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Manuel Del Valle vs. Theodor Berggren Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Manuel Del Valle vs Theodor Berggren – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-27
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: BEC Arena, Manchester

Game Overview

The welterweight bout between Manuel Del Valle and Theodor Berggren at Cage Warriors 190 on June 27, 2025, is an intriguing matchup between two rising talents. Del Valle, a 28-year-old Spaniard known for his grappling and mat dominance, holds a 4-1 record with a mix of KO/TKO and submission wins. Berggren, aged 25, is a Swedish fighter with a 6-3 record, boasting more finishing power through both strikes and submissions. The fight promises a clash of styles with Del Valle's ground control facing Berggren's aggressive finishing approach.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Manuel Del Valle has mostly demonstrated dominance through submissions and ground control, with 2 KO/TKOs and 1 submission out of 4 wins, whereas Berggren has a higher volume of finishes, 3 KO/TKOs and 3 submissions out of 6 wins. Both fighters have suffered losses but remain competitive at this level.
  • This is the first professional meeting between Manuel Del Valle and Theodor Berggren, with no prior head-to-head records available.
  • No current injury reports or concerns have been indicated for either fighter leading into this bout.
  • The fight takes place in Manchester's BEC Arena, giving neither fighter a hometown advantage, though the neutral venue may favor the more adaptable competitor. Berggren has expressed motivation to prove himself internationally, while Del Valle brings experience in Cage Warriors.
  • Berggren is motivated to establish his place on the international stage and looks to use a new training regimen to make a statement. Del Valle aims to continue his strong run and impose his grappling skills to control the fight.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Manuel Del Valle: -170, Theodor Berggren: 130 Manuel Del Valle ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Manuel Del Valle -1.5: -110, Theodor Berggren +1.5: -110 Manuel Del Valle -1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: 100 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manuel Del Valle 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Manuel Del Valle at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Del Valle's grappling and mat control versus Berggren's striking and submission capabilities, the fight is expected to be competitive. However, Del Valle's ability to control and potentially neutralize Berggren's offense gives him a slight edge. The predicted outcome is a decision victory for Manuel Del Valle with a high confidence in his ability to dictate the pace.

Predicted Score: Manuel Del Valle win by decision after 3 rounds


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Nell Ariano vs. Charles Joyner Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Nell Ariano vs Charles Joyner – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-27
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Manchester, Greater Manchester, England

Game Overview

The upcoming Cage Warriors 190 bout features Nell Ariano facing Charles Joyner in a 205 lbs matchup on June 27, 2025. Ariano is undefeated at 3-0, showing strong early career momentum, while Joyner is an experienced fighter preparing intensely for this fight. Both fighters appear motivated and ready for a competitive clash.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Nell Ariano holds a perfect record (3-0), demonstrating dominance in past performances. Charles Joyner has a mixed recent record with wins and losses but is known for his resilience and finishing ability in fights.
  • This is the first recorded matchup between Nell Ariano and Charles Joyner; no previous head-to-head history exists.
  • No known injuries reported for either fighter ahead of this match, indicating both are likely to compete at full capacity.
  • The fight takes place in Manchester, England, which may provide a neutral environment with no strong home advantage. Both fighters have been actively training and publicly preparing, indicating solid mental and physical readiness.
  • Charles Joyner has expressed intense preparation and focus on this fight, suggesting high motivation. Nell Ariano’s undefeated streak and willingness to take on a seasoned opponent also point to strong motivation to maintain her winning run.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Charles Joyner: +105, Nell Ariano: -145 Nell Ariano to win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Nell Ariano -1.5: -110, Charles Joyner +1.5: -110 Nell Ariano to cover -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: +100 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Nell Ariano -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Nell Ariano at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Nell Ariano's undefeated record and recent form, coupled with Charles Joyner's experience and finishing potential, this fight is expected to be competitive. However, confidence leans towards Ariano securing a win by decision or late stoppage due to her momentum and skill set.

