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Edmund Kwan vs. Loai Abushaar Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Edmund Kwan vs Loai Abushaar – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: LFA 213 event – Central California (specific venue not listed)

Game Overview

Edmund Kwan (4-0) faces Loai Abushaar (4-1) in a lightweight MMA bout at LFA 213. Both fighters are undefeated or nearly undefeated prospects with aggressive finishes. Kwan is a rising star with all wins, showing balanced finishing ability (KO, submission, decision). Abushaar has a strong record with 2 submissions and 2 KOs, but has one recent KO loss.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Kwan is undefeated at 4-0, with victories including KOs and submissions, showing well-rounded skills. Abushaar holds a 4-1 record, with his loss coming via first-round KO in August 2023. Kwan shows more recent consistent success without losses.
  • No prior head-to-head fights between Kwan and Abushaar.
  • No public information about injuries affecting either fighter ahead of the bout.
  • Fight is hosted by LFA, a respected promotion that has launched UFC careers; event location is neutral, though closer to Kwan's recent fight locales in the U.S.
  • Kwan is a top lightweight prospect eager to maintain his undefeated record and move towards UFC contention. Abushaar looks to rebound from his sole career loss and establish himself as a top contender.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Kwan -500, Abushaar +375 Kwan ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 1.5 -155, Under 1.5 +125 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Edmund Kwan -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 35%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 35% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Edmund Kwan to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: Edmund Kwan wins by second round finish


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Rafael do Nascimento vs. Arnold Jimenez Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Rafael do Nascimento vs Arnold Jimenez – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Tachi Palace Casino Resort

Game Overview

A bantamweight bout between Rafael do Nascimento (10-3) and Arnold Jimenez (12-3) at LFA 213. Both fighters have solid records with Jimenez holding a slight edge in recent performances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Rafael do Nascimento is coming off a strong showing, maintaining a 10-3 record, focusing on striking and grappling with knockout power. Arnold Jimenez is 12-3 with solid wins but with slightly less knockout power and less recent finishes.
  • No recorded previous head-to-head matchup between the two fighters, making this a fresh tactical contest.
  • No reported injuries or withdrawals for either fighter leading into the bout.
  • The fight takes place at Tachi Palace, a venue with which do Nascimento has had notable success, potentially providing a slight home advantage.
  • Both fighters are motivated to ascend the LFA bantamweight rankings; do Nascimento’s recent knockout highlight and Jimenez’s 12 wins suggest strong desire from both.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Rafael do Nascimento -330, Arnold Jimenez +270 Rafael do Nascimento ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Unavailable exact numerical spread odds, implied line approximately -1.5 rounds favoring do Nascimento Rafael do Nascimento -1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -115, Under 2.5 rounds -115 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Rafael do Nascimento -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Rafael do Nascimento to win. Spread: Rafael do Nascimento -1.5 rounds. Over/Under: Under 2.5 rounds.

Predicted Score: Rafael do Nascimento wins via TKO in round 2


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Chris Gonzalez vs. Jacob Rosales Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Chris Gonzalez vs Jacob Rosales – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Lemoore, California, United States

Game Overview

The matchup features Chris Gonzalez, an experienced Bellator veteran and Urijah Faber protégé with an 8-3 professional record, against Jacob Rosales in an LFA 213 lightweight bout. Gonzalez is favored by bookmakers due to his superior experience and skill level.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Chris Gonzalez comes in with a solid recent form, showcasing superior striking and grappling skills, while Rosales has struggled against higher-caliber opponents.
  • No previous head-to-head matchups are available between Gonzalez and Rosales, making this their first encounter.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout, indicating both are at full health.
  • Fight is at a neutral venue in Lemoore, California, with Gonzalez possibly benefiting from his association with Team Alpha Male and Bellator experience.
  • Gonzalez has strong motivation to maintain momentum as he aims to solidify his status in the lightweight division, while Rosales is motivated to prove himself against a tougher opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Chris Gonzalez -265 / Jacob Rosales +225 Chris Gonzalez ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread No formal spread market available; implied close to -1.5 rounds favoring Gonzalez Chris Gonzalez to win by more than 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -185 / Under 2.5 rounds +155 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Chris Gonzalez -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at -6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Chris Gonzalez to win via moneyline

Predicted Score: Chris Gonzalez wins by decision after 3 rounds


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Shealor Ladd vs. Pedro Lay Jr. Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Shealor Ladd vs Pedro Lay Jr. – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Lemoore, California (LFA 213)

