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Jordan Newman vs. Eslam Baset Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jordan Newman vs Eslam Baset – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-01
  • Time: 10:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Professional Fighters League (PFL) Event

Game Overview

Jordan Newman, a strong wrestler with proven control inside the cage, faces Eslam Baset, a striker with less wrestling prowess. Newman is heavily favored due to superior grappling and fight control, while Baset relies on striking to secure an upset.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Jordan Newman has shown dominant wrestling and control in recent bouts, winning decisively via takedowns and ground control. Eslam Baset has displayed solid striking but limited success against high-level wrestlers.
  • No recorded direct H2H matchups between Newman and Baset exist, but stylistically Newman's wrestling typically counters Baset's striking effectively.
  • No reported injuries or fight camp disruptions for either fighter.
  • Both fighters are competing at a neutral venue in the PFL circuit; no apparent external motivators or disadvantages.
  • Newman is vying to maintain his top contender status through dominant wins, while Baset seeks an upset breakthrough. Both have high motivation but Newman's path is clearer.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jordan Newman -900, Eslam Baset +600 Jordan Newman ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread Jordan Newman -1.5 rounds (-200), Eslam Baset +1.5 rounds (+150) Jordan Newman -1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds (-110), Under 2.5 rounds (-110) Under 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jordan Newman -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Jordan Newman at -10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Jordan Newman win

Predicted Score: Jordan Newman wins by decision or late stoppage within 3 rounds


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Sarek Shields vs. Nick Meck Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Sarek Shields vs Nick Meck – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-01
  • Time: 10:30 PM UTC
  • Location: PFL World Tournament 8

Game Overview

Welterweight bout between Sarek Shields and Nick Meck at PFL World Tournament 8. Both fighters are coming off wins in recent PFL events, with Shields holding a 7-2 career record and Meck showing strong form in 2025.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sarek Shields holds a 7-2 professional MMA record with a balanced finishing ability: 50% decisions and 50% submissions, indicating versatility. Nick Meck has shown consistent wins in 2025 tournaments, winning in the semifinals on June 11 and demonstrating good momentum.
  • No clear direct previous encounter records are available, but both fighters have met recently within the tournament circuit, increasing familiarity. Shields appears slightly favored based on stylistic matchups and previous results.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout, suggesting both are at full health.
  • Fight taking place in a high-stakes PFL semifinal environment which may elevate competitive intensity. Both fighters motivated by tournament progression and prize incentives.
  • Both fighters highly motivated; Shields seeking to capitalize on home crowd advantage and momentum from recent submission wins; Meck motivated by recent victories and aim to solidify place in the tournament finals.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sarek Shields -141, Nick Meck +121 Sarek Shields ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Spread (-1.5 Sarek Shields) approx -150, (+1.5 Nick Meck) approx +130 Sarek Shields -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -170, Under 2.5 rounds +140 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sarek Shields 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 39%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 39% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sarek Shields to win via decision

Predicted Score: Sarek Shields wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Husein Kadimagomaev vs. Kyle Driscoll Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Husein Kadimagomaev vs Kyle Driscoll – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-01
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Jim Whelan Boardwalk Hall, Atlantic City, NJ

Game Overview

Featherweight showcase bout between Husein Kadimagomaev (11-1, 2 NC) and Kyle Driscoll (14-4), taking place at the 2025 PFL World Tournament Finals event. Both are skilled featherweights stepping into a high-profile environment with significant career motivations.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Kadimagomaev boasts a strong recent form with 11 wins and only 1 loss, demonstrating technical striking and grappling balance. Driscoll also has a solid record at 14-4 but with more recent activity after joining PFL, showing resilience but less consistency against top-tier competition.
  • No previous direct matchup recorded, making this a fresh competitive encounter relying on stylistic and recent performance analysis.
  • No known injuries reported for either fighter ahead of the bout, indicating both are competing in full health and prepared for peak performance.
  • The fight takes place at a high-stakes PFL event in Atlantic City, with substantial prize money and exposure motivating both athletes. Kadimagomaev, from Chechnya, might also be driven by national pride and fan expectations.
  • Kadimagomaev aims to solidify his rise in the PFL with a dominant performance, while Driscoll seeks to make a strong debut impression in the PFL to establish himself as a serious contender.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -195, away: +165 Husein Kadimagomaev wins ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread home_minus_1.5: -110, away_plus_1.5: -110 Husein Kadimagomaev -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under over_2.5_rounds: -120, under_2.5_rounds: +100 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Husein Kadimagomaev -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Husein Kadimagomaev at -6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline win for Husein Kadimagomaev

