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Levi Rigters vs. Asadulla Nasipov Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Levi Rigters vs Asadulla Nasipov – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-11
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: RTM Stage, Netherlands

Game Overview

Levi Rigters, the aggressive and technically proficient striker with a 20-3 record and notable KO power, faces off against Asadulla Nasipov, who holds a 12-2 record and has fewer knockouts. This bout is part of the GLORY 104 Last Heavyweight Standing tournament with Rigters favored due to his recent high-profile stoppage victories and championship aspirations.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Levi Rigters recently stopped top contender Jamal Ben Saddik with a liver kick, demonstrating peak performance and finishing ability. Nasipov has also been successful but lacks the same level of recent scaled victories and knockout power.
  • No direct prior matchups between Rigters and Nasipov reported, making form and fighting style the key differentiators.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout, indicating both should be at full strength.
  • The bout takes place at RTM Stage in the Netherlands, favoring Rigters due to regional familiarity and strong local support which can boost performance.
  • Rigters has expressed strong motivation to win the Last Heavyweight Standing tournament and reclaim a dominant status, while Nasipov, though motivated, is less experienced on this high-profile stage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -250 (Rigters), +190 (Nasipov) Levi Rigters ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread -1.5 (-140) for Rigters, +1.5 (+120) for Nasipov Rigters -1.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds (-110), Under 2.5 rounds (-110) Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 69%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Levi Rigters to win by knockout

Predicted Score: Levi Rigters wins by KO in round 2


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Thomas Petersen vs. Vitor Petrino Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Thomas Petersen vs Vitor Petrino – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-11
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Farmasi Arena, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

Heavyweight UFC bout between Thomas Petersen and Vitor Petrino, featuring two contrasting styles and similar physical stats, set for October 11, 2025 at UFC Rio.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Petrino holds a 12-2 record with high striking accuracy (45%) and solid defense (47% strikes absorbed). Petersen is 10-3 with higher striking volume and accuracy (59%) and better defense (57%). Petersen recently won decisively via unanimous decision over Don'Tale Mayes.
  • No direct previous matchups between the fighters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the bout.
  • The fight takes place at UFC Rio, Petrino's home country, likely favoring him psychologically and crowd support. The southpaw Petersen may present stylistic challenges.
  • Petersen appears motivated coming off a recent win and is slightly older (30 vs 28), while Petrino aims to maintain dominant home status with a strong 12-2 career.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Thomas Petersen: +240, Vitor Petrino: -298 Vitor Petrino ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Thomas Petersen +3.5: +130, Vitor Petrino -3.5: -180 Vitor Petrino -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: -200, Under 1.5 rounds: +154 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vitor Petrino -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 52%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 52% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 34% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Prediction favors Vitor Petrino on moneyline given his strong form, home advantage, and betting market consensus despite Petersen’s higher striking output.

Predicted Score: Vitor Petrino wins by decision or late finish within 3 rounds


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Saimon Oliveira vs. Luan Lacerda Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Saimon Oliveira vs Luan Lacerda – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-11
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Farmasi Arena, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

This bantamweight matchup at UFC Rio features Luan Lacerda (12-3) versus Saimon Oliveira (18-6), both orthodox fighters around 135 lbs with similar reach. Lacerda is the odds favorite at -250, displaying a higher significant strike rate but also absorbing more strikes. Oliveira is a seasoned fighter with decent defense and a slight edge in reach.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Lacerda lands 4.52 significant strikes per minute at 44% accuracy but absorbs 7.07 per minute with 47% defense. Oliveira lands 2.67 significant strikes per minute at 40% accuracy, absorbing 4.13 with 46% defense. Oliveira’s experience (18-6) is broader but Lacerda’s recent form and efficiency suggest aggressiveness.
  • No recorded previous fights between Lacerda and Oliveira, so no direct matchup data available.
  • No reported injuries impacting either fighter leading into this bout.
  • Fight location in Rio de Janeiro favors both Brazilian fighters equally; no notable external factors impacting performance.
  • Both fighters motivated to climb rankings in bantamweight; Lacerda as a younger prospect aiming to capitalize on momentum, Oliveira seeking to leverage experience for possible career resurgence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Luan Lacerda: -250, Saimon Oliveira: +205 Luan Lacerda ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Luan Lacerda: -3.5 -180, Saimon Oliveira: +3.5 +130 Luan Lacerda -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 1.5: -145, Under 1.5: +114 Over 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Saimon Oliveira -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Luan Lacerda to win via moneyline

Predicted Score: Luan Lacerda wins by unanimous decision or TKO in round 3


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Kaan Ofli vs. Ricardo Ramos Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Kaan Ofli vs Ricardo Ramos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: October 11, 2025
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Farmasi Arena, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

