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Buffalo Bills vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction NFL in American Football

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Match Analysis: Buffalo Bills vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-16
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Highmark Stadium

Game Overview

Buffalo Bills host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in a Week 11 NFL matchup. The Bills are favored at home, with both teams trending toward playoff contention but facing key injuries and inconsistent offensive performances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Buffalo has averaged 24.3 PPG over the last 5 games, with a top-10 defense. Tampa Bay has struggled offensively, averaging just 19.8 PPG in their last 5, and ranks bottom-10 in yards per game. Bills have won 4 of their last 5, while Buccaneers have split their last 5.
  • Buffalo leads the all-time series 5-3, with the last meeting in 2022 (Bills won 31-6). Bills have covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 meetings.
  • Bills: RB James Cook (questionable, ankle), WR Khalil Shakir (out, concussion). Buccaneers: QB Baker Mayfield (probable, knee), WR Mike Evans (out, hamstring), TE Cade Otton (out, knee). Key absences for Tampa Bay hurt their red-zone efficiency and passing attack.
  • Game will be played in cold, windy conditions (highs of 42°F, 15 mph winds). This favors run-heavy teams and suppresses passing efficiency. Buffalo’s home record is 4-1 this season.
  • Both teams are fighting for playoff positioning. Bills are chasing the AFC East lead, while Buccaneers are clinging to a wild card spot. Bills have more to gain with a win, adding extra motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -250, away: 205 Buffalo Bills ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread home: -5.5 -110, away: 5.5 -110 Buffalo Bills -5.5 ★★★★☆ 74%
Over/under over: 47.5 -110, under: 47.5 -110 Under 47.5 ★★★★☆ 76%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Buffalo Bills 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 18%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Buffalo Bills win outright and cover the spread, with the game finishing under the total points line due to weather and defensive strength.

Predicted Score: Buffalo Bills 24, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 17


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New York Giants vs. Green Bay Packers Prediction NFL in American Football

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Match Analysis: New York Giants vs Green Bay Packers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-16
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: MetLife Stadium

Game Overview

Week 11 NFL matchup between the New York Giants and Green Bay Packers at MetLife Stadium. The Packers enter as heavy favorites, with strong offensive momentum and a healthier roster compared to the Giants, who have struggled with injuries and inconsistency.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Green Bay has won 4 of their last 5, led by a balanced offense and improving defense. The Giants have lost 3 of their last 4, with offensive inefficiency and defensive lapses.
  • Packers have won 4 of the last 5 meetings, including a 27-22 victory in their last matchup in 2022. Green Bay has dominated recent H2H, especially in regular season games.
  • Giants missing key starters: WR Malik Nabers (questionable), LB Micah McFadden (out), and CB Aaron Robinson (out). Packers have only minor depth concerns, with no major starters listed out.
  • Game played in New Jersey, with potential for cold, windy conditions. Packers have shown better cold-weather adaptability this season.
  • Packers are fighting for a playoff spot, while Giants are trending toward a rebuild. Green Bay has higher playoff urgency and roster continuity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 320, away: -410 Green Bay Packers ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread home: 7 -108, away: -7 -112 Green Bay Packers -7 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under over: 42.5 -115, under: 42.5 -105 Under 42.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Green Bay Packers -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 42.5 21%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 42.5 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Green Bay Packers to win outright and cover the -7 spread, with the game finishing under the total due to defensive adjustments and weather.

Predicted Score: Green Bay Packers 24, New York Giants 17


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Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans Prediction NFL in American Football

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Match Analysis: Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: Sunday, November 16, 2025
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Nissan Stadium, Nashville, Tennessee

