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Brendan Allen vs. Marvin Vettori Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Brendan Allen vs Marvin Vettori – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-20
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Smoothie King Center, New Orleans

Game Overview

Middleweight clash between Brendan Allen and Marvin Vettori at UFC 318 featuring two top contenders with contrasting fighting styles and recent mixed form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Brendan Allen holds a slightly better recent form at 24-7, with high striking accuracy (53%) and solid defense (45%). Marvin Vettori (19-8-1) exhibits a higher volume in striking (4.54 per minute) but is less efficient both offensively and defensively.
  • No direct head-to-head matchup history available, making recent form and stylistic matchup the primary focus.
  • No recent injuries reported for either fighter that would impact performance significantly.
  • Fight takes place at a neutral venue with no notable external factors affecting either fighter.
  • Both fighters motivated to solidify rankings; Vettori looking to prove durability and striking after recent loss, Allen aiming to extend momentum with grappling dominance.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Brendan Allen: -192, Marvin Vettori: 160 Brendan Allen ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Brendan Allen -3.5: 125, Marvin Vettori +3.5: -170 Marvin Vettori +3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5: -345, Under 2.5: 250 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Brendan Allen -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Brendan Allen at -9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Brendan Allen to win via decision, given grappling control and efficient striking.

Predicted Score: Brendan Allen wins by decision after 3 rounds


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Dan Ige vs. Patricio Freire Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Dan Ige vs Patricio Freire – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-20
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: To Be Announced

Game Overview

Dan Ige, ranked #12 in the UFC featherweight division with an 11-8 UFC record and notable striking volume and accuracy, faces Patricio Freire, a highly experienced 36-8 veteran with a longer average fight time and high finishing ability. Ige exhibits superior significant strikes landed per minute and striking accuracy, while Freire has the edge in submission attempts and takedown defense.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Dan Ige has a mixed recent form with 2 wins and 3 losses in his last 5 fights, showing vulnerability on decision losses; Patricio Freire brings greater career experience with a 36-8 record but has a slight downturn recently, including a recent loss indicating possible decline.
  • No available direct H2H data suggests this will be their first encounter, adding uncertainty but supporting analysis based on styles and metrics.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter affecting this matchup.
  • Fight taking place under standard UFC conditions; no reported external distractions, travel concerns, or weight miss history impacting fighters.
  • Freire aims to establish UFC credentials after notable Bellator success and recent organizational change, likely highly motivated; Ige aims to leverage home division experience to maintain or improve ranking.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dan Ige: -240, Patricio Freire: 180 Dan Ige ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Dan Ige -1.5: -110, Patricio Freire +1.5: -110 Dan Ige -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: 100 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Dan Ige -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Dan Ige at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Dan Ige to win by decision

Predicted Score: Dan Ige wins via unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Jim Crute vs. Marcin Prachnio Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jim Crute vs Marcin Prachnio – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-19
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Smoothie King Center, New Orleans

Game Overview

Jimmy Crute faces Marcin Prachnio in a Light Heavyweight bout at UFC 318. Crute holds a younger profile with a record of 12-4-2, while Prachnio is the more experienced 37-year-old with a 17-8-0 record. Both fighters have comparable reach and weight, and similar striking accuracy, but Prachnio is slightly more active in significant strikes landed per minute.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Crute has shown strong all-around skills with good striking accuracy (53%) and solid defense (42% strikes blocked). Prachnio lands more significant strikes per minute (5.57) and is a slightly better defender (54% strikes blocked). Crute’s recent form includes a majority draw in his previous fight, suggesting slight volatility. Prachnio has a longer career but may be impacted by age.
  • No prior head-to-head fights reported between Crute and Prachnio.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter going into this bout.
  • The fight takes place at a neutral venue in New Orleans, which likely has no significant home advantage. Both fighters appear motivated by career advancement at UFC 318.
  • Crute aims to rebound and improve after a recent draw, while Prachnio looks to capitalize on experience to extend his win record. Crute is younger, potentially giving him physical advantages in endurance and recovery.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Crute -325, Prachnio +260 Jim Crute ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Crute -3.5 -195, Prachnio +3.5 +140 Jim Crute -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds +124, Under 2.5 rounds -160 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jim Crute -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jimmy Crute to win by decision

Predicted Score: Jim Crute wins by decision, 3 rounds


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Ateba Gautier vs. Robert Valentin Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Ateba Gautier vs Robert Valentin – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-19
  • Time: 12:15 AM UTC
  • Location: Smoothie King Center, New Orleans

