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Martin Buday vs. Marcus Buchecha Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Martin Buday vs Marcus Buchecha – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Undisclosed UFC venue

Game Overview

This UFC heavyweight matchup features Martin Buday, a rising striker with strong KO power and improving grappling, facing Marcus Buchecha, a decorated BJJ world champion transitioning to MMA with heavy submission skills and solid wrestling base.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Buday has shown finishing ability primarily via strikes but has mixed results against elite grapplers. Buchecha has undefeated momentum in MMA with several submission wins, showcasing his ground dominance and improving striking.
  • No previous MMA head-to-head encounters between Buday and Buchecha, making this a stylistic clash between striking power and grappling control.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the fight, both full health and training camps intact.
  • Fight location and timing neutral with no discernible home advantage. Both fighters motivated to cement UFC status in the heavyweight division.
  • Buchecha highly motivated to prove his transition from elite BJJ to MMA is legitimate at a high level. Buday motivated by knockout power and to establish striking dominance in the division.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Marcus Buchecha: -300, Martin Buday: +250 Marcus Buchecha ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Marcus Buchecha -1.5 rounds: -150, Martin Buday +1.5 rounds: +130 Marcus Buchecha -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: -122, Under 1.5 rounds: -108 Over 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Marcus Buchecha -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Marcus Buchecha to win by submission

Predicted Score: Marcus Buchecha wins by submission in Round 2


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Ibo Aslan vs. Billy Elekana Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Ibo Aslan vs Billy Elekana – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi

Game Overview

This UFC light heavyweight bout features Ibo Aslan, a Turkish knockout artist with high striking volume and solid defense, facing Billy Elekana, a precise striker and grappler from the USA. Aslan enters as the clear favorite with heavier volume and better defense, while Elekana is the underdog relying on precision and grappling.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ibo Aslan delivers 7.84 significant strikes per minute at 50% accuracy and defends 63% of incoming strikes. Billy Elekana connects fewer strikes (2.34 per minute) but with higher accuracy (71%) and defends only 33% of strikes against him.
  • No direct H2H matchups recorded between Aslan and Elekana, making other factors more critical in prediction.
  • No recent injury news reported for either fighter up to July 24, 2025.
  • Fight takes place at UFC Abu Dhabi, neutral ground. Both fighters appear equally acclimated with no major external influences reported.
  • Aslan seeks to rebound from his first UFC defeat to reassert dominance; Elekana aims to capitalize on underdog status with grappling skills and precision striking.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ibo Aslan -258, Billy Elekana +218 Ibo Aslan ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds -115, Under 1.5 rounds -115 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ibo Aslan 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ibo Aslan wins by moneyline given striking volume, defensive edge, and favoritism in betting markets.

Predicted Score: Ibo Aslan wins via TKO/KO in Round 1 or early Round 2


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Asu Almabaev vs. Jose Ochoa Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Asu Almabaev vs Jose Ochoa – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Game Overview

Flyweight UFC main card fight between veteran grappler Asu Almabayev and rising prospect Jose Ochoa.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Almabayev holds a strong 21-3 record with a grappling-heavy, control-oriented style, averaging over 13 minutes per fight indicating a grind approach. Ochoa is an up-and-coming fighter fresh from a dominant KO win, with a more aggressive, fast-start style.
  • No previous head-to-head matchups; this is their first encounter, making styles and adaptability crucial.
  • No reported injuries for either athlete leading into the fight; both appear fully healthy and ready.
  • Fight takes place in a hot, dry environment (98°F forecast) in Abu Dhabi which could favor the more experienced, pace-controlling fighter used to longer fights.
  • Ochoa is highly motivated as a rising prospect aiming to make a statement, while Almabayev seeks to maintain veteran status and control the division.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Asu Almabayev -125, Jose Ochoa +105 Asu Almabayev ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Almabayev -3.5 -195, Ochoa +3.5 +140 Asu Almabayev -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 -195, Under 2.5 +150 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Asu Almabaev 19%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 50%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 50% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Asu Almabayev to win; Spread: Asu Almabayev to cover -3.5; Over/Under: Under 2.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Almabayev wins by decision after controlling pace and grappling dominance


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Amanda Ribas vs. Tabatha Ricci Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Amanda Ribas vs Tabatha Ricci – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi

