Match Analysis: Cal Poly Mustangs vs San José St Spartans – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-08
 - Time: 12:00 AM UTC
 - Location: Baggett Stadium, San Luis Obispo, CA
 
Game Overview
The Cal Poly Mustangs are facing the San José St Spartans in a highly anticipated college baseball matchup. Cal Poly has been on a strong run, showcasing a potent offense and resilience in late-game situations. San José St, while competitive, faces a tough challenge against a strong Mustangs lineup.
Key Factors to Consider
- Cal Poly has shown impressive team performance lately, pulling off significant comebacks. San José St has displayed resilience but faces a powerful opponent.
 - In their recent matchup, Cal Poly dominated with a strong offensive display, winning 18-4.
 - No significant injury reports have been noted for either team.
 - The home advantage favors Cal Poly at Baggett Stadium.
 - Both teams are motivated to win, but Cal Poly’s recent success may boost their morale.
 
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence | 
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Cal Poly: -375, San José St: 270 | Cal Poly Mustangs | ★★★★☆ 85% | 
| Spread | Cal Poly: -3.5 -110, San José St: 3.5 -120 | Cal Poly Mustangs | ★★★★☆ 70% | 
| Over_under | Over: 14.5 -115, Under: 14.5 -115 | Over | ★★★☆☆ 60% | 
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick | 
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Cal Poly Mustangs 5% | 
| Spread | N/A | 
| Over/Under | Over 14.5 8% | 
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 14.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Cal Poly Mustangs are favored to win due to their recent form and home advantage.
Predicted Score: Cal Poly Mustangs 11, San José St Spartans 6