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Lucas Rocha vs. Stewart Nicoll Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Lucas Rocha vs Stewart Nicoll – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-11
  • Time: 9:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Farmasi Arena, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

Lucas Rocha and Stewart Nicoll face off in a highly competitive Flyweight UFC prelim bout, both with strong records and contrasting styles. Rocha is a younger fighter with a robust grappling base and defense weaknesses, while Nicoll is more accurate and defensively sound striker with a slight reach advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Lucas Rocha has a 17-2 record, landing 2.00 significant strikes per minute at 44% accuracy but allowing 4.48 strikes per minute. Stewart Nicoll sports an 8-1 record, delivering 3.02 significant strikes per minute at 47% accuracy and allowing only 1.13, indicating superior striking efficiency and defense.
  • No previous head-to-head encounters between the two fighters; styles and statistics provide primary insight.
  • No reported injuries or recent complications for either fighter leading into the bout.
  • Fight takes place in Brazil, Lucas Rocha’s home country, possibly providing him with crowd support. Nicoll is fighting away from home, which may impact motivation slightly but also reduces pressure.
  • Rocha, at age 25 and entering his prime, has a strong motivation to maintain trajectory and capitalize on home advantage. Nicoll, experienced at 29 with a solid record, is likely motivated to prove himself on the UFC stage against a top contender on foreign soil.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Lucas Rocha: -118, Stewart Nicoll: -102 Stewart Nicoll ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Lucas Rocha -3.5: 105, Stewart Nicoll +3.5: -140 Stewart Nicoll +3.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5: 135, Under 2.5: -175 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Stewart Nicoll -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 -6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Stewart Nicoll at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Stewart Nicoll to win via moneyline, covering the fight spread slightly by decision or late stoppage, with total strikes tending under 2.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Stewart Nicoll wins by unanimous decision or late round stoppage; fight ends before 3 rounds


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Valter Walker vs. Mohammed Usman Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Valter Walker vs Mohammed Usman – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-11
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC Rio

Game Overview

Heavyweight bout between Valter Walker and Mohammed Usman scheduled for UFC Rio prelims. Walker is the favorite according to current odds, with a strong recent record and physical advantages in height and reach.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Valter Walker is currently on an upward trend with notable wins, including a recent dominant performance over Kennedy Nzechukwu. Mohammed Usman recently snapped a brief losing streak with a unanimous decision win but is the underdog.
  • No previous fights between Valter Walker and Mohammed Usman, making this their first meeting.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter prior to the fight.
  • The fight is part of a major UFC event at UFC Rio, in Walker's home country Brazil, which may give him a motivational edge and crowd support.
  • Walker appears highly motivated coming off several victories and fighting at home. Usman, while motivated to rebound from previous losses, faces an uphill battle as the underdog.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Valter Walker: -310, Mohammed Usman: 250 Valter Walker ★★★★☆ 73%
Spread Valter Walker -3.5: -195, Mohammed Usman +3.5: 140 Valter Walker -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5: 120, Under 2.5: -154 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Valter Walker -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Valter Walker to win by decision

Predicted Score: Valter Walker wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Julia Polastri vs. Karolina Kowalkiewicz Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Julia Polastri vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-11
  • Time: 8:35 PM UTC
  • Location: Farmasi Arena, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

Julia Polastri, a 27-year-old rising Brazilian strawweight prospect with a 13-5 record and strong Muay Thai skills, faces 39-year-old veteran Karolina Kowalkiewicz, a former title challenger with a 16-9 record. The fight is scheduled for 3 rounds in the UFC Strawweight division at UFC Fight Night in Rio de Janeiro.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Polastri is younger with a more aggressive striking style, landing 5.62 significant strikes per minute at 55% accuracy, while Kowalkiewicz averages 5.54 strikes at 43% accuracy. Both absorb similar damage rates, but Polastri has a slight edge in striking efficiency.
  • No previous head-to-head matches between Polastri and Kowalkiewicz.
  • No significant reported injuries to either fighter leading into the bout.
  • Fight takes place in Brazil, giving Polastri home advantage crowd support. Kowalkiewicz has prior UFC fights in Brazil with mixed results (1 win, 1 loss).
  • Polastri aims to establish herself as a top contender and capitalize on home advantage. Kowalkiewicz seeks to rebound after consecutive losses in 2024, looking to reclaim momentum late in her career.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Julia Polastri: -470, Karolina Kowalkiewicz: +360 Julia Polastri ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Julia Polastri -3.5: -120, Karolina Kowalkiewicz +3.5: -110 Julia Polastri -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5: -445, Under 2.5: +310 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Julia Polastri -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 154%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 154% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 49.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Julia Polastri to win via decision

Predicted Score: Julia Polastri wins by unanimous decision (3 rounds)


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Tarik Khbabez vs. Bahram Rajabzadeh Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Tarik Khbabez vs Bahram Rajabzadeh – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-11
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: RTM Stage, Rotterdam, The Netherlands

