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Missouri Tigers vs. Alabama Crimson Tide Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Missouri Tigers vs Alabama Crimson Tide – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-11
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Memorial Stadium/Faurot Field, Columbia, Missouri

Game Overview

A highly competitive top-15 NCAA football matchup between the No. 8 Alabama Crimson Tide (4-1) and No. 14 Missouri Tigers (5-0), contested at Missouri's home field. Alabama enters as a narrow favorite with a spread of -3.5 and a total of 51.5 points, reflecting expectations of a close, high-scoring game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alabama boasts the 21st-ranked scoring defense and an efficient passing attack led by Ty Simpson (13 TDs, 1 INT). Missouri, undefeated at 5-0 with the 16th-ranked scoring defense, relies on efficient QB Beau Pribula (75.8% completion). Both teams have potent offenses and defenses, reflected in multiple recent games hitting the over.
  • Alabama leads the all-time series 6-2 and has won the last six meetings, indicating psychological and tactical dominance historically, but recent forms show Missouri capable of close contests.
  • No significant injury reports impact starting quarterbacks or key defensive players for either team, suggesting both will compete at full strength.
  • Playing at Memorial Stadium provides Missouri with home-field advantage and motivation, but Alabama’s proven resilience on the road and experience in high-pressure games neutralize this edge to some extent.
  • Both teams are highly motivated, likely targeting College Football Playoff contention; Missouri aims to maintain its unbeaten season, while Alabama looks to reinforce dominance and secure top ranking.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alabama: -154, Missouri: 130 Alabama ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Alabama: -104, Missouri: -118 Alabama -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 63%
Over/under Over: -110, Under: -110 Over 51.5 ★★★☆☆ 67%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alabama Crimson Tide -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 51.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 51.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alabama to win outright (moneyline), cover the -3.5 spread, and the game to go over 51.5 points

Predicted Score: Alabama 34 – Missouri 21


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Army Black Knights vs. Charlotte 49ers Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Army Black Knights vs Charlotte 49ers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-11
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Michie Stadium, West Point

Game Overview

Army Black Knights (home, 2-3) host Charlotte 49ers (1-4) in a midseason mid-major non-conference matchup. Army is a heavy favorite per most sportsbooks, with Charlotte coming off several losses and struggling against teams with a pulse. No major injuries are reported, and weather is expected to be good for football (63°F, 0% rain). Army has a higher public betting percentage and is coming off two over total games at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Army is 2-3 (2-3 ATS), Charlotte is 1-4. Army has gone over the total in 2 of their last 5, Charlotte’s offense could not be verified statistically but has struggled against most FBS opponents.
  • Head-to-head history could not be verified; likely a recent non-conference matchup. No obvious rivalry factors.
  • No major injuries reported for either team[2].
  • Game is at Michie Stadium, known for its home-field advantage. Weather is mild (63°F, dry, light wind) and should not impact play[1].
  • Army likely views this as a must-win after a slow start. Charlotte has little to play for beyond pride.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Army -950, Charlotte +640[1][3] Army Black Knights ★★★★☆ 88%
Spread Army -17.5 -110, Charlotte +17.5 -110[1][3] Army Black Knights -17.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 47.5 -110, Under 47.5 -110[1][3] Over 47.5 ★★★☆☆ 54%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Army Black Knights -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 47.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 47.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Army covers the spread in a comfortable but not dominant victory, with a slight lean to the over on moderate scoring.

Predicted Score: Army Black Knights 34, Charlotte 49ers 17


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Bowling Green Falcons vs. Toledo Rockets Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Bowling Green Falcons vs Toledo Rockets – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-11
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Doyt L. Perry Stadium

Game Overview

Toledo (3-2, 1-1 MAC) travels to face Bowling Green (2-3, 0-1 MAC) in a Mid-American Conference rivalry with Toledo favored by the books and recent form supporting the Rockets.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Toledo has been the stronger team recently, covering the spread in 5 of their last 6 games and winning 4 of those outright[3]. Bowling Green is under .500 and has a losing conference record.
  • This is the 90th meeting between these teams. Historical H2H leans toward Toledo in recent years, but detailed recent results and trends are not available in search results[2].
  • No injury information is available in the search results.
  • No major external factors (weather, schedule quirks, etc.) are reported in the available data.
  • Toledo is in contention for the MAC title race and needs to avoid upsets; Bowling Green is desperate for their first conference win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Toledo -380, Bowling Green +300 Toledo moneyline ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread Toledo -10.5 (-112), Bowling Green +10.5 (-108) Toledo -10.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 49.5 (-115), Under 49.5 (-105) Under 49.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Toledo Rockets 192%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 49.5 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Toledo Rockets at 192% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 64% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Toledo is the better team on paper and in recent form, but the spread is significant; the under looks attractive with both teams likely to prioritize controlling the ball.