Game Overview

Light Heavyweight bout featuring undefeated prospects Shealor Ladd and Pedro Lay Jr., both standing 2-0 professionally. Ladd has both wins in LFA with finishes inside the distance; Lay has one LFA fight and one finish in two wins.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Shealor Ladd is 2-0 in LFA with both wins finished inside distance, showing strong finishing ability and recent form. Pedro Lay Jr. is also 2-0 but slightly less experienced within LFA and has just one finish.
  • No known previous head-to-head meetings between Shealor Ladd and Pedro Lay Jr.
  • No reported injuries for either competitor leading into the fight.
  • Fight is on home soil for Ladd in Lemoore, California, potentially giving him a motivational edge.
  • Both fighters seek to remain undefeated and build momentum, but Ladd’s local support and finishing style suggest higher motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Shealor Ladd -220, Pedro Lay Jr. +185 Shealor Ladd ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread -1.5 rounds Shealor Ladd -120, +1.5 rounds Pedro Lay Jr. +100 Shealor Ladd -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 1.5 -115, Under 1.5 -115 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Shealor Ladd -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Shealor Ladd to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: Shealor Ladd wins by TKO in Round 2


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Reinier de Ridder vs. Robert Whittaker Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Reinier de Ridder vs Robert Whittaker – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Game Overview

A middleweight UFC main event featuring Reinier de Ridder, a strong grappler known for his submission and control game, against former UFC Middleweight Champion Robert Whittaker, a versatile striker with solid takedown defense.

Key Factors to Consider

  • De Ridder is on a significant rise, showcasing a submission average of 1.36 per fight and high striking accuracy (78.66%), while Whittaker has a more balanced but less finish-focused approach and a lower striking output.
  • This is a first-time matchup with no prior head-to-head fights between the two.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter heading into the bout.
  • The fight is in Abu Dhabi at the Etihad Arena, a neutral venue, with similar travel and acclimation for both fighters.
  • De Ridder aims to vault himself immediately into UFC title contention with a win, while Whittaker looks to reestablish dominance at middleweight after previous losses.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline reinier_de_ridder: +140, robert_whittaker: -166 Robert Whittaker ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread reinier_de_ridder: -145, robert_whittaker: +105 Robert Whittaker -5.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under over: -125, under: -105 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Robert Whittaker -12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Robert Whittaker to win by decision

Predicted Score: Whittaker wins by unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)


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Nikita Krylov vs. Bogdan Guskov Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Nikita Krylov vs Bogdan Guskov – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Game Overview

Light heavyweight MMA bout between veteran Nikita Krylov and rising contender Bogdan Guskov, featuring contrasting styles and extensive pro experience for Krylov against power and momentum for Guskov.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Krylov holds a 30-10 record with solid striking accuracy (54%) and defense (44%), showing cage composure and experience. Guskov is 17-3 with slightly better striking accuracy (55%) but less defense (43%) and less overall experience.
  • No recorded prior matchups between Krylov and Guskov, making this a fresh contest largely based on recent form and styles.
  • No reported injuries affecting either fighter prior to fight date.
  • Fight held indoors at Etihad Arena amid dry Abu Dhabi heat of ~105°F outside; arena conditions should not affect either fighter adversely. Broadcast on ESPN+ for wide viewer exposure.
  • Krylov aims to maintain veteran status as dominant light heavyweight; Guskov motivated to capitalize on rising momentum and establish himself at elite level.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Krylov -198, Guskov +164 Krylov ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Krylov -3.5 (-165), Guskov +3.5 (120) Krylov -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 1.5 (+110), Under 1.5 (-140) Over 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Nikita Krylov -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 26%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nikita Krylov to win via decision or late finish by using superior experience and composed striking defense to outlast Guskov.

Predicted Score: Krylov wins by decision after 3 rounds


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Shara Magomedov vs. Marc-Andre Barriault Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Shara Magomedov vs Marc-Andre Barriault – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi

