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UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. Cal Poly Mustangs Prediction NCAA in Baseball

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Match Analysis: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs Cal Poly Mustangs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-17
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Caesar Uyesaka Stadium, Santa Barbara, CA

Game Overview

The UC Santa Barbara Gauchos will host the Cal Poly Mustangs at Caesar Uyesaka Stadium in a pivotal Big West Conference baseball matchup. Both teams have shown competitive form through the 2025 season, with UCSB demonstrating strong home performances and Cal Poly maintaining solid road results. This game is part of the Blue-Green Rivalry, adding intensity and motivation for both sides.

Key Factors to Consider

  • UC Santa Barbara Gauchos have a resilient home record with recent wins against strong opponents and some losses in close matches. Their offense has shown capability to score in double digits on several occasions, while their pitching has occasional lapses. Cal Poly Mustangs have a strong overall record with high-scoring games and consistent pitching performances. They have recently won multiple games convincingly on the road, reflecting strong team depth.
  • The Blue-Green Rivalry between UCSB and Cal Poly is competitive with recent meetings often decided by narrow margins. Both teams split their previous matchups this season, underlining a well-matched contest. Historically, home advantage at Caesar Uyesaka Stadium has slightly favored UCSB, but Cal Poly’s recent strong form narrows this edge.
  • No significant injury reports or player absences have been disclosed for either side ahead of this matchup, suggesting both teams will field close to full strength.
  • The game time is in the evening, which may favor UCSB’s familiarity with their home field conditions. Weather forecasts indicate mild conditions conducive to baseball, and there is no indication of rain or interruptions. The rivalry and associated home crowd support provide an emotional boost for UCSB.
  • Both teams are motivated by conference standings implications and rivalry bragging rights. UCSB’s home crowd and streaks in recent games add to their determination, while Cal Poly’s strong road success and desire to assert dominance in the rivalry fuel their intensity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cal Poly Mustangs: -110, UC Santa Barbara Gauchos: -120 UC Santa Barbara Gauchos to win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread UC Santa Barbara Gauchos -1.5 runs UC Santa Barbara Gauchos to cover the spread ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over/Under 12.5 runs Over 12.5 runs ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline UC Santa Barbara Gauchos -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The matchup is expected to be tightly contested given the comparable strengths. However, slight edge goes to UC Santa Barbara Gauchos due to home advantage and recent offensive explosiveness combined with competitive pitching. Expect a close high-scoring game with UCSB narrowly prevailing.

Predicted Score: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos 7 – 5 Cal Poly Mustangs


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South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Ole Miss Rebels Prediction NCAA in Baseball

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Match Analysis: South Carolina Gamecocks vs Ole Miss Rebels – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-17
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Founders Park, Columbia, SC

Game Overview

The NCAA baseball match features the South Carolina Gamecocks hosting the Ole Miss Rebels at Founders Park. Both teams have shown strong performances this season, with Ole Miss holding a slight edge in recent form and South Carolina playing solidly at home. The game promises to be competitive considering Ole Miss's recent strong winning streak and South Carolina's home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ole Miss Rebels have displayed strong offensive and pitching performances with multiple wins, including decisive victories like 29-1 and consistent winning streaks. South Carolina Gamecocks have a solid home record but have faced some tough losses recently. Ole Miss's offensive power contrasts with South Carolina's resilience and home field advantage.
  • Recent matchups have generally favored Ole Miss, with key series wins indicating Ole Miss's ability to perform in critical situations. South Carolina tends to leverage home games effectively, which can balance the matchup outcome.
  • No critical injury reports or key absences are indicated for either team leading into this match, suggesting both squads will be near full strength.
  • The game is played at South Carolina's home field, Founders Park, providing them with familiar conditions and local crowd support. Weather conditions and travel fatigue factors seem minimal.
  • With both teams competing in mid-April and looking to strengthen their NCAA standings, motivation is high on both sides. Ole Miss seeks to continue its winning momentum while South Carolina aims to defend home turf to improve their season record.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ole Miss Rebels: -166, South Carolina Gamecocks: 130 Ole Miss Rebels ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Ole Miss Rebels -1.5 (approximate, typical baseball run line) Ole Miss Rebels -1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over/Under 8.5 runs (typical line) Over 8.5 runs ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ole Miss Rebels -12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Ole Miss Rebels at -12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ole Miss Rebels are favored to win given their recent strong form, offensive depth, and confidence from past matchups. However, South Carolina's home advantage and competitive spirit suggest a close game with some potential for South Carolina to challenge effectively.

