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Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-28
  • Time: 7:20 PM UTC
  • Location: Wrigley Field

Game Overview

The Chicago Cubs host the St. Louis Cardinals in a late September MLB regular-season game. The Cubs have a superior record and hosting advantage, while the Cardinals are struggling with a sub-.500 away performance. The starting pitchers are Jameson Taillon for the Cubs (11-7, 3.68 ERA) and Michael McGreevy for the Cardinals (8-4, 4.52 ERA).

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Cubs hold a strong 91-70 overall record with good home performance (49-31), while the Cardinals are 78-83 overall and weaker on the road (34-46). Cubs have better pitching and more consistent late-season form.
  • Recent meetings favor the Cubs, who have outscored the Cardinals with solid offensive output, especially at home. The Cubs have won multiple recent games against the Cardinals this season.
  • No major injuries reported for either side affecting starting pitchers or key hitters, maintaining relatively full-strength rosters.
  • Weather conditions at Wrigley Field are normal for late September with no significant impact expected. The Cubs benefit from playing at home with strong fan support.
  • The Cubs are pushing for playoff positioning, motivated to secure wins down the stretch. Cardinals have less playoff pressure and have shown inconsistency, possibly lowering motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cubs -169, Cardinals +144 Chicago Cubs β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread Cubs -1.5 at +128, Cardinals +1.5 at -151 Chicago Cubs -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Over/under Over 8 -111, Under 8 -110 Over 8 runs β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Chicago Cubs -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 8 10%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 8 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Chicago Cubs to win outright (moneyline), cover the -1.5 run spread, and the total runs to go over 8.

Predicted Score: Chicago Cubs 5 – St. Louis Cardinals 3


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Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-28
  • Time: 7:16 PM UTC
  • Location: Truist Park, Atlanta, GA

Game Overview

The Atlanta Braves host the Pittsburgh Pirates in a late-season MLB matchup. The Braves, with a 75-86 record, have home advantage and are slightly favored despite a middling season. The Pirates, 71-90 overall and weak on the road (27-53 away), enter underdogs. Starting pitching matchup favors the Pirates’ Johan Oviedo (2-0, 3.57 ERA) over Braves’ Charlie Morton (9-11, 5.89 ERA), but Braves’ home edge and offensive production are key factors.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Braves are 12-5 in games as favorites at -200 or better, but have a losing record covering the spread (69-86). Pirates struggle on road with poor overall record. Braves have higher scoring games overall, with 69 overs in 155 games this season.
  • Braves have a historical edge against Pirates, especially at home. Recent H2H have favored Braves by narrow margins, with higher scoring outcomes.
  • No critical injuries reported for either team impacting expected starters or key batters; pitching staffs appear at near full strength.
  • Truist Park is hitter-friendly; weather is stable with no impact expected. Season nearing end, motivation may differ with Braves still vying for playoffs and Pirates out of contention.
  • Braves motivated to win and improve final standing, Pirates less so as they have no playoff chance, likely less aggressive.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atlanta Braves -210 / Pittsburgh Pirates +176 Atlanta Braves β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Atlanta Braves -1.5 +102 / Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 -122 Atlanta Braves -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 7.5 -124 / Under 7.5 +102 Over 7.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlanta Braves -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 7.5 8%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 7.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atlanta Braves to win moneyline, cover -1.5 run spread, and the game to go over 7.5 runs

Predicted Score: Atlanta Braves 6 – Pittsburgh Pirates 4


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Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Miami Marlins vs New York Mets – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-28
  • Time: 7:11 PM UTC
  • Location: Miami Marlins home stadium

