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St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: St. Louis Cardinals vs Pittsburgh Pirates – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-28
  • Time: 6:16 PM UTC
  • Location: Busch Stadium, St. Louis, Missouri

Game Overview

The Pittsburgh Pirates (59-75) travel to face the St. Louis Cardinals (65-69) at Busch Stadium. The Pirates hold a 2-1 series lead and will start Braxton Ashcraft, who has a strong 2.70 ERA and 4-2 record, while the Cardinals counter with struggling Miles Mikolas (6-10, 5.17 ERA). The game features a total set at 8.5 runs with close moneyline odds favoring the Cardinals slightly as home favorites.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Pirates have shown recent improvement, winning two of the first three games in the series and playing better pitching recently. The Cardinals have underperformed overall, with Mikolas' recent form weak (14 ER in last 17.1 innings) and a middling 50% record when favorites around -122 odds.
  • This season’s series is close, with the Pirates leading 2-1 so far. Historically, the Cardinals have a slight edge but recent performance favors Pittsburgh's momentum.
  • No critical injuries reported for either team affecting starting rotation or lineup significantly.
  • Game played at Busch Stadium favors the Cardinals slightly due to home advantage, but Pirates’ Ashcraft has strong road numbers (2.28 ERA in 23.2 road innings) reducing impact of venue.
  • Pirates motivated to complete series win and build momentum heading into challenging upcoming schedule; Cardinals seek to avoid losing series at home and improve below .500 record.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Pittsburgh Pirates +104, St. Louis Cardinals -122 Pittsburgh Pirates β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 -196, St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 +162 Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Over/under Over 8.5 -105, Under 8.5 -115 Under 8.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Pittsburgh Pirates 10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8.5 7%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Pirates moneyline

Predicted Score: Pirates 4 – Cardinals 3


0 13

Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Houston Astros vs Colorado Rockies – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-28
  • Time: 6:11 PM UTC
  • Location: Daikin Park, Houston, Texas

Game Overview

The Houston Astros (73-60) host the Colorado Rockies (38-95) in the final game of their series. The Astros currently lead the AL West and have won 4 of their last 6 games. Colorado is struggling with a very poor season record and weak away performance. Starting pitchers favor Houston with Jason Alexander (4-1, 4.59 ERA) matched against struggling Rockies pitching.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Astros have a solid pitching staff with a 3.87 ERA and strong offense led by Jose Altuve and Christian Walker. Rockies have been one of the worst teams in MLB this year with a 38-95 record and poor road results, winning less than 20% as moneyline underdogs.
  • The Astros and Rockies split the first two games of this series 1-6 and 4-0, with Houston earning a shutout win in the last game. Historical matchups heavily favor Houston due to superior talent and pitching depth.
  • No major injuries reported that significantly impact starting lineups for either team.
  • Home field advantage for Houston at Daikin Park, familiar with mound and climate; Rockies continue to struggle on the road and in hitter-friendly ballparks.
  • Houston is jockeying for playoff position as AL West leaders, adding motivation to maintain winning momentum. Rockies are out of contention and are likely less motivated.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Colorado Rockies: +198, Houston Astros: -240 Houston Astros β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread Colorado Rockies +1.5: -104, Houston Astros -1.5: -115 Houston Astros -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Over/under Over 9: -102, Under 9: -120 Under 9 runs β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Houston Astros -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 9 6%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 9 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Houston Astros to win outright (Moneyline), cover the -1.5 run spread, and the game to go under 9 total runs

Predicted Score: Houston Astros 4 – Colorado Rockies 1


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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-28
  • Time: 6:10 PM UTC
  • Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin

