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Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs. California Golden Bears Prediction NCAA in Baseball

Match Analysis: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs California Golden Bears – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-22
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Mac Nease Baseball Park at Russ Chandler Stadium, Atlanta, GA

Game Overview

The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets host the California Golden Bears in a key NCAA baseball matchup. Georgia Tech, ranked 15th/18th nationally, is coming off a strong season with a revamped roster led by promising pitchers and a top-ranked recruiting class. California Golden Bears have had a challenging season with a 22-30 overall record but are motivated to upset a top contender on the road. The game is expected to be competitive given the pitching matchups and recent encounters between these teams.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Georgia Tech holds a better season record and has shown dominance at home with an experienced pitching staff including RHP Tate McKee (4-0). California has struggled with consistency, reflected in their 22-30 record, but possesses some capable starters. Georgia Tech shows strong form and recruitment depth, likely giving them an edge.
  • Recent series in April 2025 saw Georgia Tech hosting California, where Georgia Tech demonstrated superior performance. The Yellow Jackets won multiple matchups during that series indicating psychological and tactical advantage in this encounter.
  • There is no current public information indicating significant injuries affecting starters or key players for either team ahead of this game.
  • The game will be played at Georgia Tech’s home stadium in Atlanta, giving them home-field advantage. Weather conditions are expected to be stable with no reported disruptions affecting play conditions.
  • Georgia Tech aims to secure a strong finish to their season and fortify their postseason prospects. California is motivated to improve their record and prove competitive against a top-ranked opponent, potentially leading to aggressive play.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets: -375, California Golden Bears: 270 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets: -2.5 -120, California Golden Bears: +2.5 -110 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets -2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Over/under Over: 13 -115, Under: 13 -115 Over 13 runs β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 13 12%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 13 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets are favored to win based on superior pitching, home advantage, and recent form. Expect a moderately high scoring game with Georgia Tech controlling the pace and leveraging bullpen depth.

Predicted Score: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 8 – 4 California Golden Bears


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UConn Huskies vs. St. John's Red Storm Prediction NCAA in Baseball

Match Analysis: UConn Huskies vs St. John's Red Storm – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-22
  • Time: 6:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Mason, Ohio (Prasco Park)

Game Overview

This NCAA baseball match features the UConn Huskies hosting the St. John's Red Storm in the BIG EAST Baseball Championship quarterfinals. Both teams have demonstrated strong performances throughout the 2025 season, with UConn currently on a winning streak and St. John's holding a solid overall and conference record.

Key Factors to Consider

  • UConn Huskies have shown dominant recent form, winning their last several games including a notable 13-8 victory over St. John's in April and multiple big scoring games. St. John's Red Storm maintain a respectable 27-21 overall record with a better home record (18-7) than away (9-14), currently on a 2-game winning streak.
  • In the April 2025 series in Queens, UConn won all three games against St. John's, including a close 13-8 game and more decisive 17-6 and 13-8 wins. This recent dominance indicates a psychological and tactical edge for UConn heading into this rematch.
  • No specific injury reports are available for either team prior to this match, suggesting both squads are likely at near full strength.
  • The game is played at a neutral location (Prasco Park, Mason, Ohio), potentially neutralizing typical home-field advantages. Weather and other environmental factors have not been specified but expected to be standard for late May baseball.
  • As a BIG EAST Championship playoff game, motivation is high for both teams. UConn seeks to continue their strong postseason run and avenge prior close losses, while St. John's aims to leverage their home-season success and recent momentum to upset UConn.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline UConn Huskies: -345, St. John's Red Storm: 250 UConn Huskies to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread UConn Huskies: -2.5 (-135), St. John's Red Storm: +2.5 (105) UConn Huskies to cover -2.5 runs β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Over/under Over 15.5: -110, Under 15.5: -120 Over 15.5 runs β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline UConn Huskies -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 15.5 15%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 15.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

UConn Huskies are favored to win due to their recent dominance in head-to-head matchups, stronger scoring performances, and the odds favoring them significantly in the moneyline and spread. The estimated probabilities and confidence indicate a high likelihood of UConn covering the spread and the game potentially going over the run total due to offensive strengths from both teams.

