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Daniel Holt vs. Oscar Mendez Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Daniel Holt vs Oscar Mendez – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: LFA 218, Tenerife

Game Overview

Daniel Holt faces Oscar Mendez in an LFA lightweight matchup between a striker with quick reflexes and a grappler with excellent endurance. Holt is the guest fighter with a short winning streak, while Mendez fights in his home country with possible home judging advantage but carries moral pressure. This fight could go early or late depending on Holt's knockout power versus Mendez's ability to survive and submit.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Holt exhibits striking precision and quick reflexes that favor early exchanges; Mendez poses a threat with grappling endurance and submission ability, balancing Holt's knockout potential.
  • No direct H2H data available, but historic fight style splits suggest Mendez wins mainly by submission (35%) and KO (33%), Holt wins split evenly across decision, submission and KO.
  • No injury reports or weigh-in concerns reported for either fighter, indicating both are likely at full strength.
  • Fight in Tenerife gives Mendez home crowd and possible judging edge but also pressure; Holt is guest fighter which might be a slight disadvantage.
  • Mendez motivated by home advantage and to build a winning streak; Holt motivated to continue his short winning streak and prove himself on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -130 for Mendez, +115 for Holt Oscar Mendez ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread +1.5 rounds for Oscar Mendez at -110 Oscar Mendez -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds at +120, Under 2.5 rounds at -140 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Oscar Mendez by submission

Predicted Score: Oscar Mendez wins by submission in round 3


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Luan Duarte vs. Leon Hill Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Luan Duarte vs Leon Hill – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Cage Warriors 194

Game Overview

Luan Duarte faces Leon Hill in a highly anticipated MMA bout at Cage Warriors 194. Hill is the strong favorite at -500 odds with superior recent form and experience, while Duarte is the underdog at +300 odds, known for durability and submission skills.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Leon Hill has maintained a dominant winning streak in recent fights with decisive finishes, showing effective striking and takedown defense. Luan Duarte has been competitive but less consistent against top-tier opponents, relying on grappling strength.
  • No direct previous matchup found between Duarte and Hill; therefore, predictive modeling relies on stylistic contrasts and recent performances against common caliber opponents.
  • No reported injuries or physical issues for either fighter entering the bout, suggesting both are at full strength.
  • Fight location and cage conditions favor neither fighter significantly; both have experience fighting internationally with good acclimatization.
  • Leon Hill appears highly motivated to secure a title shot with a convincing win, while Duarte aims to upset the favorite and climb rankings. Hill's motivation edge is slightly higher due to immediate career advancement implications.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Leon Hill: -500, Luan Duarte: +300 Leon Hill ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Leon Hill -1.5 rounds: -250, Luan Duarte +1.5 rounds: +180 Leon Hill -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Leon Hill to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Leon Hill wins by second-round TKO


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Mohammad Alaqraa vs. Ayman Galal Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Mohammad Alaqraa vs Ayman Galal – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: The Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Game Overview

Mohammad Alaqraa (8-1) faces Ayman Galal (4-1, 2 NC) in the PFL MENA Welterweight Semifinal. Alaqraa is a 2024 PFL MENA Welterweight Finalist with a strong record and experience advantage. Both fighters made weight successfully, competing in a main event semifinal fight with high stakes for PFL MENA Finals qualification.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mohammad Alaqraa has an 8-1 record with experience in PFL Finals last year, showing consistent form and finishing ability. Ayman Galal holds a 4-1 record with 2 no contests and less fight experience, indicating less proven consistency at this level.
  • No previous head-to-head encounters recorded between the fighters, implying analysis must rely on individual styles and recent form.
  • No current injury reports or weight issues for either fighter; both made official weigh-in limits safely a day before the fight.
  • Fight takes place at The Arena in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia — neutral venue with no clear home advantage. Both fighters equally motivated by the tournament semifinal stakes and significant prize money.
  • Alaqraa seeks to capitalize on prior Finals experience to advance and pursue a lucrative six-figure prize, while Galal looks to prove himself against an established opponent and make a breakthrough in the PFL MENA scene.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mohammad Alaqraa: -2000, Ayman Galal: +1040 Mohammad Alaqraa ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread -1.5 Alaqraa -130 Mohammad Alaqraa -1.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Under 2.5 rounds -115 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mohammad Alaqraa -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Mohammad Alaqraa at -11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mohammad Alaqraa to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Mohammad Alaqraa wins by 2nd round TKO


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Jamie Abbott vs. Matthew Friel Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jamie Abbott vs Matthew Friel – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Dublin, Ireland

