Tom Nolan vs. Charlie Campbell Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Tom Nolan vs Charlie Campbell – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-09-27
Time: 2:15 AM UTC
Location: RAC Arena, Perth, Western Australia

Game Overview

Lightweight UFC Fight Night bout between Tom Nolan and Charlie Campbell, two top contenders with strong striking and grappling abilities. Nolan holds a slight edge in recent form and physical attributes.

Key Factors to Consider

Tom Nolan comes in with a 9-1 record, showing steady improvement and finishing capabilities, whereas Charlie Campbell holds a 9-2 record with a solid mix of striking but slightly less finishing power recently.
No known previous direct matchups between Nolan and Campbell, so historical H2H data is unavailable; stylistic analysis favors Nolan's southpaw stance against Campbell's orthodox.
No recent or reported injuries to either fighter; both appear fully healthy heading into the bout.
Fight takes place at home continent for both fighters, with Nolan slightly younger and possibly better acclimated to fight conditions in Perth.
Nolan motivated to solidify his UFC contender status with a marquee win; Campbell aims to rebound after a recent close decision loss, adding slight psychological pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Charlie Campbell: +124, Tom Nolan: -148	Tom Nolan	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Charlie Campbell +3.5: -125, Tom Nolan -3.5: -105	Tom Nolan -3.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5: +140, Under 2.5: -180	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Tom Nolan -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 -10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Tom Nolan at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tom Nolan to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: Tom Nolan wins by decision or late stoppage within 3 rounds

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Navajo Stirling vs. Rodolfo Bellato Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Navajo Stirling vs Rodolfo Bellato – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-09-27
Time: 1:40 AM UTC
Location: UFC Fight Night 260, Perth, Australia

Game Overview

Navajo Stirling, an undefeated 7-0 light heavyweight known for balanced striking, wrestling, and Brazilian jiu-jitsu, faces Rodolfo Bellato, a more experienced but less consistent fighter with a record of 12-2-1 (1 NC). Stirling is the strong favorite based on odds and recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

Stirling maintains a 7-0 undefeated record with notable accuracies in striking (56%) and a high strike volume, reflecting consistent dominance; Bellato, despite a solid overall record, has faced recent disruptions including a no-contest due to fouls and lacks Stirling's undefeated momentum.
No recorded previous head-to-head bouts, making this a stylistic and form-based analysis rather than direct matchup history.
No publicly reported injuries for either fighter heading into this bout, implying both will enter at full physical capacity.
Fight is held in Perth, Australia, potentially closer to Stirling's home gym (City Kickboxing). Bellato's recent travel and fight disruptions might affect preparation.
Stirling seeks to maintain his perfect record and rise up UFC light heavyweight rankings, providing strong motivation; Bellato aims to rebound from recent setbacks, motivated but underdog status may impact psychological dynamic.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Navajo Stirling: -245, Rodolfo Bellato: +200	Navajo Stirling	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Navajo Stirling -7.5: -115, Rodolfo Bellato +7.5: -115	Navajo Stirling -7.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	over 1.5 rounds: -180, under 1.5 rounds: +140	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Navajo Stirling -4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 44%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 44% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Navajo Stirling to win by knockout

Predicted Score: Navajo Stirling wins by KO in Round 1 or 2

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Cam Rowston vs. Andre Petroski Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Cam Rowston vs Andre Petroski – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-09-28
Time: 1:20 AM UTC
Location: Perth, Australia

Game Overview

UFC middleweight bout featuring Andre Petroski, a UFC veteran known for grappling and grinding style, against Cam Rowston, a UFC debutant with improved striking and mix of takedowns.

