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Vitor Costa vs. Damian Pinas Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Vitor Costa vs Damian Pinas – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-01
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, NV

Game Overview

Middleweight matchup between Vitor Costa and Damian Pinas, two rising fighters with similar records, facing off in a three-round fight at Dana White's Contender Series. Both possess strengths in different areas: Costa excels in striking and precision, while Pinas shows strong grappling and ground game potential.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vitor Costa holds an 8-1 professional record, demonstrating a mix of striking power and agility with high recent fight activity and stamina. Damian Pinas is 7-1 with a more grappling-based style and has shown resilience, but slightly less polish in striking.
  • No previous meeting between Costa and Pinas; styles contrast may dictate outcome with Costa likely looking to keep the fight standing and Pinas attempting ground control.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter, both are expected to be at full health for the fight.
  • The fight takes place at the UFC APEX, removing travel stress and likely resulting in a neutral venue environment. Both fighters motivated to impress for UFC contract status.
  • High for both athletes, as this fight is a pivotal Dana White’s Contender Series bout with UFC contract implications. Costa's recent form and striking advantage may boost confidence, but Pinas’ grappling offers a clear path to victory.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Damian Pinas: -125, Vitor Costa: 105 Damian Pinas ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Damian Pinas -1.5: -145, Vitor Costa +1.5: 125 Damian Pinas -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 1.5: 165, Under 1.5: -190 Under 1.5 Rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Damian Pinas -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Damian Pinas to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: Damian Pinas wins via submission or decision within 2 rounds


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Kurtis Campbell vs. Demba Seck Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Kurtis Campbell vs Demba Seck – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-01
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, NV

Game Overview

A featherweight bout on Dana White's Contender Series Week 8 featuring undefeated grappler Kurtis Campbell (7-0) versus versatile striker and submission artist Demba Seck (10-2). Both fighters are on significant finish streaks, with Campbell aiming to extend his undefeated record and Seck looking to secure a UFC contract.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Campbell is undefeated with recent wins via submission and knockout, showing improved defensive grappling and composure under pressure. Seck has a 7-fight finish streak with strong striking and submission skills, making the bout competitive.
  • No previous matchup between Campbell and Seck, making this a first direct meeting to analyze styles and adaptability.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter impacting their performance or preparation.
  • Fight at UFC APEX in Las Vegas provides a neutral venue but high-pressure environment with UFC contract on the line for both prospects.
  • Both fighters highly motivated; Campbell to maintain undefeated status and move on to UFC, Seck to maximize finishing streak and earn UFC contract.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Kurtis Campbell: -420, Demba Seck: 350 Kurtis Campbell ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Kurtis Campbell -1.5: +150, Demba Seck +1.5: -180 Kurtis Campbell -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 1.5: -125, Under 1.5: +105 Over 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Kurtis Campbell -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Kurtis Campbell win; Spread: Kurtis Campbell by -1.5 rounds; Over/Under: Over 1.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Kurtis Campbell wins by late stoppage or decision in Round 2 or 3


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Rashid Vagabov vs. Paulo da Silva Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Rashid Vagabov vs Paulo da Silva – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-01
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Dana White's Contender Series – Week 8

Game Overview

This flyweight bout features Rashid Vagabov, a dominant grappler with a four-fight submission streak and strong ground control, facing Paulo da Silva, an 11-fight unbeaten striker with strong finishing power but susceptibility to takedowns and weaker defense.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vagabov is riding a four-fight submission win streak with notable endurance and wrestling dominance, while da Silva has an 11-fight winning streak primarily via striking and pressure but has shown vulnerability to takedowns.
  • No prior fights between Vagabov and da Silva; styles suggest Vagabov's grappling is favored to neutralize da Silva's striking advantage.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter at the time of analysis; both entered in full preparation for the bout.
  • Fighters are contesting for UFC contracts in Dana White's Contender Series, heightening motivation; Vagabov trains with the prestigious Nurmagomedov camp, implying superior grappling preparation.
  • Both competitors are highly motivated to secure UFC contracts, but Vagabov’s recent dominance and stylistic matchup give him a motivational edge to control the fight.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Rashid Vagabov: -600, Paulo da Silva: +450 Rashid Vagabov ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Rashid Vagabov -1.5 rounds: +124 Rashid Vagabov to win within 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 1.5 Rounds: -165, Under 1.5 Rounds: +145 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Rashid Vagabov -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 72%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 72% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 49.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rashid Vagabov wins by submission within 1.5 rounds.