Game Overview

The New York Mets host the Miami Marlins in the regular season finale, with Mets needing a win to keep playoff hopes alive. Mets are slight favorites on the moneyline and have the advantage on the spread, facing a Marlins team with a below .500 record and pitching struggles.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mets hold a record of 83-78, coming off a 5-0 victory in the previous game. Marlins are 78-83 and have struggled with consistency, losing 4 of 5 recent games. Mets show more recent offensive prowess especially from key hitter Juan Soto.
  • Mets have dominated the recent series, including a strong win last game. Marlins' starting pitcher Edward Cabrera has had trouble containing Mets hitters like Juan Soto.
  • No significant injury concerns reported for either team that would impact starting roles or key hitters.
  • Late September weather in Miami is typically warm and humid, mildly favoring hitters. Game is a regular season finale with playoff implications for Mets.
  • Mets have very high motivation as they must win to stay in playoff contention. Marlins are out of contention and less motivated.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Miami Marlins: +110, New York Mets: -130 New York Mets β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread Miami Marlins +1.5: -154, New York Mets -1.5: +128 New York Mets -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Over/under Over 8: -122, Under 8: +100 Under 8 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New York Mets -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8 20%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

New York Mets to win outright, cover the -1.5 spread, and the game to go under 8 total runs.

Predicted Score: New York Mets 4 – Miami Marlins 2


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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-28
  • Time: 7:11 PM UTC
  • Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee

Game Overview

The Cincinnati Reds visit the Milwaukee Brewers in a decisive final regular season game with the Reds requiring a win to clinch a playoff spot outright. Milwaukee is coming off a solid season with a 96-65 record and a strong home performance, while Cincinnati at 83-78 fought hard to keep playoff hopes alive with a recent victory over the Brewers.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Milwaukee Brewers have been strong at home with a 51-29 record and Freddy Peralta posting a 17-6 record with a 2.68 ERA. Cincinnati Reds have an 83-78 overall record, showing resilience and motivation with a recent 7-4 win over Milwaukee to keep their playoff hopes alive.
  • In recent head-to-head matchups including the last three games, Reds have taken two wins at Milwaukee, including a 7-4 win in the last game, showing they can compete effectively in this ballpark under pressure.
  • No significant injury reports impacting starting pitchers or key offensive players for either squad are noted for this game.
  • The game is played indoors at Milwaukee’s domed American Family Field, eliminating weather variables. The playoff implication adds intensity and pressure, especially for Cincinnati who must win.
  • Cincinnati Reds have high stakes with a win guaranteeing a playoff berth and a sweep. Milwaukee Brewers have already secured playoffs but may rest some players or show less urgency.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline CIN +124, MIL -146 Milwaukee Brewers β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread CIN +1.5 -156, MIL -1.5 +130 Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 7.5 -115, Under 7.5 -105 Under 7.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Milwaukee Brewers -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 7.5 7%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline, Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 spread, Under 7.5 runs

Predicted Score: Milwaukee Brewers 4 – Cincinnati Reds 2


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San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-28
  • Time: 7:10 PM UTC
  • Location: Petco Park

Game Overview

San Diego Padres, with a better overall season record (89-72) vs Arizona Diamondbacks (80-81), face off in a crucial late-season MLB game at Petco Park. Both starting pitchers have high ERAs, indicating potential for runs scored.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Padres boast a strong home record (51-29), while Diamondbacks have a weaker away record (37-43). Padres have lost recent games but marginally lead the league in clutch situations. Diamondbacks are slightly below .500 overall.
  • Recent series shows Padres dominating with multiple wins and favorable odds historically. Padres won the last home game convincingly.
  • No major injuries reported impacting either team’s rotation or core lineup, both teams at near full strength.
  • Playing at Petco Park, a pitcher-friendly venue, reduces scoring upside slightly. Weather conditions stable, no external delays forecasted.
  • Padres pursuing playoff seeding improvement with better records; Diamondbacks fighting to stay competitive but motivation lower given record gap.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline San Diego Padres -126, Arizona Diamondbacks +104 San Diego Padres β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread San Diego Padres -1.5 168, Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 -208 San Diego Padres -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 8 -105, Under 8 -115 Over 8 runs β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline San Diego Padres 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 8 7%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 8 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

San Diego Padres to win outright on Moneyline, cover the -1.5 run spread, and the total runs will go Over the 8 mark.

