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Ketlen Vieira vs. Macy Chiasson Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Ketlen Vieira vs Macy Chiasson – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 31, 2025
  • Time: 12:15 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada

Game Overview

Ketlen Vieira and Macy Chiasson will face off in a women's bantamweight bout at UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber. Both fighters have a strong record, with Vieira holding a 14-4-0 record and Chiasson at 11-3-0. Vieira is known for her physicality and grappling skills, while Chiasson is recognized for her high work rate and athleticism.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vieira's physicality and grappling skills are significant advantages, but Chiasson's high volume of strikes and athleticism could pose challenges.
  • This is their first matchup, making it challenging to predict based on past performances against each other.
  • No injuries have been reported for either fighter.
  • Both fighters are known for their endurance, which could lead to a well-rounded fight.
  • Both fighters are motivated to win and advance in the rankings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ketlen Vieira: 100, Macy Chiasson: -120 Macy Chiasson ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Ketlen Vieira: 3.5 -245, Macy Chiasson: -3.5 175 Macy Chiasson ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 2.5 -360, Under: 2.5 260 Over ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Macy Chiasson 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Macy Chiasson at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Chiasson's higher strike rate and athleticism, she might have an edge in this fight.

Predicted Score: Decision (Macy Chiasson)


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Trevin Giles vs. Andreas Gustafsson Berg Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Trevin Giles vs Andreas Gustafsson Berg – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-31
  • Time: 11:40 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Game Overview

Andreas Gustafsson Berg makes his UFC debut against the more experienced Trevin Giles at UFC Vegas 107. Gustafsson is favored, with strong odds reflecting his recent form and efficiency in strikes. Giles, however, brings a wealth of experience to the fight.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Trevin Giles has a 16-7-0 record, while Andreas Gustafsson Berg has a 11-2-0 record. Gustafsson lands more significant strikes per minute and has a higher percentage of successful strikes.
  • There is no head-to-head history between Trevin Giles and Andreas Gustafsson Berg.
  • No significant injuries reported for either fighter.
  • Gustafsson will be the first fighter to wear the UFC Debut Patch on his warm-up jersey, which might give him additional motivation.
  • Gustafsson is highly motivated for his UFC debut, while Giles seeks to prove his experience still counts in the UFC.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -166 for Gustafsson, +140 for Giles Gustafsson to win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread -3.5 for Gustafsson (-115), +3.5 for Giles (-115) Gustafsson to cover the spread ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5 (+100), Under 2.5 (-130) Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Andreas Gustafsson Berg 68%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Andreas Gustafsson Berg at 68% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 48.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Andreas Gustafsson Berg is likely to win based on his recent form and striking efficiency.

Predicted Score: Gustafsson to win by TKO or submission in under 2.5 rounds.


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Bolaji Oki vs. Michael Aswell Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Bolaji Oki vs Michael Aswell – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-31
  • Time: 11:10 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada

Game Overview

Bolaji Oki and Michael Aswell face off in a highly anticipated MMA match at UFC Vegas 107. Bolaji Oki was originally scheduled to fight Mederos, but due to Mederos's withdrawal, Aswell has stepped in. This change adds an element of unpredictability to the fight.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bolaji Oki has been a hyped prospect from the Dana White Contender Series, though he has experienced setbacks. Michael Aswell, a former DWCS cast-off, offers a fresh challenge.
  • There is no previous head-to-head data available for these fighters.
  • No specific injury reports are available for either fighter at this time.
  • The late change in opponents could impact Bolaji Oki's strategy and preparation.
  • Both fighters are motivated to win, with Bolaji Oki seeking to redeem himself and Michael Aswell looking to prove his worth.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -365 / 300 Bolaji Oki ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under -150 / 120 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bolaji Oki -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Bolaji Oki is favored to win, based on his prior profile and performance expectations.

Predicted Score: Bolaji Oki by decision


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Kurt Holobaugh vs. Jordan Leavitt Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Kurt Holobaugh vs Jordan Leavitt – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-31
  • Time: 10:40 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