Predicted Score: Vagabov wins by 1st round submission


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Louis Jourdain vs. Magno Dias Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Louis Jourdain vs Magno Dias – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-01
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, NV

Game Overview

This bantamweight contest at Dana White's Contender Series Week 8 features Louis Jourdain, riding a three-fight unbeaten streak, against Magno Dias, who enters with back-to-back first-round finishes. Both fighters are vying for a UFC contract.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Louis Jourdain holds an 8-3 record with consistent recent wins primarily through striking and durability. Magno Dias, with a 6-1 record, boasts aggressive finishes but has less overall experience at this level.
  • No previous recorded matchups between Jourdain and Dias exist, making this a stylistic matchup with limited direct comparison.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter at the time of the fight.
  • Fight held at UFC APEX provides a neutral venue; motivation is high for both as the winner secures a UFC contract. Jourdain’s experience in higher profile fights may provide an edge.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated with UFC contracts on the line, but Jourdain’s recent success streak and fight IQ may better handle pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Louis Jourdain: -185, Magno Dias: +160 Louis Jourdain ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Louis Jourdain -1.5 Rounds: +120, Magno Dias +1.5 Rounds: -140 Louis Jourdain -1.5 Rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 1.5 Rounds: -190, Under 1.5 Rounds: +165 Over 1.5 Rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Louis Jourdain -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Louis Jourdain to win on moneyline and the fight to go over 1.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Louis Jourdain wins by decision or late finish after round 2


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Christopher Alvidrez vs. Eliezer Kubanza Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Christopher Alvidrez vs Eliezer Kubanza – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-01
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Dana White's Contender Series Week 8

Game Overview

Christopher Alvidrez (6-1) and Eliezer Kubanza (7-0) face off in a welterweight bout on Dana White's Contender Series. Alvidrez is a strong finisher with four consecutive KO wins, relying on diverse striking and grappling. Kubanza is undefeated, with strong knockout power but questions around cardio endurance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alvidrez has demonstrated aggressive finishing ability with key first-round TKOs recently, while Kubanza remains undefeated but tends to fade in later rounds. Both fighters have knockout power, making an early finish likely.
  • No previous head-to-head matchups between Alvidrez and Kubanza exist, so this will be their first encounter.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout, allowing both to compete at full strength.
  • The fight takes place on Dana White's Contender Series, motivating both fighters to perform at peak to secure UFC contracts. Kubanza’s inexperience at this level could impact his composure under pressure.
  • High for both; Kubanza is undefeated and looking to secure a contract, while Alvidrez is aiming to extend his knockout streak and prove his skillset on a bigger stage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Christopher Alvidrez +235, Eliezer Kubanza -275 Eliezer Kubanza ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 1.5 +105, Under 1.5 -125 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Eliezer Kubanza -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Eliezer Kubanza to win by decision

Predicted Score: Kubanza wins by decision after 3 rounds


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Carlos Ulberg vs. Dominick Reyes Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Carlos Ulberg vs Dominick Reyes – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-28
  • Time: 4:45 AM UTC
  • Location: RAC Arena, Perth, Australia

Game Overview

Carlos Ulberg faces Dominick Reyes in a light heavyweight main event at UFC Fight Night 260. Ulberg enters with a 13-1 record, showing solid grappling and striking efficiency. Reyes, at 15-4, brings experience with slightly better striking accuracy but lower takedown success.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ulberg is on a strong upward trajectory with a recent key decision win over Jan Blachowicz, showcasing control and conditioning. Reyes has demonstrated resilience but is coming off mixed results and shows slightly lower takedown accuracy.
  • No prior fights between Ulberg and Reyes; this will be their first encounter.
  • No reported injuries to either fighter leading up to the bout, both expected to be in competitive shape.
  • Fight taking place in Perth may favor Ulberg slightly given his recent acclimation to fight outside the US and stronger recent form momentum.
  • Ulberg motivated to break into title contention with a signature win; Reyes looking to reassert himself after setbacks and keep career trajectory positive.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Carlos Ulberg: -250, Dominick Reyes: +205 Carlos Ulberg ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Carlos Ulberg -13.5: -180, Dominick Reyes +13.5: +130 Carlos Ulberg -13.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: +120, Under 2.5 rounds: -154 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Carlos Ulberg -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Carlos Ulberg to win by decision

Predicted Score: Carlos Ulberg wins by unanimous decision


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Jim Crute vs. Ivan Erslan Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jim Crute vs Ivan Erslan – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 4:15 AM UTC
  • Location: RAC Arena, Perth, Australia

Game Overview

Jim Crute, a proven UFC light heavyweight ranked contender with a solid wrestling base and finishing ability, faces Ivan Erslan who is making his UFC debut and seeking his first promotional win after mixed results in other promotions.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Crute holds a 13-4-2 record with recent struggles but better UFC experience and high finishing upside; Erslan is 14-5-0 with one no contest and has yet to secure a UFC victory, showing promising but less proven form.
  • No previous head-to-head matchups between Crute and Erslan exist.
  • No publicly reported injuries for either fighter leading into this bout.
  • Fight occurs in Crute's hometown of Perth, Australia, which may give him a psychological and crowd advantage. Erslan is traveling to a hostile environment for his UFC debut.
  • Crute looks to bounce back and assert position in the division; Erslan is highly motivated to secure his first UFC win and make a name on a big stage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jim Crute -185, Ivan Erslan +154 Jim Crute ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Jim Crute -7.5 -115, Ivan Erslan +7.5 -115 Jim Crute -7.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 1.5 -135, Under 1.5 +105 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jim Crute -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jimmy Crute to win via moneyline

