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Jimmy Drago vs. Ty Miller Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jimmy Drago vs Ty Miller – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-13
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, Dana White's Contender Series

Game Overview

Welterweight bout between seasoned finisher Jimmy Drago and undefeated rising talent Ty Miller. Drago brings solid wrestling and powerful boxing with finishing capability, whereas Miller offers youth, speed, power, and an undefeated record with growing potential.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Jimmy Drago has a 7-2-0 record with experience and finishing power, showing good wrestling and clinch work. Ty Miller is undefeated at 5-0-0 with one no contest, younger and fast, with powerful hands and rising skill level.
  • No recorded previous head-to-head matchup between the fighters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter going into the bout.
  • Fight takes place at Dana White's Contender Series in Las Vegas, favoring neither fighter significantly; both fight under similar conditions and motivation to make UFC roster.
  • Ty Miller is highly motivated as an undefeated rising prospect looking to cement his status. Jimmy Drago is motivated to maintain his experience edge and prove his finishing ability against a young contender.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jimmy Drago: +155, Ty Miller: -185 Ty Miller ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Ty Miller -1.5: -120, Jimmy Drago +1.5: +100 Ty Miller -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ty Miller -14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Ty Miller at -14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ty Miller to win by decision

Predicted Score: Ty Miller wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Yuri Panferov vs. Christopher Ewert Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Yuri Panferov vs Christopher Ewert – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-12
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Dana White's Contender Series Week 1 Venue

Game Overview

This middleweight bout features Yuri Panferov, an aggressive grappler known for his heavy ground-and-pound and submission skills, facing undefeated striker Christopher Ewert, who aims to keep the fight standing to secure a UFC contract.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Panferov is 8-1 with 8 finishes, mostly by ground-and-pound and submissions, recently showing strong form with back-to-back finishes in 2024. Ewert is undefeated at 7-0, with a solid striking base and motivation to prove himself on Contender Series.
  • No previous direct matchup between Panferov and Ewert, making this a stylistic clash with Panferov looking for takedowns and Ewert aiming to counter and keep striking range.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the bout.
  • The fight takes place on a large platform with significant opportunity for the winner to secure a UFC spot, adding career motivation for both.
  • Ewert is highly motivated to remain undefeated and capitalize on striking to impress the UFC brass. Panferov wants redemption after his previous Contender Series loss and to showcase his evolved grappling-heavy MMA style.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ewert -160 / Panferov +130 Christopher Ewert ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Not explicitly available; inferred standard -1.5 for favorite Christopher Ewert -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Christopher Ewert -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Christopher Ewert at -9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Christopher Ewert moneyline

Predicted Score: Christopher Ewert wins via TKO in round 2


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Stephen Erceg vs. Ode Osbourne Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Stephen Erceg vs Ode Osbourne – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada

Game Overview

Stephen Erceg faces Ode Osbourne in a bantamweight UFC fight at UFC Vegas 109. Erceg is favored heavily on the moneyline, with a more precise striking rate and defense. The fight features contrasting styles with Erceg’s orthodox stance and Osbourne’s southpaw approach, both with solid striking records but Erceg showing superior statistical metrics.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Erceg has a 12-4 record, demonstrating consistent performance with 4.45 significant strikes landed per minute at 46% accuracy and 52% strike defense. Osbourne’s 13-8 record includes a respectable 3.20 strikes landed per minute at 40% accuracy but poorer defense at 46%.
  • No direct prior matchups between Erceg and Osbourne, making this a stylistic matchup based on their respective fight metrics and recent form.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the bout, suggesting both are in optimal physical condition.
  • Both fighters are competing in the UFC Apex in Las Vegas; no travel or venue disadvantage is evident. Erceg’s younger age (30 vs 33) and recent betting market support suggest higher confidence in his current form.
  • Erceg may have higher motivation to maintain/improve ranking given his favored status and younger career stage. Osbourne, as the underdog, may be motivated to upset but lacks supporting recent momentum indicators.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Erceg -600, Osbourne +425 Stephen Erceg ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread Not explicitly provided for spread, typical UFC spread -1.5 rounds for Erceg around -150 Stephen Erceg -1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 1.5 -160, Under 1.5 +130 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Stephen Erceg -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 38%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 38% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Stephen Erceg to win by decision

Predicted Score: Erceg wins by decision after 3 rounds


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Jean Matsumoto vs. Miles Johns Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jean Matsumoto vs Miles Johns – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

