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Kevin Caperna vs. Gabriele Lionetti Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Kevin Caperna vs Gabriele Lionetti – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-31
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: PalaPellicone, Rome, Italy

Game Overview

The fight between Kevin Caperna and Gabriele Lionetti at Cage Warriors Fighting Championship 189 is set for May 31, 2025, in Rome, Italy. This welterweight bout is scheduled for three rounds. Gabriele Lionetti holds a significant edge in professional experience with a record of 9-7-0, while Kevin Caperna sports a less extensive 4-0-0 record. Both fighters have shown skill but Lionetti is favored by bookmakers likely due to his experience and recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Lionetti has more fights and wins, indicating greater ring experience and resilience. Caperna is undefeated but with fewer professional bouts, which could affect his ability to handle high-pressure moments.
  • There are no previous recorded fights between Kevin Caperna and Gabriele Lionetti, making this their first encounter.
  • No public information on current injuries for either fighter prior to the match.
  • The fight takes place in Rome, Italy, which may favor Lionetti slightly if he is familiar with the venue or local conditions, though this effect is likely minimal. Both fighters have had similar preparation periods.
  • Kevin Caperna will likely be motivated to preserve his undefeated record, while Gabriele Lionetti seeks to leverage his experience to secure a win and possibly improve his standing in the welterweight division.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gabriele Lionetti: -230, Kevin Caperna: 190 Gabriele Lionetti β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Gabriele Lionetti -1.5: -120, Kevin Caperna +1.5: 100 Gabriele Lionetti -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: 110, Under 2.5 rounds: -130 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Gabriele Lionetti -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Gabriele Lionetti at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Lionetti's greater experience and the odds favoring him, the prediction leans towards a win for Gabriele Lionetti. However, Caperna's undefeated status suggests potential for an upset, but Lionetti's probability of victory is higher.

Predicted Score: Gabriele Lionetti wins by decision or stoppage within 3 rounds


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Nicolas Leblond vs. Mateus Brauns Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Nicolas Leblond vs Mateus Brauns – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 31, 2025
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: PalaPellicone, Ostia, Rome, Italy

Game Overview

Nicolas Leblond vs. Mateus Brauns is a flyweight bout scheduled for Cage Warriors 189. The fight is a part of a larger event featuring multiple weight classes and fighters from different backgrounds. Leblond is favored with odds of -280, while Brauns stands at 220.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Nicolas Leblond is favored, indicating a perceived advantage in skill or experience. However, specific past performance data is not available.
  • No historical head-to-head data between the two fighters is available.
  • No known injuries affecting either fighter's performance have been reported.
  • The event takes place in Rome, which may influence crowd energy but not necessarily affect the fighters' performance directly.
  • Both fighters are likely motivated by the opportunity to win and advance in their careers.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -280 (Leblond), 220 (Brauns) Nicolas Leblond β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Nicolas Leblond -23%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Nicolas Leblond is predicted to win due to being the favorite.

Predicted Score: Decision or TKO in favor of Nicolas Leblond


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Luca Borando vs. Jan Masek Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Luca Borando vs Jan Masek – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 31, 2025
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Rome, Italy

Game Overview

Luca Borando and Jan MaΕ‘ek will face off in a Featherweight bout as part of Cage Warriors 189 in Rome. Borando, a 24-year-old Italian fighter, has a strong record with 5 wins and 1 loss, while MaΕ‘ek, a Czech fighter, has 2 wins and 1 loss. The fight is scheduled for three rounds.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Borando has a superior win-loss record, with 3 KO/TKO wins and 1 submission win. MaΕ‘ek has 1 submission win and 1 decision win. Borando's performance suggests he is more aggressive and effective in ending fights early.
  • There is no head-to-head history between the two fighters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The fight takes place in Rome, which might give Borando a slight home advantage due to familiar surroundings and crowd support.
  • Both fighters are motivated to win, but Borando might have an edge due to his home crowd and recent performance.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Luca Borando: -400, Jan MaΕ‘ek: 250 Luca Borando β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Luca Borando -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Luca Borando is favored to win based on his performance and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Luca Borando wins by decision or early stoppage in the third round.


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Levan Kirtadze vs. Baysangur Makaev Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Levan Kirtadze vs Baysangur Makaev – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-24
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Baltiska Hallen, MalmΓΆ, Sweden

Game Overview

This MMA match between Levan Kirtadze and Baysangur Makaev will be the main event at Fight Club Rush 24 in MalmΓΆ, Sweden. Levan Kirtadze, known as 'Piranha', has a professional record of 13-4 with 9 KOs. Baysangur Makaev is favored to win with odds of -175 for the moneyline.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Levan Kirtadze is known for his aggressive style with a strong knockout record. Baysangur Makaev is favored, indicating a strong recent performance.
  • There is no reported head-to-head matchup between these fighters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The fight is in Sweden, which might slightly favor Makaev due to less travel for some fighters, but this is not a significant factor.
  • Both fighters will be highly motivated, especially since this could be a title fight or a significant step towards a title shot.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Baysangur Makaev: -175, Levan Kirtadze: +135 Baysangur Makaev β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Baysangur Makaev -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Baysangur Makaev at -6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Baysangur Makaev is favored to win, but Levan Kirtadze's knockout power makes him a dangerous opponent.

