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Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 6:11 PM UTC
  • Location: Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri

Game Overview

The Detroit Tigers are favored on the road against the Kansas City Royals, with a moneyline of -172 for Detroit and +144 for Kansas City. The Tigers are also favored by 1.5 runs on the spread, and the over/under is set at 7.5 runs.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Detroit has won 61.1% of games as a favorite this season and 22 of 34 games when favored at -172 or better. The Royals have a losing record as underdogs at these odds (3-5) and a 51.5% ATS covering rate.
  • Recent meetings have shown the Tigers as the stronger side, with a key pitching advantage expected given the presence of Tarik Skubal for Detroit and a strong Royals starter on the mound.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team affecting starting pitching or key offensive players at this time.
  • Game is at Kauffman Stadium, which tends to be neutral for run scoring. Weather conditions not indicated as a factor.
  • Detroit, currently performing better overall and favored, has motivation to maintain playoff positioning. Royals have less advantage as underdogs without strong recent form.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Detroit Tigers: -172, Kansas City Royals: +144 Detroit Tigers ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Detroit Tigers -1.5: 105, Kansas City Royals +1.5: -126 Detroit Tigers -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 7.5: 100, Under 7.5: -122 Under 7.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Detroit Tigers -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 7.5 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Detroit Tigers to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Detroit Tigers 5 – Kansas City Royals 2


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New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 5:41 PM UTC
  • Location: Citi Field, New York

Game Overview

The New York Mets host the Miami Marlins in the final game of their weekend series. The Mets, with a strong home record and superior season performance, face a struggling Marlins lineup, who took the previous game but remain underdogs.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Mets hold a 73-63 record, ranking 5th in offensive production with a 3.85 ERA pitching staff, while the Marlins are 64-72 with a 5.87 ERA and lower offensive output (ranked 19th). Mets have won 59.3% of games as favorites and have won 6 of their last 9 games.
  • Mets and Marlins have split earlier series games; the Marlins won the last game but the Mets maintain an overall advantage at home and have been consistent winners as favorites this season.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team affecting starting pitchers or key offensive players; Mets have stable lineup with leaders Alonso and Soto contributing heavily.
  • Game played at Mets’ Citi Field giving them home advantage; pitching matchup favors Mets with Kodai Senga (2.73 ERA) against Marlins’ Sandy Alcantara (5.87 ERA), indicating Mets likely to control the game tempo.
  • Mets motivated to consolidate their position near the top of NL East standings and maintain momentum; Marlins looking to salvage series but less likely to overcome form and home field disadvantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -174, away: +146 New York Mets ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread home: 116, away: -140 New York Mets -1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over: -114, under: -106 Over 8 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New York Mets -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 8 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

New York Mets to win moneyline, cover the -1.5 runline, and expect the game to go over 8 total runs.

Predicted Score: Mets 6 – Marlins 3


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Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Mariners Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Cleveland Guardians vs Seattle Mariners – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 5:41 PM UTC
  • Location: Progressive Field, Cleveland, Ohio

Game Overview

The Cleveland Guardians host the Seattle Mariners in the final game of a three-game series. Mariners hold a slight edge in season performance and offensive metrics, while both teams field average-to-below-average starting pitching, with Mariners pitching struggling more this season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Seattle Mariners have a 72-64 record with a potent offense ranked 12th in MLB and 3rd in home runs, while Cleveland Guardians are 68-66 with a notably weak offense ranked 30th. Mariners pitching staff has a 3.98 ERA with bullpen ranked 10th in MLB. Guarding starter Tanner Bibee (4.73 ERA) has been inconsistent but decent at home; Mariners starter Bryce Miller has a high 5.98 ERA and more control issues.
  • In this series, Guardians won the first two games at home and aim to sweep, but Mariners are slight favorites given stronger lineup and season form. Mariners have a mixed record when Miller starts (3-4 as moneyline favorite); Guardians are 15-10 ATS in Bibee starts but only 4-7 as underdogs.
  • No major injury concerns explicitly reported for either team impacting key players or starters.
  • Game played at Progressive Field favors Guardians slightly for home advantage. Weather and other conditions unspecified but no dominant impact reported.
  • Guardians motivated to sweep the series and solidify playoff standing, Mariners motivated to avoid series loss and maintain position in AL West playoff race.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -104, away: -112 Cleveland Guardians ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread home: +1.5 -176, away: -1.5 +146 Cleveland Guardians +1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over: -105, under: -115 Under 8.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cleveland Guardians 6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Take the Guardians on the Moneyline and Under 8.5 total runs. Guardians have momentum from previous wins and superior pitching matchup potential despite weaker offense; the game projects low scoring given pitching struggles and defensive dynamics.