The UFC Featherweight matchup features Jean Matsumoto, a 25-year-old Brazilian fighter with a 16-1 record, fighting orthodox stance and known for high volume striking but weaker defense. He faces Miles Johns, a 31-year-old American with a 15-3 record, also orthodox, who is more precise and defensively sound. Both fighters weigh 135 lbs and have similar height and reach, making it a competitive bout where striking accuracy and defense will be key.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Matsumoto boasts a higher output rate of significant strikes at 5.18/min compared to Johns' 3.16/min but with less accuracy (41% vs 44%). Johns excels at defense, allowing only 2.65 significant strikes/min with a 67% defense rate, whereas Matsumoto allows 5.40/min with 45% defense.
  • No previous fight history between them; this is their first encounter, making adaptability during the fight a factor.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the matchup.
  • Fight held at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, neutral location with no home advantage; both fighters seem motivated by career progression at this main card event.
  • Matsumoto aims to maintain his near-perfect record and prove striking dominance; Johns wants to leverage his experience and defensive skills to upset the younger fighter.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jean Matsumoto: -298, Miles Johns: 240 Jean Matsumoto ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Jean Matsumoto -3.5: -115, Miles Johns +3.5: -115 Jean Matsumoto -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5: -298, Under 2.5: 220 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jean Matsumoto -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 92%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 92% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 41.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jean Matsumoto to win by decision, leveraging his striking volume advantage and physical prime despite defensive deficits.

Predicted Score: Jean Matsumoto wins by unanimous decision after three rounds


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Anthony Hernandez vs. Roman Dolidze Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Anthony Hernandez vs Roman Dolidze – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

Anthony Hernandez and Roman Dolidze face off in a UFC middleweight main event, with Hernandez favored after a dominant winning streak, while Dolidze carries solid experience but recent wins of questionable quality.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Hernandez is on a 7-fight winning streak with superior recent performances, demonstrating strong endurance, speed, and pressure fighting both standing and on the ground. Dolidze has a 3-fight win streak, but some wins were against injured or less prepared opponents. Hernandez outstrikes Dolidze significantly and absorbs fewer strikes per minute.
  • No prior head-to-head fights between Hernandez and Dolidze; stylistically Hernandez’s pressure and high-volume striking could control the bout against Dolidze’s measured striking.
  • No recent reported injuries for either fighter; both appear physically prepared going into the bout.
  • Fight will be held at UFC Apex, Las Vegas, a neutral venue with no location advantage. Hernandez’s youth and momentum favor him versus the older Dolidze.
  • Hernandez is motivated to maintain an undefeated streak since early career setbacks, seeking to solidify his place as a top middleweight contender. Dolidze aims to prove his ranking merits but may lack the same recent confidence level.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Hernandez: -345, Dolidze: +275 Anthony Hernandez ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Hernandez -5.5 (-195), Dolidze +5.5 (140) Anthony Hernandez -5.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 3.5 rounds (-130), Under 3.5 rounds (+100) Under 3.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Anthony Hernandez -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 24%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Anthony Hernandez to win by decision

Predicted Score: Anthony Hernandez wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Christian Rodriguez vs. Andre Fili Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Christian Rodriguez vs Andre Fili – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

Christian Rodriguez vs Andre Fili is a featherweight UFC bout featuring a younger, highly accurate striker in Rodriguez against a taller, experienced fighter Fili with a contrasting style and more reach.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Rodriguez (12-3) has a higher significant strike accuracy (50%) and defense (54%) compared to Fili's 37% accuracy and 51% defense. Fili lands more strikes per minute (3.84 vs 3.63) but absorbs significantly more (4.15 vs 2.66), indicating Rodriguez is more efficient and durable.
  • No documented previous direct matchup exists between Rodriguez and Fili, making this a stylistic clash rather than familiarity-based contest.
  • No known injuries reported for either fighter going into the fight, suggesting both are physically prepared.
  • The fight is at UFC Apex amid a neutral environment favoring no athlete by location—Rodriguez being younger and possibly hungrier, Fili older but experienced.
  • Rodriguez, at 27, is on the rise with a strong recent form and motivation to climb ranks, while Fili, at 35, may face declining physical attributes despite experience.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Christian Rodriguez: -245, Andre Fili: +200 Christian Rodriguez ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Christian Rodriguez -3.5: 105, Andre Fili +3.5: -140 Christian Rodriguez -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -230, Under 2.5 rounds: 175 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 63%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Christian Rodriguez -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 73%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 73% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 41.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Christian Rodriguez to win on the moneyline by decision

Predicted Score: Christian Rodriguez wins by decision, fight lasting 3 rounds


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Christian Leroy Duncan vs. Eryk Anders Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Christian Leroy Duncan vs Eryk Anders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States

Game Overview

Christian Leroy Duncan, a younger and highly efficient striker with an 11-2 record, faces veteran Eryk Anders with a 17-8 record in a middleweight bout. Duncan’s reach advantage and higher striking accuracy position him as the strong favorite in this matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Duncan boasts a superior recent form and striking output, landing 4.75 significant strikes per minute at 59% accuracy versus Anders' 3.54 strikes at 48%. Duncan also defends slightly better allowing 3.01 strikes per minute compared to Anders' 4.05.
  • No prior head-to-head matches between these opponents, making stylistic and statistical comparisons crucial.
  • No known injuries reported for either fighter leading into the bout.
  • Fight scheduled at UFC Apex, neutral ground with no home advantage. Duncan’s youth and physical dimensions (6'2" height and 79" reach) provide a natural edge against the older Anders (38 years old, 6'1", 75" reach).
  • Duncan is driven to solidify himself as a rising contender, while Anders may rely on experience; age disparity favors Duncan’s motivation and physical peak.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Duncan -550, Anders +410 Christian Leroy Duncan ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread Duncan -3.5 (-205), Anders +3.5 (+150) Christian Leroy Duncan -3.5 ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-188), Under 2.5 (+145) Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Christian Leroy Duncan -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 59%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 59% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 40.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Christian Leroy Duncan to win by decision

