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Match Analysis: Sebastian Decowski vs Przemyslaw Gorny – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-20
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: Podpromie Hall, Rzeszów, Poland

Game Overview

The bout between Sebastian Decowski and Przemysław Górny is part of the KSW 110 event held on September 20, 2025, in Rzeszów, Poland. Both fighters compete in similar weight classes with Decowski at 146.2 lbs (66 kg) and Górny at 138.9 lbs (63 kg). Decowski is undefeated with a 5-0 record while Górny holds a 6-4 record. The matchup showcases Decowski’s aggressive KO/TKO and submission skills against Górny’s striking power and past decision victories.

Key Factors to Consider

• Sebastian Decowski has a perfect 5-0 record with 4 KOs and 1 submission win, indicating a strong finishing ability and unbeaten momentum. Przemysław Górny has a 6-4 record with 5 KO/TKO wins but is vulnerable on submissions with no submission wins and one loss by submission.
• No prior fights have taken place between Decowski and Górny, so there is no direct head-to-head history.
• No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the fight.
• The event is hosted in Poland, home country to both fighters, which could level the external environment effects. The venue, Podpromie Hall, is known for energetic MMA events but likely provides no clear home advantage.
• Decowski aims to maintain his undefeated streak and prove his status in the division while Górny seeks to rebound from previous losses and capitalize on his power striking to disrupt Decowski’s momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Sebastian Decowski: -200, Przemyslaw Gorny: +150	Sebastian Decowski to win	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Decowski -1.5 rounds: -150, Gorny +1.5 rounds: +130	Decowski -1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sebastian Decowski is favored to win by KO/TKO or submission based on his undefeated record, finishing ability, and recent performance momentum. Górny’s power poses a moderate threat but his history of submission losses and recent form favor Decowski.

Predicted Score: Sebastian Decowski wins by TKO in round 2

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Match Analysis: Andrzej Grzebyk vs Muslim Tulshaev – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-20
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: Hala Podpromie, Rzeszów, Poland

Game Overview

The match is a main card catchweight bout at KSW 110 between Polish veteran Andrzej Grzebyk and Germany-based Muslim Tulshaev, both known for knockout power and finishing ability. The fight is scheduled for 3 rounds and features two experienced middleweights competing in a highly anticipated European MMA event.

Key Factors to Consider

• Grzebyk holds a record of 22-7 including 12 KO/TKO wins, showing solid finishing skills and experience. Tulshaev holds a record of 13-3 and also has notable knockout power. Both fighters have demonstrated aggressive striking with strong grappling capabilities, making their recent performances fairly balanced.
• There is no direct previous head-to-head meeting between Grzebyk and Tulshaev reported, making this fight a fresh contest between two finishing-focused competitors.
• No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the matchup, suggesting both are at full strength entering the fight.
• The fight occurs in Grzebyk's home country, Poland, at Hala Podpromie, which could provide him a home crowd advantage. KSW being a prominent European MMA promotion adds competitive pressure.
• Grzebyk aims to defend his home turf and maintain his standing as a top contender, while Tulshaev seeks to leverage momentum as an up-and-comer in Germany to upset a veteran and gain ranking advancement.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: -145, away: +125	Andrzej Grzebyk to win	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	home: -1.5 (-110), away: +1.5 (-110)	Grzebyk -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under	over_2.5_rounds: -120, under_2.5_rounds: +100	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The fight is expected to be highly competitive with an edge to Andrzej Grzebyk due to his experience and home advantage, but Muslim Tulshaev's power and youth make an upset plausible. A decision or late stoppage in favor of Grzebyk is the most probable outcome.

Predicted Score: Grzebyk wins by decision after 3 rounds

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Match Analysis: Denis Frimpong vs Peter Gabal – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-20
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: Frankfurt, Germany, Festhalle

Game Overview

Main card lightweight division fight at OKTAGON 76 between Denis Frimpong and Peter Gabal. Frimpong is known for his striking and ground-and-pound, while Gabal enters aggressively with submissions early but fades late. The matchup features contrasting styles and conditioning.

Key Factors to Consider

• Denis Frimpong demonstrated strong conditioning and effective ground control in recent fights with a 7-1 record. Peter Gabal, with a 7-3 record, often starts fast with submission attempts but has shown gas tank issues towards fight midpoints.
• This is their first official recorded head-to-head MMA bout. Past performances show Frimpong taking control in later rounds and finishing with ground-and-pound TKO.
• No reported current injuries for either fighter leading into the match.
• Fight taking place in Frankfurt's Festhalle, which favors Frimpong's preparation given recent training camps. No significant external disruptions noted.
• Frimpong motivated as a new father and has expressed intent to dominate decisively, seeking a finish by submission or TKO. Gabal aims to capitalize on early aggression but may struggle late.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Denis Frimpong: -140, Peter Gabal: +110, Draw: +1500	Denis Frimpong to win	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Frimpong -1.5: +130, Gabal +1.5: -150	Frimpong -1.5 (win by clear margin)	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110	Over 2.5 rounds (fight ends in Round 3)	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Denis Frimpong is favored to win by TKO or submission in the later rounds due to superior conditioning and ground control, with confidence level around 75%.