Predicted Score: Padres 5 – Diamondbacks 3


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Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Dodgers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-28
  • Time: 7:10 PM UTC
  • Location: T-Mobile Park, Seattle

Game Overview

The Seattle Mariners host the Los Angeles Dodgers with Mariners having a slight home edge but facing Clayton Kershaw, a dominant and experienced pitcher, against their less consistent starter Bryce Miller.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Dodgers lead the season 92-69, while Mariners are close at 90-71. Dodgers are on a 4-game win streak including a recent 5-3 series win over the Mariners. Mariners have stronger home record (51-29), but Dodgers are solid on the road (40-40).
  • Kershaw has dominated against the Mariners with a 4-0 record and 2.03 ERA in last five starts, sustaining his season strong form (10-2, 3.52 ERA). Mariners’ Bryce Miller is struggling overall (4-5, 5.53 ERA) and untested against Dodgers with only minor appearances.
  • No major injuries reported for either team that would significantly impact starting pitching or batting lineups in this matchup.
  • Game played at Mariners’ home stadium T-Mobile Park, which typically benefits the home team due to familiarity and ballpark factors favoring pitchers. Weather conditions are stable and not expected to affect gameplay.
  • Both teams are in playoff contention late in the season; Dodgers slightly better positioned for postseason seeding, potentially increasing their motivation to secure a road win. Mariners motivated to defend home turf and keep pace in standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Los Angeles Dodgers: +101, Seattle Mariners: -111 Seattle Mariners β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Los Angeles Dodgers +1.5: -212, Seattle Mariners -1.5: +181 Seattle Mariners -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 8: -110, Under 8: -110 Under 8 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Seattle Mariners 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8 15%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Seattle Mariners win moneyline, Mariners cover spread, and total runs go under 8

Predicted Score: Seattle Mariners 4 – Los Angeles Dodgers 2


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Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Cleveland Guardians vs Texas Rangers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-28
  • Time: 7:10 PM UTC
  • Location: Progressive Field

Game Overview

This late-season MLB matchup features the Cleveland Guardians (87-73) hosting the Texas Rangers (81-80) at Progressive Field. Both teams are fighting for positioning in the playoff race with their pitching matchups being Logan Allen for Cleveland and Patrick Corbin for Texas.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cleveland has a better overall record and slightly better pitching performance, with Allen posting a 4.22 ERA compared to Corbin's 4.34 ERA. Cleveland has won more games recently and performs well at home. Texas has struggled offensively in recent games, especially on the road.
  • The teams split recent meetings with Cleveland taking a slight edge. Cleveland won 2-3 games in their last few encounters, showing the ability to handle Texas's pitching. Texas' offense has been inconsistent against Cleveland's pitching.
  • No significant injury concerns reported for either team affecting starting pitchers or key offensive players for this matchup.
  • The game is in Cleveland's home park, Progressive Field, giving the Guardians a familiar environment and home crowd support. Weather conditions and field factors favor moderate scoring, supporting the expected low total runs.
  • Cleaveland is positioned better in the standings with a stronger push for playoff seeding, likely fueling higher motivation. Texas remains competitive but with less margin for error as an underdog on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -157, away: +128 Cleveland Guardians β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread home: -134, away: -164 Texas Rangers +1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under over: -110, under: -110 Under 8 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cleveland Guardians -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8 9%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cleveland Guardians to win moneyline, Texas Rangers +1.5 on spread, Under 8 runs total

Predicted Score: Cleveland Guardians 4 – Texas Rangers 3


0 3

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-28
  • Time: 7:08 PM UTC
  • Location: Toronto Blue Jays Home Stadium

