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Tagir Ulanbekov vs. Azat Maksum Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Tagir Ulanbekov vs Azat Maksum – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-21
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Baku Crystal Hall, Baku, Azerbaijan

Game Overview

The flyweight bout between Tagir Ulanbekov and Azat Maksum at UFC Baku features two highly skilled southpaw fighters evenly matched in height and weight. Ulanbekov holds a professional record of 16-2 and boasts superior significant strike accuracy and defense compared to Maksum, who has a 15-1 record but recently lost via unanimous decision. Both fighters have solid grappling skills, though Ulanbekov's experience against higher-caliber opponents and his ability to limit significant strikes taken stand out.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ulanbekov connects on 3.13 significant strikes per minute with 47% accuracy and defends 49% of opponent strikes, while Maksum connects on 2.80 strikes per minute at 23% accuracy and defends 55%. Ulanbekov's higher striking efficiency and lower damage intake rate give him an edge.
  • No previous head-to-head bouts recorded between Ulanbekov and Maksum, making this their first competitive matchup at UFC Baku.
  • No disclosed injuries reported for either fighter ahead of the bout.
  • The fight takes place in Baku, Azerbaijan, Maksum's home region (Kazakhstan is nearby), potentially giving a slight crowd support advantage to Maksum. Ulanbekov, a Russian fighter, will rely on experience and composure in this environment.
  • Ulanbekov aims to add a win to his strong career at age 33, maintaining his top contender status. Maksum, coming off a recent loss, has motivation to rebound and prove himself against a veteran opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Tagir Ulanbekov: -450, Azat Maksum: 350 Tagir Ulanbekov ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Tagir Ulanbekov -1.5: -300, Azat Maksum +1.5: +240 Tagir Ulanbekov -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -225, Under 2.5 rounds: +185 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Tagir Ulanbekov -14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tagir Ulanbekov is favored to win due to higher striking accuracy, better defense, and experience edge. The fight is expected to go to a decision with Ulanbekov controlling the pace and minimizing damage.

Predicted Score: Ulanbekov wins by unanimous decision, 29-28 across the judges


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Hamdy Abdelwahab vs. Mohammed Usman Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Hamdy Abdelwahab vs Mohammed Usman – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-21
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Baku Crystal Hall, Baku, Azerbaijan

Game Overview

Hamdy Abdelwahab and Mohammed Usman face off in a UFC Heavyweight prelims bout at UFC Fight Night in Baku. Abdelwahab enters undefeated with a 6-0-0 record, physically strong with 264 lbs and a 72-inch reach. Usman brings more experience with an 11-4-0 record, weighing 239 lbs but possessing a longer 79-inch reach. Both fighters have similar striking output rates, but Abdelwahab shows higher accuracy and better defense metrics overall.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Abdelwahab is undefeated (6-0-0) and connects on 51% of significant strikes with a strong defense allowing 3.87 significant strikes per minute. Usman has more fights (11-4-0), connects on 36% of strikes, and allows 4.41 significant strikes per minute. Abdelwahab's power and accuracy give him an edge in striking efficiency.
  • No known previous encounters between Hamdy Abdelwahab and Mohammed Usman have been recorded, making this their first meeting.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the match.
  • The fight takes place at Baku Crystal Hall in Azerbaijan, which is a neutral venue for both fighters. The event is part of UFC Fight Night on June 21, 2025.
  • Abdelwahab seeks to maintain his undefeated record and establish himself as a rising heavyweight force. Usman aims to leverage his experience to secure a crucial win to boost his standing in the division.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Hamdy_Abdelwahab: -160, Mohammed_Usman: 140 Hamdy Abdelwahab to win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Hamdy_Abdelwahab: -1.0, Mohammed_Usman: +1.0 Hamdy Abdelwahab to cover -1.0 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over_2.5: -220, Under_2.5: 180 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Hamdy Abdelwahab -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 96%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 96% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 53.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Hamdy Abdelwahab is favored to win due to his undefeated record, superior striking accuracy, and defensive capabilities. The bout is expected to be competitive, but Abdelwahab's physicality and efficiency should secure him the victory.

Predicted Score: Hamdy Abdelwahab wins by decision or late round finish within 3 rounds


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Roberto Hernandez vs. Ernie Juarez Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Roberto Hernandez vs Ernie Juarez – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-20
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Chumash Casino Resort – Santa Ynez, CA

