Match Analysis: Washington Nationals vs New York Mets – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-19
- Time: 10:46 PM UTC
- Location: Nationals Park, Washington, D.C.
Game Overview
The New York Mets (66-58) visit the Washington Nationals (50-74) in an MLB matchup at Nationals Park. Mets starter David Peterson (7-5, 3.30 ERA) faces Nationals starter Jake Irvin (8-7, 5.14 ERA). Mets have been stronger overall this season and lead the head-to-head matchups in 2025.
Key Factors to Consider
- Mets have a superior overall record (66-58 vs. 50-74) with better pitching stats (3.78 ERA, 1.32 WHIP vs. Nationals higher ERA). Nationals have been competitive at home but struggle with pitching consistency.
- Mets have dominated the Nationals on the season, with pitcher Peterson holding a 6-1 record and 2.64 ERA against Washington, bolstering Mets' confidence.
- No major injuries reported impacting starting lineups. Both starters are healthy, but Jake Irvin has been inconsistent, allowing high earned runs in recent outings.
- Game played at Nationals Park with moderate home advantage to Nationals. Mets coming off a recent series win, Nationals played competitively over the weekend but starting a struggling pitcher.
- Mets are motivated to strengthen their playoff position in a tough NL East race. Nationals are out of contention, reducing their competitive drive compared to Mets.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | New York Mets: -205, Washington Nationals: +172 | New York Mets | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Spread | New York Mets -1.5: -126, Washington Nationals +1.5: +105 | New York Mets -1.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Over/under | Over 9: -104, Under 9: -118 | Over 9 runs | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | New York Mets -3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 9 8% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 9 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: New York Mets to win. Spread: Mets -1.5. Over/Under: Over 9 runs.
Predicted Score: Mets 6 – Nationals 4