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Bartosz Szewczyk vs. Dawid Kasperski Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Bartosz Szewczyk vs Dawid Kasperski – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Warsaw, Poland (KSW 109)

Game Overview

A high-stakes light heavyweight bout between Bartosz Szewczyk and Dawid Kasperski at KSW 109 in Warsaw, featuring two powerful fighters with contrasting attributes. Szewczyk is favored heavily on the moneyline, reflecting his recent form and home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bartosz Szewczyk has demonstrated strong recent form with consistent finishes, whereas Dawid Kasperski, though powerful, has shown less consistency and has suffered a few decision losses in his last outings.
  • No previous direct clashes between Szewczyk and Kasperski are recorded, making tactical adaptation a key factor in this matchup.
  • No known injuries hampering either fighter according to latest reports; both are expected to compete at full strength.
  • The fight takes place in Warsaw, giving Szewczyk a clear home crowd and logistical advantage. Both fighters possess substantial motivation to claim dominance in the KSW light heavyweight division.
  • Szewczyk appears highly motivated to assert his status as top contender on home soil, while Kasperski is keen to upset the home favorite and gain momentum in his career.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -270, away: 180 Bartosz Szewczyk β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread home: -1.5 (-150), away: +1.5 (+130) Bartosz Szewczyk -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under over_2.5_rounds: -110, under_2.5_rounds: -110 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bartosz Szewczyk -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Bartosz Szewczyk at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bartosz Szewczyk to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: Bartosz Szewczyk wins by TKO in Round 2


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Michal Gniady vs. Viktor Cervinsky Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Michal Gniady vs Viktor Cervinsky – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: KSW Event

Game Overview

Michal Gniady faces Viktor Cervinsky in a KSW mixed martial arts bout. Viktor is favored slightly by bookmakers but the matchup is highly competitive with closely matched recent odds and performances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both fighters show mixed recent form with slight edge toward Viktor Cervinsky based on consistent performances and slight odds favoritism. Gniady's recent bouts have seen variable outcomes with some underdog wins.
  • No direct H2H matchup data available indicating a previous encounter, suggesting this is their first professional meeting.
  • No public injury reports have been noted for either fighter leading into this bout.
  • Fight scheduled under KSW promotion with typical preparation conditions; venue and travel should not disproportionately affect either fighter given timing and location.
  • Both fighters are motivated to establish or maintain status in KSW rankings, with Viktor possibly having a slight motivational edge given slight road-fighter underdog status in previous fights.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Michal Gniady: +100, Viktor Cervinsky: -140 Viktor Cervinsky β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread As no public standard MMA spread odds exist, spread analysis is estimated. Assuming a -1.5 round spread at roughly -120 typical odds. Viktor Cervinsky -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Estimated over/under at 2.5 rounds with typical odds near -110 Over 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Viktor Cervinsky -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Viktor Cervinsky at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Viktor Cervinsky to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: Viktor Cervinsky wins via decision after 3 rounds


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Michal Michalski vs. Andi Vrtacic Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Michal Michalski vs Andi Vrtacic – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: ATM Studio, Warsaw, Poland

Game Overview

Michal Michalski and Andi VrtačiΔ‡ face off in a 3-round MMA bout at KSW 109. Michalski enters with a 12-5 record and recent strong form, while VrtačiΔ‡ has a 6-2 record and is returning from a break, marking this as a key matchup on the card.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Michalski shows consistent activity and solid recent performance, suggesting better fight rhythm. VrtačiΔ‡, while talented, has less recent fight volume and is coming off a hiatus which may impact sharpness.
  • No prior head-to-head bouts between the two fighters, so no direct comparative data exists.
  • No reported injuries on either fighter heading into the bout, indicating both are at full health.
  • The fight takes place in Warsaw, Poland, potentially giving Michalski a slight home crowd advantage.
  • VrtačiΔ‡ appears motivated to return strongly to the spotlight after a break, while Michalski seeks to maintain momentum and improve his standing in KSW.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Michal Michalski: -135, Andi Vrtacic: -105 Michal Michalski β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Michal Michalski -1.5 rounds: +120, Andi Vrtacic +1.5 rounds: -140 Michal Michalski -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Michal Michalski 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Michal Michalski at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Michal Michalski to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Michal Michalski wins via decision or late stoppage in round 3


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Piotr Kuberski vs. Radoslaw Paczuski Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Piotr Kuberski vs Radoslaw Paczuski – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: KSW 109 event venue (unspecified)