Game Overview

Week 11 AFC South divisional matchup between the Tennessee Titans (home) and Houston Texans (away). The Texans are favored by 7.5 points and heavily favored on the moneyline at -278, reflecting their recent dominance in the series and likely superior record. The Texans are attempting to sweep the season series after winning in Week 4.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Texans have dominated recent matchups, winning 4 of their last 5 games against Tennessee. Houston is currently favored by sportsbooks, indicating a stronger overall record and performance this season. The Titans, playing at home, have won the all-time series 24-23 but are underperforming relative to Houston in 2025.
  • Texans lead recent form 4-1 over the past five meetings. The series was split last season. Historically, the Titans won the first two matchups (17-10 in 2002 and 13-3 in 2002), but Houston has reversed this trend significantly in recent years.
  • Injury information is not available in the provided data. This represents a significant unknown factor that could shift probabilities materially.
  • Divisional rivalry games often feature tighter margins than suggested by regular season records. Home field advantage at Nissan Stadium provides the Titans with meaningful support. The point spread has moved from -6 in Week 4 to -7.5 in Week 11, suggesting the Texans' confidence has increased or the Titans' performance has declined further.
  • Houston is seeking to sweep the season series and maintain playoff positioning. Tennessee, as the home team, carries motivation to protect home turf against a division rival and break their recent losing streak in the matchup.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Houston: -278 | Tennessee: +225 Houston Texans ML ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Houston: -6 (-108) | Tennessee: +6 (-112) Tennessee Titans +6.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over: 37.5 (-102) | Under: 37.5 (-118) Under 37.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Houston Texans -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 37.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 37.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Houston Texans win 24-17. The Texans' strong recent form, superior moneyline odds, and offensive capability overcome Tennessee's home-field advantage. However, the Titans keep this game closer than the -7.5 spread suggests due to divisional context and home support.

Predicted Score: Houston Texans 24, Tennessee Titans 17


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Miami Dolphins vs. Washington Commanders Prediction NFL in American Football

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Match Analysis: Miami Dolphins vs Washington Commanders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-16
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Santiago Bernabéu Stadium, Madrid, Spain

Game Overview

The Miami Dolphins and Washington Commanders meet in the first regular-season NFL game in Spain, both teams holding identical 3-7 records. Miami enters the game after a morale-boosting 30-13 win over Buffalo, while Washington is struggling with a five-game losing streak and a mid-season defensive coordinator change.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams have underwhelming overall performance this season (Miami 3-7, Washington 3-7). Miami showed recent improvement with their blowout win over Buffalo, while Washington has allowed an average of 28 points and 6.5 yards per play, highlighting defensive weaknesses on both sides.
  • No recent direct matchups available this season. Historical context is limited given the venues and schedules. However, both teams have been competitive but inconsistent, with Miami slightly favored due to recent momentum.
  • There are no major injury reports impacting key starters for either team, although Washington's defensive struggles hint at personnel and scheme issues rather than absences.
  • The neutral-site game in Madrid could slightly reduce home-field advantage for Miami. Weather is controlled indoors at Santiago Bernabéu, neutralizing climate effects. The historic nature of the match could motivate both teams.
  • Miami appears more motivated after snapping a losing streak notably against a strong Buffalo Bills team. Washington is under pressure to stop their losing streak and adapt to coaching changes, but morale is likely lower.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Miami Dolphins: -155, Washington Commanders: +130 Miami Dolphins ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Miami Dolphins: -2.5 -115, Washington Commanders: +2.5 -105 Miami Dolphins -2.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over: 47.5 -112, Under: 47.5 -108 Over 47.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Miami Dolphins -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 47.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 47.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Despite the neutral venue, Miami's recent improved performance and slightly better defensive profile give them the edge to win straight up and cover the spread. Given both defenses' weakness, the total over is favored.

Predicted Score: Miami Dolphins 27 – Washington Commanders 20


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New England Patriots vs. New York Jets Prediction NFL in American Football

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Match Analysis: New England Patriots vs New York Jets – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-14
  • Time: 1:15 AM UTC
  • Location: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA

Game Overview

This NFL Week 11 matchup features the New England Patriots (8-2) hosting the New York Jets (2-7). The Patriots have been dominant at home with momentum from a solid recent record, whereas the Jets struggle overall but have shown gritty effort in recent weeks.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Patriots are currently 8-2 with a strong home record and recent wins over playoff-contending teams. Jets are 2-7, struggling defensively and offensively, but managed a recent win against Cleveland.
  • Historically, Patriots have dominated Jets in recent matchups both home and away. Jets have not been able to keep pace with Patriots' offense or defense.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team that would impact key starters. Both teams appear to have their main offensive and defensive players available.
  • Game is played indoors at Gillette Stadium with no weather-related impact expected. Patriots have home crowd advantage and easier travel situation.
  • Patriots are motivated to protect their playoff positioning and continue winning streak. Jets are motivated to avoid a prolonged losing streak and prove competitiveness.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Patriots -800, Jets +550 New England Patriots ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Patriots -11.5 (-110), Jets +11.5 (-110) New England Patriots -11.5 ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 43.5 (-110), Under 43.5 (-110) Under 43.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New England Patriots -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 43.5 24%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 43.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Patriots to win moneyline and cover the spread; game total expected to stay under 43.5 points.

