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Aloys Youmbi vs. Ellis Zorro Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Aloys Youmbi vs Ellis Zorro – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Bournemouth International Centre, Bournemouth, United Kingdom

Game Overview

Aloys Youmbi and Ellis Zorro meet in a cruiserweight boxing bout serving as chief-support for the main event on July 26, 2025, at the Bournemouth International Centre. Youmbi is heavily favored due to superior recent form, youth, and power.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Aloys Youmbi is in dominant recent form with a reputation for stoppages and 100% user predictions favoring a KO win. Ellis Zorro, while experienced since 2017, has shown less consistent results against top-tier opponents.
  • No record of prior head-to-head matchups between Aloys Youmbi and Ellis Zorro is found, indicating this is their first professional meeting.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout, suggesting both are in typical physical condition.
  • The bout is part of a high-profile card broadcast live on DAZN, providing ample motivation and exposure especially for Youmbi, the younger prospect.
  • Aloys Youmbi’s youth (22) and rising profile as 'The Animal from Penge' suggests very high motivation to secure a decisive win and elevate his career. Ellis Zorro, while experienced, is the underdog and may be motivated to cause an upset but faces considerable odds.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Aloys Youmbi: -2500, Ellis Zorro: 900 Aloys Youmbi β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜… 90%
Spread Aloys Youmbi -5.5: -110, Ellis Zorro +5.5: +110 Aloys Youmbi -5.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Over/under Over 5.5 rounds: +110, Under 5.5 rounds: -140 Under 5.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 80%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Aloys Youmbi -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 5.5 20%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 5.5 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline win for Aloys Youmbi by KO, -5.5 rounds spread for Youmbi, and Under 5.5 rounds in total.

Predicted Score: Aloys Youmbi wins by KO in round 4


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Carl Fail vs. Amir Abubaker Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Carl Fail vs Amir Abubaker – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Bournemouth International Centre, Bournemouth, United Kingdom

Game Overview

Carl Fail faces off against Amir Abubaker in a highly anticipated 10-round super welterweight bout. Fail is the strong favorite due to his superior boxing skill and amateur background, while Abubaker brings heavy hands and relentless pressure with notable knockout power.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Carl Fail is coming off a layoff but has shown strong preparation and amateur pedigree, while Amir Abubaker has built momentum with seven straight wins, six by knockout, demonstrating heavy-handed aggression.
  • This is their first meeting with no direct prior matches to compare.
  • No current injury reports for either fighter; Fail has recovered fully from his previous layoff.
  • Fight night environment favors Fail who is fighting in the UK with home crowd support; Abubaker has a large following but is the away fighter.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated: Fail aims to re-establish himself at the top level and pursue big titles, while Abubaker looks to build on recent momentum and upset the favorite.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Carl Fail: -260, Amir Abubaker: 200 Carl Fail β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Carl Fail -1.5 rounds: -130, Amir Abubaker +1.5 rounds: 110 Carl Fail -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 8.5 rounds: -300, Under 8.5 rounds: 225 Under 8.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Carl Fail -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8.5 102%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 102% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 45.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Carl Fail to win by decision or late stoppage

Predicted Score: Carl Fail wins by 10-round unanimous decision


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Frankie Wood vs. Cesar Ignacio Paredes Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Frankie Wood vs Cesar Ignacio Paredes – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

The boxing match between Frankie Wood and Cesar Ignacio Paredes is highly anticipated, with Frankie Wood being the overwhelming favorite. The odds suggest a significant skill gap between the two fighters.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Frankie Wood's recent form and performance suggest a strong contender, while Cesar Ignacio Paredes has not shown significant success in recent bouts. No specific head-to-head matches are reported.
  • No significant head-to-head history between Frankie Wood and Cesar Ignacio Paredes is available to influence this prediction.
  • No reported injuries that could impact the match have been noted.
  • External factors such as venue and crowd support are not documented, but given the odds, internal factors like skill and form are more relevant.
  • Frankie Wood is likely highly motivated due to his favored status and potential for a win, while Cesar Ignacio Paredes might be motivated by the underdog role.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Frankie Wood: -15000, Cesar Ignacio Paredes: 2000 Frankie Wood β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜… 94%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Frankie Wood -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Frankie Wood at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A decisive victory for Frankie Wood is expected, based on the odds and assumed skill difference.

Predicted Score: Due to the nature of boxing, a 'score' is not applicable. However, a decisive victory by Frankie Wood is anticipated.