Game Overview

Middleweight bout at UFC 318 featuring Ateba Gautier, a 23-year-old switch fighter with a 7-1 record, against the more experienced 30-year-old orthodox fighter Robert Valentin holding an 11-5 record. Gautier is significantly favored with better striking volume, accuracy, and defense.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ateba Gautier boasts a high striking output at 6.06 significant strikes per minute with 64% accuracy and superior defense absorbing 2.23 strikes per minute with 51% strike defense. Robert Valentin has a lower striking rate at 1.10 per minute, 58% accuracy, and weaker defense allowing 2.11 strikes per minute and curbing only 23%. Recent form heavily favors Gautier at 7-1 versus Valentin's 11-5.
  • No prior head-to-head encounters found, implying no psychological advantage or matchup data to alter expected outcomes.
  • No injury reports or concerns surfaced for either fighter, indicating both will compete at full capacity.
  • Fight takes place in New Orleans' Smoothie King Center, neutral venue with no significant external factors favoring either fighter. Both are motivated equally by career progression and pay-per-view exposure.
  • Gautier, younger and on a strong winning trajectory with a high finish rate, is highly motivated to establish dominance. Valentin aims to upset a rising star, but recent results and rankings put Gautier at an advantage psychologically and tactically.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ateba Gautier -550, Robert Valentin +410 Ateba Gautier ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread Ateba Gautier -3.5 (-370), Robert Valentin +3.5 (+250) Ateba Gautier -3.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 1.5 (+120), Under 1.5 (-154) Under 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ateba Gautier -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ateba Gautier wins by knockout or TKO early in the fight, delivering a dominant performance over Robert Valentin.

Predicted Score: Ateba Gautier wins by KO/TKO at round 1


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Francisco Prado vs. Nikolay Veretennikov Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Francisco Prado vs Nikolay Veretennikov – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-19
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Prelims, UFC 318

Game Overview

Francisco Prado (Argentina) vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (Kazakhstan) is a crucial welterweight matchup for both fighters, with Prado looking to rebound and Veretennikov aiming to leverage his striking pedigree against a younger opponent with diverse finishes.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Prado is a well-rounded prospect (6 KO, 6 SUB) from a top MMA gym, showing aggression and grappling acumen. Veretennikov is a powerful striker (9 KO in 18 fights, 56% striking accuracy) with strong takedown defense, but was exposed on the ground in his most recent outing[1][2].
  • No prior meetings.
  • No reported injuries.
  • Prado’s camp is known for strategic gameplans; Veretennikov’s comfort zone is the standup, but his ground vulnerability is a clear exploitable weakness[2].
  • High for both—loser faces potential UFC exit. Prado’s team likely builds fight around his grappling edge, while Veretennikov must keep it standing to maximize his power[2].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Prado -142 / Veretennikov 120 Francisco Prado ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Prado -3.5 120 / Veretennikov 3.5 -165 Francisco Prado -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 -166 / Under 2.5 130 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Francisco Prado 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 38%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 38% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Francisco Prado wins by submission, exploiting Veretennikov’s defensive grappling gap after early striking exchanges.

Predicted Score: Francisco Prado by Submission, Round 2


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Carli Judice vs. Nicolle Caliari Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Carli Judice vs Nicolle Caliari – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: July 19, 2025
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Smoothie King Center in New Orleans

Game Overview

Carli Judice, a 26-year-old southpaw with a 4-2-0 record, faces Nicolle Caliari, a 28-year-old orthodox fighter with an 8-3-0 record, in a flyweight bout at UFC 318.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Judice has a higher strike rate, connecting on 11.18 significant strikes per minute at a 53% success rate, while Caliari connects on 3.85 at 41%. Judice also absorbs more strikes, taking 10.01 per minute, compared to Caliari's 5.57.
  • No past head-to-head matchups between the fighters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The fight's setting and crowd support may favor Judice slightly given her home-continent advantage.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, but Judice's recent performance statistics suggest a stronger competitive edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -340 Carli Judice ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread -3.5 -135 Carli Judice ★★★★☆ 74%
Over/under 2.5 Over ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Carli Judice -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Carli Judice at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Carli Judice to win by decision

Predicted Score: Decision win for Judice in Round 3


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Brunno Ferreira vs. Jackson McVey Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Brunno Ferreira vs Jackson McVey – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-19
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, LA

