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Jordan Newman vs. Eslam Baset Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jordan Newman vs Eslam Baset – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-01
  • Time: 10:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Professional Fighters League (PFL) Event

Game Overview

Jordan Newman, a strong wrestler with proven control inside the cage, faces Eslam Baset, a striker with less wrestling prowess. Newman is heavily favored due to superior grappling and fight control, while Baset relies on striking to secure an upset.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Jordan Newman has shown dominant wrestling and control in recent bouts, winning decisively via takedowns and ground control. Eslam Baset has displayed solid striking but limited success against high-level wrestlers.
  • No recorded direct H2H matchups between Newman and Baset exist, but stylistically Newman's wrestling typically counters Baset's striking effectively.
  • No reported injuries or fight camp disruptions for either fighter.
  • Both fighters are competing at a neutral venue in the PFL circuit; no apparent external motivators or disadvantages.
  • Newman is vying to maintain his top contender status through dominant wins, while Baset seeks an upset breakthrough. Both have high motivation but Newman's path is clearer.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jordan Newman -900, Eslam Baset +600 Jordan Newman ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread Jordan Newman -1.5 rounds (-200), Eslam Baset +1.5 rounds (+150) Jordan Newman -1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds (-110), Under 2.5 rounds (-110) Under 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jordan Newman -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Jordan Newman at -10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Jordan Newman win

Predicted Score: Jordan Newman wins by decision or late stoppage within 3 rounds


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Sarek Shields vs. Nick Meck Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Sarek Shields vs Nick Meck – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-01
  • Time: 10:30 PM UTC
  • Location: PFL World Tournament 8

Game Overview

Welterweight bout between Sarek Shields and Nick Meck at PFL World Tournament 8. Both fighters are coming off wins in recent PFL events, with Shields holding a 7-2 career record and Meck showing strong form in 2025.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sarek Shields holds a 7-2 professional MMA record with a balanced finishing ability: 50% decisions and 50% submissions, indicating versatility. Nick Meck has shown consistent wins in 2025 tournaments, winning in the semifinals on June 11 and demonstrating good momentum.
  • No clear direct previous encounter records are available, but both fighters have met recently within the tournament circuit, increasing familiarity. Shields appears slightly favored based on stylistic matchups and previous results.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout, suggesting both are at full health.
  • Fight taking place in a high-stakes PFL semifinal environment which may elevate competitive intensity. Both fighters motivated by tournament progression and prize incentives.
  • Both fighters highly motivated; Shields seeking to capitalize on home crowd advantage and momentum from recent submission wins; Meck motivated by recent victories and aim to solidify place in the tournament finals.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sarek Shields -141, Nick Meck +121 Sarek Shields ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Spread (-1.5 Sarek Shields) approx -150, (+1.5 Nick Meck) approx +130 Sarek Shields -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -170, Under 2.5 rounds +140 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sarek Shields 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 39%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 39% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sarek Shields to win via decision

Predicted Score: Sarek Shields wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Husein Kadimagomaev vs. Kyle Driscoll Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Husein Kadimagomaev vs Kyle Driscoll – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-01
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Jim Whelan Boardwalk Hall, Atlantic City, NJ

Game Overview

Featherweight showcase bout between Husein Kadimagomaev (11-1, 2 NC) and Kyle Driscoll (14-4), taking place at the 2025 PFL World Tournament Finals event. Both are skilled featherweights stepping into a high-profile environment with significant career motivations.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Kadimagomaev boasts a strong recent form with 11 wins and only 1 loss, demonstrating technical striking and grappling balance. Driscoll also has a solid record at 14-4 but with more recent activity after joining PFL, showing resilience but less consistency against top-tier competition.
  • No previous direct matchup recorded, making this a fresh competitive encounter relying on stylistic and recent performance analysis.
  • No known injuries reported for either fighter ahead of the bout, indicating both are competing in full health and prepared for peak performance.
  • The fight takes place at a high-stakes PFL event in Atlantic City, with substantial prize money and exposure motivating both athletes. Kadimagomaev, from Chechnya, might also be driven by national pride and fan expectations.
  • Kadimagomaev aims to solidify his rise in the PFL with a dominant performance, while Driscoll seeks to make a strong debut impression in the PFL to establish himself as a serious contender.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -195, away: +165 Husein Kadimagomaev wins ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread home_minus_1.5: -110, away_plus_1.5: -110 Husein Kadimagomaev -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under over_2.5_rounds: -120, under_2.5_rounds: +100 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Husein Kadimagomaev -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Husein Kadimagomaev at -6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline win for Husein Kadimagomaev