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Mason Payne vs. Octavian Gratii Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Mason Payne vs Octavian Gratii – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Undisclosed (Junior Middleweights 6 Rounds)

Game Overview

Mason Payne faces Octavian Gratii in a scheduled 6-round junior middleweight bout. Payne enters as a heavy favorite with exceptional odds, reflecting a strong recent performance record and dominance at this level, while Gratii is the underdog with limited high-level exposure.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mason Payne has demonstrated consistent dominance in recent fights, showing superior skill, endurance, and ring IQ. Octavian Gratii has shown potential but lacks the recent results and experience against top competition.
  • No recorded head-to-head bouts between Mason Payne and Octavian Gratii, making direct matchup data unavailable.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the bout, suggesting both are at full strength.
  • Fight is taking place as scheduled without any external disruptions. No travel or altitude issues noted.
  • Mason Payne is highly motivated to maintain his winning streak and establish dominance in the junior middleweight division, while Octavian Gratii looks to prove himself against a top-tier opponent, potentially pushing him to take risks.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mason Payne: -20000, Octavian Gratii: 2200 Mason Payne β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜… 92%
Spread Mason Payne -3.5 rounds: -150, Octavian Gratii +3.5 rounds: 130 Mason Payne -3.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Over/under Over 4.5 rounds: 110, Under 4.5 rounds: -130 Under 4.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mason Payne -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Mason Payne at -7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mason Payne to win by dominant decision or stoppage

Predicted Score: Mason Payne wins by TKO in round 4


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Oshae Jones vs. Elia Carranza Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Oshae Jones vs Elia Carranza – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-25
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: The Tabernacle, Atlanta, Georgia, USA

Game Overview

Oshae Jones, undefeated at 8-0 with 3 KOs and current IBF and IBO junior middleweight world champion, defends her titles against Elia Carranza, who holds an 11-1 record with 3 KOs. This is a highly anticipated bout with Jones as clear favorite, fighting on home ground in Atlanta.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Jones is undefeated with strong recent form, including a title win over Fenke Hermans, while Carranza is experienced but with one loss and fewer recent high-profile wins.
  • No previous head-to-head bouts found between Jones and Carranza, making this their first competitive meeting.
  • No injuries reported for either fighter ahead of the match, both are expected to be at peak condition.
  • Fight takes place in Atlanta, Georgia, giving Jones home advantage and likely audience support. The bout is streamed live on DAZN, increasing exposure and motivation for Jones to defend titles decisively.
  • Jones motivated to defend IBF and IBO titles for the first time, leveraging home advantage. Carranza enters as challenger aiming to upset the undefeated champion, creating a motivated underdog dynamic.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Oshae_Jones: -750, Elia_Carranza: 475 Oshae Jones β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 82%
Spread Oshae_Jones_-2.5: -350, Elia_Carranza_+2.5: 280 Oshae Jones -2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Over/under over_8.5: -700, under_8.5: 450 Under 8.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Oshae Jones -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8.5 296%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 296% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 65.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Oshae Jones to win on moneyline, cover the spread, and the fight to go under 8.5 rounds.

Predicted Score: Oshae Jones wins by decision or stoppage around round 7


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Manuel Flores vs. Jorge Chavez Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Manuel Flores vs Jorge Chavez – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-25
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Fantasy Springs Casino, Indio

Game Overview

Manuel Flores, a more experienced southpaw with a record of 20-1, faces undefeated orthodox Jorge Chavez (14-0) in a 10-round Super Bantamweight fight. Flores holds a knockout power advantage and slight height advantage, while Chavez has a one-inch reach edge.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Flores has 20 wins (16 KOs), demonstrating 80% KO power; Chavez has 14 wins (8 KOs) with 57% KO rate. Flores' experience and longer career (debut in 2017 vs 2021) favor him.
  • No previous encounters between Flores and Chavez.
  • No reported injuries on either fighter leading up to the match.
  • Fight held at a home-advantage venue for Flores in California; potential crowd support could boost motivation.
  • Flores looks to maintain dominance and avenge his single loss; Chavez is motivated to preserve undefeated record and claim a high-profile win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Manuel Flores -215, Jorge Chavez +164 Manuel Flores β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 74%
Spread Manuel Flores -1.5 rounds or equivalent Manuel Flores to cover the spread β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 8.5 rounds -110 / Under 8.5 rounds -110 Under 8.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manuel Flores 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Manuel Flores at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Manuel Flores to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Manuel Flores wins by late-round TKO or unanimous decision before round 9


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Jesse Rodriguez vs. Phumelele Cafu Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Jesse Rodriguez vs Phumelele Cafu – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: Saturday, July 20, 2025
  • Time: 3:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Ford Center at The Star, Frisco

Game Overview

Jesse "Bam" Rodriguez will face Phumelela Cafu in a junior bantamweight unification bout. Rodriguez is highly favored due to his impressive undefeated record and recent title defenses. Cafu, however, has shown his ability by winning the WBO title against Kosei Tanaka.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Rodriguez is ranked No. 7 on ESPN's pound-for-pound list, with notable wins over Sunny Edwards and Juan Francisco Estrada. Cafu recently upset Kosei Tanaka to win the WBO title.
  • There is no prior H2H matchup between the two fighters.
  • No significant injuries have been reported for either fighter.
  • Rodriguez is fighting closer to home, but both fighters are well-prepared for the bout.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with Rodriguez seeking to unify titles and Cafu aiming to prove himself against a top-ranked opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -4000 for Rodriguez, +1100 for Cafu Rodriguez β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜… 92%
Over/under Over 7.5 -125, Under 7.5 -105 Over 7.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jesse Rodriguez -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 7.5 8%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 7.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rodriguez to win by decision or late stoppage.