Game Overview

A highly anticipated matchup at UFC 318 as Brunno Ferreira faces newcomer Jackson McVey, with Ferreira being the heavy favorite.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ferreira has an impressive record of 13-2-0 and is known for his aggressive style, while McVey is a newcomer with no UFC experience.
  • No previous head-to-head matchups between the fighters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The crowd might not significantly impact the fighters given their contrasting levels of experience.
  • Ferreira is likely motivated by the opportunity to prove himself against a new opponent, while McVey seeks to make an impactful debut.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Brunno Ferreira: -550, Jackson McVey: +410 Brunno Ferreira ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread Brunno Ferreira: -3.5 -700, Jackson McVey: 3.5 +400 Brunno Ferreira ★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under Over 1.5: +195, Under 1.5: -260 Under 1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Brunno Ferreira -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Brunno Ferreira by knockout is the highest expected value play.

Predicted Score: Ferreira by knockout in Round 1.


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Ryan Spann vs. Lukasz Brzeski Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Ryan Spann vs Lukasz Brzeski – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-19
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Smoothie King Center in New Orleans

Game Overview

This matchup features Ryan Spann, a favorite at -238, against Lukasz Brzeski, who is priced at +195. The bout is part of UFC 318.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ryan Spann has a record of 22-11-0, while Lukasz Brzeski is 9-6-1 (1 NC). Recently, Brzeski has lost five of his last six fights.
  • No recent head-to-head data is available.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • Both fighters are fully focused on the bout with no external factors affecting their performance.
  • Ryan Spann is highly motivated to maintain his winning record, while Lukasz Brzeski seeks to break his losing streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ryan Spann: -238, Lukasz Brzeski: +195 Ryan Spann ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Ryan Spann: -3.5 -230, Lukasz Brzeski: +3.5 165 Ryan Spann ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 1.5: 140, Under 1.5: -180 Under 1.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ryan Spann 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 -10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Ryan Spann at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ryan Spann to win by knockout.

Predicted Score: Ryan Spann wins by knockout.


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Kyler Phillips vs. Vinicius Oliveira Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Kyler Phillips vs Vinicius Oliveira – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-19
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: New Orleans

Game Overview

Kyler Phillips vs. Vinicius Oliveira is a bantamweight bout at UFC 318. Both fighters have impressive records, with Phillips recently losing to Rob Font and Oliveira coming off a win over Said Nurmagomedov.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Kyler Phillips is known for his versatile fighting style, including diverse striking and grappling capabilities. Vinicius Oliveira excels in both striking and ground fighting, with a high accuracy of 54% in striking.
  • No past head-to-head matches.
  • No reported major injuries for either fighter.
  • Motivation could be a factor, as both fighters are looking to move up the rankings.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated to win, which could lead to a competitive bout.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Kyler Phillips: +124, Vinicius Oliveira: -148 Vinicius Oliveira ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Kyler Phillips: +3.5 -180, Vinicius Oliveira: -3.5 130 Kyler Phillips +3.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under over: 2.5 -195, under: 2.5 150 Over 2.5 Rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vinicius Oliveira 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Vinicius Oliveira is favored due to his recent success and well-rounded skills.

Predicted Score: Decision in favor of Vinicius Oliveira


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Lorenz Larkin vs. Randall Wallace Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Lorenz Larkin vs Randall Wallace – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: July 19, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Mana Wynwood in Miami

Game Overview

Lorenz Larkin, a seasoned MMA fighter with a strong background in Bellator, faces Randall Wallace in a middleweight bout at Karate Combat 56. Larkin is heavily favored, reflecting his experience and skillset.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Lorenz Larkin has a proven record in MMA, particularly in Bellator, which suggests he is well-prepared for this bout. Randall Wallace, while participating in Karate Combat, may face a significant challenge against a more experienced opponent.
  • There is no previous head-to-head matchup between these fighters, which could add unpredictability but generally favors Larkin due to his broader experience.
  • No significant injury reports have been noted for either fighter, which is crucial for maintaining their performance levels.
  • The venue and format of Karate Combat might introduce unique challenges, but Larkin's experience in MMA is likely to be advantageous.
  • Both fighters are motivated to win, but Larkin's stakes might be higher given his reputation and the expectation to perform against a less experienced opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Lorenz Larkin: -1000, Randall Wallace: 600 Lorenz Larkin ★★★★★ 92%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Lorenz Larkin 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Lorenz Larkin at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Lorenz Larkin to win

Predicted Score: Not applicable for MMA


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