Predicted Score: UConn Huskies 9 – St. John's Red Storm 6


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USC Trojans vs. Penn State Nittany Lions Prediction NCAA in Baseball

Match Analysis: USC Trojans vs Penn State Nittany Lions – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-22
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Great Park, Irvine, California

Game Overview

The NCAA baseball match between the USC Trojans and Penn State Nittany Lions takes place in a neutral venue at Great Park in Irvine, California. Both teams have shown decent season performance with USC hosting this game. The Trojans have demonstrated strong home performances and recent offensive power, while Penn State maintains a solid overall record with a balanced conference showing and a slight winning streak entering this game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • USC Trojans have a strong home record and have displayed powerful offensive capabilities, evident from recent high-scoring wins. Penn State Nittany Lions hold a 32-22 overall record with a .593 winning percentage, balanced 15-15 in conference, and a current one-game winning streak. Penn State performs well on the road (15-9). USC's recent form includes notable wins at home, while Penn State has competitive pitching and balanced offense.
  • Recent encounters show competitive but leanings towards Penn State in tightly contested games, including a pitchers' duel win by Penn State over USC 3-1 earlier in the season. This neutral venue matchup could be tightly contested based on recent series performance.
  • No specific injuries reported or highlighted in available data that would significantly impact either team's lineup or pitching staff.
  • The game being played at a neutral site eliminates home-field advantage, but USC is familiar with the local California climate. Weather and field conditions are expected to be normal with no adverse impacts noted.
  • USC aims to leverage home-like conditions to assert dominance, while Penn State looks to continue their strong season momentum and improve their Big Ten standing. Both teams have motivation to finish the season strong and improve postseason prospects.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Penn State Nittany Lions: +145, USC Trojans: -188 USC Trojans β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Penn State Nittany Lions: 1.5 -120, USC Trojans: -1.5 -110 USC Trojans -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 12.5: -115, Under 12.5: -115 Over 12.5 runs β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline USC Trojans -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 12.5 12%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 12.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

USC Trojans are favored to win this game based on stronger home/offensive form, with Penn State providing strong resistance through pitching and balanced play. The game is expected to be moderately high scoring due to offensive capabilities on both sides and potential pitching matchups.

Predicted Score: USC Trojans 7 – Penn State Nittany Lions 5


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Austin Peay Governors vs. Jacksonville Dolphins Prediction NCAA in Baseball

Match Analysis: Austin Peay Governors vs Jacksonville Dolphins – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-22
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Joe Maynard Field at Raymond C. Hand Park, Clarksville, TN

Game Overview

This is a high-stakes NCAA baseball matchup between the Austin Peay Governors (home) and the Jacksonville Dolphins (away). Austin Peay, under third-year head coach Roland Fanning, is hosting after finishing a strong ASUN Conference schedule, playing in the Gold Division and having several home series successes this season. Jacksonville comes off a challenging stretch against top-ranked opponents but recently swept a series against Illinois State, showing some offensive momentum. Live odds reflect a clear favorite in Austin Peay, with a significant implied probability to win on home turf[2][4].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Austin Peay has shown consistency at home and within the conference. Jacksonville has been inconsistent against strong competition but recently found success at home and is looking to carry momentum.
  • Recent direct head-to-head data is limited, but both teams have been featured in ASUN showcases. Austin Peay's home advantage and recent form suggest an edge[2][4].
  • No major injuries or roster disruptions reported for either team as of the available data.
  • Game is played at Austin Peay’s home stadium, which provides a notable advantage. No significant weather disruptions are expected.
  • Both teams are motivated to finish the season strong, with Austin Peay looking to capitalize on home turf and Jacksonville aiming to overcome underdog odds and gain confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -270, away: 200 Austin Peay Governors High
Spread home: -2.5 (+100), away: +2.5 (-130) Austin Peay Governors cover -2.5 Moderate
Over/under over: 13.5 (-120), under: 13.5 (-110) Under 13.5 Slightly confident

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Austin Peay Governors 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 13.5 1%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 13.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Austin Peay Governors are favored to win at home, with live odds strongly supporting them. Jacksonville Dolphins, while dangerous, have struggled more against top competition this season.