Predicted Score: Kadimagomaev wins via unanimous decision or TKO by Round 3


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Nick Maximov vs. Renato Valente Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Nick Maximov vs Renato Valente – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-31
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Hard Rock Live, Wheatland, California, United States

Game Overview

The matchup features Nick Maximov, a grappling specialist with strong recent form, against Renato Valente, a veteran striker known for his durability and striking skills. Maximov enters as a heavy favorite based on current market odds and stylistic advantages.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Maximov is on a positive trajectory with four wins in his last six fights, showcasing dominant grappling and ground control. Valente is a seasoned fighter but less consistent recently, with fewer recent wins and less grappling proficiency.
  • There are no recorded previous encounters between Maximov and Valente, making this fight a fresh challenge for both.
  • No reported injuries or medical issues for either fighter as of the latest updates, indicating both are likely at full fitness.
  • The fight takes place at A1 Combat 29 in Maximov's home country, potentially favoring him through crowd support and familiarity with the venue.
  • Maximov seeks to extend his victory streak and ascend in the middleweight rankings, providing strong motivation. Valente aims to upset a favorite and revive his career momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Nick Maximov -800, Renato Valente +425 Nick Maximov ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Maximov -1.5 rounds at around -150 Maximov -1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Under 2.5 rounds at -110, Over 2.5 rounds at -110 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Nick Maximov -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Nick Maximov at -7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nick Maximov to win via submission or decision due to grappling dominance and favorable recent form.

Predicted Score: Nick Maximov wins by submission or dominant decision before the third round


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Matt Turnbull vs. Tom Pagliarulo Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Matt Turnbull vs Tom Pagliarulo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-01
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

Matt Turnbull faces Tom Pagliarulo in a high-stakes MMA matchup during the 2025 PFL World Tournament 8 finals. Pagliarulo is the heavy favorite with strong knockout power, while Turnbull counters with superior ground fighting skills.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Pagliarulo has shown consistent performance leading up to the final with a strong finishing rate, while Turnbull relies on tactical grappling and control but enters as the underdog.
  • No direct prior matchups recorded between Turnbull and Pagliarulo.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter entering the bout.
  • Fight held at PFL event on August 1, 2025. No notable external distractions or conditions disadvantaging either fighter.
  • Both fighters highly motivated due to the importance of the PFL tournament final and prize implications. Pagliarulo looking to assert dominance; Turnbull aiming to leverage tactical advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Matt Turnbull +400, Tom Pagliarulo -550 Tom Pagliarulo ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Pagliarulo -1.5 rounds Pagliarulo -1.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds at -110, Under 2.5 rounds at -110 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Tom Pagliarulo -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Tom Pagliarulo at -11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tom Pagliarulo to win by knockout

Predicted Score: Tom Pagliarulo wins by KO in Round 2


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Nathan Kelly vs. Frederik Dupras Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Nathan Kelly vs Frederik Dupras – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-01
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Jim Whelan Boardwalk Hall, Atlantic City, NJ

Game Overview

Nathan Kelly and Frederik Dupras face off in a featherweight bout as part of the 2025 PFL World Tournament Finals. Both fighters have strong records with Kelly at 11-4 and Dupras at 8-2, competing for a place in PFL standing legitimacy.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Nathan Kelly holds a more experienced record with 15 fights compared to Dupras' 10, showing a solid winning percentage and experience in the PFL circuit. Recent form for both shows activity and competitive fights, but Kelly's experience edges Dupras.
  • No previous documented head-to-head matches between Nathan Kelly and Frederik Dupras, rendering this a fresh competitive encounter.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of this bout, indicating both will enter the fight in optimal physical condition.
  • The fight takes place at a neutral but high-profile venue in Atlantic City during a major PFL event, which does not financially or geographically favor either fighter.
  • Both fighters are motivated by tournament progression and significant prize money; however, Kelly’s slight edge comes from having competed longer in PFL with more experience in high-stakes matches, potentially increasing his composure under pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Nathan Kelly: -150, Frederik Dupras: +125 Nathan Kelly ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Nathan Kelly -1.5 rounds -140, Frederik Dupras +1.5 rounds +120 Nathan Kelly -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -110, Under 2.5 rounds -110 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 63%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Nathan Kelly -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Nathan Kelly at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nathan Kelly to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Nathan Kelly wins by decision or late finish within 3 rounds


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Erick Viscondi vs. Chris Mecate Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Erick Viscondi vs Chris Mecate – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Lemoore, California

Game Overview

This is a highly anticipated matchup between two formidable fighters in the 145 lbs division. Viscondi brings a 15-3 record with recent success, while Mecate is on a 6-fight win streak. The fight is expected to be closely contested, with both fighters having strong skills.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Viscondi has a recent winning streak of 4 out of his last 5 fights, while Mecate has won his last six fights. Both fighters are in good form.
  • There is no prior head-to-head matchup data available for these fighters.
  • No recent injuries have been reported for either fighter.
  • The fight venue is in Lemoore, California, which might provide a neutral setting for both fighters.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, seeking a win to advance their careers.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Chris Mecate to win via decision.

