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Central Arkansas Bears vs. Samford Bulldogs Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Central Arkansas Bears vs Samford Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-16
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Farris Center, Conway, Arkansas

Game Overview

The Samford Bulldogs, favored by about 8.5 points, have shown a better offensive profile compared to Central Arkansas Bears, who have struggled both offensively and defensively early in the season. Samford's historical edge in scoring and stronger recent performances position them as favorites, but Central Arkansas's home court provides some competitive leverage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Samford is 2-2 with strong offensive numbers (82.9 PPG last season, top 15 nationally) but weak defense (75.5 PPG allowed). Central Arkansas is 1-2, scoring 70.2 PPG last season and allowing 78.1 PPG, ranking near the bottom defensively.
  • No direct recent H2H data available; however, Samford’s superior offensive efficiency and better recent form suggest an edge.
  • No significant injury reports impacting starters for either team noted in available data.
  • Samford is playing on the road but is highly favored by bookmakers and analysts. Central Arkansas may have a motivational boost playing at home with public backing on the spread.
  • Samford (2-2) aiming to solidify a winning record early, more motivated; Central Arkansas (1-2) under pressure after a 0-2 ATS start, likely motivated to cover the spread at home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Central Arkansas: +285, Samford: -360 Samford Bulldogs ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Central Arkansas +8.5: -115, Samford -8.5: -105 Central Arkansas Bears +8.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 149.5: -112, Under 149.5: -108 Over 149.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Samford Bulldogs -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 149.5 29%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 149.5 at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Samford Bulldogs to win moneyline, Central Arkansas Bears to cover the spread, and game to go over the total points.

Predicted Score: Samford Bulldogs 79 – Central Arkansas Bears 74


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Maine Black Bears vs. Quinnipiac Bobcats Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Maine Black Bears vs Quinnipiac Bobcats – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 16, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Memorial Gym, Orono, ME

Game Overview

Quinnipiac (1-2) travels to Maine (0-3) in an early-season NCAAB matchup. Both teams are struggling out of the gate, with Maine winless at home and Quinnipiac showing inconsistent offensive execution. This is a classic trap game where the better-positioned Quinnipiac squad should exploit Maine's home court disadvantage despite their recent spread-covering performances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Maine enters 0-3 on the season with losses to Stony Brook (60-71), George Washington (47-67), and Bryant (59-77). The Black Bears have been outscored significantly, particularly in recent games. Quinnipiac is 1-2 after losses to Yale (60-97) and C Connecticut (71-49), though they showed offensive firepower against St. John's (74-108 win). Maine's home court has not provided relief; they've lost consecutively. Quinnipiac's road record context is unclear but the Bobcats should be favored given Maine's offensive struggles.
  • No recent head-to-head history provided in available data. This matchup lacks direct comparison points.
  • No injury information available in provided sources.
  • Maine is playing at home but has failed to generate wins or cover spreads consistently. The public betting data shows 100% of bets on Maine with 0% money allocation, suggesting sharp money is fading Maine despite home court—a significant red flag for the Black Bears.
  • Quinnipiac has higher motivation as the road team with better talent perception (reflected in -148 moneyline odds). Maine desperately needs a win to avoid 0-4 start, but their offensive output (47-77 points in losses) suggests systemic issues that motivation alone won't resolve.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Maine +124 / Quinnipiac -148 Quinnipiac Bobcats ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Maine +2.5 -108 / Quinnipiac -2.5 -112 Quinnipiac -2.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 139.5 -105 / Under 139.5 -115 Under 139.5 ★★★☆☆ 66%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Quinnipiac Bobcats 9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 139.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Quinnipiac Bobcats at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Quinnipiac Bobcats to win straight-up and cover the 2.5-point spread. Maine's defensive vulnerabilities combined with Quinnipiac's superior road positioning and sharper betting support indicate value on the Bobcats. Under 139.5 is the secondary play based on both teams' recent scoring struggles and defensive emphasis.