The matchup between Kaan Ofli and Ricardo Ramos will take place at UFC Rio on October 11, 2025. Both fighters have different strengths and weaknesses, with Ramos being a slight favorite due to his experience and recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ricardo Ramos has a career record of 17-7-0 and is known for connecting on 2.97 significant strikes per minute, though he takes 4.06 significant strikes per minute. Kaan Ofli has a record of 12-4-1, connecting on 2.00 significant strikes per minute and absorbing 2.93.
  • No previous head-to-head matchups are noted.
  • No recent injuries are reported for either fighter.
  • The fight is in Brazil, which might favor Ramos due to crowd support.
  • Both fighters are motivated to win, with Ramos looking to bounce back from a recent decision loss.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Kaan Ofli: 154, Ricardo Ramos: -185 Ricardo Ramos Not available
Spread Kaan Ofli: 3.5 -140, Ricardo Ramos: -3.5 100 Ricardo Ramos Not available
Over/under over: 2.5 -140, under: 2.5 110 Over 2.5 Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ricardo Ramos -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Ricardo Ramos at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ricardo Ramos is likely to win due to his experience and higher strike rate.

Predicted Score: No specific score is available for MMA fights, but Ramos is expected to perform well.


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Michael Aswell vs. Lucas Almeida Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Michael Aswell vs Lucas Almeida – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-11
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Farmasi Arena, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

Michael Aswell and Lucas Almeida face off at UFC Rio in a featherweight bout. Almeida is the more experienced fighter with a longer reach and higher age, while Aswell is younger and exhibits higher striking output. The fight will likely hinge on Aswell's volume striking and ability to avoid Almeida's counters.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Almeida holds a 15-4 record with moderate striking accuracy (39%) and defense (44%). Aswell, younger at 25, has a 10-3 record with superior striking volume (9.1 significant strikes/min) and accuracy (44%), and better strike defense (54%). Almeida is more conservative but durable, Aswell more aggressive.
  • No direct H2H matchups between Almeida and Aswell to date, so prediction is based on comparative statistical analysis and stylistic matchups.
  • No reported injuries to either fighter leading into this bout.
  • Fight takes place in Brazil, Almeida’s home country, which might give him crowd support and motivation. Aswell is the younger fighter traveling internationally but maintains composure in high-pressure UFC events.
  • Almeida seeks to consolidate his featherweight status with a high-profile win on home soil at UFC Rio. Aswell aims to build momentum as a young rising contender with a powerful striking style.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Lucas Almeida: +114, Michael Aswell: -135 Michael Aswell ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Lucas Almeida (+3.5): -195, Michael Aswell (-3.5): +140 Michael Aswell -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -175, Under 2.5 rounds: +135 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Lucas Almeida -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 34%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Michael Aswell to win by decision

Predicted Score: Michael Aswell wins by unanimous decision after three rounds


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Irina Alekseeva vs. Beatriz Mesquita Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Irina Alekseeva vs Beatriz Mesquita – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-11
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC Event – Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

This Bantamweight division prelim fight features Beatriz Mesquita, a highly experienced and dominant grappler from Brazil, against rising Russian contender Irina Alekseeva. Mesquita enters as a strong favorite with significant betting support, reflecting her superior MMA résumé and grappling dominance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Beatriz Mesquita has exhibited consistent dominance in recent bouts, showing strong grappling and control, with multiple wins in 2025 at UFC and LFA levels. Irina Alekseeva, while improving, has less experience and fewer wins against top-tier competition.
  • No recorded previous bouts between Mesquita and Alekseeva, making this a form and style matchup rather than historical dominance.
  • No known injuries reported for either fighter leading into the match, allowing both to perform at expected levels.
  • Fight takes place in Brazil, Beatriz Mesquita's home country, potentially boosting her motivation and crowd support.
  • Mesquita aims to extend her dominance and reinforce UFC contender status, while Alekseeva seeks to make a significant UFC statement. Mesquita’s experience at high-level competition increases her motivation to maintain form.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Beatriz Mesquita -575, Irina Alekseeva +425 Beatriz Mesquita ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Beatriz Mesquita -7.5 -230, Irina Alekseeva +7.5 165 Beatriz Mesquita -7.5 ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 1.5 -154, Under 1.5 120 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Beatriz Mesquita -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 32%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 32% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bet on Beatriz Mesquita moneyline

Predicted Score: Beatriz Mesquita wins by submission or decision within 2 rounds


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Clayton Carpenter vs. Jafel Filho Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Clayton Carpenter vs Jafel Filho – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-11
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Farmasi Arena, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

