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Indiana Hoosiers vs. Wisconsin Badgers Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Indiana Hoosiers vs Wisconsin Badgers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 15, 2025
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Memorial Stadium, Bloomington, Indiana

Game Overview

No. 2 Indiana Hoosiers (10-0) host the Wisconsin Badgers (3-6) in a Big Ten matchup. Indiana enters undefeated and ranked second nationally, while Wisconsin seeks to build on a recent upset victory over Washington. This is a massive mismatch on paper, with Indiana heavy favorites across all markets.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Indiana boasts the nation's top-ranked offense (44.5 PPG) and third-ranked defense (12.1 PPG allowed). The Hoosiers rank 9th in rushing attack and 6th in rushing defense. Wisconsin's offense ranks 135th in points per game (12.6 PPG) with a 25th-ranked rushing defense. Indiana has covered the spread 6 times against 4 failures. Wisconsin sits at 4-5 against the spread this season.
  • No recent head-to-head data available in search results. Historical context suggests Ohio State defeated Wisconsin 34-0, which provides a benchmark for dominant teams against the Badgers.
  • No injury information provided in available search results.
  • Indiana nearly lost to Penn State last week in a dramatic comeback, requiring them to stay focused. Wisconsin's win over Washington was a notable upset at home, though playing in Bloomington presents a different challenge. Indiana is motivated to avoid drama and establish dominance after the close call.
  • Indiana is on a collision course with Ohio State in the Big Ten title game and cannot afford losses. The team is likely motivated to establish a statement win after narrowly escaping Penn State. Wisconsin has minimal pressure with a 3-6 record but may carry confidence from their Washington upset.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Indiana -10000 / Wisconsin +2500 Indiana Hoosiers β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜… 98%
Spread Indiana -29.5 -110 Indiana -29.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 76%
Over/under Over 43.5 -115 / Under 43.5 -105 Under 43.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Indiana Hoosiers -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Indiana Hoosiers at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Indiana dominates both sides of the ball against an overmatched Wisconsin team. The Hoosiers will control the game from start to finish, establishing their rushing attack early and forcing Wisconsin into a one-dimensional passing game. Indiana covers a large spread and scores decisively.

Predicted Score: Indiana 38, Wisconsin 7


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Ball State Cardinals vs. Eastern Michigan Eagles Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Ball State Cardinals vs Eastern Michigan Eagles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 15, 2025
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Scheumann Stadium, Muncie, Indiana

Game Overview

MAC conference matchup between Eastern Michigan Eagles (3-7, 2-4 MAC) visiting Ball State Cardinals (4-5, 3-2 MAC). Eastern Michigan enters as 2.5-point favorites despite their inferior record, indicating sportsbooks are pricing in defensive strength. Both teams are struggling offensively, making this a low-scoring conference game with significant uncertainty.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Eastern Michigan averages 24.4 PPG (77th in CFB) but allows 31.7 PPG (128th in CFB), indicating poor defensive efficiency despite offensive competence. Ball State averages only 16.4 PPG (130th in CFB) with 27.9 PPG allowed (85th in CFB), showing they're the weaker offensive unit. Eastern Michigan's 10-game sample shows a 52.4 average total, while Ball State's 9-game sample shows 48.1. Ball State is 4-0 at home ATS this season, a strong indicator of home-field advantage value.
  • No specific historical H2H data provided in search results. Both teams are MAC conference members with similar competitive levels, though Eastern Michigan's defensive weakness could be exploited by Ball State's home crowd.
  • No injury information available in provided search results.
  • Ball State plays at home with clear home-field advantage (4-0 ATS at home). Weather conditions are favorable at 61Β°F with 0% rain chance. Public betting shows 54% of bets and money on Eastern Michigan, suggesting potential sharp action on Ball State value at home. Ball State is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games, demonstrating strong recent form.
  • Ball State's 3-2 MAC record puts them in playoff contention within the conference, while Eastern Michigan's 2-4 MAC record suggests diminished postseason hopes. Home teams in MAC conference games typically show higher motivation, and Ball State's recent ATS success indicates confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ball State +110 | Eastern Michigan -130 Ball State Cardinals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Spread Ball State +2.5 (-112) | Eastern Michigan -2.5 (-108) Ball State +2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 50.5 (-108) | Under 50.5 (-112) Under 50.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ball State Cardinals 13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 50.5 10%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Ball State Cardinals at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ball State Cardinals represent the highest expected value play in this matchup. Despite being underdogs, their home-field advantage (4-0 ATS at home), superior defensive efficiency, recent strong ATS form (4-1 in last 5), and public undervaluation create a +110 moneyline edge. The 2.5-point spread offers additional value, as Ball State's home record suggests the line underestimates their actual home performance.

