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Elizeu Zaleski vs. Neil Magny Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Elizeu Zaleski vs Neil Magny – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-02
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Game Overview

Veteran welterweights Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos and Neil Magny face off in a UFC Fight Night bout at UFC Apex. Zaleski is the favorite, known for his finishing ability and higher striking volume, while Magny is a methodical fighter with a strong wrestling and clinch game, favoring decisions.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Zaleski comes in with a record of 25-9-1, connecting on 4.26 significant strikes per minute with a 41% accuracy and a 56% strike defense. Magny holds a 29-14-0 record, landing fewer strikes at 3.43 per minute but with higher 46% accuracy and stronger defense, allowing only 2.48 strikes per minute.
  • No recorded previous fights between these two fighters; thus, direct H2H data is not available.
  • No current injury reports or publicized fitness concerns for either fighter at fight week.
  • Fight is at UFC Apex, a familiar venue for both; no travel concerns noted. The fight date allows full training camp completion.
  • Both fighters are veterans likely motivated to secure a high-profile win at UFC Fight Night to maintain relevance in the welterweight division. Zaleski’s recent form and finishing upside add extra incentive.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Elizeu Zaleski: -198, Neil Magny: 164 Elizeu Zaleski ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Elizeu Zaleski -3.5: -110, Neil Magny +3.5: -120 Elizeu Zaleski -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -180, Under 2.5 rounds: 140 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 57%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Elizeu Zaleski -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 37%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos to win by decision

Predicted Score: Elizeu Zaleski wins by unanimous decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)


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Piera Rodriguez vs. Ketlen Souza Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Piera Rodriguez vs Ketlen Souza – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-02
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Game Overview

The women's strawweight bout features Piera Rodriguez (10-2) versus Ketlen Souza (15-5), both orthodox fighters standing 5'3" and fighting at 115 lbs. Rodriguez has a slight reach disadvantage but superior defense and efficiency in significant strikes. Souza is more aggressive and lands more significant strikes per minute but takes more damage as well.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Rodriguez has a 10-2 record with strong defensive metrics, absorbing 2.63 significant strikes per minute and preventing 57% of strikes. Souza, with a 15-5 record, lands 4.92 significant strikes per minute but also takes 4.46, showing a high-risk style.
  • No prior bouts between Rodriguez and Souza, so no direct matchup history.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout.
  • Fight is at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, a neutral venue with no clear travel or altitude advantage; both fighters appear equally acclimated.
  • Rodriguez aims to continue her momentum and prove dominance after strong performances. Souza's aggressive style and higher volume striking suggest a motivation to impose pressure and secure a decisive win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Piera Rodriguez -225, Ketlen Souza +185 Piera Rodriguez ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Piera Rodriguez -3.5 (120), Ketlen Souza +3.5 (-165) Piera Rodriguez -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-375), Under 2.5 (270) Under 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Piera Rodriguez -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 166%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 166% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 61.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Piera Rodriguez to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Piera Rodriguez wins by decision or late stoppage within 3 rounds


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Tatsuro Taira vs. Hyun Sung Park Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Tatsuro Taira vs Hyun Sung Park – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-02
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada

Game Overview

This Flyweight UFC main event pits Tatsuro Taira, a highly skilled 25-year-old with a 16-1 record, against the undefeated 29-year-old Hyun Sung Park from South Korea, who is stepping in on short notice. Taira has more octagon experience and reach advantage, while Park carries a very high finishing rate and remains undefeated.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Taira has fought at a higher level with recent experience against top-tier fighters like Brandon Royval but comes off a split decision loss. Park is undefeated (10-0) with a 90% finishing rate, showing explosiveness and strong submission skills but less UFC experience.
  • No previous head-to-head encounters. This will be their first matchup.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter; Park is stepping in on short notice but appears healthy.
  • The fight is at UFC Apex, which is neutral ground for both fighters. Park is short-notice replacement, which may affect conditioning or strategy.
  • Park is motivated to capitalize on the sudden opportunity to break into the UFC flyweight spotlight, while Taira seeks to rebound from his last loss to restore his rise to the top ranks.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Taira -355, Park +280 Tatsuro Taira ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Taira -5.5 (-195), Park +5.5 (+140) Tatsuro Taira -5.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 3.5 (-105), Under 3.5 (-125) Under 3.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Tatsuro Taira -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Tatsuro Taira to win. Spread: Tatsuro Taira to win by more than 5.5 points (dominant decision or finish). Over/Under: Under 3.5 rounds.

