Justice Torres vs. Javier Reyes Rugeles Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Javier Reyes Rugeles Justice Torres MMA/Boxing September 24, 2025

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Match Analysis: Justice Torres vs Javier Reyes Rugeles – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-24
• Time: 12:40 AM UTC
• Location: Dana White's Contender Series Week 7, 145 lbs Division

Game Overview

Justice Torres (12-3, 4-1 last 5) faces Javier Reyes Rugeles (21-5, 3-2 last 5) in a lightweight bout at Dana White's Contender Series. Torres is younger with a slight reach advantage, coming off better recent form. Reyes has greater career experience but recent performance has been inconsistent.

Key Factors to Consider

• Justice Torres shows stronger recent form with a 4-1 record in his last five fights versus Javier Reyes's 3-2. Torres has a balanced finishing ability but more decision wins recently, while Reyes features more KO and submission finishes historically.
• No direct previous head-to-head matchup recorded between Justice Torres and Javier Reyes Rugeles.
• No recent or reported injuries affecting either fighter going into this matchup.
• Multiple opponent changes for Torres might have disrupted preparation but does not seem to have reduced his readiness. Both fighters motivated by potential UFC contract opportunities.
• Both athletes are highly motivated to impress on Contender Series for UFC contracts. Torres might have a slight edge due to more consistent recent success and youth advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Javier Reyes Rugeles: -180, Justice Torres: +155	Javier Reyes Rugeles	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Javier Reyes Rugeles -1.5: -110, Justice Torres +1.5: -110	Javier Reyes Rugeles -1.5	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -155, Under 2.5 rounds: +135	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Javier Reyes Rugeles -10%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 41%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 41% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Javier Reyes Rugeles; Spread: Reyes to win by decision; Over/Under: Under 2.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Javier Reyes Rugeles wins by decision in under 3 rounds

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Jair de Oliveira vs. Rafael Tobias Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Jair de Oliveira MMA/Boxing Rafael Tobias September 24, 2025

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Match Analysis: Jair de Oliveira vs Rafael Tobias – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-24
• Time: 12:15 AM UTC
• Location: Dana White's Contender Series

Game Overview

The matchup features undefeated Jair de Oliveira (6-0) against the favored Rafael Tobias (13-1) in a men's light heavyweight bout. Tobias holds a significant experience advantage while Oliveira is young and untested at the top levels.

Key Factors to Consider

• Jair de Oliveira is undefeated with 6 wins, showing rising potential but limited top-level experience. Rafael Tobias has 13 wins and 1 loss, demonstrating veteran experience and more fight time at competitive levels.
• No prior head-to-head meetings between Oliveira and Tobias; this is their first encounter.
• No publicly reported injuries to either fighter ahead of this matchup.
• The fight takes place on Dana White's Contender Series, a high-profile stage providing significant exposure and motivation for both fighters to perform well.
• Tobias is favored to further solidify his reputation and climb rankings, Oliveira motivated to maintain undefeated status and break through as a contender.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Jair_de_Oliveira: +325, Rafael_Tobias: -390	Rafael Tobias	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Rafael_Tobias_-1.5: -150, Jair_de_Oliveira_+1.5: +130	Rafael Tobias -1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over_1.5: +207, Under_1.5: -250	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Rafael Tobias -10%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 -9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at -9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rafael Tobias wins by moneyline, covering the spread, with the fight going under 1.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Rafael Tobias wins by TKO in round 1

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Szymon Bajor vs. Ricardo Prasel Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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MMA/Boxing Ricardo Prasel September 20, 2025 Szymon Bajor

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Match Analysis: Szymon Bajor vs Ricardo Prasel – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-20
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: KSW Event Venue

Game Overview

Heavyweight MMA fight on the main card of KSW 110 between Szymon Bajor and Ricardo Prasel. Bajor is a strong striker with significant reach and height advantages, while Prasel is known for his submission skills and grappling prowess.

