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Julius Walker vs. Raffael Cerqueira Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Julius Walker vs Raffael Cerqueira – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Game Overview

Julius Walker (-675) faces Raffael Cerqueira (+490) in a light heavyweight UFC bout at UFC Vegas 109. Walker is a younger, taller orthodox fighter with a 6-1 record, known for high significant strike output and solid defense. Cerqueira is an experienced southpaw with an 11-2 record but absorbs many strikes and has a lower strike rate.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Walker holds a recent record of 6-1 with high striking volume and efficiency (5.73 significant strikes/min at 50% accuracy), while Cerqueira is 11-2 with a lower strike rate (3.28/min at 43%) but better strike defense (42%). Walker's defense allows fewer strikes absorbed (5.80 per min) compared to Cerqueira's high absorption (14.43 per min).
  • No prior head-to-head bouts between Julius Walker and Raffael Cerqueira.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the fight.
  • Fight takes place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, neutral venue; Walker benefits from youth and reach advantage (78" vs 76"), potentially favoring striking exchanges.
  • Walker, at 26, is seeking to establish himself as a rising contender with a near-flawless record; Cerqueira, at 35, chasing relevance against a top prospect, potentially motivated but possibly impacted by age.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Walker: -675, Cerqueira: +490 Julius Walker ★★★★☆ 83%
Spread Walker -3.5 (-525), Cerqueira +3.5 (330) Julius Walker -3.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 1.5 (+200), Under 1.5 (-270) Under 1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Julius Walker -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Julius Walker wins by decision

Predicted Score: Julius Walker via decision


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Joselyne Edwards vs. Priscila Cachoeira Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Joselyne Edwards vs Priscila Cachoeira – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

Joselyne Edwards and Priscila Cachoeira face off in a Women’s Bantamweight bout at UFC Vegas 109. Edwards is favored according to bookmaker odds, showing superior striking accuracy and defensive metrics, though both have similar MMA experience and records.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Edwards holds a 15-6 career record with a 6-4 UFC record, landing 4.62 significant strikes per minute at 53% accuracy and absorbing 3.20 strikes per minute. Cachoeira has a 13-6 record with a 5-6 UFC record, landing 4.03 significant strikes per minute at 44% accuracy while absorbing 7.15 strikes per minute.
  • No previous head-to-head bouts between Edwards and Cachoeira.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout.
  • Fight takes place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, a neutral venue with no altitude or climate issues. Both fighters are orthodox and similarly matched in weight class.
  • Edwards, younger and holding a better recent UFC record, likely has stronger motivation to advance her standing. Cachoeira, at 36, may be motivated to prove longevity but has had mixed recent results.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Joselyne Edwards: -350, Priscila Cachoeira: 285 Joselyne Edwards ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Joselyne Edwards -1.5: -150, Priscila Cachoeira +1.5: 130 Joselyne Edwards -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5: -180, Under 2.5: 150 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Joselyne Edwards -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 50%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 50% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Joselyne Edwards to win by decision

Predicted Score: Edwards wins by decision (3 rounds)


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Elijah Smith vs. Toshiomi Kazama Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Elijah Smith vs Toshiomi Kazama – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

Elijah Smith (8-1) faces Toshiomi Kazama (11-4) in a bantamweight bout at UFC Vegas 109. Smith is younger with a significant striking volume advantage, while Kazama shows higher strike accuracy.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Smith has a strong recent form with 8 wins and only 1 loss, showing a higher pace and volume in striking (3.83 significant strikes per minute) compared to Kazama (1.72). Kazama has more career fights and slightly better accuracy (53% vs 41%).
  • No known direct prior matchups between Elijah Smith and Toshiomi Kazama.
  • No reported injuries on either fighter leading into the bout.
  • Fight is at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, neutral ground with no clear home advantage. Both fighters orthodox stance, with Smith having a 2-inch reach advantage.
  • Smith, at 22 years old, appears to be rising fast with motivation to solidify status in the division. Kazama, at 28, seeks to leverage experience to upset the rising prospect.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Smith -700, Kazama +500 Elijah Smith ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Smith -1.5 / Kazama +1.5 (implied) Elijah Smith -1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 1.5 +100, Under 1.5 -130 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Elijah Smith -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Elijah Smith moneyline win

Predicted Score: Elijah Smith via 2nd round TKO


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Gabriella Fernandes vs. Julija Stoliarenko Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Gabriella Fernandes vs Julija Stoliarenko – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