Game Overview

Amanda Ribas faces Tabatha Ricci in a UFC women's flyweight bout. Ribas has a clear physical and technical edge with a 5-inch reach advantage and better strike defense, while Ricci relies heavily on grappling but struggles against top-level wrestlers.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ribas has lost three of her last four but shows strong striking accuracy (39%) and defense (stops 60% of strikes). Ricci lands a similar strike rate but absorbs significantly more (5.29/min). Ricci's recent wins were largely through wrestling, which may be neutralized by Ribas' excellent takedown defense.
  • No direct past matchups between Ribas and Ricci; Ricci's closest fight against a fighter of Ribas' caliber ended in TKO loss, suggesting difficulty handling elite opponents like Ribas.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter impacting this bout.
  • Fight takes place at UFC Abu Dhabi in Etihad Arena; no known travel or acclimatization issues for either fighter.
  • Ribas is motivated to rebound from recent losses against high-level competition, whereas Ricci aims to prove she can handle elite opponents but may be overmatched here.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ribas -200, Ricci +170 Amanda Ribas ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread No explicit -1.5 round spread odds available, inferred from fight style and odds Amanda Ribas to win by 2+ rounds clear ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -550, Under 2.5 rounds +400 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Amanda Ribas 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 250%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 250% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 62.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Amanda Ribas to win by KO/TKO

Predicted Score: Amanda Ribas wins by KO/TKO in Round 2


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Da'Mon Blackshear vs. Davey Grant Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Da'Mon Blackshear vs Davey Grant – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi

Game Overview

Da'Mon Blackshear and Davey Grant meet at UFC Abu Dhabi in a bantamweight bout where Blackshear enters as a strong favorite based on recent odds and performance metrics. The fight is expected to be competitive but with a likely finish under 3 rounds.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Blackshear (16-7) has a slight edge in significant strikes landed per minute (4.70) versus Grant (5.25) but lands a higher percentage (46% vs 44%). Grant also has better strike defense (55% deflection vs Blackshear 52%). Both fighters show durability with similar strikes absorbed per minute.
  • No direct historical matchup between the two, making form and style matchup key in analysis.
  • No reported injuries to either fighter leading into the bout, suggesting both are at full capacity physically.
  • Fighting at home-favored venue Abu Dhabi's Etihad Arena may favor Blackshear with crowd support. The pressure to perform as the heavy favorite may affect Blackshear's approach.
  • Blackshear is motivated to justify favorite billing and progress in rankings, while Grant, as underdog, may seek an upset to revitalize career momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Da'Mon Blackshear: -330, Davey Grant: +270 Da'Mon Blackshear ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Not listed explicitly; implied -1.5 rounds favoring Blackshear Blackshear -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2.5 -130, Under 2.5 +100 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 57%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Da'Mon Blackshear -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Da'Mon Blackshear to win by decision

Predicted Score: Da'Mon Blackshear wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Marcus McGhee vs. Petr Yan Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Marcus McGhee vs Petr Yan – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi

Game Overview

This bantamweight UFC main card fight features Petr Yan, a switch fighter with a record of 18-5, against Marcus McGhee, an orthodox fighter holding a 10-1 record. Yan is a precise and aggressive striker known for a high volume and efficiency of significant strikes, while McGhee offers superior reach and slightly higher strike output but with lower accuracy. Both fighters are in prime physical condition with no notable injuries reported. The matchup is expected to be competitive with Yan as the heavy favorite due to experience and defensive capabilities.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Petr Yan averages 5.11 significant strikes landed per minute with a 54% accuracy and defends 58% of strikes; Marcus McGhee lands more strikes per minute at 6.06 but only connects at 48%, defending 64%. Yan has fought and won more high-level fights, showing consistency in performance and adaptation.
  • No prior encounters between Yan and McGhee, making this a fresh matchup where stylistic analysis is critical.
  • No current injuries reported for either fighter, both entering fight in peak condition.
  • Fight held at Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi, a neutral venue with no home advantage, but Yan has previously performed well internationally. No weather or travel concerns impacting performance.
  • Yan is motivated to reestablish dominance in the bantamweight division following recent high-profile bouts. McGhee aims to make a statement with a major upset to accelerate his rising career trajectory.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Marcus_McGhee: +300, Petr_Yan: -380 Petr Yan ★★★★☆ 76%
Spread Marcus_McGhee +3.5: -105, Petr_Yan -3.5: -125 Petr Yan -3.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 2.5: -330, Under 2.5: +240 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Petr Yan -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 104%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 104% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 43.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Petr Yan to win by decision

Predicted Score: Petr Yan wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Khotam Boynazarov vs. James Llontop Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Khotam Boynazarov vs James Llontop – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-24
  • Time: 1:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Space42 Arena, Al Raha, Abu Dhabi