Predicted Score: Kadimagomaev wins via unanimous decision or TKO by Round 3


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Nick Maximov vs. Renato Valente Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Nick Maximov vs Renato Valente – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-31
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Hard Rock Live, Wheatland, California, United States

Game Overview

The matchup features Nick Maximov, a grappling specialist with strong recent form, against Renato Valente, a veteran striker known for his durability and striking skills. Maximov enters as a heavy favorite based on current market odds and stylistic advantages.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Maximov is on a positive trajectory with four wins in his last six fights, showcasing dominant grappling and ground control. Valente is a seasoned fighter but less consistent recently, with fewer recent wins and less grappling proficiency.
  • There are no recorded previous encounters between Maximov and Valente, making this fight a fresh challenge for both.
  • No reported injuries or medical issues for either fighter as of the latest updates, indicating both are likely at full fitness.
  • The fight takes place at A1 Combat 29 in Maximov's home country, potentially favoring him through crowd support and familiarity with the venue.
  • Maximov seeks to extend his victory streak and ascend in the middleweight rankings, providing strong motivation. Valente aims to upset a favorite and revive his career momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Nick Maximov -800, Renato Valente +425 Nick Maximov ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Maximov -1.5 rounds at around -150 Maximov -1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Under 2.5 rounds at -110, Over 2.5 rounds at -110 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Nick Maximov -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Nick Maximov at -7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nick Maximov to win via submission or decision due to grappling dominance and favorable recent form.

Predicted Score: Nick Maximov wins by submission or dominant decision before the third round


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Matt Turnbull vs. Tom Pagliarulo Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Matt Turnbull vs Tom Pagliarulo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-01
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

Matt Turnbull faces Tom Pagliarulo in a high-stakes MMA matchup during the 2025 PFL World Tournament 8 finals. Pagliarulo is the heavy favorite with strong knockout power, while Turnbull counters with superior ground fighting skills.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Pagliarulo has shown consistent performance leading up to the final with a strong finishing rate, while Turnbull relies on tactical grappling and control but enters as the underdog.
  • No direct prior matchups recorded between Turnbull and Pagliarulo.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter entering the bout.
  • Fight held at PFL event on August 1, 2025. No notable external distractions or conditions disadvantaging either fighter.
  • Both fighters highly motivated due to the importance of the PFL tournament final and prize implications. Pagliarulo looking to assert dominance; Turnbull aiming to leverage tactical advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Matt Turnbull +400, Tom Pagliarulo -550 Tom Pagliarulo ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Pagliarulo -1.5 rounds Pagliarulo -1.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds at -110, Under 2.5 rounds at -110 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Tom Pagliarulo -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Tom Pagliarulo at -11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tom Pagliarulo to win by knockout

Predicted Score: Tom Pagliarulo wins by KO in Round 2


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Nathan Kelly vs. Frederik Dupras Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Nathan Kelly vs Frederik Dupras – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-01
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Jim Whelan Boardwalk Hall, Atlantic City, NJ

Game Overview

Nathan Kelly and Frederik Dupras face off in a featherweight bout as part of the 2025 PFL World Tournament Finals. Both fighters have strong records with Kelly at 11-4 and Dupras at 8-2, competing for a place in PFL standing legitimacy.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Nathan Kelly holds a more experienced record with 15 fights compared to Dupras' 10, showing a solid winning percentage and experience in the PFL circuit. Recent form for both shows activity and competitive fights, but Kelly's experience edges Dupras.
  • No previous documented head-to-head matches between Nathan Kelly and Frederik Dupras, rendering this a fresh competitive encounter.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of this bout, indicating both will enter the fight in optimal physical condition.
  • The fight takes place at a neutral but high-profile venue in Atlantic City during a major PFL event, which does not financially or geographically favor either fighter.
  • Both fighters are motivated by tournament progression and significant prize money; however, Kelly’s slight edge comes from having competed longer in PFL with more experience in high-stakes matches, potentially increasing his composure under pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Nathan Kelly: -150, Frederik Dupras: +125 Nathan Kelly ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Nathan Kelly -1.5 rounds -140, Frederik Dupras +1.5 rounds +120 Nathan Kelly -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -110, Under 2.5 rounds -110 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 63%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Nathan Kelly -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Nathan Kelly at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nathan Kelly to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Nathan Kelly wins by decision or late finish within 3 rounds


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Erick Viscondi vs. Chris Mecate Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Erick Viscondi vs Chris Mecate – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Lemoore, California

Game Overview

This is a highly anticipated matchup between two formidable fighters in the 145 lbs division. Viscondi brings a 15-3 record with recent success, while Mecate is on a 6-fight win streak. The fight is expected to be closely contested, with both fighters having strong skills.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Viscondi has a recent winning streak of 4 out of his last 5 fights, while Mecate has won his last six fights. Both fighters are in good form.
  • There is no prior head-to-head matchup data available for these fighters.
  • No recent injuries have been reported for either fighter.
  • The fight venue is in Lemoore, California, which might provide a neutral setting for both fighters.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, seeking a win to advance their careers.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Chris Mecate to win via decision.