Predicted Score: Jim Crute wins by decision or late finish within 3 rounds


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Jack Jenkins vs. Ramon Taveras Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jack Jenkins vs Ramon Taveras – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-28
  • Time: 3:45 AM UTC
  • Location: RAC Arena, Perth, Australia

Game Overview

Jack Jenkins faces Ramon Taveras in a Featherweight UFC main card fight. Jenkins (31, 13-4) is a versatile striker with a black belt in Jiu-Jitsu and strong finishing capability, while Taveras (31, 10-3) has a slight height and reach advantage. Both fighters have similar ages and substantial UFC experience.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Jenkins has a slightly better overall record (13-4) and a 4-2 UFC record, showing consistency and resilience in recent fights. Taveras has a solid 10-3 record but fewer UFC fights. Jenkins' recent form shows strong striking and grappling balance, while Taveras excels mainly in boxing with a reach advantage.
  • No previous direct encounters recorded between Jenkins and Taveras.
  • No current injury reports or concerns for either fighter leading into the bout.
  • Fight takes place in Perth, Australia, Jenkins' home country, potentially providing crowd advantage and local motivation. Both fighters appear mentally prepared, with Jenkins vowing to transform adversity into strength.
  • Jenkins motivated by legacy and hometown fight; Taveras motivated by career progression and defeating a well-rounded opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jack Jenkins: -285, Ramon Taveras: 230 Jack Jenkins ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Jack Jenkins -3.5: -120, Ramon Taveras +3.5: -110 Jack Jenkins -3.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5: -180, Under 2.5: 140 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jack Jenkins -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Jack Jenkins at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jack Jenkins to win on the moneyline, covering the -3.5 spread and the fight to go over 2.5 rounds.

Predicted Score: Jack Jenkins wins by decision or finish after round 2 (between rounds 3 and 5)


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Jake Matthews vs. Neil Magny Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jake Matthews vs Neil Magny – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-28
  • Time: 3:15 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Fight Night Perth

Game Overview

Welterweight MMA bout between Jake Matthews and Neil Magny scheduled for UFC Fight Night in Perth. Matthews enters as a strong favorite with better recent performances and younger age. Magny brings size, reach, and experience but is the underdog.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Matthews has been in very good form recently with a strong finishing ability inside the distance, winning by KO or submission. Magny has solid wins but lower finishing rate and is older with slightly declining athleticism.
  • No known direct previous matchups between Matthews and Magny. Styles suggest Matthews' grappling and finishing could challenge Magny despite size/reach advantage.
  • No reported recent injuries for either fighter, both appear healthy and prepared.
  • Fight takes place in Perth, near Matthews' home region (Australia), which may provide slight psychological and crowd support advantage. Magny is traveling internationally.
  • Matthews is motivated to maintain upward trajectory in welterweight division after recent wins. Magny aims to upset a highly favored opponent to regain top contender status.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Matthews -380 / Magny +300 Jake Matthews ★★★★☆ 76%
Spread Matthews -3.5 (-165) / Magny +3.5 (+120) Jake Matthews -3.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-145) / Under 2.5 (+114) Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jake Matthews -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 46%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 46% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 39.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jake Matthews to win by knockout or submission inside the distance

Predicted Score: Jake Matthews wins by 2nd round KO


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Justin Tafa vs. Louie Sutherland Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Justin Tafa vs Louie Sutherland – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 2:45 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Perth, Australia

Game Overview

Heavyweight bout featuring Justin Tafa, a heavier but less experienced UFC competitor, versus Louie Sutherland, a Southpaw with a stronger recent performance record making his UFC debut.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Tafa holds a 7-5-0 (1 NC) overall MMA record with moderate UFC experience but recent form has been inconsistent. Sutherland is on a 10-3-0 run and entering UFC with strong momentum and effective striking from the southpaw stance.
  • This will be their first professional meeting, no direct head-to-head data available.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the bout. Tafa had some previous undisclosed issues which are now resolved.
  • Bout taking place in Perth, Australia, close to Sutherland's origin which may offer him slight crowd and comfort advantage. Tafa is heavier with potential power edge.
  • Sutherland motivated by UFC debut progression and career momentum; Tafa motivated to reestablish his UFC standing after inconsistent results.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Justin Tafa: -118, Louie Sutherland: -102 Justin Tafa ★★★☆☆ 63%
Spread Justin Tafa -3.5: +105, Louie Sutherland +3.5: -140 Justin Tafa -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 1.5: -160, Under 1.5: +124 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Justin Tafa 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 57%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 57% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 45.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline win for Justin Tafa, spread cover by Tafa -3.5, under 1.5 rounds total

Predicted Score: Justin Tafa wins by TKO in round 2


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