Predicted Score: Decision win for Chris Mecate.


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Jose Augusto vs. Marek Samociuk Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jose Augusto vs Marek Samociuk – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-27
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Saitama Super Arena, Saitama, Japan

Game Overview

Jose Augusto is favored to win against Marek Samociuk in their upcoming MMA bout at Super RIZIN 4, scheduled for July 26 or 27, 2025, as part of the Rizin Heavyweight Grand Prix.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Jose Augusto has been performing well in recent fights, making him a strong contender in this matchup. Marek Samociuk also poses a formidable challenge but might be less favored due to Augusto's current form.
  • There is no previous head-to-head data available between these fighters, which complicates predictions based on past encounters.
  • No significant injury reports have been mentioned for either fighter, but this information can be crucial and should be monitored closely.
  • The event is part of the heavyweight grand prix, which adds pressure and motivation for both fighters to advance.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated to win, given the stakes of the grand prix tournament.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jose Augusto: -240, Marek Samociuk: 165 Jose Augusto ★★★★☆ 74%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jose Augusto -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Jose Augusto at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jose Augusto will win the fight.

Predicted Score: Decision or Submission in favor of Jose Augusto


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Isaac Thomson vs. Jeremy Henry Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Isaac Thomson vs Jeremy Henry – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: LFA 213, Lemoore, California

Game Overview

Isaac Thomson faces Jeremy Henry in an MMA bout at LFA 213. Thomson is favored heavily by bookmakers, indicating a strong perceived advantage, particularly in striking and agility. Henry poses a threat with his takedown ability which could neutralize Thomson's stand-up game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Isaac Thomson has showcased consistent recent form with superior striking and agility, making him dominant on feet. Jeremy Henry has a solid grappling base and is known for effective takedowns, yet he enters as an underdog highlighting some recent performance gaps.
  • No previous head-to-head data available between Thomson and Henry, making this an evenly matched unknown in that respect.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter, suggesting both are at full health and prepared.
  • The fight takes place in Lemoore, California, potentially favoring Thomson with more local support and less travel stress; no weather or other environmental conditions reported to affect performance.
  • Thomson, as the favorite, likely motivated to justify the odds and maintain positioning, while Henry has strong motivation to upset given the odds against him, potentially increasing his grappling aggression.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Isaac Thomson: -700, Jeremy Henry: 500 Isaac Thomson ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Isaac Thomson -1.5 rounds: -190, Jeremy Henry +1.5 rounds: 150 Isaac Thomson -1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: 145, Under 2.5 rounds: -175 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Isaac Thomson -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Isaac Thomson at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Isaac Thomson to win by knockout or decision

Predicted Score: Isaac Thomson wins by finish or clear decision within 2 rounds


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Noah Bey vs. Cedric Manhoef Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Noah Bey vs Cedric Manhoef – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Lemoore, California

Game Overview

Noah Bey faces Cedric Manhoef at LFA 213 in a heavyweight mixed martial arts matchup that heavily favors Bey, who is a dominant favorite with far superior recent form and odds.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Noah Bey is coming into the fight as a heavy favorite (-700 to -1400 depending on source) with multiple recent wins showcasing dominant striking and grappling. Cedric Manhoef is the underdog with a less consistent record and fewer recent wins.
  • No documented head-to-head fights between Noah Bey and Cedric Manhoef prior to this bout, meaning no direct prior data.
  • No reported injuries or medical issues for either fighter prior to the bout, indicating both likely to perform at full capacity.
  • Fight takes place in Lemoore, California, neutral venue for both fighters. No indications of external disruptions or travel issues.
  • Noah Bey shows strong motivation to maintain his rising status as a top prospect. Cedric Manhoef seeks an upset to regain momentum but faces a challenging task against a dominant favorite.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Noah_Bey: -700, Cedric_Manhoef: 500 Noah Bey ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Noah_Bey_-1.5_rounds: -250, Cedric_Manhoef_+1.5_rounds: 200 Noah Bey -1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under Over_2.5_rounds: -150, Under_2.5_rounds: 120 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Noah Bey -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 32%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 32% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Noah Bey wins by moneyline with confidence and a likely method inside distance given the disparity in odds and recent performance.

Predicted Score: Noah Bey wins by TKO in round 2


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