Clayton Carpenter faces Jafel Filho in a UFC Flyweight bout with Carpenter slightly favored on the moneyline. Carpenter (8-1) is younger with higher significant strikes landed per minute, better accuracy, and stronger defense. Filho (16-4) is more experienced but lands fewer significant strikes and takes fewer per minute. Both use orthodox stance and are closely matched in height and reach.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Carpenter boasts a high 3.91 significant strikes landed per minute at 55% accuracy, while Filho lands 1.92 strikes per minute at 41% accuracy. Defensively, Carpenter allows 2.75 strikes per minute but deflects 55%, Filho allows 1.63 strikes per minute with 47% deflection. Carpenter has younger age (29 vs. 32) and a recent KO win momentum.
  • No direct previous bouts found between Carpenter and Filho.
  • No reported injuries or recent layoffs affecting either fighter.
  • Fight location in Rio may slightly favor Filho due to home crowd support and familiarity, but Carpenter appears mentally focused with stronger recent form.
  • Both fighters highly motivated for UFC Rio event, Carpenter eager to solidify his rising status; Filho motivated to leverage experience against a younger contender.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -125 Clayton Carpenter ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Clayton Carpenter -3.5 (150) Clayton Carpenter -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-195) Over 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Clayton Carpenter 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Clayton Carpenter at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Clayton Carpenter to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: Clayton Carpenter wins by decision or late finish, total rounds: 3


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Raheam Forest vs. Martin Camilo Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Raheam Forest vs Martin Camilo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-10
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: F&M Bank Arena, Clarksville, Tennessee, USA

Game Overview

Welterweight MMA bout between Raheam Forest (8-3) and Martin Camilo (7-2-1) at LFA 219.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Raheam Forest has a slightly better overall record (8-3) than Martin Camilo (7-2-1) with more finishes by KO/TKO (5 vs 2) and a solid recent form; Camilo has a higher submission rate but more decision losses.
  • No prior head-to-head matches between the two fighters; statistics on similar competition show Forest with a durability edge and better KO power.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into this bout.
  • Fight scheduled at a neutral venue in Clarksville, Tennessee. Both fighters meet weight comfortably with no notable external distractions.
  • Raheam Forest, being younger (28 vs Camilo’s 35) appears motivated to climb rankings; Camilo’s longer career and experience offer resilience but possibly less physical upside.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Raheam Forest: +120, Martin Camilo: -160 Raheam Forest ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Raheam Forest -1.5 rounds: +140, Martin Camilo +1.5 rounds: -170 Raheam Forest -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Martin Camilo 21%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Martin Camilo at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Raheam Forest to win by KO/TKO

Predicted Score: Raheam Forest wins by KO/TKO in round 2


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Andrew Stewart vs. Johnathan Waid Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Andrew Stewart vs Johnathan Waid – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-10
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: F&M Bank Arena, Clarksville, Tennessee, USA

Game Overview

Welterweight MMA bout between Andrew Stewart and Johnathan Waid scheduled for 3 rounds at LFA 219.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Andrew Stewart is the clear favorite based on recent form and odds, showing strong performances in previous LFA bouts; Johnathan Waid has shown resilience but less consistency and fewer finishing rates.
  • No recorded direct head-to-head matchups found between these two fighters, making the fight a test of styles and recent momentum.
  • No publicly available injury reports for either fighter, indicating likely both are healthy coming into the fight.
  • The fight takes place in Tennessee, relatively neutral ground with no significant home advantage; both fighters fight in the US, minimizing travel fatigue.
  • Andrew Stewart seems highly motivated to maintain his favorite status and possibly secure a path to bigger promotions, while Johnathan Waid has the underdog drive but less external pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Andrew Stewart -400, Johnathan Waid +250 Andrew Stewart ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Andrew Stewart -1.5 rounds (-410), Johnathan Waid +1.5 rounds (+280) Andrew Stewart -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -135, Under 2.5 rounds +105 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Andrew Stewart -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Andrew Stewart at -6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Andrew Stewart to win; Spread: Andrew Stewart -1.5 rounds; Over/Under: Under 2.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Andrew Stewart wins by TKO/KO in round 2


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Matt Adams vs. Ben Wunder Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Matt Adams vs Ben Wunder – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: October 10, 2025
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: F&M Bank Arena

Game Overview

The matchup between Matt Adams and Ben Wunder at LFA 219 is a closely contested heavyweight bout, with both fighters having a strong chance of winning. The odds reflect a competitive match, with Ben Wunder slightly favored.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Recent form data is not specific, but both fighters are likely to be in competitive shape given their participation in the main card.
  • No previous head-to-head matchups are reported, so this bout is a first encounter.
  • No recent injury reports are available for either fighter.
  • The event takes place in Clarksville, Tennessee, but neither fighter is noted to have a significant home advantage.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, as a win would be a significant career boost.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ben Wunder: -135, Matt Adams: -105 Ben Wunder ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ben Wunder -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Ben Wunder at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ben Wunder to win due to the slight edge in odds and the competitive nature of the fight.

Predicted Score: N/A


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