Key Factors to Consider

• Bajor has demonstrated consistent striking power and durability in recent fights, often winning by TKO or KO. Prasel's recent form is marked by effective grappling and submissions but less consistent in stand-up exchanges.
• No prior head-to-head matchups recorded between Bajor and Prasel, making this a stylistic clash between stand-up striking and submission grappling.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading into this match, indicating both are likely at full physical capacity.
• Fighting on home soil for Bajor (Poland) may provide a motivational edge and crowd support. The fight's main card status adds pressure but also motivation to perform.
• Bajor motivated to assert dominance in his home region, leveraging striking strengths. Prasel aims to capitalize on grappling to secure a definitive win and improve standing in heavyweight rankings.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Szymon Bajor -188, Ricardo Prasel +140	Szymon Bajor	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Bajor -1.5 (-190), Prasel +1.5 (+145)	Bajor -1.5	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds -135, Under 2.5 rounds +105	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Szymon Bajor to win due to striking superiority and home advantage. Spread: Bajor by -1.5 rounds due to probable early dominance. Over/Under: Under 2.5 rounds given potential for early finish by either fighter.

Predicted Score: Szymon Bajor wins by TKO 2nd round

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Andrzej Grzebyk vs. Muslim Tulshaev Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Andrzej Grzebyk MMA/Boxing Muslim Tulshaev September 20, 2025

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Match Analysis: Andrzej Grzebyk vs Muslim Tulshaev – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-20
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: Hala Podpromie, Rzeszów, Poland

Game Overview

Catchweight main card fight in KSW 110 featuring Polish veteran Andrzej Grzebyk (22-7) versus German-based rising contender Muslim Tulshaev (13-3), both with significant KO power and finishing ability.

Key Factors to Consider

• Grzebyk holds a much larger sample size with 29 KSW fights, showing 67% of his wins via KO/TKO and none by submission, demonstrating solid striking and durability. Tulshaev, though with fewer fights, exhibits a lower KO rate and more decisions, indicating a more technical or conservative style. Both fighters last weighed in near 170 lbs, showing no weight disadvantage.
• No direct previous H2H matches recorded between Grzebyk and Tulshaev, making this a fresh tactical matchup. Statistical profiles suggest Grzebyk is more prone to aggressive striking finishes while Tulshaev may rely more on technique and endurance.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout; both come in healthy and prepared.
• Grzebyk benefits from home advantage fighting in Poland’s Rzeszów; crowd support and familiar environment may boost performance. Tulshaev is the away fighter and may face slight adversity from travel and crowd.
• Grzebyk is defending home soil and veteran stature, motivated to solidify top ranking status. Tulshaev is a surging contender looking to break into top ranks with an upset; high motivation but underdog pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	+130 (Grzebyk), -155 (Tulshaev), +2500 (Draw)	Andrzej Grzebyk	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	-1.5 (+200) Grzebyk, +1.5 (-250) Tulshaev	Andrzej Grzebyk -1.5	★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds (-110), Under 2.5 rounds (-110)	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline win by Andrzej Grzebyk

Predicted Score: Grzebyk wins by decision or late TKO in round 3 or later

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Michal Dreczkowski vs. Adam Tomasik Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Adam Tomasik Michal Dreczkowski MMA/Boxing September 20, 2025

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Match Analysis: Michal Dreczkowski vs Adam Tomasik – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-20
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: KSW 110 Event Venue

Game Overview

Light heavyweight MMA main card fight between Michal Dreczkowski and Adam Tomasik, featuring contrasted styles: Dreczkowski excels in grappling and endurance, Tomasik in striking power and early aggression.