Game Overview

Milwaukee Brewers host the Arizona Diamondbacks in the final game of a four-game MLB series. Brewers are favored at home with starting pitcher Jose Quintana (10-4, 3.32 ERA) against Nabil Crismatt (1-0, 1.00 ERA) in his first career start versus Milwaukee.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Brewers hold a strong 83-51 season record and a 68.1% win rate when favorites, including 14-4 when favored at or above -168. The Diamondbacks are 65-69, struggling as underdogs with just three wins at +142 or longer odds this year.
  • Milwaukee has a positive recent head-to-head edge. Quintana is 1-0 with a 3.70 ERA in five recent starts against Arizona. The Brewers won the majority of similar matchups.
  • No significant injuries reported affecting starting rotations or key hitters for this game.
  • Game played at Brewers' home stadium, American Family Field, with no weather or travel disruption expected. Brewers have motivation to maintain position before an upcoming marquee series; Diamondbacks are improving but possibly focusing on upcoming division play.
  • Brewers seek to avoid consecutive losses and maintain home dominance; Diamondbacks attempt to build momentum after recent wins but face a challenging road environment.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Milwaukee -166, Arizona +140 Milwaukee β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Milwaukee -1.5 122, Arizona +1.5 -146 Milwaukee -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 8.5 -115, Under 8.5 -105 Over 8.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Milwaukee Brewers -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 8.5 16%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Milwaukee Brewers will win the game outright, cover the -1.5 run line, and the total will go over 8.5 runs.

Predicted Score: Milwaukee Brewers 5, Arizona Diamondbacks 3


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Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-28
  • Time: 5:06 PM UTC
  • Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland

Game Overview

The Boston Red Sox, currently wild card contenders with a 74-60 record, face the struggling Baltimore Orioles (60-73) at Camden Yards. Boston starts ace Garrett Crochet (14-5, 2.38 ERA), while Baltimore counters with Cade Povich (2-7, 5.13 ERA). The Red Sox have strong pitching and slightly better offensive metrics, making them favorites in this matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Boston holds a better season record and pitching stats (3.67 ERA, 1.28 WHIP) compared to Baltimore's 4.68 ERA and 1.37 WHIP. Baltimore has lost 6 of their last 7 games, while Boston is motivated to maintain wild card positioning.
  • Boston won 3 out of their last 5 meetings versus Baltimore. In the current series, Baltimore dropped the first three games but had led late in one, showing fight despite losses.
  • Boston is missing key players such as Josh Winckowski, Triston Casas, and others on 60-day IL. Baltimore has no major recent injury reports impacting the starting lineup for this game.
  • The game is played at Camden Yards, a hitter-friendly park, but the starting pitching matchup favors the Red Sox. Weather and other factors appear normal.
  • Boston is fighting for a wild card spot with the Yankees and needs a win. Baltimore, last in AL East and with poor recent form, has less to play for but could be dangerous playing at home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -180 Boston Red Sox β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread -104 Boston Red Sox -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under -105 Under 8 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Boston Red Sox -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8 8%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Boston Red Sox moneyline

Predicted Score: Boston Red Sox 4, Baltimore Orioles 2


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Oakland Athletics vs. Detroit Tigers Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Oakland Athletics vs Detroit Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-28
  • Time: 2:06 AM UTC
  • Location: Sutter Health Park, Oakland, CA

Game Overview

The Oakland Athletics host the Detroit Tigers in an MLB matchup featuring a pitching duel between young phenom Luis Morales (OAK) and established All-Star Casey Mize (DET). Oakland has won the first two games of the series convincingly, including an 8-3 victory the day before. Detroit is favored on the moneyline despite being on the road, while the total is set at 10.5 runs.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams have won 7 of their last 10 games, with Oakland showing especially strong recent form at home and Detroit maintaining postseason contention. Oakland averages 4.38 runs per home game compared to Detroit's 3.69 runs per road game. The Athletics are battling in their best stretch all season despite a worse overall record.
  • Oakland leads the all-time series 108-73 including a dominant 65-42 record at home versus Detroit. Recent head-to-head shows Oakland winning 6 of the last 7 at home against Detroit and took the previous game 8-3.
  • No significant injury updates affecting the starting pitchers or key hitters for either team have been reported, leaving the matchup balanced in personnel terms.
  • No adverse weather conditions or external factors appear to impact gameplay. The venue favors Oakland given their strong home statistics and familiarity with the park.
  • Detroit, as a playoff-bound team, is motivated to avoid a sweep and gain ground in the standings. Oakland, with momentum from recent wins, is motivated to continue their surprising run and upset the favored Tigers.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Detroit Tigers: -130, Oakland Athletics: 110 Detroit Tigers β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Spread Detroit Tigers: 122, Oakland Athletics: -146 Oakland Athletics +1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over: -108, Under: -112 Under 10.5 runs β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 66%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Detroit Tigers -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 10.5 17%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 10.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Detroit Tigers to win. Spread: Oakland Athletics +1.5 runs. Over/Under: Under 10.5 runs.