Predicted Score: Toledo 24, Bowling Green 13


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James Madison Dukes vs. Louisiana Ragin Cajuns Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: James Madison Dukes vs Louisiana Ragin Cajuns – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-11
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Bridgeforth Stadium/Zane Showker Field, Harrisonburg, Virginia

Game Overview

The James Madison Dukes (4-1) host the Louisiana Ragin Cajuns (2-3) in a matchup featuring two strong rushing offenses and solid defenses, with JMU heavily favored by 17.5 points and a total set at 45.5 points.

Key Factors to Consider

  • JMU ranks 12th in run defense and 10th in rushing yards per game, allowing only 79.8 rushing yards per game. Louisiana boasts the 23rd-ranked rushing offense but has a 2-3 record with defensive vulnerabilities shown by allowing 51 points most recently.
  • Recent direct matchups are limited; however, JMU is favored significantly due to superior overall defense and recent form.
  • JMU's running back health is in question, possibly limiting their rushing efficiency, while Louisiana's defensive issues remain unmitigated.
  • Weather is expected to be mild (60°F) with minimal rain and low wind, likely neutral in impact. JMU benefits from home-field advantage at Bridgeforth Stadium.
  • JMU is motivated to maintain top form and protect a 4-1 record with a push toward postseason, while Louisiana, at 2-3, seeks to upset a ranked opponent to recover momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline James Madison -950, Louisiana +625 James Madison ★★★★☆ 87%
Spread James Madison -17.5 (-112), Louisiana +17.5 (-108) James Madison -17.5 ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 45.5 -112, Under 45.5 -108 Under 45.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline James Madison Dukes -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 45.5 35%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 45.5 at 35% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

James Madison Dukes to cover the -17.5 spread, moneyline in favor of James Madison, and total points under 45.5

Predicted Score: James Madison Dukes 27 – Louisiana Ragin Cajuns 14


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Michigan State Spartans vs. UCLA Bruins Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Michigan State Spartans vs UCLA Bruins – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-11
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Spartan Stadium, East Lansing, Michigan

Game Overview

In this 2025 Big Ten conference matchup, the Michigan State Spartans (3-2) host the UCLA Bruins (1-4) at home. The Spartans are significant favorites on a solid home field advantage, facing a struggling UCLA team with poor recent form and road travel concerns.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Michigan State holds a 3-2 record with average offensive output (~32.8 PPG) and shaky defense (allowing ~30.6 PPG). UCLA is 1-4 with offensive difficulties and defensive vulnerabilities against the run and pass, contributing to their poor form.
  • Recent history favors Michigan State, who have dominated previous encounters and have home advantage. UCLA’s Big Ten play is weaker with a 1-1 conference record vs. MSU’s 0-2, indicative of inconsistency.
  • No major injuries reported for either side that materially impact starters or depth at key positions, maintaining baseline team strength.
  • Game played in mid-October with cool 57°F conditions and minimal rain/wind, favoring no team specifically. Travel distance and time zone changes disadvantage UCLA as an away team.
  • Michigan State seeks to rebound from early Big Ten struggles and will be highly motivated to dominate a weaker UCLA. UCLA is under pressure to prove themselves but their recent form suggests low confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Michigan State Spartans: -330, UCLA Bruins: +265 Michigan State Spartans ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Michigan State Spartans -8.5: -110, UCLA Bruins +8.5: -110 Michigan State Spartans -8.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 55.5: -110, Under 55.5: -110 Over 55.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Michigan State Spartans -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 55.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 55.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Michigan State to win on the moneyline, cover the -8.5 spread, and the game to go over 55.5 points.

Predicted Score: Michigan State 34 – UCLA 20


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Cincinnati Bearcats vs. UCF Knights Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Cincinnati Bearcats vs UCF Knights – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: October 11, 2025
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Nippert Stadium, Cincinnati, OH

Game Overview

Big 12 matchup featuring the surging Cincinnati Bearcats (4-1, 2-0 conference) hosting the UCF Knights (3-2, 0-2).