This Women's Flyweight bout features Gabriella Fernandes, a 10-3 fighter with a strong striking output and defense, against Julija Stoliarenko, who holds an 11-9-2 record but has shown less consistency and lower striking effectiveness.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fernandes has a higher significant strike rate (3.46/min) and connect percentage (46%) compared to Stoliarenko's 2.49/min at 39%. Fernandes also has better strike defense, absorbing 5.50/min but preventing 49%, while Stoliarenko absorbs 4.54/min and prevents 46%.
  • No previous bouts between the two fighters, making this a pure matchup analysis based on styles and recent form.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter impacting this bout.
  • Fight is at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, neutral venue with no apparent home advantage. Both fighters are similarly aged (31 vs. 32) and weight-matched at 125 lbs with similar reach.
  • Fernandes holds a superior UFC record (2-2 vs. 2-6) suggesting better current form and confidence; Stoliarenko’s recent UFC struggles decrease her momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gabriella Fernandes: -400, Julija Stoliarenko: +300 Gabriella Fernandes ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Gabriella Fernandes -1.5 rounds: -150, Julija Stoliarenko +1.5 rounds: +120 Gabriella Fernandes -1.5 rounds (win inside 2 rounds) ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: +145, Under 2.5 rounds: -175 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Gabriella Fernandes -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Gabriella Fernandes to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Gabriella Fernandes wins via TKO in Round 2


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Cecilie Bolander vs. Lucia Szabová Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Cecilie Bolander vs Lucia Szabová – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 6:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Štvanice Stadium, Prague, Czech Republic

Game Overview

Main event bantamweight title fight between Cecilie Bolander, a rising technical champion from Norway (4-1), vs. Lucia Szabová, the experienced and indestructible world #23 ranked Slovak fighter (record undisclosed here).

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bolander has a 4-1 record with recent impressive wins including a major upset over UFC veteran Lucie Pudilová, showing technical striking and composure. Szabová is highly ranked (#23) with a reputation for durability and experience but slightly longer fight history with mixed recent form.
  • No prior recorded matchups found between Bolander and Szabová, making this their first direct encounter.
  • No publicly reported recent injuries for either fighter; both appear healthy and in prime condition for the bout.
  • Fight held at iconic open-air Štvanice Stadium with a prestigious atmosphere that may motivate both fighters; Bolander appears comfortable fighting big events and home crowd support favors Bolander as she is featured as main event star.
  • Bolander is defending and consolidating her rising star status by aiming to capture the bantamweight crown, highly motivated after recent upset. Szabová aims to maintain her elite ranking and avoid first career loss, motivated by reputation and world ranking.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bolander +130, Szabová -150, Draw +2500 Bolander ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Bolander -1.5 rounds +180, Szabová +1.5 rounds -220 Szabová +1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -160, Under 2.5 rounds +130 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cecilie Bolander to win by decision

Predicted Score: Bolander wins via unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Ewelina Woźniak vs. Monika Kučinič Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Ewelina Woźniak vs Monika Kučinič – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: ATM Studio, Warsaw, Poland

Game Overview

Ewelina Woźniak faces Monika Kučinič in a strawweight MMA bout at KSW 109. Woźniak is known for aggressive striking and grappling, likely to control the fight pace early. Kučinič relies on strategic movement and resilience, which could come into play if the fight goes the distance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Woźniak shows superior recent form with dominant early-round performances. Kučinič's recent odds and form suggest she is less favored but remains tactically sound with strong comeback capability.
  • No publicly available direct head-to-head data; however, Woźniak's experience and past KSW performances position her as the more formidable competitor historically.
  • No significant recent injuries reported for either fighter, both expected to enter bout at full health.
  • Fight location in Warsaw favors Woźniak, providing possible home crowd advantage and motivation.
  • Woźniak appears motivated to capitalize on her favored status in front of home fans and maintain winning momentum. Kučinič motivated to cause an upset with tactical game plan.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Woźniak -400, Kučinič +275 Ewelina Woźniak ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Woźniak -1.5 rounds at -150 Woźniak -1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -110, Under 2.5 rounds -110 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Ewelina Woźniak to win

Predicted Score: Ewelina Woźniak wins by decision in 3 rounds


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Oskar Szczepaniak vs. Daniel Skibiński Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Oskar Szczepaniak vs Daniel Skibiński – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: KSW 109, Warsaw

Game Overview

Oskar Szczepaniak, a 26-year-old with a 7-2 record, faces the more experienced Daniel Skibiński, age 34, holding a 22-10 record, at KSW 109 in Warsaw. Both fighters compete at 170 lbs with similar reach, but Skibiński's notable experience contrasts with Szczepaniak's younger age and recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Szczepaniak shows strong recent form with 7 wins and only 2 losses, predominantly winning by a combination of decisions and 3 KOs. Skibiński is more experienced with 22 wins, including 8 KOs, but also has 10 losses, indicating some vulnerability.
  • No direct H2H bout history listed, making comparative historical performance and style analysis critical for prediction.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the bout, suggesting both are at full capacity.
  • Fight held in Warsaw, Poland, which is both fighters' home country, likely neutral crowd impact but with possible slight home advantage for Szczepaniak who is younger and rising.
  • Szczepaniak likely highly motivated to assert himself against a veteran like Skibiński on a big stage; Skibiński has more to defend but may be at a career phase with slightly reduced peak performance.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Oskar Szczepaniak +140, Daniel Skibiński -160 Oskar Szczepaniak ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Szczepaniak -1.5 (-110), Skibiński +1.5 (-110) Szczepaniak -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -115, Under 2.5 rounds -105 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline win by Oskar Szczepaniak