Game Overview

The UFC middleweight matchup features Shara Magomedov, a dominant 15-1 fighter known for his accuracy and defensive ability, facing off against Marc-Andre Barriault, a durable and high-volume striker with a 17-9 record.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Magomedov exhibits higher striking accuracy (62%) and better striking defense (42% strikes absorbed) than Barriault, who lands more total strikes per minute but with lower accuracy (47%) and absorbs more strikes (5.57 per minute). Magomedov's recent loss has motivated him to reassert dominance.
  • No recorded head-to-head bouts; this will be their first meeting.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout.
  • Fight held at neutral venue in Abu Dhabi, with no discernible home advantage or external stressors for either fighter.
  • Magomedov seeks to recover from his first professional loss and reestablish himself as a top contender; Barriault aims to capitalize on his durability and experience to upset the favored Magomedov.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Shara Magomedov -625, Marc-Andre Barriault +455 Shara Magomedov ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Shara Magomedov -3.5 (-290), Marc-Andre Barriault +3.5 (205) Shara Magomedov -3.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 1.5 (-188), Under 1.5 (+145) Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Shara Magomedov -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 59%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 59% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 40.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Shara Magomedov to win; Spread: Shara Magomedov to win by more than 3.5 rounds; Over/Under: Under 1.5 rounds (fight likely to go longer)

Predicted Score: Shara Magomedov wins by decision after three rounds


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Said Nurmagomedov vs. Bryce Mitchell Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Said Nurmagomedov vs Bryce Mitchell – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: July 26, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi

Game Overview

Bryce Mitchell (17-4-0) moves down to bantamweight for the first time, facing Said Nurmagomedov (18-4-0), who is coming off a decision loss. Mitchell is favored slightly in the betting odds.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mitchell has been landing significant strikes at a rate of 2.44 per minute and defending 60% of them. Nurmagomedov, meanwhile, lands 3.38 significant strikes per minute and defends 56%.
  • No previous head-to-head matchups.
  • There are no reported significant injuries for either fighter at this time.
  • The fight's location and timing of the event are unlikely to favor one fighter significantly.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with Mitchell debuting in a new weight class and Nurmagomedov seeking redemption after a loss.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bryce Mitchell -140, Said Nurmagomedov 120 Bryce Mitchell ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 -155, Under 2.5 125 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bryce Mitchell 11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 53%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 53% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 42.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bryce Mitchell is likely to win by decision or a closely contested fight.

Predicted Score: Bryce Mitchell wins by decision


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Carlos Leal vs. Muslim Salikhov Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Carlos Leal vs Muslim Salikhov – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Game Overview

Carlos Leal and Muslim Salikhov meet in a welterweight MMA bout at UFC Abu Dhabi with contrasting styles and statistics. Leal is the heavy favorite with faster strike output, while Salikhov's defense and striking accuracy remain notable.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Leal has a higher significant strike rate (9.65/min) and accuracy (50%) but takes more incoming strikes (7.73/min). Salikhov lands fewer strikes (3.38/min) but defends better, absorbing only 2.90 significant strikes/min and blocking 62%.
  • No direct head-to-head history between Leal and Salikhov available for this matchup, making form and style matchup critical.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout.
  • Fight takes place in Abu Dhabi, neutral ground likely minimizing travel fatigue impacts. Both fighters compete professionally to advance welterweight rankings.
  • Leal is favored heavily and likely motivated to justify his status, while Salikhov as underdog aims to capitalize on defensive strengths and upset potential.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Carlos Leal -500 / Muslim Salikhov +375 Carlos Leal ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Not explicitly provided; implied -1.5 rounds for Leal Carlos Leal by more than 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds -145 / Under 1.5 rounds +115 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Carlos Leal -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 29%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Carlos Leal to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: Carlos Leal wins by TKO in round 2


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Martin Buday vs. Marcus Buchecha Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Martin Buday vs Marcus Buchecha – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Undisclosed UFC venue

Game Overview

This UFC heavyweight matchup features Martin Buday, a rising striker with strong KO power and improving grappling, facing Marcus Buchecha, a decorated BJJ world champion transitioning to MMA with heavy submission skills and solid wrestling base.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Buday has shown finishing ability primarily via strikes but has mixed results against elite grapplers. Buchecha has undefeated momentum in MMA with several submission wins, showcasing his ground dominance and improving striking.
  • No previous MMA head-to-head encounters between Buday and Buchecha, making this a stylistic clash between striking power and grappling control.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the fight, both full health and training camps intact.
  • Fight location and timing neutral with no discernible home advantage. Both fighters motivated to cement UFC status in the heavyweight division.
  • Buchecha highly motivated to prove his transition from elite BJJ to MMA is legitimate at a high level. Buday motivated by knockout power and to establish striking dominance in the division.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Marcus Buchecha: -300, Martin Buday: +250 Marcus Buchecha ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Marcus Buchecha -1.5 rounds: -150, Martin Buday +1.5 rounds: +130 Marcus Buchecha -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: -122, Under 1.5 rounds: -108 Over 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Marcus Buchecha -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Marcus Buchecha to win by submission

Predicted Score: Marcus Buchecha wins by submission in Round 2


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