Predicted Score: Nell Ariano wins by decision after 3 rounds


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Alexander Loof vs. Aiden Lee Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Alexander Loof vs Aiden Lee – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-27
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: BEC Arena, Manchester, United Kingdom

Game Overview

The upcoming featherweight bout at Cage Warriors 190: Unplugged features Aiden Lee versus Alexander Lööf, scheduled for June 27, 2025, at the BEC Arena in Manchester. This fight is set for three rounds at the featherweight limit of 145 pounds (65.8 kg), and it will serve as the main event of the evening. Both fighters are preparing intensely, with Aiden Lee having recently completed a solid training camp for the bout. The event will be broadcast live on UFC Fight Pass.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both fighters have shown solid performance in their recent fights, with Aiden Lee known for his resilience and tactical striking, while Alexander Lööf brings a strong grappling base and physicality to the cage. Their training camps have been reported as intense and focused, suggesting both are well-prepared.
  • No documented previous head-to-head encounters have been found between Aiden Lee and Alexander Lööf, making this their first meeting in the cage, which adds unpredictability to their strategies and approach.
  • There are no reports or indications of injuries affecting either fighter leading up to the match, meaning both athletes should be in prime condition for the fight.
  • The fight takes place at a reputable venue, BEC Arena in Manchester, known for hosting high-profile MMA events. The fight setting is a controlled, invite-only event, minimizing distractions. Weather and other extrinsic conditions are not expected to impact the fight.
  • Aiden Lee appears highly motivated, having completed a solid training camp and looking forward to showcasing his skills on UFC Fight Pass. Alexander Lööf, competing in his home continent, will be motivated to establish himself prominently in Cage Warriors, potentially advancing his professional career.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Aiden Lee: -144, Alexander Loof: 104 Aiden Lee to win ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Aiden Lee: -1.5, Alexander Loof: +1.5 Aiden Lee by more than 1.5 rounds or decisive finish ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under over_2.5_rounds: -120, under_2.5_rounds: 100 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Aiden Lee -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Aiden Lee at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the odds and recent form, Aiden Lee is favored to win by a margin, but Alexander Lööf's grappling and aggressive style present a serious challenge. The fight is expected to be competitive, potentially decided by strategic striking and ground control.

Predicted Score: Aiden Lee wins by unanimous decision or stoppage in round 3


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Josh Abraham vs. Harry Shaw Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Josh Abraham vs Harry Shaw – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-27
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: BEC Arena, Manchester, Greater Manchester, England

Game Overview

The MMA bout between Josh Abraham and Harry Shaw is set for Cage Warriors 190: Unplugged at the BEC Arena. Both fighters compete at 145 lbs, with Harry Shaw entering as the betting favorite. This match marks a significant event in European MMA with live broadcast on UFC Fight Pass, highlighting the fighters' return to high-profile competition.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Josh Abraham has shown solid performances in past Cage Warriors events but is coming in as the underdog with less recent activity at this level compared to Harry Shaw. Harry Shaw has maintained strong form and is favored by bookmakers, reflecting consistent fight activity and winning momentum.
  • There is no publicly available direct head-to-head history between Josh Abraham and Harry Shaw, making this their first known competitive encounter at the Cage Warriors level.
  • No recent injury reports or issues have been disclosed for either fighter ahead of the match, suggesting both are in optimal condition for the fight.
  • The fight is part of a major European MMA event with live UFC Fight Pass coverage, adding pressure and motivation for a strong performance. The venue and timing are neutral with no reported external disturbances influencing the fighters.
  • Both fighters have high motivation: Abraham to re-establish himself at the top tier of Cage Warriors competition and Shaw to capitalize on his favored status and continue his ascent in the division.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Josh Abraham: +120, Harry Shaw: -163 Harry Shaw ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Josh Abraham: +1.5, Harry Shaw: -1.5 Harry Shaw -1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over: -155, Under: +135 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Harry Shaw is predicted to win the match given his favored status, recent form, and bookmaker odds. However, Josh Abraham's resilience and potential for an upset keep the contest competitive.