Predicted Score: 8-3 (Austin Peay Governors)


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West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Cincinnati Bearcats Prediction NCAA in Baseball

Match Analysis: West Virginia Mountaineers vs Cincinnati Bearcats – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-22
  • Time: 5:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Globe Life Field, Arlington, Texas

Game Overview

The West Virginia Mountaineers (40-13, 19-9) face the Cincinnati Bearcats (32-23, 16-14) in the Big 12 Conference Championship quarterfinals. West Virginia leads the historical series 22-19 and won the last meeting 10-5 on April 19, 2025. The game is held at a neutral site, Globe Life Field, and streamed on ESPN+.

Key Factors to Consider

  • West Virginia has shown strong form this season with a 40-13 record, having a winning streak in home games and an historically successful 2024 season reaching the NCAA Super Regionals. Cincinnati holds a decent 32-23 record but lost both recent meetings at Morgantown to West Virginia by close margins.
  • West Virginia leads the overall series 22-19 and won the most recent game 10-5. The teams have been competitive but WVU has the edge in recent and overall results.
  • No specific injury reports are available for either team ahead of this game.
  • Playing at a neutral major league stadium can impact game dynamics and atmosphere. There are no major external conditions reported affecting this match.
  • Both teams are highly motivated as this is a Big 12 quarterfinal game with postseason implications. West Virginia’s recent historic success may provide a slight psychological edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cincinnati Bearcats: +120, West Virginia Mountaineers: -154 West Virginia Mountaineers β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Cincinnati Bearcats: 1.5 -135, West Virginia Mountaineers: -1.5 105 West Virginia Mountaineers to cover -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over: 11 -115, Under: 11 -115 Under 11 runs β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline West Virginia Mountaineers -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 11 12%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 11 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

West Virginia Mountaineers are predicted to win based on their stronger season record, recent head-to-head dominance, and consistent team performance.

Predicted Score: West Virginia Mountaineers 6 – Cincinnati Bearcats 4


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Georgia Southern Eagles vs. Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns Prediction NCAA in Baseball

Match Analysis: Georgia Southern Eagles vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-22
  • Time: 5:30 PM UTC
  • Location: J.I. Clements Stadium, Statesboro, GA (assumed based on schedule listings and home team)

Game Overview

This NCAA Baseball matchup features the Georgia Southern Eagles hosting the Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns. Both teams have had mixed results in recent games, with Georgia Southern struggling in their latest series and Louisiana coming off a series of close results. The game could be pivotal for postseason seeding or conference tournament momentum as both aim to finish strong ahead of selection time[2][4][3].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Georgia Southern has struggled recently, losing 6 of their last 8 games, including a sweep at Marshall. Louisiana has a slightly better recent form, but is still sub-.500 overall. Both teams have had inconsistent seasons, but Louisiana has notable wins against quality opponents, whereas Georgia Southern has managed some wins at home against mid-tier Sun Belt teams[3][4][5].
  • No recent direct head-to-head result for this specific matchup on the available schedules. However, both teams are Sun Belt rivals, and in past seasons, matchups are typically competitive. This game is scheduled as part of their regular-season meetings[3][4].
  • No specific injury updates available for either team based on current schedules or news releases.
  • Georgia Southern plays at home, which could provide a slight edge. Weather forecasts for Statesboro, GA on this date are not available, but typical late May weather may be hot and humid, potentially affecting pitcher stamina and offense. Both teams have traveled recently and may have fatigue issues[4].
  • Both teams are likely motivated for conference positioning and to build momentum ahead of the Sun Belt tournament. Georgia Southern will want to improve their recent poor form, while Louisiana seeks consistency after battling through a tough schedule[3][5].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Georgia Southern Eagles: -120, Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns: -110 Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Spread Georgia Southern Eagles: 1.5 -188, Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns: -1.5 145 Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns +1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over: 13.5 -110, Under: 13.5 -120 Over β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 13.5 24%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 13.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given current form and recent results, the game is expected to be closely contested. Louisiana holds a slight edge in recent quality wins, but Georgia Southern is at home and the moneyline odds are nearly even. Expect a high-scoring affair with both teams fighting hard.