Predicted Score: Guardians 4 – Mariners 3


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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Toronto Blue Jays vs Milwaukee Brewers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 5:38 PM UTC
  • Location: Rogers Centre

Game Overview

The Toronto Blue Jays host the Milwaukee Brewers in a pivotal late-season MLB matchup. Both teams have strong playoff positioning and feature ace starters: Max Scherzer for Toronto and Brandon Woodruff for Milwaukee.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Milwaukee holds an 85-52 record with solid pitching (3.59 ERA) and hitting (.259 AVG). Toronto is 78-58 with Scherzer starting, their team is 5-2 when he pitches. Brewers have recently won 4 of 6 games showing good form.
  • This series has been competitive with Brewers winning the last two games at Toronto. No direct prior matchups this season between starting pitchers Woodruff and Scherzer.
  • No significant injuries reported affecting starting lineups or pitching staffs for either team.
  • Game is at Rogers Centre, a park friendly to hitters. Weather expected neutral. Both teams motivated for postseason seeding.
  • Both teams are pushing for playoff positioning late in the season; Brewers currently lead division but Blue Jays are eager to close gap.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -116 for Toronto, -102 for Milwaukee Toronto Blue Jays ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Milwaukee -1.5 +160, Toronto +1.5 -194 Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 8.5 -105, Under 8.5 -115 Under 8.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Toronto Blue Jays 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Toronto Blue Jays moneyline

Predicted Score: Toronto Blue Jays 4 – Milwaukee Brewers 3


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Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Boston Red Sox vs Pittsburgh Pirates – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 5:36 PM UTC
  • Location: Fenway Park, Boston, Massachusetts

Game Overview

The Boston Red Sox host the Pittsburgh Pirates in the third game of a series with Boston looking to avoid a surprising home sweep. Boston enters as the favorite with a strong home record and key pitching advantage, while Pittsburgh has been showing some recent fight despite a poor overall season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Boston holds a 75-62 record overall and a strong 41-27 at home. They have been favored at -180 moneyline with a 68.75% win rate in those spots. Pittsburgh is 61-76 overall and 22-46 on the road, with poor offensive rankings (30th in runs and home runs).
  • Boston leads recent matchups with a 57.3% predicted win probability. Pirates swept first two games of the series but Red Sox have historically stronger performances at Fenway.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team impacting starting pitchers or key hitters for this game.
  • Fenway Park favors Boston's style of play. No adverse weather expected. The pitching matchup favors Boston's Lucas Giolito who has allowed 3 or fewer earned runs in 4 of his last 5 starts versus Pirates’ Mitch Keller who has been inconsistent and allowed 3-6 earned runs in his last 3 outings.
  • Boston is motivated to avoid a sweep and maintain playoff positioning in the AL East. Pittsburgh, a weaker team, aims to complete an upset series sweep and build momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -180, away: +152 Boston Red Sox ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread home: +112, away: -134 Boston Red Sox -1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over: -122, under: 100 Under 8.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Boston Red Sox -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Boston Red Sox to win straight up and cover the -1.5 run spread. The game should stay under the 8.5 runs total given the pitching strengths and recent form.

Predicted Score: Boston Red Sox 5 – Pittsburgh Pirates 2


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Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Washington Nationals vs Tampa Bay Rays – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 5:36 PM UTC
  • Location: Nationals Park, Washington, D.C.