Predicted Score: Harry Shaw wins by decision or late stoppage in round 3


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Jordan Molinari vs. Yannis Osmani Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jordan Molinari vs Yannis Osmani – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-27
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: BEC Arena, Manchester

Game Overview

The upcoming featherweight bout between Jordan Molinari and Yannis Osmani is set for June 27, 2025, at the BEC Arena in Manchester during the Cage Warriors 190 Unplugged event. Both fighters are competitive within their division, with Molinari favored by bookmakers. The fight promises a clash of styles as Molinari looks to leverage his experience against the rising Osmani.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Jordan Molinari has demonstrated consistent performances in recent fights with strong striking and grappling skills, whereas Yannis Osmani has shown potential with aggressive stand-up and resilience. Both fighters have been active recently, but Molinari’s cage control and fight IQ offer him an edge.
  • This is the first recorded matchup between Jordan Molinari and Yannis Osmani, with no prior head-to-head bouts to analyze.
  • There are no reported injuries for either Jordan Molinari or Yannis Osmani leading into this fight, indicating both athletes are at full capacity.
  • The event is held in Manchester, favoring Molinari as the home fighter, possibly influencing crowd support and comfort. The fight is part of an invite-only show, adding prestige and motivation for both competitors.
  • Molinari aims to maintain his upward trajectory in Cage Warriors with a decisive win, while Osmani seeks a breakout performance to establish himself as a contender in the division.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jordan Molinari: -355, Yannis Osmani: 280 Jordan Molinari ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Jordan Molinari: -1.5, Yannis Osmani: +1.5 Jordan Molinari -1.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: -210, Under 1.5 rounds: 170 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jordan Molinari -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 62%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 62% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 36.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jordan Molinari is predicted to win this match, leveraging his home advantage, experience, and strategic fighting style to overcome Yannis Osmani, who will provide a tough challenge but is less favored.

Predicted Score: Jordan Molinari wins by decision or late stoppage before round 2


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Nathan McGillian vs. Jake McHugh Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Nathan McGillian vs Jake McHugh – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-27
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Cage Warriors 190 Unplugged, Location TBD

Game Overview

The upcoming MMA fight between Nathan McGillian and Jake McHugh at Cage Warriors 190 Unplugged features two well-matched featherweight contenders with contrasting styles. McGillian brings aggressive striking and a strong finishing record, while McHugh is favored for his grappling and tactical approach. This matchup is expected to be competitive, with McHugh currently the betting favorite.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Nathan McGillian has shown consistent performance with notable striking power but has faced challenges against top-tier grapplers. Jake McHugh has a solid fight record with effective ground control and submission skills, making him a tough opponent inside the cage.
  • No prior head-to-head encounters between Nathan McGillian and Jake McHugh have been recorded, making this their first official meeting.
  • There are no publicly reported injuries for either fighter leading up to this bout, indicating both are likely at full strength.
  • The fight will be streamed live on UFC Fight Pass, increasing the exposure for both fighters. There are no reported external disruptions or conditions expected to affect fighter performance.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with McHugh looking to solidify his position as a top contender and McGillian aiming to upset the favorite and advance his career trajectory.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Nathan McGillian: +300, Jake McHugh: -350 Jake McHugh ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Jake McHugh -1.5: -120, Nathan McGillian +1.5: +100 Jake McHugh -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jake McHugh is predicted to win due to his grappling advantage and tactical fight IQ, with a solid chance to control the pace and secure a decision victory or submission in later rounds.