Predicted Score: Denis Frimpong wins by TKO at 1:42 of Round 3

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Match Analysis: Alina Dalaslan vs Clara Ricignuolo – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-20
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: Festhalle, Frankfurt, Germany

Game Overview

The women's catchweight bout at Oktagon 76 featured Alina Dalaslan (3-0) against Clara Ricignuolo (3-3). Dalaslan, undefeated and known for her striking and finishing ability, faced Ricignuolo, who has a 100% finish rate in her wins but with a balanced record. The bout was competitive early on with Ricignuolo landing a significant counter left in round one, but Dalaslan dominated late rounds, culminating in a spectacular spinning back elbow knockout in round two.

Key Factors to Consider

• Alina Dalaslan showed sharp striking, endurance, and finishing skill with back-to-back TKO wins leading into this match, demonstrating significant progress and confidence in her game. Ricignuolo, with more experience but a mixed record, relies heavily on power and finishing fights inside the distance with striking accuracy.
• This was the first meeting between Dalaslan and Ricignuolo. Dalaslan secured a TKO victory in round two via spinning back elbow and ground-and-pound at Oktagon 76, making the head-to-head 1-0 in her favor.
• No reported injuries for either fighter prior to or during the match.
• The fight took place in Frankfurt, Germany, Dalaslan's home country, potentially giving her a psychological edge and stronger crowd support.
• Dalasan aimed to maintain her undefeated streak and bolster her status as a rising star in German MMA. Ricignuolo sought to rebound from prior losses with an impactful win on a big stage.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Alina_Dalaslan: -175, Clara_Ricignuolo: +140, Draw: +2500	Alina Dalaslan	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Alina_Dalaslan: -1.5 (-110), Clara_Ricignuolo: +1.5 (-110)	Alina Dalaslan covers -1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under	Over_1.5_rounds: -120, Under_1.5_rounds: +100	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alina Dalaslan to win by TKO/KO in the 2nd round, leveraging her striking precision and finishing ability.

Predicted Score: Alina Dalaslan wins by TKO (spinning back elbow and ground and pound) at 4:45 of round 2

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Match Analysis: Raul Lemberanskij vs Jose Zarauz – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-20
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: Festhalle, Frankfurt, Germany

Game Overview

The bantamweight MMA bout between Raul Lemberanskij (7-0) and Jose Zarauz (26-11-1) at Oktagon 76 features an undefeated rising prospect against a highly experienced opponent. Lemberanskij, younger and with an unblemished record, seeks to maintain his momentum, whereas Zarauz's depth of experience in the cage represents a significant challenge.

Key Factors to Consider

• Raul Lemberanskij has shown dominant performances to maintain a perfect 7-0 record, exhibiting superior striking and grappling skills. Jose Zarauz, with a longer and more varied fight history at 26-11-1, demonstrates resilience and adaptability but has suffered multiple losses suggesting potential vulnerabilities in defense or endurance.
• This is a rare meeting with limited direct encounters; no official prior matchups found between the two, creating unpredictability in their tactical matchup.
• No recent injury reports disclosed for either fighter, indicating both are likely to compete at full fitness.
• The fight takes place in Frankfurt, Germany in the Oktagon promotion, which typically favors fighters who adapt well to European conditions. No adverse conditions or travel issues reported for either fighter.
• Lemberanskij is highly motivated to maintain his undefeated record and gain top bantamweight status. Zarauz aims to leverage his experience to upset the rising star and reclaim momentum in his career.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Raul_Lemberanskij: -138, Jose_Zarauz: +105	Raul Lemberanskij to win	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Raul_Lemberanskij: -1.5 (-150), Jose_Zarauz: +1.5 (+130)	Lemberanskij covers -1.5 rounds spread	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over_2.5_Rounds: -110, Under_2.5_Rounds: -110	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Raul Lemberanskij is favored to win due to his undefeated record, youth, and technical skills, though Zarauz's experience poses a credible threat in a potentially competitive fight.

