Match Analysis: Iowa State Cyclones vs Stonehill Skyhawks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-18
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: James H. Hilton Coliseum, Ames, Iowa
Game Overview
The Iowa State Cyclones, ranked #16 nationally and currently undefeated at 3-0, will host the Stonehill Skyhawks, who hold a 1-2 record and are struggling on the road with no wins away, in this NCAA Men's basketball matchup. Iowa State has demonstrated dominant performances with recent decisive victories including a 102-62 rout and a 96-80 win, while Stonehill has lost its last four away games with relatively close margins, facing tougher competition. The Cyclones are heavy favorites and expected to dominate offensively and defensively in this home game.
Key Factors to Consider
- Iowa State is on a winning streak (3-0) with strong offensive outputs exceeding 90 points per game and solid defense, holding opponents to under 80 points. Stonehill has a poor away record and is coming off multiple losses, including a 74-63 defeat to Loyola Maryland and a 73-71 loss at Fairfield, signaling struggles to keep pace against stronger programs.
- No recent head-to-head games between the teams found; Stonehill is a newer entrant with less experience and success against high-caliber Big 12 teams like Iowa State.
- No reported injuries affecting key starters or rotation players for either team according to available data.
- The game is played at Iowa State's home court, Hilton Coliseum, which provides a significant home-court advantage due to crowd support and travel fatigue impacting Stonehill. The Cyclones are also ranked 16th nationally, adding to their confidence and intensity.
- Iowa State aims to maintain its undefeated record and showcase dominance early in the season to boost ranking and momentum. Stonehill looks to gain experience and try to pull off an upset on the road, although motivation might be tempered by recent poor travel results.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Iowa State Cyclones: -1500, Stonehill Skyhawks: +1100, Draw: N/A | Iowa State Cyclones win | β β β β β 95% |
| Spread | Iowa State Cyclones: -36.5 -108, Stonehill Skyhawks: +36.5 -112 | Iowa State Cyclones cover the spread | β β β β β 90% |
| Over/under | Over 147.5: -106, Under 147.5: -114 | Over 147.5 total points | β β β β β 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 147.5 36% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 147.5 at 36% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 38.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Iowa State Cyclones will win decisively by a large margin, comfortably covering the spread of -36.5 points. The game pace suggests a high-scoring affair, likely to go over the 147.5 total points line given Iowa State's potent offense and Stonehill's defensive weaknesses.
Predicted Score: Iowa State Cyclones ninety-eight – Stonehill Skyhawks sixty