Match Analysis: Marek Bartl vs Kennedy Rayomba – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-18
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: OKTAGON MMA event
Game Overview
Marek Bartl and Kennedy Rayomba will face off in a Middleweight prelim fight at OKTAGON MMA. Bartl is a well-rounded fighter with a strong grappling base, integrating boxing, Muay Thai, kickboxing, grappling, and jiu-jitsu, while Rayomba is striking-oriented, likely aiming to use his reach advantage to keep the fight standing. The stylistic contrast sets up an intriguing matchup where Bartl will seek takedowns and control and Rayomba will target striking exchanges.
Key Factors to Consider
- Bartl has a diverse combat sports background with over 120 fights across multiple disciplines, focusing on grappling and jiu-jitsu. Rayomba has demonstrated strong striking skills and maintains effective distance fighting. Recent results show both are competitive but stylistically different, which will shape fight dynamics.
- There is no record of previous encounters between Bartl and Rayomba, making this their first direct matchup.
- No current injury reports or recent withdrawals for either fighter ahead of this bout were found, suggesting both are likely at full health.
- The fight is part of the OKTAGON 78 event prelims, held under typical MMA conditions. Venue specifics are not detailed, but no unusual external factors such as altitude or weather should affect performance.
- Both fighters aim to establish or maintain momentum within OKTAGON MMA. Bartl, coming off a recent loss at Oktagon 68 and delivering a competitive showing, is motivated to rebound. Rayomba's striking ability and reach give him motivation to assert dominance early to capitalize on his strength.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Kennedy Rayomba: +140, Marek Bartl: -160 | Marek Bartl | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Spread | Bartl -1.5: -110, Rayomba +1.5: -110 | Bartl to win by a clear margin | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 1.5 rounds: -120, Under 1.5 rounds: +100 | Over 1.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Marek Bartl -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Marek Bartl at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given Bartl's grappling advantage and well-rounded skill set versus Rayomba's striking and reach edge, the prediction leans slightly towards Marek Bartl securing the win by ground control or late round dominance. However, if Rayomba keeps the fight standing, he has a significant chance to win by strikes or decision.
Predicted Score: Bartl wins by decision or 3rd round submission/ground control