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Kamil Szkaradek vs. Kenji Bortoluzzi Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Kamil Szkaradek vs Kenji Bortoluzzi – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-14
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Ergo Arena, Gdańsk, Poland

Game Overview

Kamil Szkaradek (5-1, KSW #7 BW) faces Kenji Bortoluzzi (11-6-1) in a bantamweight prelim bout at KSW 107. Szkaradek is the younger, less experienced but currently favored fighter, while Bortoluzzi brings veteran experience, with more finishes by submission.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Szkaradek: 5 wins (1 KO/TKO, 1 submission, 3 decisions); Bortoluzzi: 11 wins (2 KO/TKO, 4 submissions, 3 decisions). Bortoluzzi has more experience but is older and has more losses.
  • No prior head-to-head between the two. Bortoluzzi has more finishes, especially by submission, while Szkaradek is more decision-oriented. Bortoluzzi is significantly more proven at a higher level.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter as of the event date.
  • Fight is a prelim at a major Polish MMA event. Home-crowd advantage for Szkaradek likely. Both made weight without issue (Szkaradek: 135.8 lbs, Bortoluzzi: 136 lbs).
  • Szkaradek is looking to solidify his top-10 ranking and move up the bantamweight division. Bortoluzzi is an experienced international fighter aiming to upset the local favorite.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Kamil Szkaradek: -350, Kenji Bortoluzzi: 275 Kamil Szkaradek to win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Not typically offered in MMA, but implied spread: ~2.5 rounds in favor of home fighter (due to moneyline dominance). Kamil Szkaradek to cover spread (if spread is set at -1.5 rounds in his favor) ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over/Under: Not widely listed for prelims, but expected line would be ~2.5 rounds. Over 2.5 rounds (based on both fighters' recent tendency to go the distance and their technical styles). ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Kamil Szkaradek -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Kamil Szkaradek at -13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Kamil Szkaradek is favored due to age, momentum, and bookmaker odds, but Kenji Bortoluzzi's experience and submission threat make this a tricky fight. The model leans toward Szkaradek by decision or late finish, but with caution due to Bortoluzzi's craftiness and ability to pull off upsets.

Predicted Score: Kamil Szkaradek by unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28) or late TKO/submission if action picks up in the third.


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Phil De Fries vs. Arkadiusz Wrzosek Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Phil De Fries vs Arkadiusz Wrzosek – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-14
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Ergo Arena, Gdańsk, Poland

Game Overview

KSW 107 headline bout: Phil De Fries defends his heavyweight title against Polish challenger Arkadiusz Wrzosek. This is a five-round contest for the heavyweight championship, with De Fries as the current champion and Wrzosek looking to win in his home country.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Phil De Fries is a seasoned champion with strong wrestling and submission skills, and a proven track record in KSW. Arkadiusz Wrzosek is a local favorite who has shown knockout power and a height and reach advantage (201 cm height, 210 cm reach vs De Fries' 194 cm height, 201 cm reach). Both fighters are in their early to mid-30s, in their physical prime for heavyweights.
  • No direct head-to-head history. De Fries has more championship experience in KSW, while Wrzosek has fewer high-profile bouts.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of this bout.
  • Fight is in Poland, giving Wrzosek a local crowd advantage. De Fries is used to fighting abroad and has experience with hostile environments.
  • De Fries is defending his title and legacy in KSW. Wrzosek is highly motivated to capture the belt in front of hometown fans.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Phil De Fries: -200, Arkadiusz Wrzosek: 160 Phil De Fries by decision ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Phil De Fries -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Phil De Fries at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Phil De Fries is the betting favorite for good reason: he has superior experience in five-round championship fights and a well-rounded game. However, Wrzosek's size, power, and home crowd could make this more competitive than the odds suggest. The likely outcome is a decision win for De Fries, but Wrzosek has a real chance if he can land early and avoid prolonged grappling exchanges.

Predicted Score: Phil De Fries wins by unanimous decision (49-46, 48-47, 48-47) over Arkadiusz Wrzosek.