Predicted Score: Decision or TKO/KO in favor of Baysangur Makaev


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Kevin Dolvik vs. John Oldenqvist Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Kevin Dolvik vs John Oldenqvist – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-24
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: MalmΓΆ, Sweden

Game Overview

The upcoming MMA match between Kevin Dolvik and John Oldenqvist on May 24, 2025, is a highly anticipated lightweight fight scheduled at MalmΓΆ, Sweden. Kevin Dolvik enters as the home favorite with odds of -170 compared to John Oldenqvist's underdog status at +130. Both fighters bring solid regional experience, but Dolvik is viewed as the more promising prospect with strong recent training reports and positive hype from his management. The bout will test Dolvik's development against Oldenqvist's seasoned resilience.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Kevin Dolvik has demonstrated consistent improvement with aggressive striking and solid ground control in recent matches, while John Oldenqvist relies on a durable defense and counter-striking but has fewer recent high-profile wins.
  • No prior recorded head-to-head bouts between Kevin Dolvik and John Oldenqvist, making this a fresh contest where strategy and adaptability will be key.
  • No publicly reported injuries for either fighter leading into the match, indicating both are expected to be in optimal condition.
  • The fight venue in MalmΓΆ provides a slight home advantage for Kevin Dolvik. There is no indication of external disruptions or unfavorable conditions affecting the fighters.
  • Dolvik shows strong motivation, supported by his management's enthusiasm and the potential to elevate his career status with a high-profile win. Oldenqvist aims to capitalize on the underdog position to upset expectations.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Kevin Dolvik: -170, John Oldenqvist: +130 Kevin Dolvik β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Kevin Dolvik -1.5 rounds: -110, John Oldenqvist +1.5 rounds: -110 Kevin Dolvik to win by more than 1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -115, Under 2.5 rounds: -105 Over 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Kevin Dolvik 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Kevin Dolvik at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Kevin Dolvik is favored to win due to his recent form, home advantage, and stronger betting odds. The fight likely leans towards a decision or late-round finish favoring Dolvik, but Oldenqvist's resilience could make it competitive.

Predicted Score: Kevin Dolvik wins by decision in 3 rounds


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Gilbert Burns vs. Michael Morales Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Gilbert Burns vs Michael Morales – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 17, 2025
  • Time: 1:45 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Enterprise, Nevada

Game Overview

Gilbert Burns faces off against Michael Morales in a crucial welterweight bout. Burns, a former UFC title challenger, is on a three-fight losing streak and seeks to revive his career. Morales, undefeated in the UFC, looks to extend his winning streak.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Burns has struggled with recent losses, while Morales has shown impressive performances, including a knockout win over Neil Magny. Burns' grappling skills are a significant advantage, but Morales' reach and recent momentum could be challenging for him.
  • This is their first meeting, with Burns having more experience but Morales being younger and more aggressive.
  • No recent injuries reported for either fighter.
  • The event takes place in a neutral venue, but Burns' experience might give him an edge in handling pressure.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with Burns seeking to break his losing streak and Morales aiming to solidify his position in the division.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gilbert Burns: 575, Michael Morales: -850 Michael Morales β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Gilbert Burns +5.5: 250, Michael Morales -5.5: -370 Michael Morales β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 3.5: 100, Under 3.5: -130 Under 3.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Michael Morales -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 6%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Michael Morales is favored to win due to his recent performances and youth, but Gilbert Burns' experience could make it a competitive fight.

Predicted Score: Morales by Decision


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Sodiq Yusuff vs. Mairon Santos Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Sodiq Yusuff vs Mairon Santos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 18, 2025
  • Time: 12:45 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

Sodiq Yusuff, a featherweight, is moving up to lightweight on short notice to face Mairon Santos at UFC Vegas 106. Yusuff is returning after over a year following consecutive losses, while Santos is coming off a win and is a winner of The Ultimate Fighter 32.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sodiq Yusuff has a 13-4 record but has not fought since April 2024, losing his last two fights. Mairon Santos has a 15-1 record and is coming off a win at UFC 313.
  • This is the first fight between Sodiq Yusuff and Mairon Santos.
  • No significant injury reports for either fighter.
  • Yusuff's weight class change might affect his performance. Santos's recent win could boost his confidence.
  • Both fighters are motivated to win, with Yusuff looking to end his losing streak and Santos seeking to continue his winning form.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mairon Santos: -135, Sodiq Yusuff: 114 Mairon Santos to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Mairon Santos: -3.5 140, Sodiq Yusuff: 3.5 -190 Take Mairon Santos -3.5 for a risky bet β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Over/under Over: 2.5 -220, Under: 2.5 170 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mairon Santos -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 -98%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Based on recent performances, Mairon Santos is favored to win.