Predicted Score: Detroit Tigers 5 – Oakland Athletics 4


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Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Texas Rangers vs Los Angeles Angels – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-28
  • Time: 12:06 AM UTC
  • Location: Globe Life Field

Game Overview

The Texas Rangers host the Los Angeles Angels in the final game of their series. The Rangers have a slightly better overall record (67-67) compared to the Angels (62-70) and have been strong as favorites. The pitching matchup favors Texas with Jacob Latz (3.05 ERA) starting against Jack Kochanowicz (6.19 ERA), making Rangers the logical favorite despite the Angels' potential to hit in a hitter-friendly ballpark.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Rangers have won 4 of their last 5 games and have a 63.1% win rate when favored. The Angels have lost 4 of their last 5 and have a 45.4% win rate as underdogs.
  • The Rangers defeated the Angels 7-3 in their last meeting on August 27. Historically, the Rangers have the edge in head-to-head matchups.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team that would impact this matchup.
  • Globe Life Field is known to favor hitters, potentially pushing scoring higher, which aligns with the total line movement.
  • The Rangers are motivated to clinch a series win at home to improve their playoff chances, while the Angels look to end the series on a positive note despite the recent losing streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Texas Rangers -156, Los Angeles Angels +132 Texas Rangers β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Spread Texas Rangers -1.5 +122, Los Angeles Angels +1.5 -146 Texas Rangers -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 9.5 runs +100, Under 9.5 runs -122 Over 9.5 runs β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Texas Rangers 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 9.5 16%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 9.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Texas Rangers to win outright (moneyline), covering -1.5 run spread, and Over 9.5 runs total.

Predicted Score: Texas Rangers 6 – Los Angeles Angels 4


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Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Chicago White Sox vs Kansas City Royals – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-27
  • Time: 11:41 PM UTC
  • Location: Rate Field, Chicago, Illinois

Game Overview

The Kansas City Royals (68-65) visit the Chicago White Sox (48-84) for the series finale. Royals are the favorites on the moneyline and run line, buoyed by solid pitching from Ryan Bergert and superior recent form. The White Sox struggle especially at home with Aaron Civale starting, who has a high ERA and WHIP.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Royals have a better overall season record and recent form, particularly strong pitching (3.68 ERA team, Bergert 2.79 ERA). White Sox have poor home pitching results with Civale (5.02 ERA, 6.38 ERA at home this season) and an overall weak record.
  • In this season, Royals are 2-0 in games where Bergert starts and favors moneyline. White Sox have lost 12 of 15 games when Civale starts as underdog, suggesting matchup favors Royals significantly.
  • No major injuries reported impacting starting pitchers or key hitters for Royals or White Sox as of game time, so lineups are expected to be near full strength.
  • Weather and venue (Rate Field) favor Royals given White Sox's poor home pitching. No significant weather concerns noted.
  • Royals are pushing for a wild card playoff spot and coming off a dramatic comeback win, boosting morale and motivation. White Sox are out of playoff contention with less incentive.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Chicago White Sox: +108, Kansas City Royals: -126 Kansas City Royals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread Chicago White Sox +1.5: -156, Kansas City Royals -1.5: +130 Kansas City Royals -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 8.5: -115, Under 8.5: -105 Over 8.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Kansas City Royals 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 8.5 1%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Kansas City Royals to win outright (moneyline), cover the -1.5 run line, and the game total to go over 8.5 runs.