Predicted Score: Ole Miss Rebels 6 – South Carolina Gamecocks 4


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LSU Tigers vs. Alabama Crimson Tide Prediction NCAA in Baseball

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Match Analysis: LSU Tigers vs Alabama Crimson Tide – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-17
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Alex Box Stadium, Skip Bertman Field, Baton Rouge, LA

Game Overview

The LSU Tigers, ranked #9, host the Alabama Crimson Tide on April 17, 2025, in a highly anticipated NCAA baseball matchup. Both teams have strong performances in their respective seasons, setting the stage for a competitive series.

Key Factors to Consider

  • LSU has demonstrated strong overall performance, while Alabama has shown resilience in recent games. LSU's home advantage at Alex Box Stadium is a significant factor.
  • Historical matchups between LSU and Alabama often see LSU performing well at home.
  • No significant injury reports available for this matchup.
  • Weather conditions could impact the game, but no severe weather is forecasted. The home crowd advantage typically benefits LSU.
  • Both teams are motivated to win, with SEC standings implications.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alabama Crimson Tide: +175, LSU Tigers: -230 LSU Tigers ★★★★☆ 80%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline LSU Tigers 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: LSU Tigers at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

LSU Tigers are likely to win due to their home field advantage and strong recent performance.

Predicted Score: LSU Tigers: 7, Alabama Crimson Tide: 5


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South Alabama Jaguars vs. Texas State Bobcats Prediction NCAA in Baseball

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Match Analysis: South Alabama Jaguars vs Texas State Bobcats – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-17
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Stanky Field, Mobile, Alabama

Game Overview

The South Alabama Jaguars host the Texas State Bobcats in the first game of a three-match Sun Belt Conference series at Stanky Field, Mobile. South Alabama holds a 15-20 overall record and 5-10 in conference play, while Texas State is slightly better at 18-18 overall and 7-8 in conference. The Jaguars have a strong home record (11-6), whereas Texas State struggles on the road historically (3-9 in Mobile). This matchup will provide key insights into each team's progress as they approach midseason with playoff implications on the line.

Key Factors to Consider

  • South Alabama has struggled overall this season but performs well at home (11-6). Texas State is more balanced with a 6-3 record in April and recent momentum from a win over Houston Christian. Texas State's offensive leaders include Ryne Farber (.304 AVG) and Chase Mora (20 RBIs, 4 HRs). Pitching matchups are critical, with South Alabama’s Mitchell Heer (5-0) showing strong form, while Texas State counters with lefties Alex Valentin and Jesus Tovar on the mound in upcoming games.
  • South Alabama leads the all-time series 20-10. Texas State has won second-year games but overall has trouble winning series in Mobile, holding a 3-9 record there. The last two years saw Texas State win the series opener but lose the following two games each time. South Alabama tends to have the upper hand at home against Texas State.
  • No specific injury reports are available for either team, suggesting both squads will likely field their standard lineups.
  • The game is played at South Alabama’s home venue, Stanky Field, where the Jaguars have a significantly stronger record. Weather and other external conditions are not reported to impact the game.
  • Texas State is looking for consecutive Sun Belt Conference road series wins for the first time since 2022, adding motivation to break their recent road struggles. South Alabama wants to leverage home advantage to improve their below .500 overall and conference records.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline South Alabama Jaguars: -180, Texas State Bobcats: 140 South Alabama Jaguars ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread South Alabama Jaguars: -1.5 runs (-150), Texas State Bobcats: +1.5 runs (+130) South Alabama Jaguars to cover -1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 8.5 runs: -110, Under 8.5 runs: -110 Under 8.5 runs ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline South Alabama Jaguars -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: South Alabama Jaguars at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

South Alabama Jaguars to win the game due to home field advantage, stronger home record, and historical dominance in the series, despite Texas State’s recent improved form.

Predicted Score: South Alabama Jaguars 5 – Texas State Bobcats 3


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Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Texas A&M Aggies Prediction NCAA in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Arkansas Razorbacks vs Texas A&M Aggies – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-17
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Home – Arkansas Razorbacks