Game Overview

The GLORY 104 Light Heavyweight title fight between Tarik Khbabez and Bahram Rajabzadeh features two top-tier knockout artists known for their aggressive, explosive styles. Khbabez, the former champion, looks to reclaim his title after losing it earlier in 2025, while Rajabzadeh enters as a dangerous and popular challenger riding a streak of six consecutive knockout wins.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Khbabez holds a strong record of 52-12-1 with 28 KOs and has showcased resilience and endurance in fights, while Rajabzadeh is more prolific with a 72-5 record and 64 knockouts, demonstrating relentless finishing ability over recent bouts.
  • There are no known previous matchups between Khbabez and Rajabzadeh, making this their first direct encounter.
  • No publicly reported injuries for either fighter going into this match, both appear fully fit following recent activity.
  • The fight takes place on neutral ground in Rotterdam; Rajabzadeh's nickname and fighting history may energize him, while Khbabez benefits from familiarity with GLORY events and a strong fan base.
  • Khbabez is highly motivated to recapture the lost title and solidify his legacy; Rajabzadeh aims to cement himself as a dominant champion following an impressive knockout streak, adding a psychological edge to each fighter's approach.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -140 for Rajabzadeh, +115 for Khbabez Bahram Rajabzadeh ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread -1.5 at -110 for Rajabzadeh, +1.5 at -110 for Khbabez Rajabzadeh -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -120, Under 2.5 rounds +100 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bahram Rajabzadeh to win on the moneyline with a knockout finish.

Predicted Score: Rajabzadeh wins by KO in Round 2


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Levi Rigters vs. Asadulla Nasipov Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Levi Rigters vs Asadulla Nasipov – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-11
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: RTM Stage, Netherlands

Game Overview

Levi Rigters, the aggressive and technically proficient striker with a 20-3 record and notable KO power, faces off against Asadulla Nasipov, who holds a 12-2 record and has fewer knockouts. This bout is part of the GLORY 104 Last Heavyweight Standing tournament with Rigters favored due to his recent high-profile stoppage victories and championship aspirations.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Levi Rigters recently stopped top contender Jamal Ben Saddik with a liver kick, demonstrating peak performance and finishing ability. Nasipov has also been successful but lacks the same level of recent scaled victories and knockout power.
  • No direct prior matchups between Rigters and Nasipov reported, making form and fighting style the key differentiators.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout, indicating both should be at full strength.
  • The bout takes place at RTM Stage in the Netherlands, favoring Rigters due to regional familiarity and strong local support which can boost performance.
  • Rigters has expressed strong motivation to win the Last Heavyweight Standing tournament and reclaim a dominant status, while Nasipov, though motivated, is less experienced on this high-profile stage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -250 (Rigters), +190 (Nasipov) Levi Rigters ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread -1.5 (-140) for Rigters, +1.5 (+120) for Nasipov Rigters -1.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds (-110), Under 2.5 rounds (-110) Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 69%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Levi Rigters to win by knockout

Predicted Score: Levi Rigters wins by KO in round 2


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Errol Koning vs. Mohamed Amine Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Errol Koning vs Mohamed Amine – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-11
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Unknown

Game Overview

Errol Koning faces Mohamed Amine in an MMA bout scheduled for October 11, 2025. Both fighters have a background in striking disciplines, with Koning recognized for his technical striking and fight IQ, while Amine is known for aggression and finishing capability.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Errol Koning has shown consistency in recent fights with a combination of technical striking and grappling defense, maintaining a positive momentum. Mohamed Amine has demonstrated strong finishing ability but has been less consistent in decision outcomes lately.
  • There are no recorded previous matchups between Errol Koning and Mohamed Amine, making this encounter a fresh test without direct statistical comparison.
  • No recent injuries reported for either fighter prior to the bout, allowing both to compete at full strength.
  • No notable external distractions or issues for either fighter. Both appear focused and well-prepared based on public information.
  • Koning is motivated to maintain his upward trajectory and possibly advance rankings, while Amine aims to establish himself more firmly on the regional MMA scene. Slight edge to Koning based on his recent stable form.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -145 Errol Koning ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread +120 Errol Koning by 1-5 points ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under -110 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Errol Koning moneyline

Predicted Score: Errol Koning wins via decision or late TKO in round 3


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Sofian Laïdouni vs. Nabil Khachab Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Sofian Laïdouni vs Nabil Khachab – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-11
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Arnhem, Netherlands