The Lightweight division prelim fight at UFC Vegas 107 pits Kurt Holobaugh against Jordan Leavitt. Holobaugh, aged 38 with a record of 22-9-0, is an orthodox striker known for his higher output of significant strikes per minute but with a lower accuracy compared to Leavitt who is a southpaw with a record of 11-3-0. Leavitt is younger at 29 years old and favors defensive striking, absorbing fewer significant strikes per minute. The fight is expected to be a tactical battle between Holobaugh’s volume striking and Leavitt’s precision and defensive skills.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Holobaugh averages 4.65 significant strikes per minute landing 45% accuracy but takes 4.30 strikes per minute. Leavitt lands 2.55 significant strikes per minute at 61% accuracy while taking only 1.84 strikes per minute, defensively superior with a 57% strike defense compared to Holobaugh's 49%. Both fighters have solid grappling but striking stats favor Leavitt in precision and defense.
  • No direct past encounters between Holobaugh and Leavitt have been recorded, making this matchup a fresh tactical contest without prior outcomes influencing prediction.
  • No notable injuries reported for either fighter leading into this bout, suggesting both are expected to perform at full capacity.
  • Fight taking place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas with likely neutral crowd influence. Both fighters have motivation to climb the lightweight ranks with Leavitt being the rising younger prospect and Holobaugh an experienced veteran seeking resurgence.
  • Leavitt’s youth and upward trajectory provide strong motivation to secure a decisive win; Holobaugh’s veteran status and need to maintain relevance in the division fuel his drive to capitalize on experience.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jordan Leavitt: -218, Kurt Holobaugh: 180 Jordan Leavitt ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Jordan Leavitt: -3.5 at 100, Kurt Holobaugh: +3.5 at -135 Jordan Leavitt -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -160, Under 2.5 rounds: 124 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jordan Leavitt -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 34%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jordan Leavitt is favored to win due to superior defensive striking, higher accuracy, and lower damage taken. His younger age and southpaw stance present stylistic and physical advantages over Holobaugh, who relies on volume but is more vulnerable defensively.

Predicted Score: Jordan Leavitt wins by decision or late stoppage within 3 rounds


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Rayanne dos Santos vs. Alice Ardelean Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Rayanne dos Santos vs Alice Ardelean – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-31
  • Time: 10:15 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, NV

Game Overview

This is a women’s strawweight bout between Rayanne dos Santos and Alice Ardelean, both seeking their first UFC win after 0-2 starts in the promotion. Dos Santos is considered the more skilled fighter, with a well-rounded background and prior success at lower weights, notably atomweight, but recent UFC performances have seen her lose by controversial split decisions due to a lack of control and impactful offense. Ardelean, a regional staple from Romania, is a tough competitor with a bullying, high-pace style, but often tires herself out and is considered a long shot in this matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Dos Santos is favored due to her technical skills and better regional record, but her UFC performances have been inconsistent, often coming up short despite outworking opponents. Ardelean’s regional record is less impressive and she has struggled against more skilled UFC competition, though she brings grit and pressure.
  • No prior head-to-head encounters between dos Santos and Ardelean.
  • No major injuries reported for either fighter ahead of this bout.
  • Fighters are moving up in weight or fighting at their divisional limit, which could impact stamina and power. Additionally, both are under pressure to secure their first UFC victory, adding emotional stakes.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated to avoid a third consecutive UFC loss. Dos Santos may have an edge in confidence from her prior performances, while Ardelean wants to defy odds and establish herself.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline dos Santos: -265, Ardelean: +215 Rayanne dos Santos (Home) is favored to win, but Alice Ardelean (Away) is a live underdog. ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread dos Santos -3.5 (+100), Ardelean +3.5 (-135) dos Santos to cover -3.5 is plausible but not certain due to her decision-prone style and Ardelean’s toughness. ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-475), Under 2.5 (+325) Heavy favorite for Over 2.5, as both fighters have shown durability and Ardelean’s style is likely to tire rather than finish. ★★★★☆ 85%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Rayanne dos Santos 114%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Rayanne dos Santos at 114% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 53.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Despite being the clear favorite, dos Santos has struggled to get her hand raised in the UFC due to close decisions and lackluster finishes. Ardelean’s pressure and physicality could make this an ugly fight, and recent trends suggest judges may reward Ardelean’s aggression, especially if the fight is close. However, dos Santos’ technical skills and experience should enable her to outwork Ardelean over three rounds. The betting market expects dos Santos to win or Ardelean to lose within the distance, but Ardelean is respected as a live underdog given recent results and judge preferences.

Predicted Score: Rayanne dos Santos wins by unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28), but the fight is closer than the betting odds suggest and could swing either way based on judge preferences and Ardelean’s pressure tactics[1][2][5].


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Marquel Mederos vs. Bolaji Oki Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Marquel Mederos vs Bolaji Oki – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 31, 2025
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Game Overview

Marquel Mederos faces Bolaji Oki at UFC Vegas 107 in a lightweight bout. Mederos, with a record of 10-1-0, enters the fight after a recent win, while Oki brings a 9-2-0 record. The fight is part of the preliminary card, offering a chance for both fighters to make a statement in the lightweight division.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Marquel Mederos has a significant strike rate of 3.75 per minute, while Bolaji Oki lands 5.63 significant strikes per minute. Mederos defends 62% of strikes, and Oki defends 63%.
  • This is the first fight between the two competitors.
  • Marquel Mederos had a recent change of plans, originally scheduled to fight Bolaji Oki, but an injury forced him to withdraw; however, he is now scheduled to face Nazim Sadykhov instead, indicating some possible health issues.
  • Venue familiarity could play a role as both fighters compete at UFC Apex, but neither has a notable home advantage.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated to secure a win and climb the rankings in their division.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Marquel Mederos +143, Bolaji Oki -180 Bolaji Oki is favored to win due to his higher strike output. ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bolaji Oki -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Bolaji Oki at -8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the recent development where Marquel Mederos is actually facing a different opponent, the prediction for this specific matchup is uncertain. However, based on initial data, Bolaji Oki's higher strike rate and slight defensive advantage could give him an edge.

