John Mitchell vs. Lorenzo Parente Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: John Mitchell vs Lorenzo Parente – Prediction

Match Details

Date: May 10, 2025
Time: 2:00 AM UTC
Location: SSE Arena in Belfast

Game Overview

This upcoming MMA match between John Mitchell and Lorenzo Parente is part of PFL Europe 1 in the Lightweight division. Both fighters are preparing to compete in the main card.

Key Factors to Consider

John Mitchell and Lorenzo Parente have contrasting experiences, with Mitchell often favored due to broader competitive exposure. Lorenzo Parente, however, boasts a perfect record of 4-0, with most wins coming via knockout.
No previous head-to-head match between these fighters, which introduces an element of unpredictability.
No reported injuries for either fighter as of the latest updates.
The atmosphere at the SSE Arena in Belfast can significantly influence fighter performance, potentially favoring the fighter with more crowd support.
Both fighters are likely highly motivated given the stakes of a main card PFL fight.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	John Mitchell: -350, Lorenzo Parente: +225	Favoring John Mitchell but aware of Parente's potential for an upset.	60% for Mitchell, 40% for Parente

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	John Mitchell -99%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Based on available data and past performances, John Mitchell might be favored due to experience, but Lorenzo Parente's knockout prowess poses a significant threat.

Predicted Score: Given the nature of MMA fights, predicting a score isn't typical. However, if the fight goes the distance, Mitchell might slightly edge it out due to experience.

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Bekzat Almakhan vs. Brad Katona Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Bekzat Almakhan vs Brad Katona – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-05-10
Time: 10:30 PM UTC
Location: Montreal, UFC 315 Event

Game Overview

The Bantamweight bout between Bekzat Almakhan and Brad Katona is set for UFC 315 in Montreal. Both fighters bring unique strengths: Almakhan is the betting favorite with a strong recent win record and a notable physical reach advantage, while Katona's deep UFC experience and tactical versatility make him a tough competitor. Katona is recognized for his resilience, having never been finished and showing strong grappling and striking skills. The fight is expected to be closely contested with high technical exchanges.

Key Factors to Consider

Bekzat Almakhan holds an 11-2 overall record but is 0-1 in UFC bouts, showing solid regional performance but less UFC success. Brad Katona boasts a 14-4 overall record and is 4-4 in UFC fights, with strengths in tactical adaptability and proven UFC experience including winning The Ultimate Fighter twice.
This appears to be their first meeting, with no prior head-to-head bouts recorded between Bekzat Almakhan and Brad Katona.
No known recent injuries reported for either fighter ahead of this match, allowing both to perform at expected capacity.
The fight being on the prelims under UFC 315 provides high stakes but also some pressure to perform well early in the event. The location in Montreal might offer neutral grounds without significant home advantage.
Brad Katona is motivated to leverage his UFC experience and history of resilience to maintain his career momentum. Bekzat Almakhan is motivated to establish his presence in the UFC after limited success so far, seeking a decisive victory to boost his UFC reputation.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Bekzat Almakhan: -156, Brad Katona: 136	Bekzat Almakhan to win	★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread	Bekzat Almakhan: -1.5, Brad Katona: +1.5	Bekzat Almakhan to cover -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -325, Under 2.5 rounds: 250	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Bekzat Almakhan 1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 166%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 166% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 66.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bekzat Almakhan is favored to win by decision or late finish due to his slightly better form and striking reach. However, Brad Katona’s UFC experience and grappling make him a credible threat to push the fight to the distance or find a submission.

Predicted Score: Bekzat Almakhan wins via decision after 3 rounds

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Mike Malott vs. Charlie Radtke Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Mike Malott vs Charlie Radtke – Prediction

Match Details

Date: May 10, 2025
Time: 10:00 PM UTC
Location: Bell Centre, Montreal

Game Overview

The upcoming welterweight bout between Mike Malott and Charles Radtke at UFC 315 promises to be an exciting matchup. Malott, known as a fan favorite in Canada, is focused on the fight despite Radtke's trash talk. Radtke has expressed confidence in humiliating Malott on Canadian soil, but Malott remains undeterred.