Game Overview

The GLORY Heavyweight Grand Prix quarter-final between Sofian Laïdouni and Nabil Khachab is a high-stakes kickboxing matchup featuring two top heavyweight contenders. Laïdouni is a seasoned and powerful striker with a record of 35-2-1, known for consistent output and finishing ability. Khachab is younger, highly cardio-capable with a volume striking style, relying more on combinations and leg kicks, yet with fewer knockout finishes.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Laïdouni shows strong recent form with a KO win against Oleg Pryimachov and overall consistent performance. Khachab recently lost a split decision to Milos Cvjeticanin but has demonstrated resilience and volume striking, indicating good durability and cardio.
  • Their last known matchup resulted in a unanimous decision win for Laïdouni, who outstruck Khachab and maintained pace throughout. Khachab slowed down in later rounds whereas Laïdouni kept steady output.
  • No reported recent injuries for either fighter, both appear healthy, enabling them to fight at full capacity.
  • The event is a one-night tournament with $500,000 prize money, increasing motivation and pressure. Laïdouni’s experience might provide mental edge under high-stakes conditions.
  • Laïdouni aims to solidify his position as a top heavyweight and potentially face Rico Verhoeven next, while Khachab, younger and less experienced, is looking to prove himself and develop his fight career.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sofian Laïdouni +135, Nabil Khachab -155 Sofian Laïdouni ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Laïdouni -1.5 (+150), Khachab +1.5 (-170) Laïdouni -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds (-110), Under 2.5 rounds (-110) Over 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sofian Laïdouni to win by unanimous decision

Predicted Score: Laïdouni wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Rade Opacic vs. Mike Kena Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Rade Opacic vs Mike Kena – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-11
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: RTM Stage, Netherlands

Game Overview

The fight features Rade Opacic (22-7, 17 KO) of Serbia against Mike Kena (9-1, 7 KO) from Congo in the Last Heavyweight Standing tournament semi-final event at Glory 104. Both fighters are 28 years old with strong knockout power, presenting a highly competitive match.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Opacic has a longer pro record and has recently secured a victory over Ionut Iancu. Kena is on a strong upward momentum with 7 KOs in 9 wins but lacks the extensive high-level experience Opacic has.
  • No previous head-to-head matchups available; this is their first meeting.
  • No reported injuries or physical setbacks for either fighter ahead of the bout.
  • Both fighters are competing in a tournament setting which can affect pacing and risk-taking. Opacic’s experience in tournament shows his ability to manage multiple fights.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with Opacic aiming to consolidate his recent tournament success while Kena looks to make a mark on the bigger stage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -140 for Opacic, +120 for Kena Opacic ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread -1.5 Opacic (-110), +1.5 Kena (-110) Opacic -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds (-115), Under 2.5 rounds (-105) Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Rade Opacic to win

Predicted Score: Opacic wins by decision or late-round TKO within 3 rounds


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Berjan Peposhi vs. Aitor Ibanez Currito Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Berjan Peposhi vs Aitor Ibanez Currito – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: October 11, 2025
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

Berjan Peposhi, known for his aggressive striking and knockout power, faces Aitor Ibanez Currito, who excels in grappling. The contrast between their fighting styles could lead to an exciting and potentially early finish.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Berjan Peposhi has a strong record with highlight-reel knockouts, while Aitor Ibanez Currito is adept at submissions. Peposhi's vulnerability to being hit could be a deciding factor if Ibanez Currito can take the fight to the ground.
  • No prior H2H data available.
  • No reported injuries.
  • Factors like crowd support and altitude could influence fighters but are not specified.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, given the stakes of the matchup.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline [Assumed odds for illustration: Peposhi -150, Ibanez Currito +130] Berjan Peposhi ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Berjan Peposhi has a slight edge due to his knockout power, but Aitor Ibanez Currito offers value for a submission win.

Predicted Score: No specific score prediction available due to MMA's nature.


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Sergej Braun vs. Iliass Hammouche Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Sergej Braun vs Iliass Hammouche – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-11
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Not explicitly specified – Glory 104 tournament likely venue

Game Overview

A middleweight MMA bout featuring Sergej Braun, a powerful striker with a professional record of 45-14 and 27 KOs, against Iliass Hammouche, with a solid record of 34-8 and 7 KOs. Both fighters have high-level experience and knockout capability but differ in finishing styles.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sergej Braun has shown consistent knockout power (27 KOs) and experience in high-pressure tournaments; Iliass Hammouche has fewer knockouts but a strong technical striking background.
  • No direct H2H matchups found between Braun and Hammouche, implying a fresh tactical matchup; past fights indicate Braun generally favors an aggressive approach.
  • No recent injuries reported for either fighter within available data; both appear to be entering the bout at full health.
  • Fight is part of Glory 104 tournament series; both fighters motivated to advance further; Braun’s recent high-profile bouts have increased his confidence and exposure.
  • Braun motivated by recent successes and desire to capitalize on momentum; Hammouche motivated to prove technical striking superiority and upset a powerful knockout artist.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Braun -145, Hammouche +125 Sergej Braun ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Braun -1.5 (+150), Hammouche +1.5 (-180) Sergej Braun -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds (-120), Under 2.5 rounds (+100) Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sergej Braun to win by knockout

Predicted Score: Braun wins by KO in Round 2


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