Game Overview

Middleweight title bout between Piotr Kuberski, a highly experienced fighter with a 16-1 record, and RadosΕ‚aw Paczuski, the current champion holding an 8-2 record.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Kuberski shows dominant recent form with 16 wins and only 1 loss, demonstrating strong finishing ability; Paczuski, while champion, has a lesser experience base with 8-2 and less frequent fights recently.
  • No prior direct matchups found between Kuberski and Paczuski, making this a first-time encounter.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter in available data.
  • Fight held at KSW 109 in Poland, both fighters Polish which neutralizes home advantage; main event status adds motivation to both.
  • Title and legacy at stake; Kuberski motivated to capture the belt and avenge his single loss, Paczuski defending title with less fight volume but champion mentality.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Piotr Kuberski -350, Radoslaw Paczuski +225 Piotr Kuberski β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread Not explicitly provided; inferred typical MMA rounds spread -1.5 or +1.5 rounds Piotr Kuberski -1.5 rounds (to win convincingly) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Not explicitly provided; standard MMA over/under at 2.5 rounds Under 2.5 rounds (fight ends before the third round) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Piotr Kuberski -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Piotr Kuberski at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Piotr Kuberski to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: Piotr Kuberski wins by TKO/Submission in round 2


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Alain Van De Merckt vs. Borys Dzikowski Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Alain Van De Merckt vs Borys Dzikowski – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: KSW 109, Warsaw

Game Overview

This KSW 109 lightweight bout features Alain Van De Merckt (8-1) vs Borys Dzikowski (4-2). Van De Merckt is undefeated in recent fights, with a high finishing rate via submissions and knockouts. Dzikowski carries a solid but less dominant 4-2 record, with more KO/TKO victories than submissions. Both fighters are evenly matched on weight (~84 kg) and height (Van De Merckt slightly shorter).

Key Factors to Consider

  • Van De Merckt is on a strong winning streak with an 8-1 record, showing versatility in finishing fights (3 KO/TKO, 5 submissions). Dzikowski has a respectable 4-2 record with the majority of wins by KO/TKO but no submission wins, suggesting less grappling dominance.
  • No previous matchup between the two fighters has been recorded, so no direct H2H history is available.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the fight.
  • Fight takes place at KSW 109 in Warsaw, Dzikowski's home country Poland, which may provide slight crowd support. Van De Merckt has international experience but may be facing some crowd adversity.
  • Van De Merckt aims to maintain his near-perfect record in a higher profile organization, likely highly motivated. Dzikowski, with two recent losses and fighting at home, will seek to rebound decisively for standing in KSW.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alain Van De Merckt: -200, Borys Dzikowski: +150 Alain Van De Merckt β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread Alain Van De Merckt -1.5 rounds: -120, Borys Dzikowski +1.5 rounds: +100 Alain Van De Merckt -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alain Van De Merckt -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Alain Van De Merckt at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alain Van De Merckt to win by submission

Predicted Score: Alain Van De Merckt wins by submission in round 2


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Mark De La Rosa vs. Dominik Humburger Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Mark De La Rosa vs Dominik Humburger – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-08
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Undisclosed MMA venue

Game Overview

Middleweight MMA bout between Mark De La Rosa and Dominik Humburger with De La Rosa favored by bookmakers.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mark De La Rosa has the edge in recent form with a solid record and consistent fighting style, whereas Dominik Humburger is an aggressive fighter with a strong regional championship background but less exposure at the highest level.
  • No prior head-to-head meetings between the two fighters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout.
  • Both fighters appear motivated with no known external distractions; fight is part of a major MMA promotion and scheduled in a neutral environment.
  • Mark De La Rosa likely motivated to maintain UFC-level reputation; Dominik Humburger driven by opportunity to establish himself on bigger stage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mark De La Rosa: -320, Dominik Humburger: +210 Mark De La Rosa β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread Not provided explicitly; estimate -1.5 rounds spread for De La Rosa Mark De La Rosa -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under No explicit odds provided; estimated total rounds set at 2.5 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mark De La Rosa -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Mark De La Rosa at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mark De La Rosa to win via moneyline

Predicted Score: Mark De La Rosa wins by unanimous decision in 3 rounds


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Krzysztof Jotko vs. Marek Mazuch Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Krzysztof Jotko vs Marek Mazuch – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Oktagon 74, Prague

Game Overview

The middleweight bout at Oktagon 74 features veteran Krzysztof Jotko against rising contender Marek Mazuch. Jotko’s extensive UFC experience and durable record contrast with Mazuch’s younger but less tested profile in top-tier competition.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Jotko holds a solid 26-6 record with consistent performances against high-level opponents, recently maintaining good form; Mazuch stands at 9-3 with promising but less frequent high-profile fights.
  • No prior matchup exists between these two fighters, making this an initial tactical encounter without psychological edge.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter, both expected to enter the bout fully healthy.
  • Fight taking place in Oktagon MMA’s home environment with Jotko as the slight favorite; local support and travel impact minimal.
  • Jotko motivated to prove veteran dominance and potentially return to bigger promotions; Mazuch eager to make a statement and climb the ranks.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jotko -600, Mazuch +350 Krzysztof Jotko β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread Jotko -1.5 Jotko -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Krzysztof Jotko -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Krzysztof Jotko at -9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Krzysztof Jotko win