Predicted Score: Royals 6 – White Sox 3


0 17

New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-27
  • Time: 11:11 PM UTC
  • Location: Citi Field, New York

Game Overview

The New York Mets host the Philadelphia Phillies in a pivotal late August MLB matchup. Mets are slight moneyline favorites at home with a spread of -1.5 and the total set at 8.5 runs.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Philadelphia leads the NL East with a 76-56 record, boasting solid offensive metrics (.257 BA, .327 OBP, 625 runs scored) and a 3.83 ERA pitching staff. Mets are 71-61, performing well as -154 favorites (59.8% win rate) but have struggled against the spread (60-65). Phillies have had mixed recent form, dropping 3 of last 5 but winning series prior.
  • Phillies took first two games in the series by scores 13-3 and 6-5 but Mets have home advantage. Taijuan Walker (Phillies) has struggled historically vs Mets (1-4 with 4.86 ERA), though currently pitching well in August. Mets' starter McLean has limited but quality career innings vs Phillies.
  • No significant injuries reported impacting either side’s starting pitchers or key offensive players.
  • Game played outdoors at Citi Field, normal weather conditions expected. No weather or ballpark factors heavily favoring either side.
  • Phillies lead division and playoff motivation strong. Mets fighting to climb standings, motivated to defend home turf and rebound after recent losses in the series.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mets -154 / Phillies +130 Mets β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%
Spread Mets -1.5 +138 / Phillies +1.5 -166 Phillies +1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 64%
Over/under Over 8.5 -120 / Under 8.5 -102 Under 8.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New York Mets -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8.5 13%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

New York Mets moneyline, Phillies +1.5 spread, Under 8.5 runs total

Predicted Score: Mets 4 – Phillies 3


0 5

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-27
  • Time: 11:08 PM UTC
  • Location: Toronto

Game Overview

The Toronto Blue Jays host the Minnesota Twins in a late August MLB matchup. Toronto leads the standings with a 77-56 record, showing strong recent form and home advantage. Minnesota is under .500 at 60-72, struggling on the road and missing key injuries.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Toronto Blue Jays have been performing well recently, bolstered by key hitters like George Springer, who recorded four hits in his last game. Minnesota Twins have shown inconsistency and poorer form, especially away from home.
  • Recent H2H meetings favor the Blue Jays, who have won a majority of the latest contests, often outscoring the Twins both in runs and pitching consistency.
  • Minnesota is dealing with some injuries to key players, weakening their lineup and bullpen depth. Toronto’s injury list is minimal, maintaining their usual strong lineup and pitching rotation.
  • Playing at home in Toronto offers a clear advantage due to familiarity with the park and supportive crowd. Weather conditions are stable with no apparent disruptions.
  • Toronto is motivated to solidify their playoff positioning with a strong finish to the season. Minnesota, out of playoff contention, may have less urgency, which could impact effort levels.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Toronto Blue Jays -180, Minnesota Twins +152 Toronto Blue Jays β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 +114, Minnesota Twins +1.5 -137 Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 9 -114, Under 9 -106 Over 9 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Toronto Blue Jays -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 9 13%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 9 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Toronto Blue Jays to win moneyline, cover the -1.5 spread, and the total to go over 9 runs.

Predicted Score: Toronto Blue Jays 6 – Minnesota Twins 3


0 8

Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Seattle Mariners vs San Diego Padres – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-27
  • Time: 8:11 PM UTC
  • Location: T-Mobile Park

Game Overview

The Seattle Mariners and San Diego Padres face off in the final game of their interleague series at T-Mobile Park, with both teams fighting for playoff positioning in tight division races.

Key Factors to Consider

  • San Diego Padres enter with a 75-58 record, averaging 4.22 runs/game overall and 4.04 on the road, but have allowed 4.21 runs/game away. Seattle Mariners hold a 71-62 record, stronger at home, and recent forms indicate Mariners have dominated Padres at home and in recent matchups.
  • Seattle Mariners won 12 of last 13 games against San Diego Padres overall and 6 of last 7 home games, with a strong +1.5 run line record in those contests demonstrating clear historical dominance.
  • No key injury updates significantly impacting starting lineups or pitching staffs are noted from the latest reports.
  • Playing at home provides Seattle an advantage. Weather and travel effects appear neutral with no reported adverse conditions.
  • Both teams remain highly motivatedβ€”Padres trailing Dodgers by 1 game in NL West and Mariners 1.5 games behind Astros in AL Westβ€”making this a crucial game to close playoff gaps.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mariners -136, Padres +116 Mariners β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Padres +1.5 (-176), Mariners -1.5 (146) Padres +1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 8 (-105), Under 8 (-115) Over 8 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Seattle Mariners 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 8 3%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 8 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Seattle Mariners to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Seattle Mariners 6 – 4 San Diego Padres


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