star Sarvarjon Khamidov (16-0) in a high-stakes PFL World Tournament bantamweight bout. Both fighters are highly regarded for their well-rounded skills and durability. This fight is a classic striker vs. grappler match-up, with Magomedov known for his wrestling and ground control, and Khamidov for his striking and relentless pressure. The outcome could have significant implications for the tournament bracket[2][5].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Magomed Magomedov has faced world-level competition and proven himself in higher-profile organizations, but has shown vulnerability against elite strikers or those who can neutralize his grappling. Sarvarjon Khamidov remains undefeated, albeit against generally less experienced opposition, and has displayed dominant performances in Asia and PFL MENA[2][5].
  • This is the first meeting between Magomedov and Khamidov[5].
  • No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout.
  • Fight takes place on neutral ground in the U.S. Both have shown the ability to handle international travel and different time zones. No weather or venue-specific concerns.
  • Both are highly motivated; Magomedov seeks to reassert his elite status in a major organization, while Khamidov is eager to break out internationally and defend his undefeated record[2].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Magomed Magomedov: -102, Sarvarjon Khamidov: -125 Sarvarjon Khamidov (slight favorite) ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sarvarjon Hamidov 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sarvarjon Hamidov at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sarvarjon Khamidov is favored slightly by bookmakers, likely due to his undefeated status and recent momentum. However, Magomed Magomedov’s experience against elite competition gives him a strong chance. Given the odds and current form, Khamidov is a narrow favorite, but the match is highly competitive and could go either way. Expect a closely contested bout with a strong chance of going the distance, especially if Magomedov can impose his grappling and wear down Khamidov[3][4][5].

Predicted Score: Sarvarjon Khamidov by Unanimous Decision


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