Predicted Score: Quinnipiac 68, Maine 62


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Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. UMass Lowell River Hawks Prediction – Archive 2025-11-16 NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs UMass Lowell River Hawks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-16
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Lawrence Joel Veterans Memorial Coliseum, Winston-Salem

Game Overview

Wake Forest Demon Deacons host UMass Lowell River Hawks in a significant mismatch. Wake Forest is coming in with a solid 2-1 record, undefeated at home (2-0), while UMass Lowell struggles at 1-3 overall and 0-2 away. Betting markets heavily favor Wake Forest with extremely short moneyline odds and a large -28.5 spread.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Wake Forest’s defense and home court dominance is evident, allowing 224 points in 3 games vs UMass Lowell’s porous defense giving up 324 points in 4 games. Wake Forest's offense is efficient and balanced, contributing to a strong average scoring margin (+29). UMass Lowell shows poor form with a three-game losing streak.
  • Limited or no recent head-to-head data available, but Wake Forest’s ACC pedigree and higher quality opposition all season indicates a substantial class gap favoring Wake Forest.
  • No significant injuries reported for either side impacting the game outcome.
  • Venue advantage strongly favors Wake Forest playing at home. No travel or external disruptions noted. Public betting heavily backs Wake Forest moneyline and spread.
  • Wake Forest motivated to maintain home dominance early in the season and build momentum, while UMass Lowell faces morale challenge given current losing streak and heavy underdog status.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Wake Forest -30000 / UMass Lowell +4000 Wake Forest ★★★★★ 95%
Spread Wake Forest -28.5 -110 / UMass Lowell +28.5 -110 Wake Forest -28.5 ★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under Over 163.5 -115 / Under 163.5 -105 Under 163.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Wake Forest Demon Deacons -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 163.5 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 163.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Wake Forest Demon Deacons to win comfortably, cover the -28.5 spread, and the game to stay under the total points line of 163.5.

Predicted Score: Wake Forest 88 – UMass Lowell 57


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Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Hampton Pirates Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Holy Cross Crusaders vs Hampton Pirates – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 16, 2025
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Paul Bailey Pizzitola Sports Center, Providence

Game Overview

Holy Cross Crusaders (0-3) host the Hampton Pirates (2-2) in a Patriot Conference matchup. Holy Cross enters winless with a -24.3 point differential, while Hampton seeks to capitalize on their superior efficiency metrics and recent day-game success.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Holy Cross is 0-3 to start the season with significant struggles: ranked outside the top-300 nationally in both offensive and defensive efficiency, averaging 42.6% from the field while allowing 45.8%. Hampton enters 2-2 with superior offensive (45.6% FG%) and defensive metrics, having won 5 of their last 6 day games. Holy Cross has lost seven consecutive games overall and specifically struggles in day games against non-conference opponents, losing the first half in all seven recent day matchups.
  • No recent head-to-head data provided in available sources. This appears to be a first-time or infrequent matchup between these programs.
  • No injury information available in provided sources.
  • Holy Cross has a significant home-court disadvantage given their winless record and momentum crisis. Hampton's proven success in day games (5-1) is a critical advantage, with this contest occurring in the afternoon window. Holy Cross ranks tied for 11th in the Patriot Conference despite their 0-3 record.
  • Hampton has motivation to extend their day-game winning streak and build momentum in conference play. Holy Cross desperately seeks their first win, but faces a team that thrives in this exact game environment.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Hampton -220 | Holy Cross +180 Hampton Pirates ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Hampton -4.5 -112 | Holy Cross +4.5 -108 Hampton Pirates -4.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 149.5 -110 | Under 149.5 -110 Under 149.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Hampton Pirates 19%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 149.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Hampton Pirates at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 42.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Hampton Pirates will defeat Holy Cross Crusaders on the road. The combination of Holy Cross's systematic dysfunction across all metrics, their specific vulnerability in day games, Hampton's proven excellence in afternoon matchups, and superior team efficiency create a strong case for a comfortable Hampton victory.