Key Factors to Consider

• Dreczkowski shows strong grappling and endurance with steady recent form and effective submission skills; Tomasik brings notable knockout power and early round dominance but has lesser grappling defense.
• No direct prior matchups available; stylistic contrast suggests Tomasik may push early for a KO while Dreczkowski aims to survive early pressure and take the fight to the ground.
• No reported injuries or recent performance-impacting issues for either fighter, both entering fight healthy.
• Fight takes place in KSW promotion which both fighters have experience in; no known external distractions or travel challenges that could impact performance.
• Both fighters highly motivated to climb rankings; Dreczkowski motivated to prove grappling superiority, Tomasik to validate striking prowess and power.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-225	Michal Dreczkowski	★★★★☆ 73%
Spread	-230	Michal Dreczkowski -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	+175	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home -2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Michal Dreczkowski moneyline win

Predicted Score: Michal Dreczkowski wins via submission late round 2

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Welisson Paiva vs. Mateusz Makarowski Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Mateusz Makarowski MMA/Boxing September 20, 2025 Welisson Paiva

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Match Analysis: Welisson Paiva vs Mateusz Makarowski – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-20
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: Hala Podpromie, Rzeszów, Poland

Game Overview

This KSW Lightweight division main card bout features Welisson Paiva, a 12-4-1 Brazilian fighter known for his striking power, against Polish local Mateusz Makarowski, who stands slightly taller with a reach advantage. Both fighters have similar experience levels but differing styles.

Key Factors to Consider

• Welisson Paiva comes in with a strong recent form, leveraging notable striking accuracy and experience in finishing fights, while Makarowski's record is slightly less prominent with fewer high-profile wins. Paiva's consistent pressure and grappling defense have been superior in his last five fights.
• No direct previous encounters between these two fighters; this will be their first matchup.
• No reported injuries affecting either fighter as of fight day, indicating both at full strength.
• Fight taking place in Makarowski's home country (Poland), possibly favoring him with crowd support. However, Welisson Paiva has extensive international fight experience, which might neutralize home advantage.
• Motivation appears high for both; Paiva aims to improve his KSW standing while Makarowski is motivated to claim a significant win on home soil to elevate his profile.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	+105	Welisson Paiva	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	-110	Welisson Paiva -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	-115	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Away 44%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Away at 44% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Welisson Paiva to win by Moneyline, with a moderately conservative spread play favoring Paiva by a 1.5 rounds margin, and the fight to go over the total rounds line set.

Predicted Score: Welisson Paiva wins via decision or late finish in Round 3

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Daniel Weichel vs. Abou Tounkara Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Abou Tounkara Daniel Weichel MMA/Boxing September 20, 2025

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Match Analysis: Daniel Weichel vs Abou Tounkara – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-20
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: Oktagon 76 Event

Game Overview

Daniel Weichel faces Abou Tounkara in an evenly matched Oktagon 76 lightweight bout. Weichel brings veteran experience and solid grappling, while Tounkara offers youth, athleticism, and striking upside.

Key Factors to Consider

• Weichel has been consistent and well-rounded in recent fights with solid grappling control and fight IQ. Tounkara shows flashes of striking aggression but has less polish and experience at this level.
• No prior head-to-head fights available, making the matchup highly tactical with styles playing a key role.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the matchup.
• Fight is on a neutral venue with no clear home advantage. Weichel’s experience may mitigate pressure from any crowd or environment changes.
• Weichel looks motivated to maintain his reputation as a top lightweight contender. Tounkara is motivated to prove himself on a big stage and make an impact with an upset.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-295	Daniel Weichel	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	-1.5 at -110	Daniel Weichel by more than 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds at -210	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home -4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Daniel Weichel to win by decision

Predicted Score: Weichel wins by unanimous decision after 3 full rounds

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Sebastian Decowski vs. Przemyslaw Gorny Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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MMA/Boxing Przemyslaw Gorny Sebastian Decowski September 20, 2025

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Match Analysis: Sebastian Decowski vs Przemyslaw Gorny – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-20
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: Podpromie Hall, Rzeszów, Poland

Game Overview

Sebastian Decowski (5-0 unbeaten) faces Przemyslaw Gorny (6-4) in a KSW 110 bout, with Decowski favored on the moneyline. Both fighters have strong KO records; Decowski shows a perfect win record with high finishing rate, while Gorny has more professional experience but more losses.