Predicted Score: Szczepaniak wins via late second round TKO


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Radek Roušal vs. Adrian Hamerski Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Radek Roušal vs Adrian Hamerski – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 4:39 PM UTC
  • Location: Central Tennis Court Štvanice, Prague, CZ

Game Overview

Featherweight prelims fight at OKTAGON 74 between Radek Roušal and Adrian Hamerski. Radek Roušal holds a 4-2-0 record while Adrian Hamerski is 4-1-0. Both fighters have shown solid performances recently, with Roušal as a slight favorite based on odds and experience.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Radek Roušal has a marginally better fight experience and a slightly larger sample of bouts (4-2-0 versus Hamerski's 4-1-0), showing consistency and capability to finish fights before the limit.
  • No prior recorded head-to-head matches between Radek Roušal and Adrian Hamerski available, meaning no direct comparative data.
  • No known injuries reported publicly for either fighter leading into the bout, suggesting both are at full physical capacity.
  • The fight takes place at Štvanice in Prague, Czech Republic, giving Roušal potential crowd support as a local fighter. No adverse external distractions reported for either competitor.
  • Both fighters seek to build momentum in the OKTAGON promotion; Roušal may have a slight motivational edge fighting in front of the home crowd and establishing himself in featherweight.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Roušal 1.23, Hamerski 3.79 Radek Roušal ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Roušal -1.5 rounds (about 2.05), Hamerski +1.5 rounds (about 1.75) Radek Roušal -1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds 1.80, Under 2.5 rounds 2.00 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Radek Roušal to win on the moneyline, cover -1.5 rounds on the spread, and under 2.5 rounds in total fight duration.

Predicted Score: Radek Roušal wins by finish before the end of the third round


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Piotr Wawrzyniak vs. Hojat Khajevand Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Piotr Wawrzyniak vs Hojat Khajevand – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: OKTAGON 74 Event Venue

Game Overview

Piotr Wawrzyniak faces Hojat Khajevand in a light heavyweight bout within Oktagon MMA. Wawrzyniak is a striker with an aggressive stand-up style, while Khajevand primarily excels in grappling and submissions. Both fighters have similar weights near 84 kg, but differ in their finishing methods.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Wawrzyniak holds a 14-6 record with majority wins by KO/TKO (7) while Khajevand has a 9-4 record with strong submission skills (4 submissions). Wawrzyniak has more fights and experience; recent form is stable.
  • No record of previous fights between Wawrzyniak and Khajevand, but stylistic matchup favors Wawrzyniak controlling stand-up and Khajevand threatening on ground.
  • No reported injuries or weigh-in issues from either fighter at this time.
  • Fight scheduled at Oktagon 74, no venue or travel concerns reported. Both fighters appear motivated with no external distractions known.
  • Wawrzyniak looks to leverage striking prowess to dominate and make a statement in light heavyweight division; Khajevand motivated to prove grappling superiority and upset more experienced opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Wawrzyniak +120, Khajevand -140 Piotr Wawrzyniak ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Wawrzyniak -1.5 rounds +130 Wawrzyniak by decision (spread +1.5 rounds) ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -110, Under 2.5 rounds -110 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Piotr Wawrzyniak to win; Spread: Wawrzyniak by decision (+1.5 rounds); Over/Under: Under 2.5 rounds (likely goes distance)

Predicted Score: Piotr Wawrzyniak wins by decision after 3 rounds


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Sanon Sadeck vs. Yabna N'Tchalá Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Sanon Sadeck vs Yabna N'Tchalá – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: PFL Africa 2, Johannesburg

Game Overview

This Welterweight bout pits Sanon Sadeck, a striker with superior reach and recent strong form, against Yabna N'Tchalá, a grappler with the potential to neutralize Sadeck’s striking by taking the fight to the ground.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sanon Sadeck holds a 7-2 record with a consistent output of significant strikes and strong defensive metrics; meanwhile, N'Tchalá’s recent form is less documented but relies heavily on grappling and submission attempts.
  • No prior recorded head-to-head encounters between Sadeck and N'Tchalá, making this a stylistic matchup with striking versus grappling dynamics.
  • No current injury reports affecting either fighter; both are expected to be at full health for the bout.
  • Fight taking place in Johannesburg may slightly favor N'Tchalá if he is more accustomed to local conditions, but Sadeck’s experience in multiple venues offsets this advantage.
  • Sadeck seeks to maintain dominance in the Welterweight division and extend a winning streak, while N'Tchalá is motivated to cause an upset to elevate his career standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sanon Sadeck -290 / Yabna N'Tchalá +200 Sanon Sadeck ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Sadeck -1.5 (-150) Sanon Sadeck -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds (-225) / Under 2.5 rounds (+188) Over 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sanon Sadeck to win via decision

Predicted Score: Sanon Sadeck wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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