Predicted Score: Hampton 77, Holy Cross 70


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Valparaiso Beacons vs. Bryant Bulldogs Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Valparaiso Beacons vs Bryant Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 16, 2025
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Athletics-Recreation Center, Valparaiso, IN

Game Overview

Bryant Bulldogs (1-2) travel to face Valparaiso Beacons (2-1) in a non-conference matchup. Valparaiso is undefeated at home and comes off a strong 20-point performance from Allen, while Bryant enters as an underdog struggling against better competition this season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Valparaiso is 2-1 with a perfect 2-0 home record and coming off their best performance. Bryant is 1-2 and has been outgunned against quality opponents. Bryant shoots 27% from three and 74% from the field overall, while Valparaiso shoots 34% from the field and 65% from free throw. In day games against non-AP-ranked opponents: Valparaiso has lost each of its last seven, while Bryant has won each of its last ten.
  • No recent head-to-head history provided in available data. This appears to be a non-conference matchup with limited historical context.
  • No injury information available in provided search results.
  • This is a day game (1 PM ET start) against a non-ranked opponent, which heavily favors Bryant based on recent trends. Valparaiso's last five games against non-ranked opponents have produced 135 or fewer total points, suggesting limited offensive firepower. Seven of Bryant's last eight day games produced 147+ points.
  • Valparaiso seeks to maintain home undefeated status. Bryant looks to prove itself is capable against inferior competition and break a streak of underdog failures (8-21-1 ATS in last 30 games as underdog, 0-6 in last six games as underdog).

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bryant +172 | Valparaiso -210 Bryant Bulldogs ★★★☆☆ 52%
Spread Bryant +4.5 -110 | Valparaiso -4.5 -110 Bryant +4.5 ★★★☆☆ 54%
Over/under Over 147.5 -110 | Under 147.5 -110 Over 147.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bryant Bulldogs 44%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 147.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Bryant Bulldogs at 44% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

LEAN BRYANT ML – Despite concerning underdog records, the day game context and Valparaiso's historically poor performance in day games against non-ranked opponents creates value. However, confidence is moderate due to Bryant's overall struggles this season.

Predicted Score: Bryant 75, Valparaiso 73


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Western Carolina Catamounts vs. Stetson Hatters Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Western Carolina Catamounts vs Stetson Hatters – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-16
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Ramsey Center, Cullowhee, NC

Game Overview

Western Carolina Catamounts host Stetson Hatters in an NCAA college basketball matchup with Western Carolina heavily favored as home favorites.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Western Carolina has been dominant at home with a recent strong 95-44 win; Stetson has struggled on the road, including a heavy loss to Miami Hurricanes 102-61.
  • Recent matchups favor Western Carolina decisively, with Stetson showing difficulty covering spreads against this opponent.
  • No significant injuries reported for either side affecting key players.
  • Home court advantage strongly favors Western Carolina, playing at the Ramsey Center with a hostile crowd expected.
  • Western Carolina, coming off a big win, is motivated to maintain momentum; Stetson needs an upset but lacks recent form and confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline WCU -630, Stetson 450 Western Carolina Catamounts ★★★★☆ 87%
Spread WCU -10.5 -120, Stetson +10.5 -102 Western Carolina Catamounts -10.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 154.5 -112, Under 154.5 -108 Under 154.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Western Carolina Catamounts 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 154.5 25%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 154.5 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Western Carolina Catamounts to cover the -10.5 spread, win moneyline, and the total points to go under 154.5

Predicted Score: Western Carolina 81, Stetson 69


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Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Ohio State Buckeyes vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 16, 2025
  • Time: 5:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Value City Arena, Columbus, OH