Game Overview

The welterweight title clash at UAE Warriors 62 features reigning champion Khotam Boynazarov defending his belt against James Llontop, a former UFC fighter making his promotion debut after recent strong performances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Boynazarov enters undefeated in UAE Warriors and as reigning welterweight champion, while Llontop has rebounded well after UFC release with consecutive wins including a TKO in Fusion Fight Championship.
  • No prior head-to-head matchups between Boynazarov and Llontop exist.
  • Neither fighter has reported recent injuries affecting their preparation or performance.
  • Fight held at neutral venue with Boynazarov having home-crowd advantage in Abu Dhabi; Llontop motivated for a strong debut in UAE Warriors and eventual UFC recall.
  • Boynazarov motivated to defend title and extend unbeaten streak, while Llontop driven to capture another title to elevate his comeback bid.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Boynazarov -550, Llontop +325 Khotam Boynazarov ★★★★☆ 79%
Spread Boynazarov -1.5 rounds -350, Llontop +1.5 rounds +280 Khotam Boynazarov -1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -120, Under 2.5 rounds +100 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Khotam Boynazarov -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Khotam Boynazarov at -8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Khotam Boynazarov to win by moneyline given dominant form and title champion status.

Predicted Score: Khotam Boynazarov wins by second-round TKO


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Caio Machado vs. Kevin Oumar Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Caio Machado vs Kevin Oumar – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-23
  • Time: 1:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

This matchup at UAE Warriors 61 features Caio Machado against Kevin Oumar. Given Machado's favored status, the fight seems to lean towards his experience and recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Caio Machado is favored, indicating a perceived advantage in recent form and experience.
  • No recent head-to-head data is available, which complicates precise predictions.
  • No reports of significant injuries affecting either fighter.
  • External factors such as venue and crowd support could play a role but are less significant in MMA.
  • Both fighters are likely motivated, but this is hard to quantify without specific context.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Caio Machado: -190, Kevin Oumar: 145 Caio Machado ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Caio Machado -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Caio Machado at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Caio Machado to win

Predicted Score: Decision in favor of Caio Machado


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Paulo Henrique Costa vs. Roman Kopylov Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Paulo Henrique Costa vs Roman Kopylov – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-20
  • Time: 3:45 AM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

This matchup between Paulo Henrique Costa and Roman Kopylov promises intense action in the UFC. Costa is the underdog, while Kopylov is favored. The odds suggest a close contest, with Kopylov's versatility and recent form giving him an edge.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Roman Kopylov's recent performances have shown consistency, while Paulo Henrique Costa has been inconsistent.
  • There is no recorded head-to-head matchup between these fighters.
  • No significant injury updates are available for either fighter.
  • The fight's venue and any crowd factors could influence the fighters' performance, but specific details are not available.
  • Both fighters are motivated, but Kopylov might have more to prove as the favorite.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Paulo Henrique Costa: 185, Roman Kopylov: -225 Roman Kopylov Not available
Spread Paulo Henrique Costa: -150 for +3.5, Roman Kopylov: 110 for -3.5 Roman Kopylov Not available
Over/under over: -230 for 2.5 rounds, under: 175 for 2.5 rounds Over Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Roman Kopylov -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Roman Kopylov at -6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Roman Kopylov to win by decision or late stoppage.

Predicted Score: No specific score prediction available for MMA fights.


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Dustin Poirier vs. Max Holloway Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Dustin Poirier vs Max Holloway – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-20
  • Time: 3:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, Louisiana

Game Overview

This highly anticipated third meeting between Dustin Poirier and Max Holloway heads the UFC 318 main event, featuring the BMF title on the line. Poirier is set to retire after this bout, adding finality and heightened stakes to his performance. Holloway seeks redemption to avenge his previous losses against Poirier and defend his belt.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Poirier is coming off a submission loss to Islam Makhachev but holds a strong legacy and motivation to retire as BMF champion. Holloway suffered a knockout loss to Ilia Topuiria recently but boasts an active 22-8 UFC record with aggressive striking and volume.
  • Poirier holds a 2-0 advantage in their head-to-head history, including early career bouts where he won by submission and decision. Holloway aims to reverse this but has yet to secure a win against Poirier.
  • No significant injuries reported for either fighter that could impact performance notably at fight time.
  • The bout location favors Poirier slightly due to his fanbase, and the retirement narrative adds pressure and edge to his preparation. Holloway's public declarations of a historic fight indicate strong motivation.
  • Poirier’s motivation to retire on a high with the BMF title favors him psychologically. Holloway is motivated to prove himself and redeem past losses but faces added pressure to defend his legacy.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dustin Poirier: +124, Max Holloway: -148 Max Holloway ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Poirier +5.5 -195, Holloway -5.5 +140 Max Holloway -5.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 4.5 rounds -160, Under 4.5 rounds +124 Under 4.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Max Holloway -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 4.5 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 4.5 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Max Holloway to win by decision

Predicted Score: Max Holloway wins via unanimous decision after 5 rounds


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