Predicted Score: Jake McHugh wins via submission in Round 3


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Adam Darby vs. Tato Primera Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Adam Darby vs Tato Primera – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-27
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: BEC Arena, Manchester, Greater Manchester, England

Game Overview

Adam Darby (4-1-0), younger and with a strong recent form, faces Tato Primera (20-15-0), a more experienced but inconsistent fighter. Darby is listed as a heavy favorite, reflecting both his recent trajectory and Primera's struggle to maintain consistency in results.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Adam Darby: 4 wins (1 KO/TKO, 2 Subs, 1 Decision), 1 loss; Tato Primera: 20 wins (6 KO/TKO, 2 Subs, 6 Decisions), 15 losses. Darby shows a higher finish rate for his age and experience level, while Primera has experience but a questionable finish rate and more frequent losses.
  • No previous bouts between Darby and Primera. Darby's activity and finish rate (75% finishes) contrast with Primera's (40% finishes from wins), but Primera has faced stiffer competition.
  • No publicly reported injuries for either fighter leading into the event[3][5].
  • Invite-only event at BEC Arena, Manchester. No significant crowd or location bias noted. Both fighters healthy and available[3][5].
  • Darby is on a positive trajectory and will be highly motivated to continue his momentum. Primera, as the massive underdog, may be fighting for opportunities or relevance within the division.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Adam Darby: -1400, Tato Primera: 800 Adam Darby Very High (90%)
Over/under Over 1.5: -105, Under 1.5: -125 Under 1.5 Moderate (65%)

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Adam Darby -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Adam Darby is heavily favored and expected to win, likely by finish. His recent momentum, physical advantages (youth, finish rate), and the betting line suggest he will impose his game early, potentially securing a finish before the second round.

Predicted Score: Adam Darby wins by KO/TKO or Submission (within 1.5 rounds)


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Emanuele Zaccaria vs. Daniel Bainbridge Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Emanuele Zaccaria vs Daniel Bainbridge – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-27
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: BEC Arena, Manchester

Game Overview

This Bantamweight catchweight fight is part of the Cage Warriors 190: Unplugged event scheduled at the BEC Arena in Manchester. Emanuele Zaccaria faces Daniel Bainbridge in a highly anticipated matchup within the main card bouts. Both fighters share similar height and reach, standing at 170 cm, and bring distinct fighting styles and records into the contest.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Daniel Bainbridge appears favored by bookmakers with a moneyline of -220 versus Emanuele Zaccaria at +155, suggesting better recent form or perceived skill advantage. Both fighters have competitive Cage Warriors experience, but Bainbridge's odds reflect higher confidence from betting markets in his likely victory.
  • No direct prior recorded bouts between Emanuele Zaccaria and Daniel Bainbridge exist, indicating this is their first meeting. Historical head-to-head data is unavailable, increasing reliance on analysis of recent performances and stylistic matchup.
  • No publicly reported injuries are noted for either fighter ahead of the match, suggesting both will compete at full health.
  • The fight takes place at the BEC Arena in Manchester, potentially providing a slight home-region advantage for Daniel Bainbridge as he hails from England, compared to Emanuele Zaccaria who is from Italy.
  • Both fighters are motivated to establish or enhance their standing within the Cage Warriors bantamweight division. Bainbridge may have home crowd momentum, while Zaccaria aims to upset and gain recognition on foreign turf.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Daniel Bainbridge: -220, Emanuele Zaccaria: +155 Daniel Bainbridge ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Bainbridge -1.5: -110, Zaccaria +1.5: -110 Bainbridge -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: +100 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Emanuele Zaccaria -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Emanuele Zaccaria at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Daniel Bainbridge is predicted to win by decision or late-round stoppage, leveraging a balanced striking and grappling approach with a tactical edge from competing at home.

Predicted Score: Bainbridge wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Mariya Agapova vs. Jessica Eye Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Mariya Agapova vs Jessica Eye – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-21
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Dickies Arena, Wichita, Kansas, USA