Key Factors to Consider

Both fighters have shown strong skills in their previous fights. Malott's recent performances have been solid, while Radtke is known for his aggressive style.
This is their first meeting.
No reported injuries for either fighter.
The fight is in Montreal, which could give Malott a home advantage.
Both fighters are highly motivated, but Malott seems more focused on ignoring Radtke's trash talk.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Mike Malott -166, Charlie Radtke +140	Mike Malott	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Mike Malott -3.5 -115, Charlie Radtke +3.5 -115	Mike Malott to cover	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 1.5 -154, Under 1.5 120	Over 1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Mike Malott -4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 1.5 32%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 32% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 49.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mike Malott is likely to win due to his recent form and potential home advantage.

Predicted Score: Winner: Mike Malott, Method: Decision

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Modestas Bukauskas vs. Ion Cutelaba Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Modestas Bukauskas vs Ion Cutelaba – Prediction

Match Details

Date: May 10, 2025
Time: 10:00 PM UTC
Location: Not specified

Game Overview

The upcoming match between Modestas Bukauskas and Ion Cutelaba is part of the UFC 315 prelims in the Light Heavyweight division. Both fighters have a strong background in Mixed Martial Arts, with Bukauskas having a record of 17-6 and Cutelaba with 19-10-1. The fight is expected to be highly competitive, given their similar skill levels and recent performances.

Key Factors to Consider

Modestas Bukauskas has a UFC record of 5-4, while Ion Cutelaba stands at 8-9-1. This suggests that Cutelaba has more experience in the UFC arena.
There is no documented head-to-head matchup between Modestas Bukauskas and Ion Cutelaba prior to their UFC 315 fight.
No major injuries have been reported for either fighter.
Mental preparation and recent form could play significant roles in this match.
Both fighters are motivated to win to improve their rankings in the Light Heavyweight division.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Ion Cutelaba: -112, Modestas Bukauskas: -108	Ion Cutelaba	★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread	Ion Cutelaba: -3.5 100, Modestas Bukauskas: 3.5 -140	Modestas Bukauskas +3.5	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over: 1.5 -154, Under: 1.5 120	Over 1.5	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Modestas Bukauskas -2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 1.5 24%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 36.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the close odds, this fight could go either way. However, Ion Cutelaba's UFC experience might give him a slight edge.

Predicted Score: Ion Cutelaba wins via unanimous decision or late stoppage.

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Marc-Andre Barriault vs. Bruno Silva Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Marc-Andre Barriault vs Bruno Silva – Prediction

Match Details

Date: May 10, 2025
Time: 10:00 PM UTC
Location: Bell Centre, Montreal, Québec, Canada

Game Overview

Marc-Andre Barriault faces Bruno Silva in a pivotal middleweight clash at UFC 315. Both fighters are seeking to break recent losing streaks. The fight promises to be action-packed with both fighters favoring striking.

Key Factors to Consider

Barriault has lost three consecutive fights, while Silva has lost four. Both need a win to regain momentum.
No previous head-to-head matches between the two fighters.
No significant injury reports mentioned for either fighter.
Barriault fights in his home region, which could provide a motivational boost. Silva recently took a break due to anxiety issues but is now returning to competition.
Both fighters are highly motivated due to their current losing streaks.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-140 for Barriault, 120 for Silva	Barriault	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 1.5 at -205, Under 1.5 at +165	Over 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Marc-Andre Barriault -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 1.5 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Marc-Andre Barriault at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Marc-Andre Barriault is favored to win based on the odds and home advantage.

Predicted Score: No direct score prediction as MMA fights are won via knockout, submission, or decision.

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Jeongyoung Lee vs. Daniel Santos Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Jeongyoung Lee vs Daniel Santos – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-05-10
Time: 10:00 PM UTC
Location: Bell Centre, Montreal, Quebec, Canada

Game Overview

A featherweight UFC Fight Night showdown between Brazil’s Daniel 'Willycat' Santos (12-2) and South Korea’s JeongYeong 'Korean Tiger' Lee (11-2). Both fighters are looking to climb the rankings; Santos is returning after nearly two years of inactivity and multiple fight cancellations, while Lee is coming off a first-round TKO loss but remains a well-rounded and dangerous opponent. Santos is known for dynamic striking, while Lee boasts BJJ black belt credentials and a mix of KO/submission finishes.