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Sebastian Przybysz vs. Oleksii Polischuk Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Sebastian Przybysz vs Oleksii Polischuk – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 14/06/2025
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Gdansk/Sopot, Poland

Game Overview

Bantamweight co-main event at KSW 107: De Fries vs. Wrzosek, featuring Sebastian Przybysz vs Oleksii Polischuk in a closely watched clash between a solid favorite and a dangerous underdog. The fight is anticipated to be competitive, with Przybysz entering as a strong favorite according to bookmakers.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sebastian Przybysz is a proven performer in KSW and the European MMA scene, known for his consistent performances and ability to handle pressure. Oleksii Polischuk is a durable and technical fighter but is seen as less experienced at this elite regional level.
  • No prior head-to-head matches between these fighters. Both have faced increasingly tough competition in their recent bouts.
  • No significant injuries have been reported for either fighter leading into this event.
  • The fight takes place in Poland, likely benefiting Przybysz with home crowd support. The venue is a known high-pressure environment for visiting fighters.
  • Przybysz is motivated to climb the bantamweight ranks and re-establish himself as a title contender. Polischuk is looking to make a name for himself in KSW and is highly motivated for an upset.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sebastian Przybysz: -300, Oleksii Polischuk: 240 Sebastian Przybysz wins ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sebastian Przybysz -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sebastian Przybysz at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sebastian Przybysz is favored to win, with the most likely outcome being a victory by decision or late stoppage due to his technical superiority, consistent performance, and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Sebastian Przybysz by Decision or Late TKO/KO


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Ayton De Paepe vs. Roman Paulus Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Ayton De Paepe vs Roman Paulus – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-14
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

The upcoming MMA match between Ayton De Paepe and Roman Paulus at OKTAGON 72 is highly anticipated. Roman Paulus is favored to win based on the odds, but Ayton De Paepe has potential to cause an upset.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Roman Paulus has a strong record in Oktagon MMA, which could give him an edge. However, Ayton De Paepe's performance is not well-documented, making him a bit of a wild card.
  • There is no prior head-to-head matchup between the two fighters, making it difficult to predict based on past interactions.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The event is well-hyped, and both fighters are likely to be motivated. However, external pressures could affect performance.
  • Both fighters are likely highly motivated, given the importance of winning in a high-profile event like OKTAGON 72.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ayton De Paepe: 165, Roman Paulus: -205 Roman Paulus ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Roman Paulus -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Roman Paulus at -8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Roman Paulus is likely to win based on his favored odds and reputation in Oktagon MMA.

Predicted Score: N/A


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Iuri Fernandes vs. Samuele Pugliese Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Iuri Fernandes vs Samuele Pugliese – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-14
  • Time: 1:00 PM UTC
  • Location: GLORY 100 (Kickboxing event, but odds available as MMA)

Game Overview

Heavyweight contest between rising prospect Iuri Fernandes (9-1, 3 KO) and experienced Samuele Pugliese (14-2, 5 KO). The fight is technically a kickboxing reserve bout for GLORY 100, but available odds from bookmakers (e.g., Parimatch) list it as MMA. Both fighters are seeking to impress and potentially secure a spot in the main tournament.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fernandes is an up-and-comer with a recent strong record and fewer pro fights. Pugliese is more seasoned with more wins and a higher KO/top level experience. Both have low loss counts.
  • No prior head-to-head history between Fernandes and Pugliese.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter as of event previews.
  • Event is a high-stakes tournament reserve, which may add pressure. Bookmakers offer MMA odds, but official event is kickboxing, so style adjustment may be needed. No significant external factors otherwise.
  • Both motivated to make a statement and potentially earn a tournament spot. Reserve fighters often fight aggressively for visibility.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fernandes: +140 (2.40), Pugliese: -180 (1.55) Samuele Pugliese ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Fernandes +2.5 (-120), Pugliese -2.5 (+100) Fernandes +2.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds (-110), Under 1.5 rounds (-110) Over 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Samuele Pugliese is favored due to experience and more finishes, but Fernandes is a dangerous rising prospect. Expect a closely contested fight with potential for a late stoppage or decision win for the more experienced Pugliese.

Predicted Score: Samuele Pugliese wins by decision or late stoppage, though Fernandes could make it competitive. Predicted score: Pugliese by unanimous decision (if not stopped).


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Iliass Hammouche vs. Mesud Selimovic Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Iliass Hammouche vs Mesud Selimovic – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: June 14, 2025
  • Time: 1:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

Iliass Hammouche faces Mesud Selimovic in a rematch at GLORY 100, with Hammouche seeking to avenge his prior loss.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Iliass Hammouche has a record of 34-8 with 7 KO, while Mesud Selimovic has 33-12 with 18 KO. Hammouche is known for his technical skills, while Selimovic is a formidable knockout artist.
  • Hammouche lost the first bout, which could motivate him to adjust his strategy and improve his chances.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The crowd and the high stakes of the rematch could influence the fighters' performance.
  • Hammouche's motivation to avenge his loss might give him an edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Iliass Hammouche is likely to win due to his technical skills and motivation.