Game Overview

Roberto 'Green Light' Hernandez (9-3, Cobra Kai Victorville) faces Ernie 'Young Titan' Juarez at A1 Combat 28. Hernandez is coming off a major win over UFC veteran Trevin Jones, while Juarez is known as a longtime A1 Combat figure. This bout features a rising local talent against a seasoned regional combatant.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Hernandez has a notable record and a recent impressive win over a UFC veteran, suggesting strong momentum and proven ability at a high level. Juarez is a longtime staple of A1 Combat with experience, but less standout recent victories.
  • No prior head-to-head record available between these fighters.
  • No public reports of injuries affecting either fighter.
  • The fight is in California at a familiar venue for both, with no notable external disruptions.
  • Hernandez is looking to continue his rise, while Juarez aims to establish himself as a top contender in A1 Combat.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Roberto Hernandez: -200, Ernie Juarez: 150 Roberto Hernandez High (75%)
Over/under Not available (typical MMA over/under would be 1.5 or 2.5 rounds; no official line provided) Over 1.5 rounds (expect a competitive fight and late finish/decision) Moderate (60%)

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Roberto Hernandez 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Roberto Hernandez at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Roberto Hernandez is favored by the odds, likely due to his recent win over a UFC veteran and higher perceived level. Juarez is experienced but may lack the recent high-level wins to tip the scale. Expect Hernandez to control the pace and use his recent momentum to secure a decision or late stoppage.

Predicted Score: Roberto Hernandez by unanimous decision or 3rd round TKO


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Jacobi Jones vs. Shovkhal Churchaev Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jacobi Jones vs Shovkhal Churchaev – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: June 20, 2025
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Seneca Allegany Resort and Casino, Salamanca, New York

Game Overview

The upcoming MMA fight between Jacobi Jones and Shovkhal Churchaev at LFA 211 features a competitive matchup in the Lightweight division. Jacobi Jones, known as 'Big Toe', brings a 7-3-0 record, while Shovkhal Churchaev's detailed record is not available in the search results.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Jacobi Jones has a solid record, but detailed statistics on Shovkhal Churchaev's past performances are limited.
  • No head-to-head data is available.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The fight's location and crowd may influence the fighters' performance, but specific details are not provided.
  • Both fighters are likely highly motivated to win, given the platform and potential career implications.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -225 for Jacobi Jones, 160 for Shovkhal Churchaev Jacobi Jones ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jacobi Jones 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Jacobi Jones at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jacobi Jones is favored to win based on available data.

Predicted Score: Jacobi Jones by Decision


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Phumi Nkuta vs. Cody Davis Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Phumi Nkuta vs Cody Davis – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: June 20, 2025
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Seneca Allegany Resort and Casino, Salamanca, New York, United States

Game Overview

Phumi Nkuta, an undefeated South African fighter based in New York, faces Cody Davis, a former LFA flyweight champion, in a highly anticipated flyweight bout at LFA 211. The event is pivotal for both fighters, with Nkuta aiming to continue his winning streak and Davis seeking to become the first to defeat Nkuta.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Phumi Nkuta is undefeated, with a strong recent performance, while Cody Davis has a notable experience as a former champion.
  • This is the first meeting between Phumi Nkuta and Cody Davis.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The event is part of a stacked card in New York, which might influence crowd support for Nkuta, given his local ties.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with Nkuta seeking to maintain his undefeated record and Davis looking to regain prominence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Nkuta: -240, Davis: 165 Nkuta to win ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Phumi Nkuta 72%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Phumi Nkuta at 72% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 43.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Phumi Nkuta's recent success and undefeated record, he has a slight edge over Cody Davis. However, Davis's experience and former title status make him a formidable opponent.

Predicted Score: Decision or late-round stoppage in favor of Phumi Nkuta.


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Beatriz Mesquita vs. Sierra Dinwoodie Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Beatriz Mesquita vs Sierra Dinwoodie – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: Friday, June 20, 2025
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Seneca Allegany Resort & Casino, Salamanca, New York

Game Overview

This MMA bout features Beatriz Mesquita, a renowned Jiu-Jitsu champion, against Sierra Dinwoodie, an undefeated Canadian prospect, competing for the vacant LFA Women's Bantamweight title.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bia Mesquita is a 10-time Jiu-Jitsu world champion, while Sierra Dinwoodie is an undefeated MMA fighter.
  • There is no prior head-to-head match between the two fighters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The fight is part of LFA 211, which kicks off UFC International Fight Week.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated to win the title and enhance their MMA careers.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -300 (Mesquita), +200 (Dinwoodie) Mesquita ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Beatriz Mesquita -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Beatriz Mesquita is predicted to win based on her extensive Jiu-Jitsu background and experience.

Predicted Score: Decision or submission victory for Beatriz Mesquita.


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Farman Hasanov vs. Marc Lewis Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Farman Hasanov vs Marc Lewis – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: June 20, 2025
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Seneca Allegany Resort and Casino, Salamanca, New York

Game Overview

The matchup between Farman Hasanov and Marc-Ari Lewis is part of LFA 211. Hasanov, undefeated at 2-0, faces Lewis, who holds a 3-1 record. The fight is scheduled as a Welterweight bout.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Farman Hasanov is undefeated, while Marc-Ari Lewis has a strong record with one loss. Hasanov's undefeated streak could give him confidence, but Lewis's experience might balance this.
  • There is no recorded head-to-head matchup between the two fighters.
  • No recent injury reports are available for either fighter.
  • The fight venue and crowd might not significantly impact the outcome as both fighters are relatively new to high-profile events.
  • Winning could be highly motivating for both fighters, but especially for Hasanov to maintain his undefeated record.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -425 for Farman Hasanov, +265 for Marc Lewis Farman Hasanov ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Farman Hasanov -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Based on Hasanov's undefeated record and the moneyline odds favoring him, a prediction leans towards Hasanov winning.

