Match Analysis: Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Angels – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-18
- Time: 11:41 PM UTC
- Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee
Game Overview
The Milwaukee Brewers host the Los Angeles Angels in a crucial MLB matchup with playoff implications. The Brewers are strong favorites at home with a solid regular-season performance, while the Angels struggle on the road and face a seven-game losing streak away.
Key Factors to Consider
- Milwaukee Brewers have 93 wins and 59 losses this season, winning 6 of their last 10 games and averaging 5.8 runs per game. Los Angeles Angels have a weaker record (69-82) and are currently on a six-game losing streak, especially struggling away from home.
- Milwaukee holds a slight advantage with 29 wins to the Angels' 31 overall, but the Brewers have dominated recently, with a 9-2 victory in their last encounter. The Brewers average 4.23 runs per game, slightly less than the Angels' 4.33, though the Angels struggle more away.
- No significant injury reports currently impacting starting lineups for either team have been noted.
- Playing at home favors the Brewers, and the Angelsβ extended road losing streak may psychologically impact their performance adversely.
- Milwaukee is motivated to secure playoff positioning, while the Angels aim to end their poor road run and regain momentum late in the season.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Milwaukee Brewers: -188, Los Angeles Angels: 158 | Milwaukee Brewers win | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | Milwaukee Brewers: +1.5 115, Los Angeles Angels: -1.5 -138 | Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 runs (cover the spread) | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: -115, Under: -105 | Over 8 runs | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Milwaukee Brewers -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 8 3% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 8 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Milwaukee Brewers to win, leveraging strong home performance and momentum superiority over the struggling Angels.
Predicted Score: Milwaukee Brewers 7 – Los Angeles Angels 3