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Match Analysis: Gary Priestly vs Gary Rooney – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: Cage Warriors 194, Dublin, Ireland
Game Overview
The MMA bout between Gary Priestly and Gary Rooney is scheduled for September 27, 2025, at Cage Warriors 194 in Dublin, Ireland. This is a 3-round prelim fight in the Flyweight division (125 lbs/57 kg). Both fighters have similar weight classes with Priestly standing 5'7" (170 cm) and Rooney 5'3" (160 cm). Priestly is from the United Kingdom, Rooney from Ireland. The matchup features contrasting styles and records, adding intrigue to the contest.
Key Factors to Consider
- Gary Priestly holds a record of 2 wins, 2 losses, and 2 draws, with strengths in submissions and decisions (1 submission win, 1 decision win), but no KO/TKO victories. Gary Rooney has a 3-1 record, with half his wins by submission and one KO/TKO, showing a higher finishing rate. Rooney has demonstrated better submission skills but has suffered only one loss by decision.
- The fighters have no direct past fight head-to-head meeting, but in their overall MMA careers, Rooney has a slight edge with a 3-1 record compared to Priestly's 2-2-2 record. Rooney's finishing rate is higher and more recent form favors him.
- There is no current information indicating any injuries or health issues for either fighter prior to the matchup.
- The fight takes place in Dublin, Ireland, which could slightly favor Gary Rooney, the local fighter. There are no known other external factors affecting the fight.
- Gary Rooney, fighting on home soil, may have increased motivation and home crowd advantage. Priestly, with a mixed record, may be motivated to improve his standing and avoid further losses and draws.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Gary Priestly: 4.5, Gary Rooney: 1.18 | Gary Rooney to win | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | Gary Rooney -1.5 rounds, Priestly +1.5 rounds (typical lines unavailable, estimated) | Gary Rooney covers the spread | β β β β β 80% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds at around evens, Under 2.5 rounds similar odds | Under 2.5 rounds | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Gary Rooney is the projected winner due to his superior record, finishing ability, and home advantage. The fight is expected to go up to the judges but with Rooney having a confident edge in submission and KO potential.
Predicted Score: Gary Rooney win by submission in Round 2