Game Overview

This NCAA baseball matchup features the Arkansas Razorbacks hosting the Texas A&M Aggies. Arkansas enters favored on the moneyline with odds reflecting strong home performance and recent offensive efficiency, while Texas A&M looks to leverage their competitive pace control and defensive strengths. Both teams have shown solid form, but Arkansas' home advantage and recent offensive bounce-back make them slight favorites.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Arkansas has demonstrated resilience recovering from a poor offensive game recently, posting about 334 yards with some turnovers noted but improving overall. Texas A&M shows strong time of possession (third in the SEC) and leads the conference in tackles for loss allowed and ranks high nationally in sacks allowed, indicating a stout defense and ability to pressure opponents.
  • Historically, Arkansas leads the all-time series 42-35-3. The teams have a competitive rivalry with Texas A&M holding a slight edge in neutral site games in recent years. Their last football season meeting saw Texas A&M winning 34-22, but Arkansas won their last meeting in 2021 decisively. Both teams are roughly equal in recent head-to-head basketball games, showing balanced competition, which can translate to a competitive baseball matchup as well.
  • No explicit baseball injury data was available, but Texas A&M football recently faced uncertainty at quarterback with Connor Weigman a game-time decision, indicating some potential for lineup instability. Arkansas has not reported significant injuries affecting their team performance recently.
  • The game is played in Arkansas, granting home field advantage to the Razorbacks. Weather and other environmental conditions were not specified but should be monitored for late-breaking changes.
  • Arkansas aims to improve their SEC record and continue a positive momentum under their coaching staff, with a strong incentive to dominate at home. Texas A&M is motivated to control game pace and defensive pressure to counter Arkansas’ offense and maintain their competitiveness in the conference.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arkansas Razorbacks: -238, Texas A&M Aggies: 180 Arkansas Razorbacks ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Arkansas Razorbacks: -1.5, Texas A&M Aggies: +1.5 Arkansas Razorbacks to cover ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under over: o7.5, under: u7.5 Over 7.5 runs ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Arkansas Razorbacks -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Arkansas Razorbacks at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Arkansas Razorbacks win narrowly due to home advantage and recent offensive improvements, but expect a closely fought game influenced heavily by Texas A&M's strong defense and time of possession control.

Predicted Score: Arkansas Razorbacks 5 – Texas A&M Aggies 3


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Northwestern St Demons vs. Lamar Cardinals Prediction NCAA in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Northwestern St Demons vs Lamar Cardinals – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-17
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Northwestern State's home stadium

Game Overview

This game pits the Northwestern State Demons against the Lamar Cardinals in an NCAA baseball match. The Demons are facing a strong opponent in the Cardinals, who have historically performed well in these matchups.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Lamar Cardinals have shown stronger performance in past matchups, but the Demons' recent form and home-field advantage might impact the game.
  • The Cardinals generally have an edge over the Demons in previous matches. For example, in 2024, Lamar was 35-10 compared to Northwestern State's 19-27 record before their series.
  • No specific injury reports are available for this match.
  • Home-field advantage could be crucial for the Demons, while the Cardinals might face travel fatigue.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to secure a win, but the pressure could be on the Cardinals to maintain their superior record.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 150, away: -195 Lamar Cardinals Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Lamar Cardinals -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Given the historical performance and current odds, the Lamar Cardinals are favored to win.

Predicted Score: Lamar Cardinals 6, Northwestern State Demons 4


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Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Georgia St Panthers Prediction NCAA in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs Georgia St Panthers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-17
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Pete Taylor Park, Hattiesburg, MS

Game Overview

The 2025 NCAA Baseball match between the Southern Miss Golden Eagles and the Georgia State Panthers is a pivotal Sun Belt Conference series game. Southern Miss, nationally ranked No. 23 with a 25-12 record overall and 10-5 in conference, holds a strong home record of 15-4 at Pete Taylor Park. Georgia State enters with a 22-16 overall record and 8-7 in conference play, looking to improve standing by taking on the conference leader on the road.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Southern Miss has been a strong home team, boasting a .304 batting average in April and powerful hitters like Nick Monistere and Carson Paetow, each with 12 home runs. They are supported by ace pitcher JB Middleton (6-1, 2.19 ERA). Georgia State leads the Sun Belt in home runs (60), slugging percentage (.507), and runs scored (294), powered by senior Colin Hynek, freshman Wills Maginnis, and senior Kaleb Freeman, who leads the NCAA in doubles and walks, exhibiting excellent plate discipline. Their starting rotation includes Cole Roberts (6-2, 3.49 ERA) and JB Middleton (6-1, 2.19 ERA) pitching for Southern Miss, and Georgia State counters with Roberts (6-2, 3.49 ERA) and others to contain Southern Miss's offense.
  • This is the first matchup in Hattiesburg since 2000, with Georgia State holding a slight 3-2 edge in the all-time series. Last season, Georgia State won two of three games and outscored Southern Miss 46-30 overall. The series is tightly contested with both teams close in conference standings, making this a critical matchup for postseason aspirations.
  • No significant injury reports were found for either team ahead of this game, suggesting both squads will field their strongest lineups.
  • The game is played at Southern Miss's home stadium, giving them a home-field advantage amid a supportive crowd. Weather or other external conditions were not specified, implying normal playing conditions.
  • Southern Miss aims to maintain its strong position in the Sun Belt and capitalize on home advantage, while Georgia State is motivated to climb the standings with a road series win and demonstrate resilience after a tough recent series against Coastal Carolina.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Georgia St Panthers: +190, Southern Miss Golden Eagles: -250 Southern Miss Golden Eagles to win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Southern Miss Golden Eagles: -1.5, Georgia St Panthers: +1.5 Southern Miss Golden Eagles -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 7.5: -110, Under 7.5: -110 Over 7.5 runs ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Southern Miss Golden Eagles -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Southern Miss Golden Eagles at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Southern Miss Golden Eagles are favored to win due to their strong home form, effective pitching led by JB Middleton, and recent offensive hot streak from key players. However, Georgia State's powerful offense and ability to produce runs through disciplined hitting and home runs pose a significant threat. Overall, Southern Miss has the edge, but the match could be competitive and closely contested.