Predicted Score: Lemberanskij wins by TKO in Round 2

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Match Analysis: Attila Korkmaz vs David Tonatiuh Crol – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-20
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: Festhalle

Game Overview

The match between Attila Korkmaz and David Tonatiuh Crol is a lightweight division fight featured on the main card of OKTAGON 76. Both fighters have comparable professional records, with Korkmaz at 15-10 and Crol at 11-10, each possessing knockout and submission victories. The fight is scheduled for three rounds and will showcase their striking and grappling skills in the UFC Lightweight class.

Key Factors to Consider

• Attila Korkmaz, aged 34 with a slight reach advantage (173 cm vs. 170 cm), has a balanced record with 3 KOs, 3 submissions, and 5 decision wins. David Tonatiuh Crol, aged 28, relies more heavily on submissions (7) but also has KO and decision wins. Both fighters show durability with no draws and similar loss counts. Korkmaz's experience might play a key role given his older age and number of fights.
• There is no publicly available direct head-to-head record between Korkmaz and Crol prior to this bout.
• No reported injuries affecting either fighter leading up to the match.
• The bout takes place at the Festhalle venue under the OKTAGON MMA promotion. No additional external influences such as weather or travel impacts are noted.
• Both fighters seek to improve their standings in the lightweight division. Korkmaz may be motivated by experience and veteran status, while Crol offers youthful aggression and submission prowess.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Attila Korkmaz: -350, David Tonatiuh Crol: +240	Attila Korkmaz	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Attila Korkmaz -1.5: -110, David Tonatiuh Crol +1.5: -110	Attila Korkmaz -1.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: +100	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Attila Korkmaz is favored to win this fight by a close margin due to his greater experience, reach advantage, and well-rounded skill set compared to David Tonatiuh Crol's submission-oriented approach. However, Crol's youth and submission power keep him competitive.

Predicted Score: Attila Korkmaz wins by submission in Round 2

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Match Analysis: Fedor Duric vs Petru Buzdugan – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-20
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: Festhalle, Frankfurt, Germany

Game Overview

This Lightweight division main card fight at Oktagon 76 features Fedor Duric (7-1) facing Petru Buzdugan (6-2). Both fighters have solid records, but Duric is the home favorite competing in Germany. The fight is anticipated to be competitive with Duric known for his grappling and submission skills, having previously defeated Buzdugan by rear-naked choke submission.

Key Factors to Consider

• Fedor Duric has a stronger recent record (7 wins, 1 loss) and a proven submission game, having previously defeated Buzdugan via submission. Petru Buzdugan holds a respectable 6-2 record with experience but has lost to Duric before, indicating a potential psychological edge for Duric.
• Duric leads the head-to-head with at least one confirmed victory over Buzdugan by submission (rear-naked choke). This previous outcome favors Duric's technical advantage and fight strategy execution.
• No publicly reported injuries for either fighter entering this match, both appear physically prepared for the fight.
• The venue being in Germany gives Duric a home advantage crowd-wise. The fighter is motivated to bounce back after his last loss to reassert dominance in the Lightweight division.
• Duric is highly motivated to showcase his skills on home soil and recover from his last defeat. Buzdugan aims to avenge his prior loss but may be under pressure given Duric's favored status.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Fedor Duric: -649, Petru Buzdugan: +400	Fedor Duric	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Fedor Duric -1.5: -150, Petru Buzdugan +1.5: +130	Fedor Duric -1.5	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fedor Duric is predicted to win this match primarily via submission or decision given his grappling edge and psychological advantages. The confidence in this prediction is strong based on past results and Duric's home advantage.

Predicted Score: Fedor Duric wins by submission in Round 2

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Match Analysis: Frederic Vosgröne vs Fabio Moraes – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-20
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: Festhalle, Frankfurt, Germany

Game Overview

The fight between Frederic Vosgröne and Fabio Moraes is the light heavyweight co-main event at OKTAGON MMA 76, scheduled for September 20, 2025, at Festhalle in Frankfurt, Germany. Vosgröne, undefeated with a 4-0 record (all wins by submission), is known for his strong grappling and aggressive style, nicknamed 'The Neanderthal.' Fabio Moraes, with a 7-1 record (majority wins by KO/TKO), is a knockout artist with striking power. Both fighters have contrasting fighting styles that create an intriguing matchup in the light heavyweight division.