Game Overview

Toronto Blue Jays (93-68) host the Tampa Bay Rays (77-84) in the AL East matchup. Blue Jays have a strong home record (53-27) while Rays struggle on the road (36-44). The Blue Jays are motivated to maintain their playoff push and have senior pitcher Kevin Gausman starting, who has been strong in recent outings. The Rays, in contrast, have endured a recent scoring drought and are on a losing streak.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Blue Jays are in solid form with a three-game winning streak, excelling at home and outperforming their division rivals. Rays are struggling with a three-game losing skid and poor road form, allowing 15 runs in their last three games.
  • Recent matchups heavily favor the Blue Jays, including a 5-1 win in one game and two recent wins including 5-1 and 4-2, indicating Toronto's dominance in the series.
  • No major injuries impacting starting pitchers. Both starting pitchers are expected to perform close to their season averages.
  • Game played at Toronto's home park, a known hitter-friendly venue. Weather and field conditions do not indicate significant impact.
  • Toronto Blue Jays are pushing for playoff positioning and have higher motivation compared to the out-of-contention Rays.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -190, away: 160 Toronto Blue Jays β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread home: 114, away: -137 Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Over/under over: -115, under: -105 Under 7.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Toronto Blue Jays -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 7.5 17%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Toronto Blue Jays to win moneyline and cover the -1.5 spread; game total to go under 7.5 runs.

Predicted Score: Toronto Blue Jays 4 – Tampa Bay Rays 2


0 3

Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Los Angeles Angels vs Houston Astros – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-28
  • Time: 7:07 PM UTC
  • Location: Angel Stadium, Los Angeles

Game Overview

The Houston Astros (86-75) visit the Los Angeles Angels (72-89) in a late-season MLB game featuring a pitching matchup between Lance McCullers Jr. and Samuel Aldegheri. Both starters have struggled this season with ERAs above 6.5, but the Astros maintain a stronger overall team performance and have recently dominated the Angels.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Astros rank 15th offensively with balanced hitting and better overall record at 86-75, whereas Angels are 25th in offense and a poor 72-89, showing inconsistency outside their power hitting.
  • Recent series heavily favors Astros, including a 6-1 win over Angels just the day before, highlighting Houston's dominance in this matchup.
  • No major injuries reported impacting starters for either team, but Angels rely on struggling rookie Aldegheri, who projects to pitch less than 5 innings with control issues.
  • Game played at Angel Stadium favors home advantage for Angels, but Astros are poised to exploit pitching weaknesses in familiar conditions.
  • Astros fighting for playoff positioning, likely more motivated; Angels have disappointing season, limiting competitive motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Houston Astros: -126, Los Angeles Angels: +104 Houston Astros β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Houston Astros -1.5 +123, Los Angeles Angels +1.5 -150 Los Angeles Angels +1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 9.5 -115, Under 9.5 -105 Under 9.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Houston Astros -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 9.5 11%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 9.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Houston Astros moneyline win, Angels +1.5 spread, Under 9.5 total runs

Predicted Score: Astros 5 – Angels 3


0 3

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-28
  • Time: 7:06 PM UTC
  • Location: Yankee Stadium, Bronx

Game Overview

The New York Yankees head into this game with a strong 93-68 record, showing recent excellent form with a 5-0 winning streak. The Baltimore Orioles, with a 75-86 record, have struggled recently, losing 5 of their last 7 games and being last in the AL East standings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Yankees have been dominant recently (5-0), particularly strong at home, while Orioles have been inconsistent and underperforming with a 4.61 team ERA and weaker offense.
  • Yankees lead the recent head-to-head with Orioles, having won 3 of the last 4 in this series, including earlier in this matchup where Orioles lost two prior games by wide margins.
  • No major injury reports impacting starting pitchers or key lineup players noted for either team at the time of the matchup.
  • Weather conditions at Yankee Stadium are stable, offering no evident disadvantage; public betting overwhelmingly favors Yankees (89% of bets).
  • Yankees remain motivated to solidify postseason positioning; Orioles have less playoff incentive being out of contention, which could impact competitive intensity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Baltimore +160, New York -190 New York Yankees β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread Baltimore +1.5 -120, New York -1.5 +100 New York Yankees -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 9 -105, Under 9 -115 Under 9 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New York Yankees -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 9 16%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 9 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bet on New York Yankees moneyline, Yankees -1.5 spread, and under 9 total runs for optimal value.

Predicted Score: New York Yankees 5 – 3 Baltimore Orioles


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