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cincinnati averages 39.2 points per game and has won 4 of 5, including a perfect 2-0 in Big 12 play. Their offense ranks 25th in scoring, and defense is 46th in points allowed. UCF is 3-2 overall but 0-2 in league play, struggling against similar competition[2][3].
  • Recent head-to-head data is not detailed in available sources, but Cincinnati has been strong both straight-up and against the spread this season, covering in 4 of last 5 games[1].
  • No notable injury reports are available in the provided data. Assume both teams are near full strength.
  • Game will be played at Nippert Stadium, with clear weather (63°F, 0% rain, light wind)[1]. Home-field advantage is significant for Cincinnati, who is 4-1 on the season and has covered at home recently[1].
  • Cincinnati is fighting for a Big 12 title and unbeaten in league play, while UCF is desperate for a conference win to stay relevant. Motivation favors the home side to maintain momentum[3][4].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline CIN -450 | UCF +350 Cincinnati Bearcats moneyline ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread CIN -10.5 (-115) | UCF +10.5 (-105) Cincinnati Bearcats -10.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 53.5 (-110) | Under 53.5 (-110) Over 53.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cincinnati Bearcats -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 53.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 53.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cincinnati Bearcats are favored to win and cover the spread in a moderately high-scoring game, but market odds are tight, and UCF’s desperation could keep it within range. The over is a slight lean due to Cincinnati’s offensive form and recent over trends in their games[1][2].

Predicted Score: Cincinnati 38, UCF 24


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SMU Mustangs vs. Stanford Cardinal Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: SMU Mustangs vs Stanford Cardinal – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-11
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Gerald J. Ford Stadium

Game Overview

SMU Mustangs (3-2) host Stanford Cardinal (2-3) in an ACC matchup where SMU is favored heavily. SMU has shown offensive improvement recently, while Stanford has struggled to cover spreads and achieve wins on the road.

Key Factors to Consider

  • SMU is trending upward offensively with a balanced attack (284 pass yards/game, 128 rush yards/game) scoring 34 points per game but allowing 24.8 points on defense. Stanford ranks poorly against the spread with only 20% ATS covers in 2025 and has a 2-3 record.
  • No significant recent H2H data indicates a strong trend; however, market perception heavily favors SMU at home.
  • No major injury information reported affecting either team adversely at this time.
  • Game played at SMU’s home field giving them a strong home-field advantage. The kickoff is scheduled for mid-day, optimal conditions expected. SMU benefits also from motivated build-up as a favored home team.
  • Stanford seeks a signature road win to stabilize its season, but SMU has more momentum and better recent form, likely more motivated to protect home turf and improve their winning record.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -1000, away: +660 SMU Mustangs ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread home: -105, away: -115 SMU Mustangs -18.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under over: -106, under: -114 Under 55.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline SMU Mustangs -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 55.5 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 55.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

SMU Mustangs to win straight-up, cover the spread, and the total points to fall under 55.5

Predicted Score: SMU Mustangs 31 – Stanford Cardinal 17


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Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Houston Cougars Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Houston Cougars – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-11
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Boone Pickens Stadium, Stillwater, Oklahoma

Game Overview

Houston Cougars (4-1) visit Oklahoma State Cowboys (1-4) in a Big 12 clash with Houston heavily favored both on the moneyline and spread. Houston's strong defense and balanced offense contrast sharply with Oklahoma State's struggling attack and porous defense, setting the stage for a one-sided contest.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Houston boasts a solid 4-1 record with a defense ranked top-30 nationally allowing just 17.6 points per game and an offense averaging 27.2 points. Oklahoma State, conversely, is 1-4, with the 130th ranked offense averaging only 16.4 points and a porous defense allowing 36.2 points per game.
  • Recent matchups favor Houston as a dominant team in the series, leveraging their defensive strength and offensive efficiency. Oklahoma State has not shown competitive form to challenge Houston effectively in recent meetings.
  • No major injuries reported that would significantly impact starting lineups for either team, allowing Houston to field their key defensive and offensive players at full strength. Oklahoma State's injury situation is also stable, but their lack of depth is a concern.
  • The game being at Oklahoma State's home field does little to offset the disparity given Houston's superior form and motivation. Weather and other external elements are typical for the date and location, unlikely to skew the game away from statistical expectations.
  • Houston aims to solidify their top Big 12 standing and continue their winning trajectory, whereas Oklahoma State struggles to find rhythm and motivation following a tough start to the season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Houston -620, Oklahoma State +460 Houston ★★★★☆ 87%
Spread Houston -14.5 -110, Oklahoma State +14.5 -110 Houston -14.5 ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 46.5 -115, Under 46.5 -105 Under 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Houston Cougars 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 46.5 27%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 46.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Houston Cougars to win outright and cover the spread; game total to finish under the set line.