Game Overview

Jamie Abbott, a striker with strong hand speed and accuracy, faces Matthew Friel, a grappling specialist aiming to take the fight to the ground. The bout likely hinges on Abbott’s takedown defense and ability to keep the fight standing.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Abbott has a consistent recent form as a favored striker with solid finishing ability from stand-up, while Friel has shown strength in grappling exchanges but limited success against elite strikers.
  • No prior recorded direct matchups, making styles and recent performance crucial for predictions.
  • No significant injuries reported for either fighter leading into the bout.
  • Fight taking place in Dublin could offer neutral ground; no known travel or acclimatization issues.
  • Abbott is motivated to defend his favored status and maintain winning momentum; Friel seeks to capitalize on underdog status and leverage grappling advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jamie Abbott -530, Matthew Friel +335 Jamie Abbott ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Jamie Abbott -1.5 (-250), Matthew Friel +1.5 (+200) Jamie Abbott -1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds (-110), Under 2.5 rounds (-110) Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jamie Abbott to win by moneyline.

Predicted Score: Abbott wins by 2nd round TKO


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Stephen Costello vs. Manuel Del Valle Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Stephen Costello vs Manuel Del Valle – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Dublin, Ireland

Game Overview

Stephen Costello and Manuel Del Valle meet at Cage Warriors 194 in a welterweight bout. Costello is a 5-3 fighter known for striking and speed, while Del Valle, with a 4-1 record, prefers a strong ground game. The fight is scheduled for 3×5 minute rounds as a prelim bout.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Costello has shown better striking stats and speed advantage in recent fights, while Del Valle shows strong grappling and takedown defense. Costello's more exposed recent form includes setbacks but has recovered well; Del Valle is on an upward trajectory with fewer fights overall.
  • No prior H2H matchups reported between Stephen Costello and Manuel Del Valle, making this their first direct confrontation.
  • No publicly known injuries reported for either fighter leading into the matchup.
  • Fight takes place in Dublin, which favors Costello being European though not from Ireland; limited information on camp changes or travel issues for either fighter.
  • Both fighters are motivated to break into higher rankings in Cage Warriors; Costello seeks redemption after recent losses, while Del Valle aims to maintain unbeaten momentum in his last 5 fights.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Stephen Costello +140, Manuel Del Valle -180 Manuel Del Valle ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Manuel Del Valle -1.5 (-150), Stephen Costello +1.5 (+130) Manuel Del Valle -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -110, Under 2.5 rounds -110 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Manuel Del Valle to win by decision

Predicted Score: Manuel Del Valle wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Ger Harris vs. Jonny Touma Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Ger Harris vs Jonny Touma – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Cage Warriors event, Flyweight Division

Game Overview

The matchup features Ger Harris, a striker with high agility and solid ground defense, against Jonny Touma, a grappling-oriented fighter with wrestling strengths. Harris aims to maintain a standing fight to leverage his striking, while Touma will seek takedowns to capitalize on ground control.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ger Harris has demonstrated consistent striking precision and ability to defend takedowns, maintaining composure in recent fights. Jonny Touma has strong wrestling credentials but less effective striking, which could be a vulnerability against Harris’s style.
  • No recorded previous fights between Ger Harris and Jonny Touma, making this a fresh stylistic clash without prior matchup data.
  • No significant recent injuries reported for either fighter, indicating both are likely to be in peak condition.
  • Fight is held in a neutral Cage Warriors venue. Both fighters have strong motivation with no apparent distractions or external issues affecting preparation.
  • Both fighters are motivated to progress in the Flyweight division, with Harris targeting a signature win to boost his career trajectory and Touma aiming to solidify his grappling dominance.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -110 Ger Harris ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread +1.5 (-130) Ger Harris -1.5 rounds (win by clear decision) ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds (-120) Over 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ger Harris to win on the moneyline by decision, with a fight lasting over 2.5 rounds.

Predicted Score: Ger Harris wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Yanis Ghemmouri vs. Assem Ghanem Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Yanis Ghemmouri vs Assem Ghanem – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: The Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Game Overview

Featherweight semifinal fight in PFL MENA 3 between Yanis Ghemmouri and Assem Ghanem, two undefeated featherweight fighters competing in a high-stakes matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Yanis Ghemmouri holds a 12-3 professional record with a versatile finish rate including decisions, submissions, and KOs. Assem Ghanem is undefeated at 5-0, showing strong grappling and decision skills but less experience overall.
  • This will be their first meeting; no previous head-to-head data exists.
  • No current injury reports for either fighter but recent development shows Assem Ghanem missed the official featherweight limit on weigh-in day, potentially impacting performance negatively.
  • Fight takes place in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, a neutral location; Ghanem’s weight miss might cause physical and psychological disadvantages. Ghemmouri fights out of France with more international experience.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated for PFL MENA semifinals, but Ghemmouri’s greater experience at high-level bouts and Ghanem’s weight miss suggest a slight edge in mental and physical preparedness for Ghemmouri.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ghemmouri: -164, Ghanem: +120 Yanis Ghemmouri ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Ghemmouri -1.5 (-110) Ghemmouri -1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds (-115), Under 2.5 rounds (-105) Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Yanis Ghemmouri -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Yanis Ghemmouri at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Yanis Ghemmouri to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Yanis Ghemmouri wins by late-round submission or decision