Key Factors to Consider

Daniel Santos lands 4.26 significant strikes/min at 37% accuracy, absorbing 5.12 significant strikes/min with 50% defense. JeongYeong Lee lands 2.84 significant strikes/min at 52% accuracy, absorbing 2.81 significant strikes/min with 50% defense. Santos is more active offensively but less accurate and absorbs more. Lee is more efficient and absorbs fewer strikes.
No prior head-to-head meetings between Santos and Lee.
No recent fight injuries reported. Santos has had a long layoff (last fight June 2023) and multiple withdrawals, which may impact his rhythm. Lee lost via first-round TKO in his last fight (July 2024), which may affect his confidence.
Santos stepping in on short notice for the original opponent, Gavin Tucker. Santos’ history of fight withdrawals (5 out of 9) raises questions about his physical readiness. Potential impact of crowd support in Montreal, with no clear regional advantage.
Santos is eager to regain trust and momentum after prolonged inactivity. Lee aims to redeem himself after a recent TKO loss and to make a statement in the division.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Santos: +105, Lee: -125	Jeongyoung Lee	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 2.5: +110, Under 2.5: -140	Under 2.5	★★★☆☆ 65%

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Jeongyoung Lee -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

This is a close matchup, but JeongYeong Lee’s superior efficiency, accuracy, and lower strike absorption rate give him a slight edge. Santos’ volume and aggression are notable, but his layoff and defensive gaps could be costly. Lee’s BJJ black belt background and ability to threaten with submissions in scrambles may be the difference-maker.

Predicted Score: Jeongyoung Lee by submission or TKO, Round 2

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Jessica Andrade vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Jessica Andrade vs Jasmine Jasudavicius – Prediction

Match Details

Date: May 11, 2025
Time: 10:00 PM UTC
Location: Bell Centre, Montreal

Game Overview

This UFC 315 matchup pits Jasmine Jasudavicius against Jessica Andrade in the women's flyweight division. Jasudavicius is favored to win, with odds reflecting her recent form and grappling skills. Andrade, a former strawweight champion, brings power and experience but is undersized at flyweight.

Key Factors to Consider

Jasudavicius has been on a strong run, with a 7-2 UFC record. Andrade has shown resurgence in 2024 but faces a tough test against Jasudavicius.
No prior matches between the two fighters.
No reported injuries for either fighter.
Jasudavicius has been training in Thailand, which could enhance her readiness for Andrade's aggressive style.
Both fighters are highly motivated; Jasudavicius seeks a title push, while Andrade aims to regain prominence.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Jasudavicius: -310, Andrade: +250	Jasudavicius win	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Jasudavicius: -3.5 -135, Andrade: 3.5 100	Jasudavicius covers the spread	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over: 2.5 -145, Under: 2.5 114	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Jasmine Jasudavicius 110%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 18%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Jasmine Jasudavicius at 110% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 44% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jasudavicius is likely to win via submission, leveraging her grappling skills against Andrade.

Predicted Score: Jasudavicius wins by submission in the second round.

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Navajo Stirling vs. Ivan Erslan Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Navajo Stirling vs Ivan Erslan – Prediction

Match Details

Date: May 10, 2025
Time: 10:00 PM UTC
Location: Not specified

Game Overview

Navajo Stirling, undefeated in MMA, faces off against Ivan Erslan in the Light Heavyweight division at UFC 315. Stirling's undefeated record and recent performances suggest a strong contender, while Erslan will look to challenge this streak.

Key Factors to Consider

Navajo Stirling is undefeated and generally favored by odds and predictions. Ivan Erslan faces an uphill battle, but his experience will be crucial.
No previous head-to-head records available for these fighters.
No injuries reported for either fighter.
The match is part of UFC 315, which may draw a significant crowd and media attention.
Both fighters are highly motivated, with Stirling seeking to maintain his undefeated streak and Erslan looking for a significant upset.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-325 (Navajo Stirling), 260 (Ivan Erslan)	Navajo Stirling to win	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	-3.5 -190 (Navajo Stirling), 3.5 140 (Ivan Erslan)	Navajo Stirling to cover	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 1.5 -175, Under 1.5 135	Over 1.5	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Navajo Stirling -8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 1.5 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Navajo Stirling is predicted to win based on being favored by the odds and his undefeated record.

Predicted Score: Decision/TKO in favor of Navajo Stirling.

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Lewis McGrillen vs. Alan Philpott Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Lewis McGrillen vs Alan Philpott – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-05-10
Time: 4:00 PM UTC
Location: The SSE Arena, Belfast, Northern Ireland

Game Overview

Lewis McGrillen-Evans, the reigning PFL Europe bantamweight champion, faces veteran Alan Philpott in the PFL Europe 1 co-main event. McGrillen-Evans enters on a hot streak, while Philpott brings significant experience but a lower recent win ratio.