Game Overview

The fight between Mariya Agapova and Jessica Eye is a bare-knuckle boxing debut for both, scheduled for BKFC 76 at Dickies Arena on June 21, 2025. Both fighters are former UFC veterans transitioning from MMA to bare-knuckle boxing. Eye brings extensive MMA experience with a record of 15-11, known for her striking and well-rounded skills, while Agapova, with a record of 10-5, is recognized for her aggressive fighting style. Neither has prior bare-knuckle experience, so their adaptation to this different striking-focused combat sport will be critical.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both fighters have not competed with any teams in bare-knuckle boxing previously. Jessica Eye fought out of Strong Style Fight Team and Xtreme Couture MMA, bringing high-level striking and fight IQ. Agapova has shown strong aggression and finishing ability in MMA but this is untested in BKFC rules.
  • There are no prior direct fights or bare-knuckle bouts between Eye and Agapova. Both come from similar competitive backgrounds in the UFC but have not met in competition previously.
  • No publicly reported recent injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout. Both appear to be in good health preparing for their bare-knuckle debut.
  • The fight marks a major transition for both athletes after Eye retired from MMA in 2022. The shift to bare-knuckle boxing requires adaptation in technique and strategy due to no gloves and no grappling allowed. The venue, Dickies Arena, and the promotional hype around BKFC 76 add pressure and motivation.
  • Jessica Eye enters with motivation to establish herself in bare-knuckle boxing after a distinguished MMA career. Mariya Agapova aims to prove her aggressive style translates well to BKFC. Both fighters seek validation in a new combat sport, which might influence their approach to risk and pace.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jessica Eye: -115, Mariya Agapova: -125 Mariya Agapova to win ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Jessica Eye: +1.5, Mariya Agapova: -1.5 Mariya Agapova -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 53%
Over/under over: -120, under: +100 Under 3.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mariya Agapova -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Mariya Agapova at -6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the experience and fight IQ Jessica Eye possesses combined with her measured striking style, she is favored to edge out Mariya Agapova, who may have success early with aggression but risks stamina and defense in this new format.

Predicted Score: Agapova wins by decision or late stoppage in round 3


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Jamahal Hill vs. Khalil Rountree Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jamahal Hill vs Khalil Rountree – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-21
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Baku Crystal Hall, Baku, Azerbaijan

Game Overview

The light heavyweight clash between Jamahal Hill and Khalil Rountree Jr. is the main event for UFC Fight Night on June 21, 2025, in Baku. This bout was initially scheduled a year earlier but postponed, adding anticipation. Hill, a former UFC champion, seeks redemption after consecutive knockout losses, while Rountree, also coming off a stoppage loss to Alex Pereira, has gained confidence from an impressive performance despite that defeat. Both fighters are southpaws with notable striking skills, setting the stage for a dynamic stand-up battle.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Jamahal Hill enters with a 12-3 record, boasting a high striking volume (7.05 significant strikes landed per minute) and 55.44% striking accuracy. In contrast, Khalil Rountree holds a 14-6 record, with a lower striking rate (3.73 significant strikes per minute) and 41.53% accuracy. Neither has recorded takedowns recently, and submissions are rare for both. Hill's offensive output is notably higher, suggesting a more aggressive striking approach.
  • This match marks their first direct meeting, originally planned for last year but postponed, so no prior head-to-head results exist.
  • Neither fighter is reported to carry injuries into the fight, implying both are fully prepared physically.
  • The fight takes place in Baku, Azerbaijan, a neutral site for both fighters. There is no home advantage, but the event is a major UFC Fight Night with significant viewership, providing a high-pressure environment. The bout precedes UFC International Fight Week, making it an important platform for both competitors to boost rankings and visibility.
  • Jamahal Hill is motivated to rebound after back-to-back KO losses to high-profile fighters, aiming to re-establish himself among top light heavyweights. Khalil Rountree has the motivation to capitalize on his strong showing against Alex Pereira despite a loss, seeking to continue his upward momentum and prove his status as a top contender.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jamahal Hill: -105, Khalil Rountree: -115 Jamahal Hill ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Jamahal Hill: 5.5 -125, Khalil Rountree: -5.5 -105 Jamahal Hill +5.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under over: 3.5 170, under: 3.5 -220 Under 3.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jamahal Hill -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 -5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Jamahal Hill at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jamahal Hill is predicted to win by decision or late stoppage due to his superior striking volume and accuracy. Rountree’s power and resilience make an upset possible, but Hill's more consistent output and technical striking edge tilt confidence towards him.

Predicted Score: Jamahal Hill wins by unanimous decision after 5 rounds


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