Game Overview

Ohio State (3-0) hosts Notre Dame (3-0) in a non-conference matchup featuring two undefeated teams. The Buckeyes are heavily favored as the home team, with the oddsmakers projecting a competitive but Ohio State-favored contest. Both teams enter with strong starts, but Ohio State's home arena dominance and recent head-to-head success give them a clear edge.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams are 3-0 to start the season. Ohio State has outscored opponents 287-223 (avg +21.3 per game), while Notre Dame has outscored opponents 269-195 (avg +24.7 per game). However, Ohio State's scoring advantage reflects stronger competition. Ohio State has won 42 of its last 45 non-conference home games at Value City Arena. Notre Dame has won 6 of its last 7 games overall but has lost 8 of its last 10 games against Big Ten opponents. Critically, Notre Dame has lost the first half in each of its last 3 day games against the Big Ten.
  • Ohio State owns a 9-4 all-time series advantage and has won the last 3 consecutive matchups, including a 90-85 road victory on December 8, 2020. The Buckeyes' dominance in this series is substantial, and home court historically favors Ohio State heavily.
  • No significant injuries reported in available data.
  • The game is played during a day slot (12:30 PM EST), which historically favors Ohio State. Seven of Ohio State's last 8 non-conference home games produced 162+ total points, suggesting elevated scoring potential. Conversely, 6 of Notre Dame's last 7 day games against non-AP-ranked opponents produced 148 or fewer total points.
  • Both teams are undefeated and seeking a quality non-conference win early in the season. Ohio State has strong home court advantage and motivation to protect their arena dominance. Notre Dame is seeking an upset statement win but faces significant historical headwinds.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Notre Dame +310 / Ohio State -400 Ohio State Buckeyes ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Notre Dame +8.5 (-112) / Ohio State -8.5 (-108) Ohio State -8.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 152.5 (-110) / Under 152.5 (-110) Over 152.5 ★★★☆☆ 66%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ohio State Buckeyes -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 152.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 152.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ohio State Buckeyes win 83-79. The Buckeyes' home court dominance (42-3 in non-conference home games), recent head-to-head success (3-0 in last meetings), and day-game track record support a comfortable but not dominant home victory. The game stays competitive due to Notre Dame's strong start and undefeated record, but Ohio State's structural advantages are too significant to overcome.

Predicted Score: Ohio State 83, Notre Dame 79


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Dartmouth Big Green vs. Appalachian St Mountaineers Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Dartmouth Big Green vs Appalachian St Mountaineers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 16, 2025
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Hanover, New Hampshire (Dartmouth Home)

Game Overview

Appalachian State (2-2, 0-2 away) travels to face Dartmouth (0-2, 0-1 home) in a non-conference college basketball matchup. App State enters as a slight favorite despite their 0-2 road record, while Dartmouth searches for their first win of the season at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Appalachian State shows a 2-2 overall record with strong home performance (2-0) but struggles significantly on the road (0-2). They've scored 287 points and allowed 257 across four games. Dartmouth remains winless at 0-2 overall with a minus-26 point differential, averaging just 65.5 PPG while conceding 78.5 PPG. App State's K. Jennings leads with 17.0 PPG on 42.6% FG, while Dartmouth's K. Thomas contributes 16.0 PPG on 38.1% FG.
  • No prior matchup history available between these programs in recent seasons.
  • Appalachian State's guard KJ Vasser underwent foot surgery on November 7 and will miss the entire 2025-26 season, representing a significant loss to their backcourt depth.
  • This is an out-of-conference matchup with neutral motivation considerations. App State's road woes (0-2) present concern despite their overall record advantage. Dartmouth plays at home where they have a slight edge, though they haven't won there yet.
  • Dartmouth is desperate for their first win of the season and will have home court advantage. Appalachian State aims to break their road skid and capitalize on their overall record superiority. App State's injury to Vasser may limit their depth in closing situations.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Appalachian St -122 / Dartmouth +102 Appalachian St Mountaineers ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Appalachian St -1.5 -104 / Dartmouth +1.5 -118 Appalachian St -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 61%
Over/under Over 141.5 -110 / Under 141.5 -110 Under 141.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Appalachian St Mountaineers 20%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 141.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Appalachian St Mountaineers at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Appalachian State wins this matchup but the margin is tighter than the spread suggests. While App State has the superior overall record and roster talent, their 0-2 road record combined with Dartmouth's home court provides significant value. The total trends toward the under given both teams' defensive capabilities and limited offensive explosiveness.

Predicted Score: Appalachian State 72, Dartmouth 69


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UMBC Retrievers vs. Wagner Seahawks Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: UMBC Retrievers vs Wagner Seahawks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 16, 2025
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena, Baltimore, MD

Game Overview

UMBC Retrievers (2-1) host the struggling Wagner Seahawks (0-3) in a non-conference college basketball matchup. UMBC enters as strong favorites off a 2-1 start, while Wagner seeks their first win of the season after dropping three consecutive games. The Retrievers have established themselves as a well-rounded team, while Wagner continues to search for offensive consistency.