Predicted Score: Mairon Santos by TKO in Round 1


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Dustin Stoltzfus vs. Nursultan Ruziboev Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Dustin Stoltzfus vs Nursultan Ruziboev – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-17
  • Time: 12:15 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Game Overview

Dustin Stoltzfus and Nursultan Ruziboev are set to face off in a middleweight bout at UFC Vegas 106. Stoltzfus holds a 16-6-0 record, while Ruziboev boasts a 35-9-2 record (2 NC). The odds favor Ruziboev heavily, with a moneyline of -298 compared to Stoltzfus's +240.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Stoltzfus lands 3.47 significant strikes per minute with a 44% accuracy rate, while Ruziboev lands 2.75 significant strikes per minute with the same accuracy rate. Ruziboev has a slight edge in defense, absorbing 3.78 strikes per minute while defending 50% of shots, compared to Stoltzfus's 3.29 strikes absorbed with a 46% defense rate.
  • There is no head-to-head data available for this matchup.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The bout is at neutral ground, UFC Apex, which may not provide a significant advantage to either fighter.
  • Both fighters are motivated by the prospect of winning, but Ruziboev's recent form and experience may give him an edge in terms of confidence and strategy.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Stoltzfus: +240, Ruziboev: -298 Nursultan Ruziboev High
Spread Stoltzfus: 3.5 (+175), Ruziboev: -3.5 (-240) Take Ruziboev -3.5, but with moderate confidence due to the spread. Moderate
Over/under over: 1.5 (-105), under: 1.5 (-125) Over 1.5 rounds High

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Nursultan Ruziboev -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 7%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nursultan Ruziboev is favored to win due to his experience and recent form.

Predicted Score: Nursultan Ruziboev win by decision


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Julian Erosa vs. Melquizael Costa Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Julian Erosa vs Melquizael Costa – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-17
  • Time: 11:45 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, NV, USA

Game Overview

The upcoming UFC Vegas 106 fight between Julian Erosa and Melquizael Costa is a featherweight bout featuring two southpaw fighters with contrasting styles. Erosa, a 35-year-old veteran finisher known for his volume striking and aggression, faces the younger and durable Melquizael Costa, who emphasizes defense and counter-striking. Both fighters enter with a motivation for a four-fight win streak, making this contest highly competitive and significant for their career trajectories.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Julian Erosa brings a record of 31-12-0 with a high volume of significant strikes at 6.40 per minute and a 49% strike accuracy, but he absorbs a high rate at 6.21 strikes per minute. Melquizael Costa holds a 23-7-0 record with lower strike output at 3.86 per minute but better defense, absorbing just 2.72 strikes per minute and defending 52% of strikes. Both fighters have similar striking accuracy around 49%.
  • There is no recorded previous bout between Julian Erosa and Melquizael Costa, marking this fight as their first direct encounter.
  • No reported injuries to either fighter have been indicated close to the fight date, suggesting both are expected to enter at full health.
  • The fight takes place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, a familiar venue for both fighters, reducing travel and acclimatization concerns. No significant external distractions or controversies have been reported impacting either fighter’s preparedness.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated to secure a 4-fight win streak, which would boost their UFC rankings and career momentum. Erosa, the veteran, aims to demonstrate his finishing prowess, while Costa looks to leverage his defensive skills and youth to outlast Erosa.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Julian Erosa: +142, Melquizael Costa: -170 Melquizael Costa β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Spread Julian Erosa: 3.5 -110, Melquizael Costa: -3.5 -120 Melquizael Costa -3.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over: 2.5 124, Under: 2.5 -160 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melquizael Costa -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 -3%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the defensive durability and lower absorption rate of strikes by Melquizael Costa combined with his ability to defend strikes effectively, Costa has a statistical edge despite Erosa's higher volume and finishing reputation. Costa’s youth and defense likely make him the favorite, but Erosa’s pressure and experience could yield a competitive fight. The prediction favors Melquizael Costa to win by decision or late stoppage.

Predicted Score: Melquizael Costa wins via decision (3-0 rounds)


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Gabriel Green vs. Matheus Camilo Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Gabriel Green vs Matheus Camilo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 17, 2025
  • Time: 11:15 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

This upcoming MMA fight features Gabriel Green, a seasoned fighter with a record of 11-5, against Matheus Camilo, a newcomer to the UFC with a 9-2 record. The bout is part of UFC Fight Night 256, taking place in the welterweight division.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Gabriel Green has more UFC experience, which could be an advantage. However, Matheus Camilo is coming in with momentum from his recent performances.
  • There is no prior head-to-head matchup between these fighters.
  • No significant injuries reported for either fighter.
  • The fight's location and the presence of home fans might not significantly impact the outcome since both fighters are not from the venue's local area.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with Camilo aiming to make a strong UFC debut and Green seeking to improve his UFC record.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gabriel Green: 190, Matheus Camilo: -230 Matheus Camilo β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Gabriel Green: 3.5 110, Matheus Camilo: -3.5 -150 Matheus Camilo β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%
Over/under Over: 2.5 120, Under: 2.5 -154 Under β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Matheus Camilo -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 -1%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Matheus Camilo is favored to win due to his recent success and Dana White's recognition through his 'Lookin' For a Fight' contract.

Predicted Score: Decision or late-round finish in favor of Matheus Camilo.


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