Predicted Score: New England Patriots 27, New York Jets 13


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Green Bay Packers vs. Philadelphia Eagles Prediction NFL in American Football

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Match Analysis: Green Bay Packers vs Philadelphia Eagles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-11
  • Time: 1:15 AM UTC
  • Location: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI

Game Overview

This NFL matchup features the Green Bay Packers hosting the Philadelphia Eagles in a pivotal NFC contest. The Eagles hold a better record (6-2) compared to the Packers (5-2-1) but the game is expected to be closely contested given Green Bay's strong home performances and defensive efficiency.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Philadelphia Eagles show a strong 6-2 record with balanced offense and defense, averaging 208 points scored and 185 allowed, while Green Bay (5-2-1) has a stout defense allowing only 166 points and a slightly lower scoring offense at 206 points.
  • Last season's playoff rematch ended in favor of the Eagles, highlighting a psychological edge. However, recent regular season encounters have been tight, indicating a competitive rivalry.
  • Currently, no critical injuries reported for either team impacting starting lineups significantly, maintaining full-strength squads able to execute game plans.
  • The game is at Lambeau Field, giving the Packers advantage from crowd support and familiar environment. Weather conditions in early November favor low impact for passing and kicking.
  • Packers are motivated to avenge last season’s playoff loss and cement their status in the NFC North, while Eagles aim to continue their strong winning form and maintain NFC East supremacy.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -122 Green Bay Packers ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread -108 Green Bay Packers -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under -112 Under 45.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Green Bay Packers 6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 45.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 45.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Green Bay Packers moneyline

Predicted Score: Green Bay Packers 24 – Philadelphia Eagles 20


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Los Angeles Chargers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction NFL in American Football

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Match Analysis: Los Angeles Chargers vs Pittsburgh Steelers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-10
  • Time: 1:20 AM UTC
  • Location: Los Angeles Chargers Home Stadium

Game Overview

The Los Angeles Chargers (6-3) host the Pittsburgh Steelers (5-3) in a key AFC West vs AFC North matchup. The Chargers enter as 3-point favorites with a total set at 45.5 points. Both teams have notable injuries affecting their rushing attack and some key skill positions.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Chargers are on a 2-game win streak but have a 2-3 record ATS recently; Steelers are 5-3 overall but missing key offensive players. Chargers have scored an average of 23.9 points per game, Steelers 25.3.
  • Recent matchups lean slightly in favor of Chargers at home. Chargers have shown ability to cover a 3-point spread against mid-tier AFC opponents.
  • Chargers lost RB Najee Harris (Achilles), Hassan Haskins (hamstring), and Omarion Hampton (ankle). Steelers injured WR Marquez Valdes-Scantling (calf) and possibly QB Skylar Thompson (hamstring) is questionable.
  • Chargers play at home with an expected crowd advantage. Sunday night spotlight may increase intensity. Weather expected to be clear, no major disruptions.
  • Chargers have 76% playoff odds; a win secures stronger positioning. Steelers fighting to keep pace in AFC North, potentially desperate to keep playoff hopes alive.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -155, away: +130 Los Angeles Chargers ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread home: -105, away: -115 Chargers -3 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under over: -105, under: -115 Over 45.5 ★★★☆☆ 63%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Los Angeles Chargers -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 45.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 45.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Los Angeles Chargers to win straight up, cover the -3 spread, and the total to go over 45.5 points.

Predicted Score: Chargers 26 – Steelers 20


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San Francisco 49ers vs. Los Angeles Rams Prediction NFL in American Football

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Match Analysis: San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Rams – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-09
  • Time: 9:25 PM UTC
  • Location: Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, California