Key Factors to Consider

Lewis McGrillen-Evans is 10-1-0, with two recent stoppage victories and championship pedigree in PFL Europe. Alan Philpott is 21-16-0, showing durability and experience but a less dominant recent record.
No prior head-to-head history between the fighters.
No major injuries or withdrawals reported for either fighter.
Event is in Belfast, which is Philpott's home region, potentially influencing crowd support but not significantly altering the odds.
McGrillen-Evans is highly motivated to build on his title and possible global roster ambitions. Philpott is motivated to upset the favored champion.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Lewis McGrillen: -1000, Alan Philpott: 550	Lewis McGrillen	★★★★☆ 85%

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Lewis McGrillen -2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Lewis McGrillen at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Lewis McGrillen-Evans is the clear favorite based on recent form, finishing ability, and momentum. Expect a competitive fight, but McGrillen-Evans is likely to secure a win, possibly by late stoppage or decision.

Predicted Score: Lewis McGrillen via TKO/KO or unanimous decision (Based on form and momentum).

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Gemma Auld vs. Sammy-Jo Luxton Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Gemma Auld vs Sammy-Jo Luxton – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-05-10
Time: 4:00 PM UTC
Location: The SSE Arena, Belfast, Northern Ireland

Game Overview

The upcoming PFL Europe 1 main card bout features Gemma Auld versus Sammy-Jo Luxton in the flyweight division. Both fighters stand at 170 cm with equivalent reach, meeting in a highly anticipated matchup on May 10, 2025, at 4:00 PM UTC. This bout marks Luxton’s long-awaited promotional debut after overcoming career uncertainties and physical setbacks. Both fighters are evenly matched on paper, as reflected in the current balanced moneyline odds.

Key Factors to Consider

Gemma Auld has consistently competed in the flyweight division with a solid record in the PFL circuit, while Sammy-Jo Luxton transitions from a Thai boxing background with evolving MMA skills, showing strong recent form and promising grappling and striking stats.
There is no prior recorded head-to-head match between Gemma Auld and Sammy-Jo Luxton, making this their first encounter in professional MMA competition.
No reported current injuries for either fighter; Luxton recently returned to full health following past physical and mental challenges.
The fight is held at home venue for Gemma Auld in Belfast, Northern Ireland, potentially benefiting her through local crowd support, whereas Luxton fights away from her English base with motivation to make a strong promotional debut.
Luxton is highly motivated to establish herself as a rising star in PFL, aiming to drop weight classes to further her career and become a prominent ‘It’ girl in the promotion. Gemma Auld looks to maintain her standing in the division with a home advantage and experience in PFL competition.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Gemma Auld: -120, Sammy-Jo Luxton: -120	Close contest with slight lean towards Sammy-Jo Luxton due to motivation and evolving skill set.	★★★☆☆ 55%

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Sammy-Jo Luxton -8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sammy-Jo Luxton at -8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the evenly matched statistics and odds, the fight is likely to be competitive and could go the distance. However, Luxton’s high motivation to prove herself and improve rapidly with weight class adjustments may give her a slight edge, though Auld’s home crowd support and PFL experience keep her chances robust.

Predicted Score: Decision win for Sammy-Jo Luxton via unanimous or split decision after 3 full rounds.

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John Mitchell vs. Lorenzo Parente Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: John Mitchell vs Lorenzo Parente – Prediction

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Bekzat Almakhan vs. Brad Katona Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Bekzat Almakhan vs Brad Katona – Prediction

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Mike Malott vs. Charlie Radtke Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Mike Malott vs Charlie Radtke – Prediction

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Modestas Bukauskas vs. Ion Cutelaba Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Modestas Bukauskas vs Ion Cutelaba – Prediction

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Marc-Andre Barriault vs. Bruno Silva Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Marc-Andre Barriault vs Bruno Silva – Prediction

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Jeongyoung Lee vs. Daniel Santos Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Jeongyoung Lee vs Daniel Santos – Prediction

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Jessica Andrade vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Jessica Andrade vs Jasmine Jasudavicius – Prediction

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Navajo Stirling vs. Ivan Erslan Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Navajo Stirling vs Ivan Erslan – Prediction

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Lewis McGrillen vs. Alan Philpott Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Lewis McGrillen vs Alan Philpott – Prediction

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Gemma Auld vs. Sammy-Jo Luxton Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Gemma Auld vs Sammy-Jo Luxton – Prediction

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