Predicted Score: Decision win for Chris Mecate.


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Jose Augusto vs. Marek Samociuk Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jose Augusto vs Marek Samociuk – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-27
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Saitama Super Arena, Saitama, Japan

Game Overview

Jose Augusto is favored to win against Marek Samociuk in their upcoming MMA bout at Super RIZIN 4, scheduled for July 26 or 27, 2025, as part of the Rizin Heavyweight Grand Prix.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Jose Augusto has been performing well in recent fights, making him a strong contender in this matchup. Marek Samociuk also poses a formidable challenge but might be less favored due to Augusto's current form.
  • There is no previous head-to-head data available between these fighters, which complicates predictions based on past encounters.
  • No significant injury reports have been mentioned for either fighter, but this information can be crucial and should be monitored closely.
  • The event is part of the heavyweight grand prix, which adds pressure and motivation for both fighters to advance.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated to win, given the stakes of the grand prix tournament.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jose Augusto: -240, Marek Samociuk: 165 Jose Augusto ★★★★☆ 74%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jose Augusto -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Jose Augusto at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jose Augusto will win the fight.

Predicted Score: Decision or Submission in favor of Jose Augusto


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Edmund Kwan vs. Loai Abushaar Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Edmund Kwan vs Loai Abushaar – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: LFA 213 event – Central California (specific venue not listed)

Game Overview

Edmund Kwan (4-0) faces Loai Abushaar (4-1) in a lightweight MMA bout at LFA 213. Both fighters are undefeated or nearly undefeated prospects with aggressive finishes. Kwan is a rising star with all wins, showing balanced finishing ability (KO, submission, decision). Abushaar has a strong record with 2 submissions and 2 KOs, but has one recent KO loss.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Kwan is undefeated at 4-0, with victories including KOs and submissions, showing well-rounded skills. Abushaar holds a 4-1 record, with his loss coming via first-round KO in August 2023. Kwan shows more recent consistent success without losses.
  • No prior head-to-head fights between Kwan and Abushaar.
  • No public information about injuries affecting either fighter ahead of the bout.
  • Fight is hosted by LFA, a respected promotion that has launched UFC careers; event location is neutral, though closer to Kwan's recent fight locales in the U.S.
  • Kwan is a top lightweight prospect eager to maintain his undefeated record and move towards UFC contention. Abushaar looks to rebound from his sole career loss and establish himself as a top contender.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Kwan -500, Abushaar +375 Kwan ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 1.5 -155, Under 1.5 +125 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Edmund Kwan -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 35%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 35% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Edmund Kwan to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: Edmund Kwan wins by second round finish


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Rafael do Nascimento vs. Arnold Jimenez Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Rafael do Nascimento vs Arnold Jimenez – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Tachi Palace Casino Resort

Game Overview

A bantamweight bout between Rafael do Nascimento (10-3) and Arnold Jimenez (12-3) at LFA 213. Both fighters have solid records with Jimenez holding a slight edge in recent performances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Rafael do Nascimento is coming off a strong showing, maintaining a 10-3 record, focusing on striking and grappling with knockout power. Arnold Jimenez is 12-3 with solid wins but with slightly less knockout power and less recent finishes.
  • No recorded previous head-to-head matchup between the two fighters, making this a fresh tactical contest.
  • No reported injuries or withdrawals for either fighter leading into the bout.
  • The fight takes place at Tachi Palace, a venue with which do Nascimento has had notable success, potentially providing a slight home advantage.
  • Both fighters are motivated to ascend the LFA bantamweight rankings; do Nascimento’s recent knockout highlight and Jimenez’s 12 wins suggest strong desire from both.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Rafael do Nascimento -330, Arnold Jimenez +270 Rafael do Nascimento ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Unavailable exact numerical spread odds, implied line approximately -1.5 rounds favoring do Nascimento Rafael do Nascimento -1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -115, Under 2.5 rounds -115 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Rafael do Nascimento -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Rafael do Nascimento to win. Spread: Rafael do Nascimento -1.5 rounds. Over/Under: Under 2.5 rounds.

Predicted Score: Rafael do Nascimento wins via TKO in round 2


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