Predicted Score: Taira wins by unanimous decision or late stoppage before round 4


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Karol Rosa vs. Nora Cornolle Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Karol Rosa vs Nora Cornolle – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-02
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Game Overview

Karol Rosa, a 30-year-old with a record of 18-7-0, faces Nora Cornolle, 35 years old with a 9-2-0 record, in the UFC Apex. Both fighters compete in the bantamweight division with nearly identical reach and stance, making this a close stylistic match.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Karol Rosa has a higher output of significant strikes landed per minute (6.22) compared to Cornolle (3.07), but absorbs more strikes per minute (4.84 vs. 1.91). Rosa connects on 55% strike accuracy while Cornolle is nearly as accurate at 54%. Cornolle has a stronger defensive percentage, blocking 62% of opponent strikes compared to Rosa's 49%.
  • No direct head-to-head matchups available, but stylistic metrics indicate Rosa is the aggressor with higher volume striking, while Cornolle relies more on defensive counters.
  • No reported injuries affecting either fighter leading into the bout.
  • Fight takes place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, a neutral venue without home advantage for either fighter. Both fighters are experienced and will likely have full training camps.
  • Karol Rosa aims to maintain momentum and extend a significant winning streak, adding to a larger fight total. Nora Cornolle, the underdog, is motivated to prove herself against a top-ranked opponent and improve her professional record.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Karol Rosa: -185, Nora Cornolle: +154 Karol Rosa ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Karol Rosa -3.5: 1.40, Nora Cornolle +3.5: 1.95 Nora Cornolle +3.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -560, Under 2.5 rounds: +370 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Karol Rosa 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 206%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 206% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 55.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Karol Rosa to win by decision

Predicted Score: Karol Rosa wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Esteban Ribovics vs. Elves Brenner Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Esteban Ribovics vs Elves Brenner – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-02
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Game Overview

Esteban Ribovics (-250 favorite) and Elves Brenner (+205 underdog) face off in a UFC lightweight bout. Ribovics is a precise, high-volume striker with a solid defense, while Brenner is a versatile fighter with strong grappling and finishing ability. Both fighters are 5'10" with Ribovics having slightly shorter reach (69" vs 72") but superior striking volume (8.08 vs 3.99 significant strikes per minute). Ribovics has a 14-2 pro record to Brenner's 16-5, both with 3-2 UFC records. Brenner is coming off two losses and will be highly motivated to avoid a third, while Ribovics looks to rebound after a close split decision loss.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ribovics is an aggressive striker landing over 8 significant strikes per minute, with strong defense allowing fewer hits (5.92 absorbed per min). Brenner lands fewer strikes (3.99 per min) but with higher accuracy (47%), and has a solid takedown and submission game.
  • No known previous direct matchup.
  • No reported significant injuries for either fighter, both seem to be in peak condition.
  • Fight takes place at UFC Apex, a familiar venue with no travel disadvantage. Brenner’s recent two-fight losing streak adds pressure to perform; Ribovics is experienced with close fights.
  • Brenner faces career risk with a potential third consecutive loss in a very deep lightweight division, possibly increasing desperation to finish. Ribovics wants a definitive win after recent split decision losses, likely leading to aggressive strategy aimed at clear victory.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Esteban Ribovics: -250, Elves Brenner: +205 Esteban Ribovics ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Esteban Ribovics -3.5: -135, Elves Brenner +3.5: +100 Esteban Ribovics -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: -270, Under 1.5 rounds: +200 Over 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Esteban Ribovics -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Esteban Ribovics to win on the moneyline, covering the -3.5 spread, with the fight going over 1.5 rounds.