Game Overview

The Tampa Bay Rays visit the Washington Nationals in an MLB matchup where the Rays are slight favorites with live odds showing Tampa Bay at -142 moneyline and a -1.5 run spread. The Rays are vying to keep playoff hopes alive while the rebuilding Nationals are struggling with a losing streak.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Rays hold a 66-69 record and have won two straight, going 3-2 in their last five. Nationals stand at 53-82 with a seven-game losing streak and poor recent form.
  • Recent H2H favors the Rays, who have held an edge in pitching matchups and overall team quality. Historical spread coverage is 7-5 ATS for Nationals' starter Brad Lord but Rays have superior recent results.
  • No significant injuries reported affecting starting pitchers or key lineups for either team.
  • Game played at Nationals Park with pleasant 78°F weather, no rain, and light wind, favoring normal playing conditions. Home crowd support exists but limited impact given Nationals current form.
  • Rays are motivated to keep playoff contention alive, sitting 5.5 games out of the wildcard spot. Nationals, likely out of contention, are in rebuilding mode with limited incentive.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Tampa Bay Rays: -142, Washington Nationals: +120 Tampa Bay Rays ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 +118, Washington Nationals +1.5 -142 Washington Nationals +1.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 8.5 -122, Under 8.5 +100 Over 8.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Tampa Bay Rays 6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 8.5 -5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Tampa Bay Rays at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tampa Bay Rays to win on the moneyline, Washington Nationals to cover the +1.5 run spread, and total runs over 8.5.

Predicted Score: Rays 5 – Nationals 3


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Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Minnesota Twins vs San Diego Padres – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 5:06 PM UTC
  • Location: Target Field, Minneapolis, Minnesota

Game Overview

The Minnesota Twins (61-74) host the San Diego Padres (76-60) in a late season MLB matchup. Twins' Joe Ryan (12-7, 3.22 ERA) faces Padres' David Morgan (1-2, 2.95 ERA). Twins are favored on the moneyline and spread, with an over/under set at 8.5 runs.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Twins have struggled with pitching depth recently but maintain slightly better form than Padres, who have lost four straight games and exhibit weaker offensive consistency. Twins' offense is featuring hot hitter Byron Buxton this season.
  • Twins have success against NL West teams during day games, winning eight of their last nine following a loss. Padres have underperformed in recent matchups.
  • No key injury reports that significantly affect starting lineups; Twins rely on a solid rotation starter Joe Ryan, whereas Padres starter Morgan has limited impact historically with a small sample.
  • Home advantage for Twins at Target Field, familiar conditions and crowd support, and expected weather conditions neutral.
  • Twins, out of playoff contention, play to improve record and support young talent; Padres motivated to stay ahead in division race but under pressure following recent losses.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Minnesota Twins -136, San Diego Padres +116 Minnesota Twins ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Minnesota Twins -1.5 +155, San Diego Padres +1.5 -188 San Diego Padres +1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 8.5 -100, Under 8.5 -122 Under 8.5 runs ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Minnesota Twins 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8.5 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Minnesota Twins moneyline win

Predicted Score: Twins 4 – Padres 2


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Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 4:11 PM UTC
  • Location: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH

Game Overview

The Cincinnati Reds host the St. Louis Cardinals in an NL Central showdown. Both teams hover around .500 with similar records. Reds favored on moneyline and spread, while total runs set at 8.5. Key factors include starting pitching matchup with Reds' dominant pitcher versus struggling Cardinal starter Andre Pallante.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Reds are 68-68 and have performed solidly at home with strong pitching led by Spencer Strider (dominant in August). Cardinals are 68-69, riding a 3-game win streak but their pitching staff overall has a higher ERA and WHIP. Cardinals offense features Willson Contreras hot in away games; however, Andre Pallante has been struggling with a 5.44 ERA and poor recent outings.
  • Cardinals have had recent success against the Reds with hitters like Nolan Arenado recording hits in 14 of last 16 games vs Cincinnati. However, Reds have home advantage and better pitching matchup in this contest.
  • Cardinals missing Alec Burleson (IL), which weakens their lineup. Reds have no major injuries reported affecting lineup or pitching.
  • Great American Ball Park is a hitter-friendly park but Reds' pitching has limited long balls (tied 23rd in MLB for HR allowed). Weather conditions expected to be neutral without rain or wind extremes.
  • Both teams fighting for playoff relevance with Cardinals just slightly behind in division. Reds motivated to avoid series sweep at home and continue strong pitching performances to close season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cincinnati Reds -142, St. Louis Cardinals +120 Cincinnati Reds ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Cincinnati Reds -1.5 +146, St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 -176 St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 8.5 -115, Under 8.5 -105 Under 8.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cincinnati Reds 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cincinnati Reds moneyline win