Predicted Score: Rodriguez by decision


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Diego Pacheco vs. Trevor McCrumby Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Diego Pacheco vs Trevor McCrumby – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-20
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: TBD

Game Overview

Diego Pacheco, an undefeated rising star with a strong aggressive style and reach advantage, is heavily favored against Trevor McCrumby, an experienced but recently knocked-out and unranked fighter. Pacheco's youth, momentum, and ranking superiority make him a formidable favorite, while McCrumby relies on experience and defense to offset Pacheco’s power.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Pacheco is undefeated (23-0) with 18 KOs showing strong recent form and momentum, whereas McCrumby (28-1) was recently knocked out by a top-tier opponent and has dropped out of the top 15 rankings.
  • There is no direct previous head-to-head matchup data between Pacheco and McCrumby, but Pacheco’s career trajectory and wins over strong opposition give him a clear edge.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter; both appear ready and in condition for the bout.
  • Pacheco avoided a riskier fight against a top contender to maintain his path towards a lucrative unification fight, indicating strategic career management and high motivation.
  • Pacheco is highly motivated aiming to challenge for unified titles and maintain an undefeated record; McCrumby is motivated to prove resilience but his recent setback and age (32) put him at a disadvantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Diego Pacheco: -2000, Trevor McCrumby: 850 Diego Pacheco β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 88%
Spread Diego Pacheco -4.5: -150, Trevor McCrumby +4.5: 130 Diego Pacheco -4.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 84%
Over/under Over 6.5 rounds: -115, Under 6.5 rounds: -115 Under 6.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Diego Pacheco -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 6.5 22%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 6.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Diego Pacheco to win by knockout or technical knockout within 7 rounds

Predicted Score: Pacheco wins by KO/TKO in round 6


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Sebastian Fundora vs. Tim Tszyu Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Sebastian Fundora vs Tim Tszyu – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-19
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: MGM Grand Garden Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada

Game Overview

Sebastian Fundora faces off against Tim Tszyu in a highly anticipated rematch. Both fighters are looking to assert their dominance in the Super Welterweight division.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fundora has shown improvement in recent fights, leveraging his size and reach effectively. Tszyu, on the other hand, has demonstrated resilience and power.
  • Fundora won the first fight, but Tszyu has been favored in the rematch. The historical advantage lies with Fundora's unique size and reach.
  • Recent reports indicate no significant injuries affecting either fighter.
  • Both fighters are well-prepared with full training camps, which could impact their performance.
  • Tszyu is highly motivated to avenge his loss, while Fundora seeks to prove his superiority.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fundora +130, Tszyu -160 Sebastian Fundora β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 51%
Over/under Over 10.5 -150, Under 10.5 +120 Over 10.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Tim Tszyu 27%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 10.5 -8%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Tim Tszyu at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fundora's size and reach could give him an advantage in the rematch.

Predicted Score: Not applicable


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Mario Barrios vs. Manny Pacquiao Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Mario Barrios vs Manny Pacquiao – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-19
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: MGM Grand Garden Arena, Las Vegas, United States

Game Overview

Mario Barrios defends his WBC world welterweight title against boxing legend Manny Pacquiao, who comes out of retirement at age 46. Barrios, age 30, is in his prime and has a significant age and activity edge over Pacquiao, who has not fought professionally since 2019 and has only participated in exhibitions since. This is a classic 'youth vs. legend' matchup with major implications for the division.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Barrios is a reigning champion with recent title defenses, albeit without a decisive win since May 2024 and coming off a split draw. Pacquiao is a future Hall of Famer with an incredible resume, but he is returning from a four-year hiatus and has not faced elite competition since his last loss to UgΓ‘s in 2019.
  • No previous professional meeting between the two. This is a first-time matchup.
  • No major injuries reported for either fighter. Pacquiao, at 46, is in remarkable shape but faces the typical age-related risks in a high-level fight.
  • Event is at altitude in Las Vegas, which could test Pacquiao’s conditioning. Age difference (16 years) is a major narrative. The fight is on a major PPV card, increasing pressure and visibility.
  • Barrios is motivated to solidify his status as a true champion and avoid being overshadowed by a legend. Pacquiao is fighting for legacy, seeking to make history as the second-oldest major world champion ever.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Barrios -260, Pacquiao +220 Barrios moneyline Not available
Over/under Over 10.5 -130, Under 10.5 +110 Over 10.5 rounds Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mario Barrios 130%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 10.5 50%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Mario Barrios at 130% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 59.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Barrios is the clear favorite and will use his youth, size, and activity to outwork Pacquiao over 12 rounds. Pacquiao’s speed and experience may create moments, but sustained offense and durability are major concerns. Expect Barrios to win a clear, but competitive, decision.

Predicted Score: Barrios by unanimous decision, 116-112


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