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Jonathan Micallef vs. Oban Elliott Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Jonathan Micallef vs Oban Elliott – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: RAC Arena, Perth, AUS

Game Overview

Welterweight bout between Jonathan Micallef (8-1) and Oban Elliott (12-3). Both fighters are similarly sized, Elliott has more experience with 15 fights versus Micallef's 9, and Elliott is favored by bookmakers despite a recent loss.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Oban Elliott holds a 12-3 record with solid UFC experience but recently lost by unanimous decision to Seok Hyun Ko, indicating potential vulnerability. Jonathan Micallef is unbeaten at 8-1, showing strong recent form and possibly rising confidence.
  • No previous head-to-head matchups between Micallef and Elliott, making tactical adjustments and adaptability important factors.
  • No publicly reported injuries for either fighter leading into the matchup.
  • Fight is hosted in Perth, Australia, closer to Micallef’s likely fan base which might aid his motivation. Weather and travel issues appear neutral.
  • Micallef is motivated to prove himself against a more established competitor, while Elliott aims to rebound quickly from a recent loss, applying psychological pressure both ways.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jonathan Micallef: +100, Oban Elliott: -120 Oban Elliott β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%
Spread Jonathan Micallef +3.5: -215, Oban Elliott -3.5: +155 Oban Elliott -3.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%
Over/under Over 2.5: -245, Under 2.5: +185 Over 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Oban Elliott 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -14%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Oban Elliott at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Oban Elliott to win by decision

Predicted Score: Oban Elliott wins by decision after 3 rounds


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Jamie Mullarkey vs. Rolando Bedoya Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Jamie Mullarkey vs Rolando Bedoya – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 12:40 AM UTC
  • Location: RAC Arena, Perth, AUS

Game Overview

Lightweight matchup between Jamie Mullarkey (17-8) and Rolando Bedoya (14-4) at UFC Fight Night. Both fighters are well-matched with close recent form and minimal injury concerns.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mullarkey has shown consistent striking and conditioning but suffered a recent tough loss at UFC 301, whereas Bedoya has been on a positive streak with strong grappling and finishing ability.
  • No prior head-to-head fights, making this an even tactical matchup where styles and in-fight adjustments will be crucial.
  • No significant injury reports for either fighter ahead of bout, suggesting both are preparing at full strength.
  • Fight taking place in Australia may slightly favor Mullarkey due to local crowd support and reduced travel fatigue.
  • Mullarkey aims to rebound after a UFC loss, potentially increasing aggression and risk-taking; Bedoya seeks to extend winning run, likely leading to strategic but aggressive approach.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jamie Mullarkey: -112, Rolando Bedoya: -108 Jamie Mullarkey β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%
Spread Jamie Mullarkey -3.5: -200, Rolando Bedoya +3.5: 145 Jamie Mullarkey -3.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -195, Under 2.5 rounds: 150 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jamie Mullarkey 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 55%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 55% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 36.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Jamie Mullarkey to win; Spread: Mullarkey -3.5 rounds; Over/Under: Under 2.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Jamie Mullarkey wins via decision or late stoppage before round 3


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Colby Thicknesse vs. Josias Musasa Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Colby Thicknesse vs Josias Musasa – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 12:15 AM UTC
  • Location: RAC Arena, Perth, Australia

Game Overview

This UFC Bantamweight prelim bout features Josias Musasa, an 8-1 fighter known as 'The KO Wizard,' against Colby Thicknesse, a 7-1 fighter nicknamed 'Slickness.' Both fighters are evenly matched with similar records and complementary styles, vying to improve their rankings in the division.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Josias Musasa has a slightly superior recent form with an 8-1 record compared to Thicknesse’s 7-1, showing more finishing ability and experience in high-pressure bouts. Thicknesse is highly technical but has been the underdog in recent fights, suggesting a slight disadvantage in momentum.
  • There are no recorded head-to-head fights between Musasa and Thicknesse, making this a fresh matchup with limited direct comparative data.
  • Neither fighter currently reports any known injuries affecting their preparation or performance for this bout.
  • The fight being in Perth, Australia, may slightly favor Musasa who has fought in similar international venues recently, while Thicknesse will be traveling internationally, possibly impacting acclimatization.
  • Both fighters have strong motivation to break into higher UFC rankings, with Musasa looking to capitalize on his favorite status and Thicknesse seeking to upset and prove his technical superiority.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Colby Thicknesse: +126, Josias Musasa: -150 Josias Musasa β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Spread Musasa -1.5: -110, Thicknesse +1.5: -110 Musasa -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 2.5: +100, Under 2.5: -120 Under 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 57%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Josias Musasa -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 5%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Josias Musasa to win by decision

Predicted Score: Musasa wins by decision (3 rounds, unanimous)