Key Factors to Consider

Petroski holds a 13-5 record with UFC experience while Rowston is 12-3 and entering with momentum from a recent Contender Series win demonstrating striking and takedown skills.
No previous matchups; first meeting between Petroski and Rowston.
No significant injury reports on either fighter ahead of the fight.
Fight is at Perth, potentially benefiting Rowston as the nearer native fighter; potential crowd support.
Rowston motivated to make a strong UFC debut; Petroski motivated to maintain veteran status and impose grappling control.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Andre Petroski: -170, Cam Rowston: +142	Andre Petroski	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Andre Petroski: -3.5 115, Cam Rowston: +3.5 -155	Andre Petroski -3.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -130, Under 2.5: +100	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Andre Petroski -4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 20%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Andre Petroski to win by decision

Predicted Score: Andre Petroski wins via unanimous decision after 3 rounds

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Jonathan Micallef vs. Oban Elliott Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Jonathan Micallef vs Oban Elliott – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-09-27
Time: 1:00 AM UTC
Location: RAC Arena, Perth, AUS

Game Overview

Welterweight bout between Jonathan Micallef (8-1) and Oban Elliott (12-3). Both fighters are similarly sized, Elliott has more experience with 15 fights versus Micallef's 9, and Elliott is favored by bookmakers despite a recent loss.

Key Factors to Consider

Oban Elliott holds a 12-3 record with solid UFC experience but recently lost by unanimous decision to Seok Hyun Ko, indicating potential vulnerability. Jonathan Micallef is unbeaten at 8-1, showing strong recent form and possibly rising confidence.
No previous head-to-head matchups between Micallef and Elliott, making tactical adjustments and adaptability important factors.
No publicly reported injuries for either fighter leading into the matchup.
Fight is hosted in Perth, Australia, closer to Micallef’s likely fan base which might aid his motivation. Weather and travel issues appear neutral.
Micallef is motivated to prove himself against a more established competitor, while Elliott aims to rebound quickly from a recent loss, applying psychological pressure both ways.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Jonathan Micallef: +100, Oban Elliott: -120	Oban Elliott	★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread	Jonathan Micallef +3.5: -215, Oban Elliott -3.5: +155	Oban Elliott -3.5	★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -245, Under 2.5: +185	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Oban Elliott 1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 -14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Oban Elliott at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Oban Elliott to win by decision

Predicted Score: Oban Elliott wins by decision after 3 rounds

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Jamie Mullarkey vs. Rolando Bedoya Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Jamie Mullarkey vs Rolando Bedoya – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-09-27
Time: 12:40 AM UTC
Location: RAC Arena, Perth, AUS

Game Overview

Lightweight matchup between Jamie Mullarkey (17-8) and Rolando Bedoya (14-4) at UFC Fight Night. Both fighters are well-matched with close recent form and minimal injury concerns.

Key Factors to Consider

Mullarkey has shown consistent striking and conditioning but suffered a recent tough loss at UFC 301, whereas Bedoya has been on a positive streak with strong grappling and finishing ability.
No prior head-to-head fights, making this an even tactical matchup where styles and in-fight adjustments will be crucial.
No significant injury reports for either fighter ahead of bout, suggesting both are preparing at full strength.
Fight taking place in Australia may slightly favor Mullarkey due to local crowd support and reduced travel fatigue.
Mullarkey aims to rebound after a UFC loss, potentially increasing aggression and risk-taking; Bedoya seeks to extend winning run, likely leading to strategic but aggressive approach.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Jamie Mullarkey: -112, Rolando Bedoya: -108	Jamie Mullarkey	★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread	Jamie Mullarkey -3.5: -200, Rolando Bedoya +3.5: 145	Jamie Mullarkey -3.5	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -195, Under 2.5 rounds: 150	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Jamie Mullarkey 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 55%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 55% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 36.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Jamie Mullarkey to win; Spread: Mullarkey -3.5 rounds; Over/Under: Under 2.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Jamie Mullarkey wins via decision or late stoppage before round 3

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Colby Thicknesse vs. Josias Musasa Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Colby Thicknesse vs Josias Musasa – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-09-27
Time: 12:15 AM UTC
Location: RAC Arena, Perth, Australia

Game Overview

This UFC Bantamweight prelim bout features Josias Musasa, an 8-1 fighter known as 'The KO Wizard,' against Colby Thicknesse, a 7-1 fighter nicknamed 'Slickness.' Both fighters are evenly matched with similar records and complementary styles, vying to improve their rankings in the division.