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Kenny Mokhonoana vs. Damon Donald Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Kenny Mokhonoana vs Damon Donald – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Dublin, Ireland

Game Overview

Featherweight prelim fight in Cage Warriors 194 between Kenny Mokhonoana and Damon Donald, both evenly matched with contrasting styles, set for September 27, 2025 in Dublin.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Kenny Mokhonoana shows a strong recent performance trend with multiple wins in Bellator and Cage Warriors, including significant upward odds movement indicating growing confidence. Damon Donald has less established recent activity and fewer high-profile wins, indicating lesser momentum.
  • No previous recorded encounters between Kenny Mokhonoana and Damon Donald, making this their first matchup and limiting direct comparative insight.
  • No current reported injuries affecting either fighter, both appear physically fit and ready for the contest.
  • Fight takes place in Dublin, Ireland, arguably favoring Kenny Mokhonoana as the local fighter, which may influence crowd energy and fighter motivation.
  • Kenny Mokhonoana is motivated to continue climbing rankings after positive recent results in major promotions; Damon Donald may face slight motivational disadvantage being less proven at this stage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Kenny Mokhonoana: -165, Damon Donald: +105, Draw: +800 Kenny Mokhonoana ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Kenny Mokhonoana -1.5: -120, Damon Donald +1.5: +100 Kenny Mokhonoana -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Kenny Mokhonoana to win; Spread: Kenny Mokhonoana by decision (points spread -1.5); Over/Under: Under 2.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Kenny Mokhonoana wins by unanimous decision after three rounds


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Ben Ellis vs. Max Lally Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Ben Ellis vs Max Lally – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Undisclosed MMA Venue

Game Overview

Featherweight MMA bout between Ben Ellis and Max Lally, both early in their professional careers with contrasting records and experience levels.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ben Ellis has a 4-2 professional record with a 50% finish rate via KO/TKO and decisions, showing a balanced approach. Maximus Lally is undefeated at 4-0 but has less detailed stats available, indicating limited high-level exposure.
  • No recorded previous matchup between Ben Ellis and Max Lally; this will be their first encounter.
  • No reported recent injuries for either fighter from available sources.
  • No significant external factors such as travel, altitude, or major lifestyle disruptions identified.
  • Max Lally remains undefeated, likely highly motivated to maintain perfect record, while Ben Ellis seeks to improve after mixed results, potentially increasing urgency and strategic execution.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ben Ellis +250, Max Lally -300 Ben Ellis ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Ben Ellis +1.5 rounds -180, Max Lally -1.5 rounds +140 Ben Ellis +1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds -500, Under 1.5 rounds +295 Over 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 80%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ben Ellis via unanimous decision

Predicted Score: Ben Ellis wins by decision after 3 full rounds


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Hussein Salem vs. Izzeddine Al Derbani Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Hussein Salem vs Izzeddine Al Derbani – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: The Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Game Overview

The featherweight semifinal bout between Hussein Salem (12-6) and Izzeddine Al Derbani (15-5) features two regional champions competing for a spot in the PFL MENA Finals with a $500,000 prize on the line. The match is scheduled at a premier Middle East event, PFL MENA 3, held in Riyadh.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Izzeddine Al Derbani has a stronger recent form and a superior overall record (15-5) compared to Hussein Salem's 12-6 record. Al Derbani also stepped in as an alternate, possibly adding motivation. Both fighters have shown finishing ability, but Al Derbani's experience and record favor him slightly.
  • No previous recorded head-to-head matchups between Salem and Al Derbani are available.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the matchup; both are presumed fully fit.
  • Fighting in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, may slightly favor Hussein Salem due to regional familiarity, but Al Derbani has adapted well in this environment before. The event is a major regional tournament incentivizing peak performance.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated as this semifinal determines a chance at a lucrative prize and progression in the PFL MENA tournament. Al Derbani’s late replacement status may increase his drive to prove himself.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Hussein Salem: +116, Izzeddine Al Derbani: -138 Izzeddine Al Derbani ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Al Derbani -1.5: -110, Salem +1.5: -110 Izzeddine Al Derbani -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -115, Under 2.5 rounds: -105 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Izzeddine Al Derbani -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Izzeddine Al Derbani at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Izzeddine Al Derbani to win on the moneyline, winning by decision or technical finish

Predicted Score: Izzeddine Al Derbani wins by decision or TKO in round 2 or 3


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