Predicted Score: Houston 31 – Oklahoma State 14


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Akron Zips vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Akron Zips vs Miami (OH) RedHawks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-11
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: InfoCision Stadium-Summa Health Field

Game Overview

Miami (OH) RedHawks travel to face Akron Zips in a Mid-American Conference clash. Miami (OH) enters with momentum after bouncing back from early-season struggles, while Akron has been inconsistent, especially on offense. Both teams are battling for positioning in the MAC standings, making this a significant conference matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Miami (OH) is 2-3, showing signs of resilience. Akron is 2-4, with a 1-4 record in their last five and only two ATS wins in their last five. Akron’s offense is struggling, averaging just 16.4 points per game, while Miami (OH) is averaging 23.3 points per game[3]. Akron’s defense is also allowing 32.2 points per game, which is a major concern[3].
  • Akron is 2-3 ATS in their last five games, and 1-2 on the road ATS[2]. Against Miami (OH), Akron’s trend of difficulty covering at home continues, especially with a low-scoring offense[1].
  • No major injury reports available. Assume both teams have key starters healthy.
  • Weather is mild (59°F), 0% chance of rain, minimal wind—neutral for both teams[2].
  • Both teams are fighting for relevance in their division, but Miami (OH) appears to have more upside and motivation after their recent rally[1]. Akron has struggled at home (covering just once all season) and could be emotionally vulnerable after tough losses[1].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Akron +340, Miami (OH) -440 Miami (OH) -440 (Win) ★★★★☆ 81%
Spread Akron +11.5 -115, Miami (OH) -11.5 -105 Miami (OH) -11.5 ★★★★☆ 73%
Over/under Over 44.5 -118, Under 44.5 -102 Under 44.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Miami (OH) RedHawks 265%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 44.5 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Miami (OH) RedHawks at 265% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 78% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Miami (OH) RedHawks are favored for good reason—they are in better form, have a more reliable offense, and face an Akron defense that is porous. Akron’s home struggles and offensive woes make a blowout by the visitors a strong possibility.

Predicted Score: Miami (OH) 27, Akron 13


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Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Ohio State Buckeyes Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Illinois Fighting Illini vs Ohio State Buckeyes – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-11
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Memorial Stadium, Champaign, Illinois

Game Overview

No. 1 Ohio State Buckeyes (5-0) visit No. 17 Illinois Fighting Illini (5-1) in a Big Ten clash. Ohio State is the heavy favorite with a dominant defense, while Illinois has shown inconsistency but strong overall form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ohio State is undefeated with a 5-0 record, showcasing the top defense in the nation. Illinois is 5-1, performing well but inconsistent offensively against strong defenses.
  • Ohio State has dominated recent matchups and consistently covers the spread against teams like Illinois, holding a 4-0-1 ATS record. Past games suggest a strong advantage for Ohio State.
  • No major injuries reported for either team as of October 9, 2025, suggesting both squads will field near full-strength teams.
  • Venue is Illinois home stadium, but Ohio State’s elite defensive performance likely neutralizes home advantage. Weather conditions not expected to significantly impact the game.
  • Ohio State, as undefeated national champions, motivated to maintain dominance; Illinois motivated as underdog to prove competitiveness but with less at stake.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Illinois +480, Ohio State -650 Ohio State Buckeyes ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Illinois +14.5 (-114), Ohio State -14.5 (-106) Ohio State Buckeyes -14.5 ★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under Over 49.5 (-110), Under 49.5 (-110) Under 49.5 ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ohio State Buckeyes -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 49.5 34%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 49.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ohio State Buckeyes to win straight up and cover the 14.5 point spread with the total points to go under 49.5

Predicted Score: Ohio State 28 – 10 Illinois


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