Key Factors to Consider

• Vosgröne is undefeated (4-0) with all wins coming via submission, showing a dominant grappling game, while Moraes holds a 7-1 record with four KO/TKO victories, indicating strong striking capabilities. Vosgröne's grappling and ground control versus Moraes's knockout power are the key performance factors.
• There is no prior fight between Frederic Vosgröne and Fabio Moraes, making this their first encounter.
• No public information on injuries for either fighter before the fight.
• Vosgröne fights in his home country Germany, which might provide a psychological edge due to crowd support. The event is part of the European OKTAGON MMA promotion, with no known external factors negatively affecting either fighter.
• Vosgröne is motivated to maintain his undefeated record and establish himself as a dominant European light heavyweight in OKTAGON MMA. Moraes looks to enhance his reputation as a knockout artist and claim a significant victory on foreign soil.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Frederic Vosgröne: -1205, Fabio Moraes: +550	Frederic Vosgröne	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Frederic Vosgröne -1.5 (-150), Fabio Moraes +1.5 (+130)	Frederic Vosgröne -1.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds (-110), Under 2.5 rounds (-110)	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The prediction favors Frederic Vosgröne by submission or decision with a moderate confidence level due to his grappling dominance and undefeated record. However, Fabio Moraes's striking power gives him a legitimate chance of a KO/TKO victory, especially if he can keep the fight standing.

Predicted Score: Frederic Vosgröne wins by submission in Round 2

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Match Analysis: James Hendin vs Ayton De Paepe – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-20
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: Festhalle, Frankfurt, Germany

Game Overview

This featherweight main card fight at OKTAGON 76 features English-German fighter James Hendin facing Belgian Ayton De Paepe. Hendin is known for his grappling-heavy style and finishing ability with 6 KOs in a 9-2 career, recently dominating his OKTAGON debut. De Paepe is a rising prospect with slight physical reach advantage. The bout promises a technical striking versus grappling contest.

Key Factors to Consider

• James Hendin holds a stronger record (9-2) with experience in Cage Warriors and recent wins via decision and TKO. He has proven ability to maintain control and secure victory over multiple rounds. Ayton De Paepe, while less accomplished, has shown resilience and technical striking but lacks Hendin's finishing consistency.
• This is their first meeting with no previous direct competition history, so no head-to-head data is available.
• No reported injuries impacting either fighter leading into the bout, both appear in peak condition.
• The fight is held in Frankfurt, Germany, Hendin's home country, which could provide slight psychological advantage and crowd support. No other external factors such as extreme weather or travel issues reported.
• Hendin is motivated to solidify his status in OKTAGON featherweight rankings after a strong debut. De Paepe aims to prove himself against a top contender to advance his career.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	James Hendin: -180, Ayton De Paepe: +145, Draw: +2500	James Hendin	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	James Hendin -1.5 rounds: -130, Ayton De Paepe +1.5 rounds: +110	James Hendin -1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

James Hendin is favored to win by unanimous decision, relying on his grappling control and endurance to nullify De Paepe's striking. A late round finish is possible but less likely given De Paepe's durability.

Predicted Score: James Hendin wins by unanimous decision with scores 29-28, 29-28, 29-28

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Match Analysis: Georg Bilogrevic vs David Hosek – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-20
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: Oktagon MMA Event, Frankfurt Festhalle, Germany

Game Overview

The fight between Georg Bilogrevic and David Hošek is a striking-heavy matchup in the OKTAGON MMA promotion, taking place at the Festhalle in Frankfurt on September 20, 2025. Both fighters have similar physical stats with Bilogrevic having a slight height and reach advantage. The bout is expected to feature tactical stand-up exchanges with a potential for grappling but predominantly striking.

Key Factors to Consider

• David Hošek showed strong performances recently with good striking accuracy and control in bouts. Georg Bilogrevic is a capable striker but has less recent success against high-level opponents. Hošek’s recent unanimous decision win over Bilogrevic demonstrates his edge in fight IQ and conditioning.
• The most recent and likely only recorded fight between these two fighters ended with David Hošek defeating Georg Bilogrevic by unanimous decision (scores 30-27×2, 29-28×3). This shows an established advantage for Hošek in their direct matchup.
• No recorded injuries have been reported for either fighter ahead of the bout, indicating both will enter the match in full physical health.
• The fight occurs in Frankfurt, Germany, which might offer a slight crowd support advantage to German-based or regionally popular fighters, though neither fighter is German. Other external factors such as venue and event atmosphere are standard for OKTAGON events.
• David Hošek, coming off a previous win over Bilogrevic, carries momentum and confidence. Bilogrevic is motivated for redemption but faces an uphill battle given recent results.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Georg Bilogrevic: +140, David Hošek: -163, Draw: +1000	David Hošek	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Georg Bilogrevic +1.5: -110, David Hošek -1.5: -110	David Hošek -1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: +100	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

David Hošek is favored to win by unanimous decision based on superior striking, recent form, and psychological advantage.

Predicted Score: David Hošek wins by unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)