Predicted Score: Esteban Ribovics via decision or late finish in round 2 or 3


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Austin Bashi vs. John Yannis Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Austin Bashi vs John Yannis – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-02
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC Fight Night (venue not explicitly stated in sources but typically Las Vegas for UFC Fight Night)

Game Overview

Austin Bashi (13-1) faces John Yannis (9-3) in a UFC featherweight bout. Bashi is the heavy favorite with significantly better odds due to his more extensive winning record and UFC experience. Yannis is on a last-minute substitution with less UFC exposure.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bashi has an impressive 13-1 record, showing dominant form, while Yannis is 9-3 with no UFC fights yet, indicating lower experience at this level.
  • No previous head-to-head encounters between the fighters.
  • No publicly known injuries affecting either fighter prior to the match.
  • Fight location and conditions are standard for UFC Fight Night with no major external disruptions reported.
  • Bashi aims to rebound from his sole UFC loss and cement his standing, while Yannis seeks to prove himself in his UFC debut, possibly creating high motivation for both.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Austin Bashi: -700, John Yannis: 500 Austin Bashi ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Austin Bashi -1.5: -140, John Yannis +1.5: +110 Austin Bashi -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 1.5: -200, Under 1.5: +160 Under 1.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Austin Bashi -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 56%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 56% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Austin Bashi via moneyline

Predicted Score: Austin Bashi wins by decision or finish within 3 rounds


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Jesus Pinedo vs. Movlid Khaybulaev Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jesus Pinedo vs Movlid Khaybulaev – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-01
  • Time: 10:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Undisclosed (PFL World Tournament Finals Venue)

Game Overview

Jesus Pinedo vs Movlid Khaybulaev is a highly competitive PFL lightweight final scheduled for August 1, 2025. Both fighters are near career peak, with contrasting styles: Pinedo is aggressive with strong finishing power, while Khaybulaev has precise striking and a more methodical pace. Odds open with Pinedo as a slight favorite but market movement shows some uncertainty.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Pinedo has been on a hot streak with several recent finishes, leveraging aggressive striking and wrestling. Khaybulaev has consistently outpointed opponents using technical striking and solid grappling defense, staying undefeated in recent bouts. Both show excellent conditioning and well-rounded skills.
  • No prior head-to-head meetings, so tactical matchup largely speculative. Pinedo's aggression could test Khaybulaev's composure and counter-striking.
  • No reported major injuries for either fighter leading into the bout, both expected to be at full strength.
  • Event is a PFL final, so motivation and stakes are extremely high for both. Fighting on neutral ground reduces home advantage bias.
  • Both fighters motivated by massive PFL title and prize, likely to bring their best performances. Slight edge to Khaybulaev for maintaining an undefeated 2025 run, enhancing confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jesus Pinedo: -165, Movlid Khaybulaev: +135 Movlid Khaybulaev ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Movlid Khaybulaev -1.5: +200, Jesus Pinedo +1.5: -250 Jesus Pinedo +1.5 (spread) ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Movlid Khaybulaev 36%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Movlid Khaybulaev at 36% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Movlid Khaybulaev to win via decision

Predicted Score: Movlid Khaybulaev wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Thad Jean vs. Logan Storley Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Thad Jean vs Logan Storley – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-01
  • Time: 10:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Boardwalk Hall, Atlantic City

