Match Analysis: Mariusz Pudzianowski vs Eddie Hall – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-26
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: Gliwice, Poland

Game Overview

The MMA bout between Mariusz Pudzianowski and Eddie Hall is a high-profile clash between two former World's Strongest Man champions. Pudzianowski, a seasoned MMA fighter with a 16-year history in the sport and notable quick knockouts, is facing Eddie Hall, who is making his official MMA debut after transitioning from strongman competitions. The fight is set in Gliwice, Poland, and is anticipated to be a showcase of power and athleticism given their combined weight of over 600 pounds.

Key Factors to Consider

• Pudzianowski has extensive MMA experience with significant wins, including a 75-second KO over Butterbean and a fast stoppage of Bob Sapp. Eddie Hall is new to MMA competition, marking his debut, though he has undergone a major body transformation for this fight. Pudzianowski's recent form shows two consecutive losses in KSW, which may impact confidence, while Hall brings strong physical conditioning but lacks fight experience.
• This will be the first official MMA encounter between Pudzianowski and Hall. They have had an awkward personal run-in recently but no prior MMA bouts against each other.
• There are no reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the match.
• The match format is unique with a compromise on four-minute rounds and 90-second breaks, which may influence pacing and strategy. The fight is held in Poland, Pudzianowski’s home country, potentially giving him a home crowd advantage.
• Both fighters are motivated to prove dominance outside of strongman contests. Pudzianowski aims to leverage his MMA experience to regain winning momentum, while Hall looks to establish himself as a credible MMA competitor in his debut.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Mariusz Pudzianowski: -450, Eddie Hall: 275	Mariusz Pudzianowski	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Mariusz Pudzianowski: -1.5 rounds, Eddie Hall: +1.5 rounds	Mariusz Pudzianowski -1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	over_2.5_rounds: -110, under_2.5_rounds: -110	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Mariusz Pudzianowski -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Mariusz Pudzianowski at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mariusz Pudzianowski is favored to win by leveraging his superior MMA experience and tactical knowledge. Eddie Hall's lack of fight experience makes it challenging for him to overcome a veteran, though his physical power and conditioning could create opportunities. The prediction is a win for Pudzianowski, likely by knockout or technical knockout within the middle rounds.

Predicted Score: Mariusz Pudzianowski wins by TKO in Round 2

Match Analysis: Max Lally vs Alexis Tsarmantidis – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-26
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: Not specified

Game Overview

The upcoming MMA match between Max Lally and Alexis Tsarmantidis will take place at Cage Warriors 188. Both fighters are skilled in their respective categories, with Max Lally being undefeated and Alexis Tsarmantidis boasting a strong record with one loss.

Key Factors to Consider

• Max Lally is undefeated at 3-0, while Alexis Tsarmantidis has a record of 4-1. This indicates both fighters are highly competitive, but Lally's undefeated status might give him a slight edge.
• There is no reported head-to-head history between these two fighters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The home advantage could slightly favor Lally if the fight takes place in a venue where he has more local support.
• Both fighters are likely highly motivated to win, given their current performance levels and the stakes of advancing in the MMA world.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-300 (Lally), 200 (Tsarmantidis)	Max Lally	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Max Lally -99%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Max Lally is likely to win due to his undefeated record and strong current form.

Predicted Score: Decision in favor of Max Lally

Match Analysis: Arbi Chakaev vs Jindrich Byrtus – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-26
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: Unspecified (based on BetOnline odds publication date)

Game Overview

Lightweight bout between Arbi Chakaev (-155 moneyline favorite) and Jindrich Byrtus (+115 underdog), with limited public records available about their MMA careers. Both fighters appear active in combat sports as evidenced by BKFC references[1][2] and BetOnline listing this as a market-ready MMA bout[4][5].

Key Factors to Consider

• Insufficient MMA-specific performance data available. Chakaev shows market confidence as favorite, while Byrtus presents underdog value at +115[5].
• No available historical matchup records[1][2][4].
• No reported injuries pre-fight[1-5].
• Potential crossover from bare-knuckle boxing experience (BKFC backgrounds mentioned[1][2]) may influence striking approach.
• Byrtus carries momentum from being featured in multiple combat sports events[3], while Chakaev seeks to validate favorite status[5].

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Chakaev -155 / Byrtus +115	Chakaev moneyline	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Unspecified in available data[4][5]	N/A	N/A

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Arbi Chakaev 21%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Arbi Chakaev at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Chakaev by decision (medium confidence) due to market positioning as favorite, though Byrtus' underdog odds suggest tangible upset potential.

Predicted Score: Arbi Chakaev via split decision (48-47 x3) in 3-round contest

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Match Analysis: Ger Harris vs Marcus Ferreira – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: April 25, 2025
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: RDS, Dublin, Ireland

Game Overview

This MMA match between Ger Harris and Marcus Vinicius Ferreira pits two fighters with contrasting styles. Harris, known for his submission victories, faces Ferreira, who has recently shown a mix of winning methods including KO and submissions.

Key Factors to Consider

• Ger Harris holds a 5-2 record with multiple submission wins, while Marcus Vinicius Ferreira is 8-2, showcasing a diverse array of skills with recent victories via decision, knockout, and submission.
• No previous head-to-head match between the two fighters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The fight will be held in Dublin, which may favor Harris due to home support.
• Both fighters are motivated to improve their records and reputation in the MMA scene.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Ger Harris -260, Marcus Ferreira 175	Ger Harris	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Ger Harris 1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Ger Harris at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ger Harris is favored to win this fight based on his home advantage and fighting style.