Predicted Score: Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 8, Georgia Southern Eagles 7


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Tulane Green Wave vs. UTSA Roadrunners Prediction NCAA in Baseball

Match Analysis: Tulane Green Wave vs UTSA Roadrunners – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-22
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Greer Field at Turchin Stadium, New Orleans, LA

Game Overview

The NCAA baseball match between Tulane Green Wave (home) and UTSA Roadrunners (away) is set at Tulane's Greer Field at Turchin Stadium. Tulane has shown solid performance at home this season with multiple wins, while UTSA has been a strong contender on the road as well, making this clash a competitive fixture in the regular season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Tulane Green Wave has a decent home record with key wins early in the season, showing resilience and effective pitching. UTSA Roadrunners have a strong overall season, with consistent batting and solid defensive plays, often outperforming opponents on the road.
  • The recent meeting on April 17, 2025, between these two teams provides insight into their competitive dynamics. Historically, the matchups have been balanced but slightly favor UTSA in terms of win ratio, highlighting a competitive edge.
  • No significant injury reports impacting starting lineup players for either team have been noted close to the game date.
  • Weather conditions are typical for New Orleans in late May, generally warm with low chance of rain, favoring an uninterrupted game. Home field advantage applies to Tulane with local fan support.
  • Both teams are motivated to improve standings late in the season; UTSA aims at maintaining dominance and momentum, while Tulane seeks to leverage home advantage to claim a crucial victory.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Tulane Green Wave: 325, UTSA Roadrunners: -475 UTSA Roadrunners to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread Tulane Green Wave: -110, UTSA Roadrunners: -120 UTSA Roadrunners -3.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 80%
Over/under Over: -115, Under: -115 Under 14.5 runs β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline UTSA Roadrunners -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 14.5 12%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 14.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the strong road performance and current odds, UTSA Roadrunners are favored to win with a solid margin, although Tulane's home advantage and recent form suggest a close contest.

Predicted Score: UTSA Roadrunners 6 – 3 Tulane Green Wave


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Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. Utah Valley Wolverines Prediction NCAA in Baseball

Match Analysis: Abilene Christian Wildcats vs Utah Valley Wolverines – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-22
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Hohokam Stadium, Mesa, AZ

Game Overview

Abilene Christian Wildcats (No. 2 seed) face Utah Valley Wolverines (No. 3 seed) in a high-stakes postseason match at the Western Athletic Conference Baseball Tournament. The winner advances in double-elimination play, with both teams vying for a shot at the NCAA regional bracket. Recent form suggests a competitive matchup, but Abilene Christian is marginally favored by bookmakers[3].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Abilene Christian has shown strength in mid-season series but suffered several late-season losses, including close games against Indiana and Grand Canyon. Utah Valley enters with a solid but inconsistent record (25-15 before the tournament), showing resilience against strong opponents but also experiencing some lopsided losses earlier in the year[1][5].
  • During the regular season, Utah Valley hosted Abilene Christian for a conference series (Mar. 28-30), but detailed results for these games are not specified in available data. Both teams are familiar with each other’s play style[4].
  • No specific injury updates are reported for either team in available sources.
  • Neutral site at Hohokam Stadium in Mesa, Arizona. Tournament pressure and Arizona’s warm, dry climate may impact players on both sides, but conditions are generally favorable for baseball[2][3].
  • High motivation for both teams, as this is a conference tournament elimination game. The winner moves closer to an NCAA regional bid, while the loser faces early exit from postseason contention[3].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Abilene Christian Wildcats: -130, Utah Valley Wolverines: 100 Abilene Christian Wildcats β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Spread Abilene Christian Wildcats: -1.5 (114), Utah Valley Wolverines: 1.5 (-145) Abilene Christian Wildcats -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 52%
Over/under over: 15.5 (-115), under: 15.5 (-115) Under 15.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 53%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Abilene Christian Wildcats -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 15.5 -5%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Abilene Christian Wildcats at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Abilene Christian Wildcats are favored by bookmakers and have shown slightly better momentum leading into the tournament, but Utah Valley’s resilience and previous series experience could make this a closely contested game. The predicted outcome is a narrow win for Abilene Christian, but expect a competitive battle.