Key Factors to Consider

Josias Musasa has a slightly superior recent form with an 8-1 record compared to Thicknesse’s 7-1, showing more finishing ability and experience in high-pressure bouts. Thicknesse is highly technical but has been the underdog in recent fights, suggesting a slight disadvantage in momentum.
There are no recorded head-to-head fights between Musasa and Thicknesse, making this a fresh matchup with limited direct comparative data.
Neither fighter currently reports any known injuries affecting their preparation or performance for this bout.
The fight being in Perth, Australia, may slightly favor Musasa who has fought in similar international venues recently, while Thicknesse will be traveling internationally, possibly impacting acclimatization.
Both fighters have strong motivation to break into higher UFC rankings, with Musasa looking to capitalize on his favorite status and Thicknesse seeking to upset and prove his technical superiority.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Colby Thicknesse: +126, Josias Musasa: -150	Josias Musasa	★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread	Musasa -1.5: -110, Thicknesse +1.5: -110	Musasa -1.5	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 2.5: +100, Under 2.5: -120	Under 2.5	★★★☆☆ 57%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Josias Musasa -3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Josias Musasa to win by decision

Predicted Score: Musasa wins by decision (3 rounds, unanimous)

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Michelle Montague vs. Luana Carolina Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Michelle Montague vs Luana Carolina – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-09-27
Time: 11:50 PM UTC
Location: RAC Arena, Perth, AUS

Game Overview

Michelle Montague meets Luana Carolina in a UFC bantamweight matchup at UFC Perth. Montague enters as the strong favorite based on recent betting odds and form, with Carolina viewed as the underdog but possessing potential for an upset.

Key Factors to Consider

Montague has shown consistent performance in recent bouts, demonstrating superior striking and grappling control compared to Carolina, whose recent fights show some inconsistency.
There is no direct previous matchup between Montague and Carolina to provide head-to-head data, meaning the assessment relies on stylistic and recent performance analysis.
No reported recent injuries for either fighter; Carolina was previously removed from a scheduled fight in early 2025 but without injury related reasons, indicating both fighters are likely at full strength.
The fight taking place in Perth, Australia, offers a slight geographical advantage for Montague, a New Zealand fighter accustomed to the time zone and conditions; no other significant external distractions noted.
Both fighters are motivated to secure a significant divisional position; Montague, as a favorite, may carry the pressure of expectations, while Carolina may be driven by the underdog role to push aggressively.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Michelle Montague: -230, Luana Carolina: 190	Michelle Montague	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Montague -1.5: -120, Carolina +1.5: +100	Montague -1.5	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -150, Under 2.5: 126	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Michelle Montague -5%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 29%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Michelle Montague to win via decision

Predicted Score: Michelle Montague wins by decision in 3 rounds

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Brando Pericic vs. Elisha Ellison Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Brando Pericic vs Elisha Ellison – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-09-27
Time: 11:30 PM UTC
Location: RAC Arena, Perth, Australia

Game Overview

Prelims heavyweight UFC fight between Brando Pericic (4-1) and Elisha Ellison (5-1) at UFC Perth with Pericic favored on the moneyline.

Key Factors to Consider

Pericic has a strong recent form including 4 wins and only 1 loss, showing solid striking and grappling versatility; Ellison has a slightly better win ratio (5-1) with physical advantages in height and reach but less experience at this UFC level.
No prior head-to-head matchups between Pericic and Ellison.
No reported injuries for either fighter entering this bout.
Fight takes place in Perth, Australia, Ellison's home country, which may offer some crowd support. No other known external disruptions.
Ellison motivated to leverage home advantage and improve UFC standing; Pericic motivated to maintain momentum and prove UFC caliber.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: -225, away: +186	Brando Pericic	★★★★☆ 74%
Spread	home: -130, away: +110	Pericic -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	over: +194, under: -235	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Brando Pericic -2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 -14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Brando Pericic at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Brando Pericic to win; Spread: Pericic by -1.5 rounds; Over/Under: Under 1.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Brando Pericic wins by unanimous decision or late round stoppage, fight lasting 2 to 3 rounds

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Loma Lookboonmee vs. Alexia Thainara Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Loma Lookboonmee vs Alexia Thainara – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-09-27
Time: 11:05 PM UTC
Location: UFC Perth, Australia

Game Overview

Strawweight UFC prelim fight between Thailand's Muay Thai expert Loma Lookboonmee and Brazil's aggressive grappler Alexia Thainara.