Predicted Score: Jotko wins by 2nd round TKO


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Kamil Oniszczuk vs. David Zawada Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Kamil Oniszczuk vs David Zawada – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: OKTAGON MMA Event

Game Overview

Middleweight bout between Kamil Oniszczuk and David Zawada at OKTAGON 74, featuring two experienced fighters with notable striking power and experience across multiple promotions.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Kamil Oniszczuk has shown steady form across ACA, Bellator, and Babylon MMA with strong all-around skills; David Zawada has 12 knockouts in 19 wins including 6 early finishes, indicating high finishing capability.
  • This will be their first career matchup with no prior fights against each other.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout.
  • Both fighters are competing in their prime without significant external distractions; event held in a neutral venue for both.
  • Both fighters enter motivated to prove themselves in OKTAGON MMA; Oniszczuk aiming to solidify his status, Zawada leveraging UFC experience for a breakthrough.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Kamil Oniszczuk: -170, David Zawada: +130 Kamil Oniszczuk β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 67%
Spread Not specifically available; implied spread -1.5 for Oniszczuk Kamil Oniszczuk to win by at least 2 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%
Over/under Standard 1.5 rounds total Under 1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Kamil Oniszczuk -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Kamil Oniszczuk at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Kamil Oniszczuk to win on Moneyline

Predicted Score: Kamil Oniszczuk wins by decision or late stoppage after 3 rounds


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Kerim Engizek vs. Mick Stanton Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Kerim Engizek vs Mick Stanton – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-08
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Oktagon 74, Europe (Exact venue unspecified)

Game Overview

Middleweight bout featuring Kerim Engizek and Mick Stanton on August 8, 2025, in Oktagon 74. Engizek enters as the moneyline favorite with odds around -260, reflecting his aggressive striking and experience, while Stanton offers a strong grappling and endurance game as the underdog at +175.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Engizek has shown consistent aggressive striking and recent solid form, outweighing Stanton's grappling-oriented style and slightly less recent momentum.
  • No prior head-to-head matchups found indicating no direct past encounter to influence the psychological or tactical approach.
  • No reported injuries affecting either fighter leading into the bout, indicating both are likely at full fitness.
  • The fight is scheduled in Europe under the Oktagon promotion where Engizek has previously fought with strong fan support; no significant travel or acclimatization disadvantage noted.
  • Engizek appears motivated to maintain his favorite status and climb rankings, while Stanton aims to upset the favorite and prove his standing, adding incentive but favoring the more experienced Engizek.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Kerim Engizek -260, Mick Stanton +175 Kerim Engizek β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Not explicitly provided, typical middleweight spread approx. Engizek -1.5 rounds Kerim Engizek -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under No precise line available; estimate approx. 2.5 rounds total Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Kerim Engizek -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Kerim Engizek at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Kerim Engizek to win by Moneyline

Predicted Score: Kerim Engizek wins by decision or late stoppage before round 3


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Rodolfo Vieira vs. Tresean Gore Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Rodolfo Vieira vs Tresean Gore – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-02
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

Rodolfo Vieira, a highly skilled Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu specialist and 35-year-old orthodox fighter, faces Tresean Gore, a younger 31-year-old switch fighter known for his striking, in a middleweight UFC bout at UFC Vegas 108.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vieira holds a superior career record (10-3) compared to Gore (6-3) and demonstrates higher striking accuracy (55% vs 46%) and better defensive metrics, allowing fewer significant strikes per minute (4.40 vs 8.16). Gore shows durability but less effective defense.
  • No previous head-to-head matchup between Vieira and Gore, making this their first encounter.
  • No publicly reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout, indicating both athletes should be at full health.
  • The fight takes place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, a familiar venue for Vieira with possibly minimal travel disruption; Gore may have less experience fighting at this location but no clear disadvantage.
  • Vieira, at 35, aims to reinforce his UFC standing and capitalize on his grappling dominance before potential age regression, whereas Gore, younger and termed 'Mr. Vicious,' seeks to build momentum ascending the division.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Rodolfo_Vieira: -198, Tresean_Gore: 164 Rodolfo Vieira β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread Rodolfo_Vieira_-3.5: -140, Tresean_Gore_+3.5: 100 Rodolfo Vieira -3.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under over_1.5: -145, under_1.5: 114 Over 1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Rodolfo Vieira -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 -2%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rodolfo Vieira to win via submission or decision

Predicted Score: Vieira wins by submission or decision after 2-3 rounds


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