Key Factors to Consider

  • UMBC averages 80.0 PPG on 48.6% FG while holding opponents to 60.6 PPG on 42.2% FG, ranking 38th nationally in scoring and 4th in defense. Wagner averages just 62.5 PPG on 40.6% FG while allowing 78.8 PPG on 46.4% FG—a significant defensive liability. UMBC shoots 39.7% from three and 70.2% from free throw, while Wagner shoots 43.7% from deep but only 59.5% from the line. Wagner has lost six consecutive games against non-AP-ranked opponents, while UMBC has won at home, establishing home-court advantage.[1][2]
  • No prior head-to-head history available between these programs.[2]
  • No significant injuries reported for either team in available data.[1][2]
  • The home team has won each of Wagner's last four games they've played in, suggesting Wagner struggles on the road. However, UMBC has lost six of its last seven day games against non-AP-ranked opponents, presenting a potential vulnerability. Wagner has won four of its last five day games, suggesting some contextual strength despite the overall 0-3 record.[2]
  • UMBC is looking to maintain early-season momentum after a 2-1 start at home. Wagner desperately needs a win to avoid an 0-4 start and break their three-game losing streak, but the road environment and UMBC's defensive prowess make this an uphill battle.[1][2]

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline UMBC -300 / Wagner +240 UMBC Retrievers ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread UMBC -6.5 -110 / Wagner +6.5 -110 UMBC -6.5 ★★★★☆ 71%
Over/under Over 145.5 -115 / Under 145.5 -105 Under 145.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline UMBC Retrievers -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 145.5 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 145.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

UMBC will win decisively at home. The Retrievers' superior offensive efficiency, elite home-court advantage, and dominant defense present a clear matchup advantage against a struggling Wagner team. While Wagner shows some day-game competence, UMBC's structural advantages (48.6% FG vs 40.6%, 80.0 PPG vs 62.5 PPG) are too significant to overcome, especially with the home-court edge.

Predicted Score: UMBC 78, Wagner 68


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Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Wright St Raiders Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Kent State Golden Flashes vs Wright St Raiders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 16, 2025
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Colonial Hall, White Sulphur Springs

Game Overview

Kent State Golden Flashes (3-1) host Wright State Raiders (2-2) in a non-conference matchup at the Greenbrier Tip-Off tournament. Kent State enters as 3.5-4.5 point favorites with a moneyline of -205/-192 across books. This is a matchup between two teams with contrasting recent form, with Kent State riding positive momentum while Wright State seeks to recover from a significant loss.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Kent State has won their last game decisively (102-95 vs Cleveland State at home) and holds a 3-1 record. However, they rank poorly in offensive efficiency (189th nationally with 73.5 PPG) despite solid defensive metrics (61st at 68.3 PPG allowed). Wright State enters 2-2 with a concerning recent performance—they were defeated 92-59 at home by Radford Highlanders, showing defensive vulnerabilities (76.4 PPG allowed ranks 301st). Wright State does shoot better overall (49.4% FG ranks 6th nationally) compared to Kent State (43.6% ranks 268th), suggesting potential for offensive output.
  • No historical head-to-head data is available in the search results for this matchup.
  • No injury information is provided in the available search results.
  • Both teams are participating in the Greenbrier Tip-Off tournament. Wright State covered the +3.5 spread in 6 of their last 10 home games, suggesting they perform better as underdogs. The game is played at a neutral venue (Colonial Hall, White Sulphur Springs) rather than at Kent State's actual home, which may reduce Kent State's traditional home-court advantage.
  • Wright State is motivated to bounce back from a humiliating 33-point home loss to Radford. Kent State seeks to maintain momentum and improve their tournament seeding. The neutral court creates more balanced motivation between both squads.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Kent State -205 / Wright State +168 Kent State Golden Flashes ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Kent State -4.5 (-105) / Wright State +4.5 (-115) Wright State Raiders +4.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 153.5 (-110) / Under 153.5 (-110) Under 154.5 ★★★☆☆ 64%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Kent State Golden Flashes -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 153.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 153.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Kent State Golden Flashes will win but fail to cover the spread. The game total will finish under 154.5.

Predicted Score: Kent State 74, Wright State 71


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