Predicted Score: Abilene Christian Wildcats 7, Utah Valley Wolverines 6


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Auburn Tigers vs. Texas A&M Aggies Prediction NCAA in Baseball

Match Analysis: Auburn Tigers vs Texas A&M Aggies – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-22
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Hoover Met, Hoover, Alabama (Neutral site)

Game Overview

The NCAA baseball matchup between the Auburn Tigers and Texas A&M Aggies is a key SEC tournament game held at a neutral venue in Hoover, Alabama. Auburn enters with a strong overall record (38-17) and solid home performance in the season, whereas Texas A&M has had mixed results leading up to the tournament but sport a competitive SEC showing.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Auburn Tigers come into this game with a .691 overall winning percentage, showing strong offense and pitching throughout the season, especially at home. Texas A&M has had a challenging recent stretch but showed resilience with some wins in conference play. Auburn has been dominant at home and neutral sites, while Texas A&M is battling to find consistency.
  • The teams have met recently in the 2025 schedule, including multiple SEC matchups. Auburn won key games in the regular season series and currently holds an edge in head-to-head performance.
  • No specific injury updates were provided in the data sources for either team, indicating both squads likely have their rosters intact for this critical tournament game.
  • Playing at a neutral stadium in Hoover may slightly mitigate Auburn's home advantage; however, Auburn's strong neutral site record (6-0) suggests adaptability. The teams will be competing under pressure in the SEC tournament setting, which can impact player performances.
  • Both teams are motivated to advance in the SEC tournament. Auburn, with a better regular season record, looks to continue their successful run, while Texas A&M aims to upset and improve their position after some recent losses.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Auburn Tigers: -140, Texas A&M Aggies: 110 Auburn Tigers win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Auburn Tigers: -1.5 110, Texas A&M Aggies: 1.5 -140 Auburn Tigers -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 10.5: -115, Under 10.5: -115 Under 10.5 runs β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Auburn Tigers -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 10.5 12%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 10.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Auburn Tigers are favored to win due to superior season performance, recent head-to-head success, and stronger consistency both at home and neutral sites. The predicted game will be competitive but Auburn’s pitching and offense depth should secure the victory.

Predicted Score: Auburn Tigers 6, Texas A&M Aggies 3


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Troy Trojans vs. Texas State Bobcats Prediction NCAA in Baseball

Match Analysis: Troy Trojans vs Texas State Bobcats – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-22
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Riddle-Pace Field, Troy, Alabama

Game Overview

The upcoming NCAA baseball match features the Troy Trojans hosting the Texas State Bobcats. Troy has been a strong team this season with a record around 37-19, showing impressive offensive and defensive capabilities including recent dominant wins such as 23-6 and 14-12 at home. Texas State has struggled more this season with a record near 26-29, suffering several heavy losses and inconsistent performance but occasionally showing resilience with wins in tight games. Troy enters as favorites with home advantage and better overall season form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Troy Trojans have demonstrated strong form in 2025 with multiple high-scoring wins and consistent pitching performances. Texas State Bobcats have been inconsistent, with a losing record and some lopsided defeats, but have managed close victories sporadically. Troy’s superior win-loss ratio and home advantage heavily favor their performance.
  • In the recent matchup on April 26, 2025, Troy defeated Texas State 9-4, showing clear dominance. Historically within the season, Troy has maintained superiority over Texas State, indicating psychological and tactical advantages.
  • No specific injury reports are available for either team close to this match date, implying both teams likely field near-full strength squads.
  • Playing at home, Troy benefits from familiar conditions at Riddle-Pace Field. Weather conditions on May 22, 2025, are expected to be conducive to play, with no reported disruptions or extreme weather.
  • Troy is motivated to solidify their strong season record and improve standings in the Sun Belt Conference. Texas State looks to upset a higher-ranked opponent and improve their sub-.500 season record, adding an element of competitive underdog drive.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Texas State Bobcats: 200, Troy Trojans: -270 Troy Trojans β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread Texas State Bobcats: -2.5 -130, Troy Trojans: +2.5 100 Troy Trojans -2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 80%
Over/under Over 13.5: -115, Under 13.5: -115 Over 13.5 runs β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Troy Trojans 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 13.5 12%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 13.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Troy Trojans are predicted to win comfortably based on stronger recent performances, home field advantage, and superior odds offered by bookmakers.

Predicted Score: Troy Trojans 8 – 4 Texas State Bobcats


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