Predicted Score: Farman Hasanov by decision or TKO


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Gadzhi Rabadanov vs. Kevin Lee Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Gadzhi Rabadanov vs Kevin Lee – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-20
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: INTRUST Bank Arena, Wichita, Kansas

Game Overview

Former UFC title challenger Kevin Lee makes his PFL debut as a late replacement, stepping in for the injured Jay-Jay Wilson to face reigning 2024 PFL lightweight champion Gadzhi Rabadanov in the main event of the 2025 PFL World Tournament 6 Semifinals. Despite his experience and high-level resume, Lee is considered a significant underdog against the dominant champion Rabadanov, who is coached by Khabib Nurmagomedov[1][4].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Gadzhi Rabadanov is on a strong run, holding a 25-4-2 record and the current PFL lightweight title. Kevin Lee (20-8) is a seasoned veteran who has faced elite competition in the UFC but has struggled with injuries and consistency in recent years[1][4].
  • This is the first meeting between Gadzhi Rabadanov and Kevin Lee. No prior head-to-head history exists[1][4].
  • Kevin Lee is stepping in as an alternate for the injured Jay-Jay Wilson. Lee himself has dealt with multiple injuries throughout his career but reports indicate he is currently healthy. No injuries reported for Rabadanov[1][4].
  • Kevin Lee is debuting in the PFL as an official alternate and must adapt to the promotion’s tournament format and cage environment on short notice. Rabadanov benefits from stability and championship experience within the PFL[1][4].
  • Lee is highly motivated to prove he remains a top contender at lightweight, while Rabadanov aims to retain his championship momentum and make another run at the title[4].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gadzhi Rabadanov: -2000, Kevin Lee: 1000 Gadzhi Rabadanov to win ★★★★★ 90%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Gadzhi Rabadanov -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Gadzhi Rabadanov at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Gadzhi Rabadanov is heavily favored to win this semifinal matchup. Kevin Lee’s experience and skill present a challenge, but Rabadanov’s current form, championship pedigree, and superior odds make him the clear pick.

Predicted Score: Gadzhi Rabadanov wins by stoppage (submission or KO/TKO) in Rounds 2–3


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Ilara Joanne vs. Saray Orozco Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Ilara Joanne vs Saray Orozco – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: Friday, June 20, 2025
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: INTRUST Bank Arena, Wichita, KS

Game Overview

The Women's Flyweight semifinal match between Ilara Joanne and Saray Orozco is part of the 2025 PFL World Tournament. Ilara Joanne, from Brazil, faces Saray Orozco from Mexico. Joanne holds a record of 12-10, while Orozco has a record of 8-6. The match is significant as it determines which fighter advances to the finals.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ilara Joanne has a more extensive fight history, which might give her an edge in experience. However, recent performances and training could influence the outcome.
  • No prior head-to-head data is available, so this factor is neutral.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • Venue and crowd support may have minimal impact as both fighters are experienced.
  • Both fighters are motivated to win and advance to the finals, but their preparation and strategy will be key.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ilara Joanne: -165, Saray Orozco: 135 Ilara Joanne ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ilara Joanne -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Ilara Joanne at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ilara Joanne is favored to win due to her experience, but Saray Orozco's determination and recent form could make for a competitive match.

Predicted Score: Ilara Joanne via decision


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Alfie Davis vs. Brent Primus Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Alfie Davis vs Brent Primus – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-20
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Wichita, Kansas

Game Overview

Alfie Davis faces Brent Primus in a highly anticipated PFL World Tournament Semifinal matchup. Both fighters are known for their skill and tenacity, making this a closely contested bout.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alfie Davis is recognized for his dynamic striking, while Brent Primus is a formidable grappler. The fight's outcome will depend heavily on whether Davis can evade takedowns and land decisive strikes.
  • There is no reported head-to-head history between Davis and Primus, so their strategies will be largely based on past performances.
  • No recent injuries have been reported for either fighter.
  • The crowd in Wichita, Kansas, may influence the fighters' performance, but both are seasoned professionals.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated to win, with significant career implications and a championship title at stake.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alfie Davis: 160, Brent Primus: -190 Brent Primus ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Brent Primus -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Brent Primus at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Brent Primus is favored to win due to his grappling expertise and ability to control fights on the ground.

Predicted Score: Decision in favor of Brent Primus


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