Predicted Score: Given the nature of MMA, predicting a specific score is challenging. However, Bolaji Oki's aggressive style might lead to a stoppage or a dominant decision win.


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Giacomo Michelis vs. Sado Ucar Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Giacomo Michelis vs Sado Ucar – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 31, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: PalaPellicone, Rome, Italy

Game Overview

Giacomo Michelis faces Sado Ucar in a welterweight bout at Cage Warriors 189. Michelis is favored with odds of -300, while Ucar is at 240.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Michelis is favored, suggesting stronger recent performance or perceived skill advantage.
  • No head-to-head data available for this specific match.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The event is in Rome, Italy, which may impact crowd support but not significantly influence the fight's outcome.
  • Both fighters are motivated to win, but Michelis's favoritism might affect Ucar's strategy.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Giacomo Michelis: -300, Sado Ucar: 240 Giacomo Michelis ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Giacomo Michelis -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Giacomo Michelis at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Giacomo Michelis is likely to win due to his favoritism and stronger odds.

Predicted Score: Decision Win for Giacomo Michelis


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Khadim Dia vs. George McManus Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Khadim Dia vs George McManus – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-31
  • Time: 6:30 PM UTC
  • Location: PalaPellicone, Rome, Italy

Game Overview

Welterweight bout between undefeated Khadim Dia (5-0-0) and George McManus (4-4-0). The fight is scheduled for 3 rounds as part of the Cage Warriors 189 main card[4][5].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Khadim Dia is unbeaten (5-0-0), showing dominance in his professional career. George McManus has a mixed record (4-4-0), suggesting less consistent performance. Dia is favored to continue his strong run[4][5].
  • No prior head-to-head history found between these fighters.
  • No public reports of current injuries for either fighter.
  • Event is held in Rome, Italy, but neither fighter has a clear home advantage. Both are used to traveling for fights. No major external distractions reported[1][5].
  • Khadim Dia is motivated to maintain undefeated status and climb rankings. George McManus will look to upset and improve his record.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: Khadim Dia: -700, away: George McManus: +400 Khadim Dia win ★★★★☆ 80%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Khadim Dia -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Khadim Dia at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Khadim Dia is heavily favored to win by decision or late stoppage, given his undefeated streak and superior record. George McManus is the underdog but likely to be durable, potentially stretching the fight to a decision.

Predicted Score: Khadim Dia by Unanimous Decision


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Simone D'Anna vs. Ryan Hall Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Simone D'Anna vs Ryan Hall – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-31
  • Time: 6:30 PM UTC
  • Location: PalaPellicone, Rome, Italy

Game Overview

Simone D'Anna faces Ryan Shelley in a featherweight bout at Cage Warriors 189. The fight is a significant event in the MMA calendar, with both fighters looking to make a statement in the featherweight division.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Simone D'Anna has a professional record of 11-5-0, while Ryan Shelley's record is not fully detailed in the search results. D'Anna's experience and skillset will be crucial in this matchup.
  • There is no recorded head-to-head matchup between Simone D'Anna and Ryan Shelley, making this a first encounter for both fighters.
  • No injury reports are available for either fighter.
  • Fighting in Rome could give D'Anna an advantage due to local support, but this is speculative without specific data.
  • Both fighters are likely motivated to win and advance their careers in the MMA world.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Simone D'Anna: -250, Ryan Shelley: Not Available Simone D'Anna to win ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Simone D'Anna -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Simone D'Anna is favored to win based on his experience and record.

Predicted Score: N/A


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Nicolo Solli vs. Sulo Hilaj Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Nicolo Solli vs Sulo Hilaj – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 31, 2025
  • Time: 6:30 PM UTC
  • Location: PalaPellicone, Rome, Italy

Game Overview

This matchup at Cage Warriors 189 features Nicolo Solli against Sulo Hilaj. Solli is favored to win with odds of -278, while Hilaj has odds of +218. The fight is expected to be competitive, with both fighters having strengths in MMA.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Nicolo Solli is favored due to his recent performance and potential advantages in terms of skill and experience.
  • There is no prior head-to-head data available for these fighters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The event is held in Rome, which might favor Solli due to potential home advantage, but this is subjective and not quantifiable.
  • Both fighters are motivated to win, with Solli having a lot of pressure to perform as the favorite.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -278 for Nicolo Solli, +218 for Sulo Hilaj Nicolo Solli ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Nicolo Solli -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Nicolo Solli at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nicolo Solli is predicted to win this fight due to his favorable odds and potential skill advantages.

Predicted Score: Decision (Nicolo Solli)


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