Game Overview

This NFC West clash features the 6-2 Los Angeles Rams visiting the 6-3 San Francisco 49ers. Both teams have strong recent performances, with the Rams coming off a dominant 34-10 win over New Orleans and the 49ers narrowly beating the Giants 34-24 on the road. The Rams are favored -4.5 on the spread with moneyline odds at -225, while the 49ers are +185 underdogs at home. The over/under is set at 49.5 points.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Rams have a 6-2 record, strong defensive showings, and average controlling the game on both sides. 49ers are 6-3 with efficient offense, particularly in the red zone, showing resilience at home.
  • Rams won the first meeting in a close contest, 26-23 in overtime. Revenge is a key factor for the Rams.
  • Rams have multiple key players questionable (WR Jordan Whittington, DT Kalia Davis, DE Keion White, and others). The 49ers have fewer reported impactful injuries.
  • Game played at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara favors the 49ers slightly due to home crowd and weather conditions. Rams show strong motivation to avenge an earlier OT loss.
  • Rams motivated by revenge after close earlier loss. 49ers incentivized to maintain home edge and division standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Rams -225, 49ers +185 Los Angeles Rams ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Rams -4.5 -110, 49ers +4.5 -110 Los Angeles Rams -4.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 49.5 -110, Under 49.5 -110 Over 49.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Los Angeles Rams -16%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 49.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 49.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Los Angeles Rams to win; Spread: Los Angeles Rams -4.5; Over/Under: Over 49.5 points

Predicted Score: Los Angeles Rams 27 – 21 San Francisco 49ers


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Washington Commanders vs. Detroit Lions Prediction NFL in American Football

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Match Analysis: Washington Commanders vs Detroit Lions – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-09
  • Time: 9:25 PM UTC
  • Location: Northwest Stadium, Landover, MD

Game Overview

The Detroit Lions enter as strong favorites with a 5-3 record, boasting a potent offense and solid recent form, while the Washington Commanders struggle at 3-6 with four consecutive losses. The game features the Lions favored by approximately 7.5 points with a total around 49.5 points.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Lions have shown consistent offensive output (239 PF) and a decent defense, while the Commanders have allowed significant points (236 PA) and are on a four-game losing streak. The Lions' road form (2-2) vs. Commanders home (2-2) both are moderate but favor Detroit.
  • Recent playoff meeting saw Washington upset Detroit 45-31 as 8-point underdogs, but this season Detroit is in better form and favored by nearly a touchdown, shifting betting sentiment towards Lions.
  • Washington faces key injuries at quarterback and defense impacting their performance, whereas Detroit appears healthier and more stable, enhancing the Lions' edge.
  • The game is at Washington's home stadium, which historically favors the home team, but Detroit's solid offensive weapons and motivation appear to outweigh home-field advantage.
  • Detroit looks motivated to assert NFC dominance following the previous upset loss to Washington, while Washington battles to halt a losing skid and regain confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Detroit Lions: -470, Washington Commanders: +360 Detroit Lions ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Detroit Lions -7.5: -115, Washington Commanders +7.5: -105 Detroit Lions -7.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 49.5: -108, Under 49.5: -112 Over 49.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Detroit Lions -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 49.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 49.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Detroit Lions to win straight up on the moneyline, cover the 7.5-point spread, and for the game to go over 49.5 points.

Predicted Score: Detroit Lions 30 – Washington Commanders 20


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Seattle Seahawks vs. Arizona Cardinals Prediction NFL in American Football

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Match Analysis: Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-09
  • Time: 9:05 PM UTC
  • Location: Lumen Field, Seattle, Washington

Game Overview

The Seattle Seahawks host the Arizona Cardinals in a crucial NFC West matchup with Seattle favored to win by 6.5 points. The Seahawks carry momentum on a three-game winning streak, holding a strong home record (6-2) versus the Cardinals' struggling 3-5 away performance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Seahawks have been strong at home and on a three-game win streak, showcasing solid offense and defense; Cardinals are inconsistent with a poor road record and multiple recent losses.
  • Recent meetings favor Seattle, with last matchup scoring a combined 43 points; Seahawks generally outperform Cardinals at home.
  • No major injuries reported for Seahawks; Cardinals have key players questionable but not confirmed out, impacting offensive stability.
  • Seattle benefits from home-field advantage and favorable weather conditions for their play style; no significant travel or scheduling disruptions.
  • Seahawks motivated to extend winning streak and solidify playoff positioning; Cardinals aiming to rebound from disappointing start but face uphill task on road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arizona Cardinals: +260, Seattle Seahawks: -325 Seattle Seahawks ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Arizona Cardinals +6.5: +100, Seattle Seahawks -6.5: -120 Seattle Seahawks -6.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 44.5: -115, Under 44.5: -105 Over 44.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Seattle Seahawks -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 44.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Seattle Seahawks to win straight up (moneyline), cover the -6.5 spread, with total points over 44.5

Predicted Score: Seattle Seahawks 31 – Arizona Cardinals 17


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