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Michelle Montague vs. Luana Carolina Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Michelle Montague vs Luana Carolina – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 11:50 PM UTC
  • Location: RAC Arena, Perth, AUS

Game Overview

Michelle Montague meets Luana Carolina in a UFC bantamweight matchup at UFC Perth. Montague enters as the strong favorite based on recent betting odds and form, with Carolina viewed as the underdog but possessing potential for an upset.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Montague has shown consistent performance in recent bouts, demonstrating superior striking and grappling control compared to Carolina, whose recent fights show some inconsistency.
  • There is no direct previous matchup between Montague and Carolina to provide head-to-head data, meaning the assessment relies on stylistic and recent performance analysis.
  • No reported recent injuries for either fighter; Carolina was previously removed from a scheduled fight in early 2025 but without injury related reasons, indicating both fighters are likely at full strength.
  • The fight taking place in Perth, Australia, offers a slight geographical advantage for Montague, a New Zealand fighter accustomed to the time zone and conditions; no other significant external distractions noted.
  • Both fighters are motivated to secure a significant divisional position; Montague, as a favorite, may carry the pressure of expectations, while Carolina may be driven by the underdog role to push aggressively.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Michelle Montague: -230, Luana Carolina: 190 Michelle Montague β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Montague -1.5: -120, Carolina +1.5: +100 Montague -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 2.5: -150, Under 2.5: 126 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Michelle Montague -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 29%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Michelle Montague to win via decision

Predicted Score: Michelle Montague wins by decision in 3 rounds


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Brando Pericic vs. Elisha Ellison Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Brando Pericic vs Elisha Ellison – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: RAC Arena, Perth, Australia

Game Overview

Prelims heavyweight UFC fight between Brando Pericic (4-1) and Elisha Ellison (5-1) at UFC Perth with Pericic favored on the moneyline.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Pericic has a strong recent form including 4 wins and only 1 loss, showing solid striking and grappling versatility; Ellison has a slightly better win ratio (5-1) with physical advantages in height and reach but less experience at this UFC level.
  • No prior head-to-head matchups between Pericic and Ellison.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter entering this bout.
  • Fight takes place in Perth, Australia, Ellison's home country, which may offer some crowd support. No other known external disruptions.
  • Ellison motivated to leverage home advantage and improve UFC standing; Pericic motivated to maintain momentum and prove UFC caliber.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -225, away: +186 Brando Pericic β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 74%
Spread home: -130, away: +110 Pericic -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under over: +194, under: -235 Under 1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Brando Pericic -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 -14%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Brando Pericic at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Brando Pericic to win; Spread: Pericic by -1.5 rounds; Over/Under: Under 1.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Brando Pericic wins by unanimous decision or late round stoppage, fight lasting 2 to 3 rounds


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Loma Lookboonmee vs. Alexia Thainara Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Loma Lookboonmee vs Alexia Thainara – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 11:05 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC Perth, Australia

Game Overview

Strawweight UFC prelim fight between Thailand's Muay Thai expert Loma Lookboonmee and Brazil's aggressive grappler Alexia Thainara.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Loma Lookboonmee has strong striking volume and improved wrestling but is undersized. She recently secured a decision win with 3 takedowns. Alexia Thainara is a forward pressure striker with aggressive grappling, coming off a submission win in her UFC debut.
  • No prior head-to-head matches between these fighters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout.
  • Fight held in Perth, Australia, neutral ground with no hometown advantage. Both fighters motivated to advance in the UFC strawweight division.
  • Alexia coming off a high-profile submission win and riding momentum. Loma looks to prove herself beyond being undersized but faces a physically imposing opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alexia Thainara -245, Loma Lookboonmee +202 Alexia Thainara β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Alexia Thainara -1.5 (approximate line), -110 Alexia Thainara -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -260, Under 2.5 rounds +214 Over 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alexia Thainara -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -9%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Alexia Thainara at -8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alexia Thainara to win via decision

Predicted Score: Alexia Thainara wins by decision after three rounds


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Jefferson Nascimento vs. Baysangur Makaev Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Jefferson Nascimento vs Baysangur Makaev – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Tenerife Sports Pavillion Santiago Martin, Tenerife, Spain