Predicted Score: Southern Miss Golden Eagles 7 – 5 Georgia St Panthers


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Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Georgia Bulldogs Prediction NCAA in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Vanderbilt Commodores vs Georgia Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: April 17, 2025
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Hawkins Field, Nashville, TN

Game Overview

The Vanderbilt Commodores host the Georgia Bulldogs in a crucial NCAA baseball series. Both teams have strong performances this season, with Georgia ranked #5 and Vanderbilt ranked #19. The series will be a key matchup in the SEC.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Georgia is 33-6 overall and 10-5 in the SEC, while Vanderbilt is 27-10 and 8-7 in the SEC. Both teams have strong pitching and batting lineups.
  • Georgia leads the all-time series 127-123. In recent years, the home team has swept the series each time.
  • There are no reported major injuries affecting this series.
  • Weather conditions and home field advantage could influence the outcome.
  • Both teams are highly motivated, looking to improve their SEC standings and NCAA RPI rankings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Georgia -154, Vanderbilt +120 Georgia ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Georgia Bulldogs -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Georgia Bulldogs at -9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on recent form and performance, Georgia is favored to win the series, but Vanderbilt could challenge them on their home turf.

Predicted Score: Georgia 6, Vanderbilt 5


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Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs. Liberty Flames Prediction NCAA in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs Liberty Flames – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-17
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: J.C. Love Field at Pat Patterson Park

Game Overview

This match marks a crucial Conference USA showdown between the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs and the Liberty Flames, with both teams looking to improve their standings in the league.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams have shown strong performances this season. Liberty has a balanced offense and defense, while Louisiana Tech has been inconsistent at home.
  • There's limited recent head-to-head data between these teams, but Liberty's impressive away wins suggest they might have an edge.
  • No significant injury reports are available for either team at this time.
  • Weather conditions may not significantly impact the game as it's scheduled for early evening, and the venue is well-equipped to host games in such conditions.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to secure a series win to boost their conference rankings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Liberty Flames: -110, Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: -120 Liberty Flames ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Louisiana Tech Bulldogs -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Liberty Flames are favored due to their recent performance but Louisiana Tech could push them hard at home.

Predicted Score: Liberty Flames 6, Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 5


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Troy Trojans vs. UL Monroe Warhawks Prediction NCAA in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Troy Trojans vs UL Monroe Warhawks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-17
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Riddle-Pace Field, Troy, Ala.

Game Overview

The Troy Trojans are set to face the UL Monroe Warhawks in an NCAA baseball match. Troy, being the home team, has a strong advantage according to the odds. Recent performances and past results will play a crucial role in determining the outcome of this match.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Troy Trojans have shown promising performance in recent games, with significant wins against various opponents. The Warhawks, on the other hand, have had mixed results throughout the season.
  • There is limited information on recent head-to-head baseball matches between Troy and UL Monroe, but in general, Troy has been more dominant in sports competitions against UL Monroe.
  • No specific injury reports are available for this match, but any late injuries could impact team dynamics.
  • Home field advantage typically favors Troy, especially considering their strong past performances at Riddle-Pace Field.
  • Both teams will be motivated to win, but Troy's stronger position in the league might give them an edge in terms of confidence and momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Troy Trojans: -520, UL Monroe Warhawks: +350 Troy Trojans ★★★★☆ 80%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Troy Trojans 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Troy Trojans at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Troy Trojans are likely to emerge victorious given their strong home performance and favorable odds.

Predicted Score: Troy Trojans 8, UL Monroe Warhawks 3


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