Predicted Score: Christian Leroy Duncan wins via unanimous decision after three rounds


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Eric McConico vs. Cody Brundage Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Eric McConico vs Cody Brundage – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

A middleweight contest featuring Eric McConico (9-3-1) and Cody Brundage (11-6-1), both standing 6'0" and weighing 185 lbs. Brundage fights orthodox with a 72" reach, McConico is a southpaw with a 77" reach advantage. Brundage has a higher significant strike accuracy and lower absorption per minute, while McConico has better significant strike defense percentage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Brundage has a more active and accurate striking approach, landing 2.23 significant strikes per minute at 52% accuracy compared to McConico's 0.90 strikes per minute at 38%. McConico shows a slight edge in defensive strike absorption (52%) over Brundage (46%).
  • No recorded previous matchups between the two fighters.
  • No public information or recent injury reports affecting either fighter prior to the bout.
  • Fight taking place at UFC Apex, a neutral site favoring neither fighter; McConico is older (35) versus younger Brundage (31), potentially impacting stamina.
  • Brundage appears motivated to improve his winning consistency after an 11-6-1 record; McConico’s fewer fights may add unpredictability but less recent activity might impact sharpness.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Brundage -160 / McConico +140 Cody Brundage ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 1.5 (+115) / Under 1.5 (-135) Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cody Brundage -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 18%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cody Brundage to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Cody Brundage wins by decision or late stoppage before Round 2


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Iasmin Lucindo vs. Angela Hill Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Iasmin Lucindo vs Angela Hill – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC Strawweight Division (venue not specified)

Game Overview

This is a UFC Strawweight division fight between Iasmin Lucindo and Angela Hill scheduled for August 9, 2025, at 20:00 UTC. Both fighters have contrasting styles and recent activity trends entering this matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Iasmin Lucindo comes in as the betting favorite (-198) with slightly better recent performance metrics, showing strong striking accuracy and grappling defense. Angela Hill (+164) has been aggressive and motivated, training new skills but carries a slightly older age factor (40 years) compared to Lucindo.
  • There is no record of direct previous matchups between Iasmin Lucindo and Angela Hill, making this fight a test of adaptations and strategy on fight night.
  • No reported recent injuries for either fighter. Both appear healthy going into this contest.
  • Angela Hill has demonstrated high motivation publicly, even working on new techniques in camp. Lucindo’s home country advantage (Brazil) cannot be verified and may be neutral depending on location.
  • Angela Hill's public statements indicate strong desire to dominate this fight. Lucindo’s favored odds imply confidence from bookmakers, suggesting strong underlying performance and preparation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Angela Hill: +164, Iasmin Lucindo: -198 Iasmin Lucindo ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Angela Hill: -205 on +3.5, Iasmin Lucindo: +150 on -3.5 Iasmin Lucindo to win by more than 3.5 points ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -720, Under 2.5 rounds: +450 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Iasmin Lucindo -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 285%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 285% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 63.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Iasmin Lucindo to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Iasmin Lucindo wins by decision or late finish within 3 rounds


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Uros Medic vs. Gilbert Urbina Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Uros Medic vs Gilbert Urbina – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

Uros Medic and Gilbert Urbina face off at UFC Vegas 109 in a welterweight bout. Medic is the strong favorite based on recent form, statistical combat metrics, and defensive ability.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Medic has a 10-3 career record with a high significant strike accuracy (60%) and better strike defense (56%) compared to Urbina's 57% accuracy and 44% defense. Medic absorbs fewer strikes per minute (3.46) than Urbina (4.61), indicating a better defensive profile.
  • No direct head-to-head matchups recorded between Medic and Urbina.
  • No recent injury reports for either fighter, suggesting both are in good health coming into the fight.
  • Fight takes place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, a neutral venue with no clear home advantage. Both fighters have equal weight class conditions.
  • Medic, as the favorite, is likely motivated to solidify his status with a decisive win. Urbina is considered an underdog, potentially increasing his motivation to upset.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Uros Medic -450 / Gilbert Urbina +350 Uros Medic ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds +120 / Under 1.5 rounds -150 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Uros Medic -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Uros Medic to win on the moneyline with a fight likely finishing under 1.5 rounds due to his striking accuracy and defensive skills limiting exchanges.

Predicted Score: Uros Medic wins by TKO in Round 2


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