Game Overview

The 2025 PFL Welterweight Championship final between undefeated Thad Jean (10-0) and experienced Logan Storley (18-3) will be contested with a $1,000,000 prize at stake. Jean has youth, height, and an undefeated record, while Storley brings extensive MMA and wrestling experience.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Thad Jean has an undefeated 10-0 record showing consistent recent performance; Logan Storley, despite starting PFL with a KO loss, is 3-0 in his last three fights and has significant high-level MMA and wrestling pedigree.
  • No previous head-to-head matchup found between Jean and Storley, making styles and form analysis critical.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the bout.
  • High stakes ($1 million prize) likely increase motivation. Jean's height and reach advantage may impact fight dynamics significantly.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated by the title and large payday; Jean's undefeated status gives him confidence, while Storley’s comeback narrative adds psychological edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Thad Jean: -240, Logan Storley: +190 Thad Jean ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Thad Jean -1.5: +150, Logan Storley +1.5: -170 Thad Jean -1.5 (win by 2 or more rounds) ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 Under 2.5 rounds (fight finishes in fewer rounds) ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Thad Jean -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Thad Jean at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Thad Jean to win via decision

Predicted Score: Thad Jean wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Asael Adjoudj vs. Yves Landu Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Asael Adjoudj vs Yves Landu – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-01
  • Time: 10:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Atlantic City, New Jersey

Game Overview

This featherweight MMA matchup features Asael Adjoudj, a favored fighter with consistent recent performances in the PFL World Tournament, against Yves Landu, who is the underdog but has shown resilience and potential for upsets.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Asael Adjoudj has demonstrated steady form with wins in recent tournament bouts indicating strong grappling and striking versatility. Yves Landu has had mixed results but possesses durability and often pushes fights beyond early rounds.
  • No recorded professional head-to-head matchups between Asael Adjoudj and Yves Landu, making tactical matchup and current form key factors.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout, indicating both at full physical capacity.
  • Fight takes place in Atlantic City, a neutral venue for both; travel and acclimatization are unlikely to disproportionately affect either fighter.
  • As this is a semifinal PFL World Tournament bout, both fighters are highly motivated to progress, but Asael Adjoudj has a slightly stronger incentive due to favoritism and expectation to advance.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Asael Adjoudj: -210, Yves Landu: 170 Asael Adjoudj ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Asael Adjoudj -1.5 rounds: -110, Yves Landu +1.5 rounds: -110 Asael Adjoudj -1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: 100 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Asael Adjoudj 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Asael Adjoudj at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Asael Adjoudj to win by decision

Predicted Score: Asael Adjoudj wins by Decision after 3 rounds


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Jakub Kaszuba vs. Sergio Cossio Dominguez Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jakub Kaszuba vs Sergio Cossio Dominguez – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-01
  • Time: 10:30 PM UTC
  • Location: To Be Determined

Game Overview

Jakub Kaszuba, a striker with notable knockout power and agility, faces Sergio Cossio Dominguez, who possesses a strong grappling background. Both fighters have demonstrated recent good form, with Dominguez winning a tough 10-round decision on July 26. The matchup presents a classic striker vs grappler dynamic.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Kaszuba maintains a high finishing rate with knockouts, showing explosive striking. Dominguez has recently showcased durability and cardio in extended fights, including his recent 10-round win, indicating strong conditioning and grappling control.
  • No recorded direct previous matchups between Kaszuba and Dominguez, making this fight their first encounter.
  • No current reported injuries to either fighter; both appear physically prepared for the bout.
  • The fight is part of a significant MMA tournament final scheduled for August 1, likely increasing both fighters' motivation and pressure. Venue details are TBD, with no public environmental concerns.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated to advance in the tournament finals, with Kaszuba likely seeking to exploit his striking to counter Dominguez's grappling, while Dominguez aims to leverage his conditioning and grappling to control the fight.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jakub Kaszuba: -650, Sergio Cossio Dominguez: 475 Jakub Kaszuba ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Kaszuba -1.5: -120, Dominguez +1.5: 100 Kaszuba -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: -140, Under 1.5 rounds: 110 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jakub Kaszuba -12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Jakub Kaszuba at -12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Kaszuba to win by knockout or decision

Predicted Score: Jakub Kaszuba wins by 2nd round knockout


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