Key Factors to Consider

Loma Lookboonmee has strong striking volume and improved wrestling but is undersized. She recently secured a decision win with 3 takedowns. Alexia Thainara is a forward pressure striker with aggressive grappling, coming off a submission win in her UFC debut.
No prior head-to-head matches between these fighters.
No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout.
Fight held in Perth, Australia, neutral ground with no hometown advantage. Both fighters motivated to advance in the UFC strawweight division.
Alexia coming off a high-profile submission win and riding momentum. Loma looks to prove herself beyond being undersized but faces a physically imposing opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Alexia Thainara -245, Loma Lookboonmee +202	Alexia Thainara	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Alexia Thainara -1.5 (approximate line), -110	Alexia Thainara -1.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds -260, Under 2.5 rounds +214	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Alexia Thainara -8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 -9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Alexia Thainara at -8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alexia Thainara to win via decision

Predicted Score: Alexia Thainara wins by decision after three rounds

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Jefferson Nascimento vs. Baysangur Makaev Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Jefferson Nascimento vs Baysangur Makaev – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-09-27
Time: 8:00 PM UTC
Location: Tenerife Sports Pavillion Santiago Martin, Tenerife, Spain

Game Overview

The interim lightweight title bout between unbeaten Jefferson Nascimento (11-0) and top Swedish lightweight prospect Baysangur Makaev (7-1) at LFA 218 in Tenerife, Spain.

Key Factors to Consider

Nascimento maintains an undefeated 11-0 record with wins evenly split among knockouts, submissions, and decisions, showing versatile finishing ability. Makaev holds a 7-1 record, with recent bouts indicating some inconsistency but strong motivation and preparation for this big stage.
No prior direct matchups exist between Nascimento and Makaev.
No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout; both fighters successfully made weight with a catchweight of ~154.5 lbs.
Fighting on the historic LFA debut event in Europe provides home-crowd advantage and heightened motivation for Makaev, representing Spain. Nascimento, coming from Brazil and training under Renovação Fight Team, faces travel and environment adaptation.
Nascimento aims to defend his unbeaten streak and interim title to advance his UFC prospects, remaining focused and confident. Makaev is highly motivated by the historic event and national pride to upset the unbeaten champion on European soil.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Nascimento: -150, Makaev: +130, Draw: +2500	Nascimento	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Nascimento -1.5: -140, Makaev +1.5: +120	Nascimento -1.5	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: +110, Under 2.5 rounds: -130	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jefferson Nascimento to win by submission

Predicted Score: Nascimento wins by submission in Round 2

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Tom Nolan vs. Charlie Campbell Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Tom Nolan vs Charlie Campbell – Prediction

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Navajo Stirling vs. Rodolfo Bellato Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Navajo Stirling vs Rodolfo Bellato – Prediction

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Cam Rowston vs. Andre Petroski Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Cam Rowston vs Andre Petroski – Prediction

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Jonathan Micallef vs. Oban Elliott Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Jonathan Micallef vs Oban Elliott – Prediction

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Jamie Mullarkey vs. Rolando Bedoya Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Jamie Mullarkey vs Rolando Bedoya – Prediction

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Colby Thicknesse vs. Josias Musasa Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Colby Thicknesse vs Josias Musasa – Prediction

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Michelle Montague vs. Luana Carolina Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Michelle Montague vs Luana Carolina – Prediction

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Brando Pericic vs. Elisha Ellison Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Brando Pericic vs Elisha Ellison – Prediction

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Loma Lookboonmee vs. Alexia Thainara Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Loma Lookboonmee vs Alexia Thainara – Prediction

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Jefferson Nascimento vs. Baysangur Makaev Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Jefferson Nascimento vs Baysangur Makaev – Prediction

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