Predicted Score: Close decision victory for Iliass Hammouche


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Miloš Cvjetićanin vs. Cem Aygun Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Miloš Cvjetićanin vs Cem Aygun – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-14
  • Time: 1:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

Miloš Cvjetićanin and Cem Aygun are set to face off in a highly anticipated kickboxing match. Both fighters have experience in heavyweight bouts, and this match is part of a larger tournament at GLORY 100.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both fighters have notable past performances, with Cem Aygun recently defeating Pascal Touré by unanimous decision. Miloš Cvjetićanin's recent loss to Mory Kromah might affect his approach.
  • There is no recent head-to-head data available between these fighters.
  • No specific injury reports are available for either fighter.
  • The tournament format could influence strategy, with fighters potentially aiming for quick wins to conserve energy.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, competing in a prestigious tournament.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Cem Aygun's recent win and Cvjetićanin's recent loss, Aygun might have a slight advantage. However, Cvjetićanin's experience in tournament settings could level the playing field.

Predicted Score: Aygun wins by unanimous decision


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Javier Reyes Rugeles vs. Lance Lawrence Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Javier Reyes Rugeles vs Lance Lawrence – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: June 13, 2025
  • Time: 3:40 AM UTC
  • Location: Broadbent Arena, Louisville, Kentucky, USA

Game Overview

LFA 210 features a highly anticipated Featherweight bout between Javier Reyes Rugeles and Lance Lawrence. Reyes, a top Colombian prospect, is known for his dynamic fighting style, while Lawrence, hailing from Louisville, seeks to capitalize on home advantage and boost his UFC aspirations.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Javier Reyes boasts a strong record of 20-5, with significant experience in regional titles. Lance Lawrence holds a 9-4 record, representing Louisville with high motivation.
  • This is the first meeting between the two fighters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The event's venue could favor Lawrence due to home support.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with Reyes seeking to continue his winning streak and Lawrence aiming for a UFC spot.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -205 for Javier Reyes Rugeles, 165 for Lance Lawrence Javier Reyes Rugeles ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Lance Lawrence -40%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Based on experience and recent form, Javier Reyes Rugeles is favored to win.

Predicted Score: Decision in favor of Javier Reyes Rugeles


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Christian Natividad vs. Jose Sandoval Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Christian Natividad vs Jose Sandoval – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-14
  • Time: 3:15 AM UTC
  • Location: Louisville, Kentucky

Game Overview

Christian Natividad, an undefeated American fighter with a record of 6-0, faces Jose Sandoval, a tough and well-rounded Mexican fighter, at LFA 210. This matchup has been highly anticipated by Natividad, who previously expressed interest in fighting Sandoval. The bout is expected to be competitive, given the skill sets of both fighters.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Christian Natividad is undefeated and has shown impressive skills in previous fights. Jose Sandoval is 'tough on the feet and savvy on the ground,' providing a well-rounded challenge.
  • No prior head-to-head matchups have been reported between Christian Natividad and Jose Sandoval.
  • No injuries have been reported for either fighter at this time.
  • The fight's location and timing might not significantly impact the fighters, as both are experienced in preparing for different environments.
  • Christian Natividad is highly motivated, hoping a victory will draw attention from major promotions like the UFC.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -455 (Christian Natividad), 355 (Jose Sandoval) Christian Natividad ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Christian Natividad -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Christian Natividad is favored to win due to his undefeated record and strong performance in previous fights.

Predicted Score: Christian Natividad wins by unanimous decision or submission.


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Sidney Trillo vs. Mackenzie Stiller Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Sidney Trillo vs Mackenzie Stiller – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: June 13, 2025
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Broadbent Arena, Louisville, Kentucky

Game Overview

This Strawweight bout at LFA 210 features Mackenzie Stiller, with a record of 3-1, against Sidney Trillo, who holds a 5-1 record. The fight is anticipated to be competitive, with both fighters having a strong background in MMA.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sidney Trillo has a slightly better record, which might indicate a higher level of experience and possibly better skills. Mackenzie Stiller, however, could have an edge in terms of recent performance or training.
  • There is no previous head-to-head match between these fighters, so it's difficult to assess their past encounters.
  • There are no reported injuries for either fighter at this time.
  • The event is held in Louisville, Kentucky, which might favor neither fighter specifically since neither is from the area.
  • Both fighters are likely highly motivated to win, given the exposure and potential career advancement at stake.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mackenzie Stiller: 115, Sidney Trillo: -145 Sidney Trillo ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sidney Trillo 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sidney Trillo at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the current odds and the fighters' records, Sidney Trillo is favored to win due to his experience and slightly better record.

Predicted Score: Decision or Late Round Finish in favor of Sidney Trillo


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