Key Factors to Consider

• Decowski is undefeated (5-0), with 4 KOs and 1 submission, demonstrating high finishing ability and consistent wins. Gorny holds a 6-4 record, also with 5 KOs, indicating power but less consistency.
• No prior head-to-head matchup between Decowski and Gorny found, so no direct comparative history exists.
• No reported injuries for either fighter going into the fight.
• Fight is held in Poland, potentially giving Gorny a slight home crowd advantage as he is Polish. However, Decowski's undefeated status may mitigate this factor.
• Decowski aims to maintain perfect record and prove dominance as a rising prospect, while Gorny looks to regain momentum after losses and capitalize on home advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-200 for Decowski, +150 for Gorny	Sebastian Decowski	★★★★☆ 76%
Spread	-1.5 round Decowski at -120	Decowski to win by more than 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds -110, Under 2.5 rounds -110	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sebastian Decowski to win via KO/TKO

Predicted Score: Decowski wins by KO/TKO in round 2

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Rogerio Bontorin vs. Vitaliy Yakimenko Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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MMA/Boxing Rogerio Bontorin September 20, 2025 Vitaliy Yakimenko

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Match Analysis: Rogerio Bontorin vs Vitaliy Yakimenko – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-20
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: KSW Event Venue

Game Overview

The matchup features Rogerio Bontorin, a grappling and submission specialist, against Vitaliy Yakimenko who possesses a striking advantage with powerful punches. This bantamweight main card fight at KSW sets a classic striker versus grappler scenario.

Key Factors to Consider

• Bontorin demonstrates consistent high-level grappling with strong ground control and submission attempts. Yakimenko shows improvements in striking power and recent form, pushing rounds with effective stand-up.
• No previous encounters found between these fighters, making this a fresh stylistic clash.
• No current injury reports affecting either fighter, so both seem healthy and ready for the bout.
• The fight is held at KSW, a familiar promotion for both, minimizing external adaptation issues. Both fighters are motivated to prove themselves in the bantamweight division.
• Bontorin’s experience and desire to reestablish dominance in grappling-heavy fights contrasts with Yakimenko’s motivation to capitalize on striking improvements and score an upset.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Bontorin -275 / Yakimenko +200	Rogerio Bontorin	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Bontorin -1.5 (-150), Yakimenko +1.5 (+130)	Rogerio Bontorin -1.5	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds (-120), Under 2.5 rounds (-110)	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rogerio Bontorin to win by submission

Predicted Score: Rogerio Bontorin wins via submission in round 2

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Tymoteusz Łopaczyk vs. Madars Fleminas Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Madars Fleminas MMA/Boxing September 20, 2025 Tymoteusz Łopaczyk

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Match Analysis: Tymoteusz Łopaczyk vs Madars Fleminas – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-20
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: KSW 110, Rzeszów, Poland

Game Overview

Welterweight fight at KSW 110 between Tymoteusz Łopaczyk and Madars Fleminas, both evenly matched veterans in their 20s and 30s with similar recent performance but contrasting styles and physical attributes.

Key Factors to Consider

• Łopaczyk holds a 13-3 record with a strong finishing rate (54% KO/TKO), coming off a recent win in March 2025, showing improving form. Fleminas stands at 13-7, with more decision wins (5) and a significant size and reach advantage but is older at 37.
• No direct previous encounters found between the two fighters. Stylistically Łopaczyk is more finish-oriented, while Fleminas is experienced with a tendency to go to decisions.
• No known injuries reported for either fighter leading to this bout; both made weight at 171 lbs.
• Fight held in Poland, giving Łopaczyk home advantage and crowd support. KSW promotion, both fighters are experienced in it.
• Łopaczyk is younger, rising in KSW ranks with strong recent winning momentum which suggests high motivation to capitalize on home turf. Fleminas aims to prove longevity and upset a younger opponent, motivated by career resurgence.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	+135	Łopaczyk	★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread	-120	Łopaczyk -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under	-110	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 39%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 39% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tymoteusz Łopaczyk to win by knockout/TKO

Predicted Score: Łopaczyk wins by TKO in round 2

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