Predicted Score: Reds 5 – Cardinals 3


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San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: San Francisco Giants vs Chicago Cubs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-28
  • Time: 7:46 PM UTC
  • Location: Oracle Park, San Francisco

Game Overview

The matchup features the San Francisco Giants hosting the Chicago Cubs. The Cubs hold a superior season record (76-57) compared to the Giants (65-68) and have shown stronger pitching and offensive stats overall. Giants ace Logan Webb, pitching at home, has a strong track record, but recent form shows some decline. Cubs starter Shota Imanaga boasts solid stats and potential to exploit Giants' lefty vulnerabilities.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Chicago Cubs have better overall performance metrics this season, boasting a 3.83 team ERA and robust hitting stats. Giants have been inconsistent but showed strong offensive output recently. Cubs are motivated after a heavy loss in the last game, seeking to avoid a sweep in the series.
  • Historically, Giants' Logan Webb performs well at Oracle Park with a 2.77 ERA and 1.12 WHIP, but Cubs lead the current season series. Previous encounters show mixed outcomes, with recent Giants offensive success.
  • No significant injuries reported impacting starting pitchers or key offensive players for either team at this time.
  • The game is played at Oracle Park, favoring Giants hitting stats slightly due to park dimensions. Weather conditions are stable with no adverse impact expected.
  • Although postseason aspirations are diminished, Cubs show strong motivation to avoid a series sweep and build momentum for upcoming games. Giants aim to complete the sweep but recent inconsistency poses doubts.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cubs -102, Giants -116 Chicago Cubs ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Cubs -1.5 +168, Giants +1.5 -205 San Francisco Giants +1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 7 -115, Under 7 -105 Over 7 runs ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Chicago Cubs 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 7 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 7 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Chicago Cubs moneyline win, Giants +1.5 spread, over 7 runs total

Predicted Score: Giants 4 – Cubs 6


0 14

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: St. Louis Cardinals vs Pittsburgh Pirates – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-28
  • Time: 6:16 PM UTC
  • Location: Busch Stadium, St. Louis, Missouri

Game Overview

The Pittsburgh Pirates (59-75) travel to face the St. Louis Cardinals (65-69) at Busch Stadium. The Pirates hold a 2-1 series lead and will start Braxton Ashcraft, who has a strong 2.70 ERA and 4-2 record, while the Cardinals counter with struggling Miles Mikolas (6-10, 5.17 ERA). The game features a total set at 8.5 runs with close moneyline odds favoring the Cardinals slightly as home favorites.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Pirates have shown recent improvement, winning two of the first three games in the series and playing better pitching recently. The Cardinals have underperformed overall, with Mikolas' recent form weak (14 ER in last 17.1 innings) and a middling 50% record when favorites around -122 odds.
  • This season’s series is close, with the Pirates leading 2-1 so far. Historically, the Cardinals have a slight edge but recent performance favors Pittsburgh's momentum.
  • No critical injuries reported for either team affecting starting rotation or lineup significantly.
  • Game played at Busch Stadium favors the Cardinals slightly due to home advantage, but Pirates’ Ashcraft has strong road numbers (2.28 ERA in 23.2 road innings) reducing impact of venue.
  • Pirates motivated to complete series win and build momentum heading into challenging upcoming schedule; Cardinals seek to avoid losing series at home and improve below .500 record.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Pittsburgh Pirates +104, St. Louis Cardinals -122 Pittsburgh Pirates ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 -196, St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 +162 Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 8.5 -105, Under 8.5 -115 Under 8.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Pittsburgh Pirates 10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Pirates moneyline

Predicted Score: Pirates 4 – Cardinals 3


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