Game Overview

The interim lightweight title bout between unbeaten Jefferson Nascimento (11-0) and top Swedish lightweight prospect Baysangur Makaev (7-1) at LFA 218 in Tenerife, Spain.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Nascimento maintains an undefeated 11-0 record with wins evenly split among knockouts, submissions, and decisions, showing versatile finishing ability. Makaev holds a 7-1 record, with recent bouts indicating some inconsistency but strong motivation and preparation for this big stage.
  • No prior direct matchups exist between Nascimento and Makaev.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout; both fighters successfully made weight with a catchweight of ~154.5 lbs.
  • Fighting on the historic LFA debut event in Europe provides home-crowd advantage and heightened motivation for Makaev, representing Spain. Nascimento, coming from Brazil and training under RenovaΓ§Γ£o Fight Team, faces travel and environment adaptation.
  • Nascimento aims to defend his unbeaten streak and interim title to advance his UFC prospects, remaining focused and confident. Makaev is highly motivated by the historic event and national pride to upset the unbeaten champion on European soil.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Nascimento: -150, Makaev: +130, Draw: +2500 Nascimento β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Nascimento -1.5: -140, Makaev +1.5: +120 Nascimento -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: +110, Under 2.5 rounds: -130 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jefferson Nascimento to win by submission

Predicted Score: Nascimento wins by submission in Round 2


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Guilherme Soares vs. Robin Roos Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Guilherme Soares vs Robin Roos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Tenerife Sports Pavilion Santiago Martin, Tenerife

Game Overview

Guilherme Soares and Robin Roos face off in a middleweight MMA bout at LFA 218. Soares has a slight edge on striking and experience with a short winning streak, while Roos is heavier but coming off a short losing streak. The fight will likely hinge on Soares leveraging his superior striking and Roos trying to utilize his ground game and weight advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Soares is on a short winning streak and has more professional MMA experience. Roos, although heavier, is in a short series of defeats, suggesting lower recent form.
  • No direct previous matchups between Soares and Roos available. Styles suggest Soares favors striking, Roos favors ground game.
  • No reported injuries on either fighter leading up to the bout.
  • Fight location neutral (Tenerife); no known external distractions. Soares's striking power is a notable external advantage.
  • Soares appears motivated to extend his winning streak and capitalize on his knockout potential, while Roos needs to reverse recent losses which may increase pressure but could affect composure.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Soares +150, Roos -200 Soares β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Roos -1.5 (-200), Soares +1.5 (+150) Soares +1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -260, Under 2.5 rounds +196 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Guilherme Soares to win by TKO/KO

Predicted Score: Soares wins by TKO in round 2


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Alvi Dasuyev vs. Daniil Prikaza Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Alvi Dasuyev vs Daniil Prikaza – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: LFA 218, Tenerife Sports Pavilion Santiago Martin

Game Overview

A welterweight matchup at LFA 218 between undefeated Alvi Dasuyev (6-0) and veteran Daniil Prikaza (16-7-2); Dasuyev offers superior grappling and an undefeated streak, while Prikaza is a pressure striker with notable experience and knockout power.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Dasuyev is undefeated at 6-0 with consistent performances dominated by grappling, controlling pace and ground game; Prikaza has a mixed record (16-7-2) but recent results show competitive striking prowess and a tendency to finish with power.
  • No prior recorded matchups between Dasuyev and Prikaza, making this a fresh matchup without direct historical data.
  • No publicly reported injuries affecting either fighter leading into this bout.
  • Fight taking place in Tenerife Sports Pavilion with neutral crowd; no apparent external disruptions; both fighters competing under full preparation cycles.
  • Dasuyev motivated to maintain undefeated record and establish dominance in welterweight ranks; Prikaza seeks redemption and to leverage experience for upset victory.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -400 for Dasuyev, +250 for Prikaza Alvi Dasuyev β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread -1.5 rounds for Dasuyev (-150), +1.5 rounds for Prikaza (+130) Dasuyev -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds (-110), Under 2.5 rounds (-110) Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alvi Dasuyev to win by decision

Predicted Score: Dasuyev wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Gocha Shainidze vs. Magomed Nazurov Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Gocha Shainidze vs Magomed Nazurov – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: LFA 218, Tenerife, Canary Islands, Spain

Game Overview

This bantamweight bout features undefeated Gocha Shainidze (8-0) facing the less exposed Magomed Nazurov (4-0) at LFA 218. Shainidze showcases strong grappling combined with aggressive wrestling, while Nazurov relies on wrestling with limited experience against quality opponents.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Shainidze is on an 8-fight undefeated streak with dominant grappling and wrestling, consistently overpowering opponents. Nazurov, although undefeated, has faced only low-tier competition with a combined opponent record of 2-0.
  • This is their first meeting with no prior head-to-head data available.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the bout.
  • The fight is held in Europe, the first LFA event there, possibly favoring Shainidze who is touted as the event's prospect. No external disadvantages reported for either fighter.
  • Shainidze looks highly motivated to maintain his perfect professional record and showcase his grappling prowess on a new continent. Nazurov aims to prove himself at a higher competition level.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -250 for Gocha Shainidze, +175 for Magomed Nazurov Gocha Shainidze β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 80%
Spread -1.5 rounds for Shainidze at -160 Shainidze -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -110, Under 2.5 rounds -130 Over 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Gocha Shainidze wins by decision.

Predicted Score: Gocha Shainidze wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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