Predicted Score: Ger Harris Decision (Unanimous)

Match Analysis: Krzysztof Jotko vs Ion Surdu – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 26/04/2025
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: Data unavailable

Game Overview

Middleweight clash between veteran Krzysztof Jotko (25-6-1) and OKTAGON WW champion Ion Surdu (16-6). Surdu shows KO dominance (11 KOs), while Jotko relies on decisions (14 wins) and holds a significant experience edge.

Key Factors to Consider

• Surdu: 11/16 wins by KO | Jotko: 14/25 wins by decision
• No direct H2H history per available records[1][3][5]
• No reported injuries in available data[2][4]
• Weight difference notable (Jotko last weighed 93kg vs Surdu's 78kg, though likely typo as both listed at ~185cm height[5])
• Surdu defending champion status vs Jotko's experience against higher-level competition

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Surdu -150 | Jotko +110	Jotko moneyline (+110)	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Ion Surdu 16%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Ion Surdu at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jotko by decision (55% confidence) – Superior technical striking and cardio likely to overcome Surdu's power in later rounds

Predicted Score: Jotko via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Match Analysis: Igor Michaliszyn vs Artur Szczepaniak – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-26
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: KSW 105, Gliwice, Poland

Game Overview

The bout between Igor Michaliszyn and Artur Szczepaniak is a main card Welterweight division fight at the KSW 105 event in Gliwice, Poland. Both fighters are Polish, with comparable height and reach, and are closely matched in skill and experience within the KSW promotion.

Key Factors to Consider

• Both fighters have demonstrated solid performances in their recent fights with aggressive striking and grappling skills. Michaliszyn has a slight edge in recent form with consistent finishes, whereas Szczepaniak is known for his technical striking and resilience.
• There is no recorded direct head-to-head match between Igor Michaliszyn and Artur Szczepaniak, making this encounter a fresh contest to establish superiority.
• No publicly available data indicates any current injuries or physical setbacks for either fighter leading into this match.
• The fight being held in Poland provides a home advantage for both fighters, potentially neutralizing crowd support but adding pressure due to local expectations.
• Both fighters are highly motivated to gain recognition within KSW's welterweight division, making the stakes high for career advancement and rankings.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Artur Szczepaniak: -105, Igor Michaliszyn: -135	Igor Michaliszyn	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Michaliszyn -1.5: -110, Szczepaniak +1.5: -110	Michaliszyn -1.5	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -115, Under 2.5 rounds: -105	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Igor Michaliszyn 1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Igor Michaliszyn at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Igor Michaliszyn’s slight recent form advantage and more favorable odds, he is predicted to win this closely contested fight. However, the match could be competitive and may end by decision or late stoppage.

Predicted Score: Michaliszyn wins by unanimous decision or late round TKO

Match Analysis: Dominik Humburger vs Samuel Kristofic – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 26 April 2025
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: Not specified

Game Overview

The upcoming MMA match between Dominik Humburger and Samuel Kristofic will take place as the main event of OKTAGON 70. It is a Middleweight division fight scheduled for three rounds.

Key Factors to Consider

• Detailed performance metrics for both fighters are not provided, but Samuel Kristofic is favored in the moneyline odds, indicating he may have a stronger recent performance or overall record.
• There is no available head-to-head data between Dominik Humburger and Samuel Kristofic.
• No information about injuries affecting either fighter is available.
• Environmental factors such as venue could influence the match, but specific impacts are not detailed.
• Motivation for both fighters should be high as they compete in a significant main event.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Dominik Humburger: 105, Samuel Kristofic: -145	Samuel Kristofic	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Samuel Kristofic -12%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Samuel Kristofic at -12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on moneyline odds, Samuel Kristofic is likely to win this match.

Predicted Score: Samuel Kristofic is favored to win by decision or knockout.

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Match Analysis: Andrej Kalašnik vs Mate Kertesz – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 26/04/2025
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: OKTAGON MMA (exact venue unspecified)

Game Overview

Welterweight main card bout between Czech Republic's Andrej Kalašnik (height 188cm, reach 188cm) and Hungary's Máté Kertész (height 183cm, reach 183cm, record 15-8-0). Kertesz trains at BSK Crossfight Budapest.

Key Factors to Consider

• No historical performance data available for Kalašnik. Kertesz brings significant experience with 23 professional fights.
• First recorded meeting between fighters
• No injury reports available
• Standard Octagon MMA rules apply. No location-specific factors specified.
• Kertesz seeks to improve 15-8 record. Kalašnik's career status unclear from available data.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Kertesz by decision (55% confidence) due to experience edge, though limited data makes this speculative

Predicted Score: Decision – Kertesz via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Match Analysis: Vlasto Cepo vs Erhan Kartal – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-26
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: Not specified (OKTAGON MMA event)

Game Overview

Main card fight at OKTAGON 70 featuring Vlasto Čepo (#7 ranked) against Erhan Kartal. Čepo has no recent fight data in available records, while Kartal shows mixed results with a technical KO loss in December 2023 and April 2023 victories.

Key Factors to Consider

• Insufficient recent performance data for Čepo. Kartal demonstrates KO capability but inconsistency, with his last recorded fight being a technical KO loss.
• No direct H2H history found between these fighters.
• No injury reports available.
• Event context suggests high stakes as part of OKTAGON 70 main card. Čepo holds ranking advantage (#7).
• Čepo likely seeks to defend/maintain ranking position; Kartal aims to rebound from recent loss.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Čepo -240 | Kartal +165	Vlasto Čepo (ML)	★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Vlasto Cepo 67%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Vlasto Cepo at 67% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 40.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Čepo by decision or late-round finish, supported by perceived skill advantage and ranking status. Kartal's KO power remains the primary threat.

Predicted Score: N/A (MMA decision prediction: Čepo via unanimous decision)