Match Analysis: San Antonio Spurs vs New Orleans Pelicans – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-09
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX
Game Overview
The San Antonio Spurs (6-2) host the New Orleans Pelicans (2-6) in a matchup where the Spurs are heavy favorites at home, aiming to extend their four-game home winning streak.
Key Factors to Consider
- Spurs show strong form with a 6-2 record and consistent home success; Pelicans struggle with a 2-6 record and recent back-to-back wins but still underperform overall.
- Recent matchups favor the Spurs, including a previous overtime win; Spurs have the momentum and home advantage.
- Spurs missing Dylan Harper (calf), De'Aaron Fox (day-to-day hamstring), and Luke Kornet (day-to-day ankle). Pelicans have significant absences including Zion Williamson (hamstring), Dejounte Murray (leg), Jordan Poole (knee), and Yves Missi (illness).
- Game played in Spurs’ home arena, Frost Bank Center, with Spurs supported by local crowd and environment.
- Spurs motivated to continue home winning streak and maintain strong season start; Pelicans aim to build on recent wins but handicapped by injuries.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Spurs: -575, Pelicans: +425 | San Antonio Spurs | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | Spurs -11.5 -108, Pelicans +11.5 -112 | San Antonio Spurs -11.5 | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Over/under | Over 225.5 -105, Under 225.5 -115 | Under 225.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | San Antonio Spurs -8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 225.5 22% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 225.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Antonio Spurs to win outright with a strong cover of the -11.5 spread and the game's total to go under 225.5 points.
Predicted Score: San Antonio Spurs 123 – New Orleans Pelicans 105