Predicted Score: Ball State 24, Eastern Michigan 23


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Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Arizona Wildcats Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Cincinnati Bearcats vs Arizona Wildcats – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Nippert Stadium

Game Overview

Big 12 showdown between No. 25 Cincinnati (7-2, 5-1 Big 12) and Arizona (6-3, 3-3 Big 12). Cincinnati controls its destiny for the Big 12 Championship, while Arizona is bowl eligible and playing with momentum. Both teams rank in the top 40 nationally in points per game, with Cincinnati averaging 37 in recent wins and Arizona averaging 40 in its last two road games. The Bearcats are 7-1 at home this season, with their only loss coming on the road at Utah. Arizona has shown resilience, winning four of its last six, including a key road win at Kansas.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cincinnati is 9th nationally in rushing and 69th in passing, while Arizona is 51st in rushing and 43rd in passing. Cincinnati allows fewer points per game and has a stronger defense, especially at home. Arizona is 89th in red zone offense and 92nd in sacks allowed, exposing weaknesses in short-yardage and pass protection.
  • No recent H2H data available, but Cincinnati has a strong home record (7-1) and has won five straight at Nippert Stadium. Arizona is 3-3 in Big 12 play, with mixed results on the road.
  • Cincinnati RB Evan Pryor is questionable, which could impact their rushing attack. Arizona has no major reported injuries.
  • Arizona is a West Coast team playing a noon start in Cincinnati, which can disrupt rhythm and energy. The game is expected to be high-scoring, with both teams in the top 40 in points per game.
  • Cincinnati is in a three-way tie for the top spot in the Big 12 and controls its destiny for the conference title. Arizona is bowl eligible and playing with house money, but has less at stake.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arizona Wildcats: 184, Cincinnati Bearcats: -220 Cincinnati Bearcats β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 74%
Spread Arizona Wildcats: 6.5 -115, Cincinnati Bearcats: -6.5 -105 Cincinnati Bearcats -6.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Over/under Over: 56.5 -110, Under: 56.5 -110 Over 56.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 76%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cincinnati Bearcats -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 56.5 34%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 56.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cincinnati covers the spread and wins outright, but Arizona keeps it competitive. The game is high-scoring, with both teams' offenses performing well.

Predicted Score: Cincinnati 42, Arizona 28


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Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Kansas State Wildcats Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Kansas State Wildcats – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Boone Pickens Stadium, Stillwater, Oklahoma

Game Overview

The Kansas State Wildcats enter with a 4-5 overall record and a more competitive 3-3 Big 12 conference record, playing at Oklahoma State's home field. Oklahoma State Cowboys have struggled significantly this season with a 1-8 record and a 0-6 conference record, suffering multiple heavy losses recently.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Kansas State has a moderate form with some recent wins, including a 42-17 win at Kansas and close losses, showing offensive capability and competitive defense. Oklahoma State has lost five straight games, many by large margins, and is 2-12 ATS in last 14 games, reflecting poor performance overall.
  • Kansas State has generally dominated the matchup recently, reflected in a large moneyline favorite at -1350 and a heavy spread favoring Kansas State by 19.5 points, indicating historical and present superior strength.
  • No significant injury reports available, suggesting rosters likely near full strength for both sides.
  • The game is at Oklahoma State's home stadium; however, with the Cowboys' poor form and low motivation, home advantage appears limited in impact.
  • Kansas State remains motivated to secure a crucial Big 12 win to improve bowl eligibility prospects, while Oklahoma State's poor season performance likely dampens morale and competitive urgency.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Kansas State Wildcats: -1350, Oklahoma State Cowboys: +810 Kansas State Wildcats β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread Kansas State Wildcats -19.5: -110, Oklahoma State Cowboys +19.5: -110 Kansas State Wildcats -19.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Over/under Over 51.5: -106, Under 51.5: -114 Over 51.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Oklahoma State Cowboys -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 51.5 20%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 51.5 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Kansas State to win straight up, cover the 19.5-point spread, and the game total to go over 51.5 points.

Predicted Score: Kansas State Wildcats 42 – Oklahoma State Cowboys 16


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Northwestern Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Northwestern Wildcats vs Michigan Wolverines – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago, Illinois

Game Overview

The No. 21 Michigan Wolverines (7-2) face the Northwestern Wildcats (5-4) in a Big Ten matchup at a neutral site, Wrigley Field. Michigan enters as heavy favorites with a strong defense and a slight edge in recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Michigan has a solid 7-2 record with the nation's 13th-ranked scoring defense and an average implied scoring around 31 points per game. Northwestern stands at 5-4 with a strong 21st-ranked scoring defense but struggles offensively.
  • Michigan and Northwestern have a competitive history but Michigan holds the upper hand in recent encounters and overall conference strength.
  • No major injuries reported for either team affecting starting lineups or key defensive units.
  • The game is played at Wrigley Field in Chicago, which is a neutral and possibly challenging outdoor venue late in the season, favoring the more disciplined Michigan team.
  • Michigan aims to solidify its playoff positioning with a crucial conference road win, while Northwestern seeks to upset an elite team to boost its bowl eligibility prospects.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Michigan: -485, Northwestern: +370 Michigan β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread Michigan: -108, Northwestern: -112 Michigan -12.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Over/under Over 40.5: -115, Under 40.5: -105 Over 40.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Michigan Wolverines 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 40.5 22%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 40.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Michigan Wolverines to win straight up on the moneyline, covering the 12.5-point spread, and the total points to go over 40.5.

Predicted Score: Michigan 34 – Northwestern 17


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Charlotte 49ers vs. UTSA Roadrunners Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Charlotte 49ers vs UTSA Roadrunners – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Jerry Richardson Stadium

Game Overview

The UTSA Roadrunners (4-5) visit the Charlotte 49ers (1-8) in an American Athletic Conference matchup where UTSA is a heavy favorite. UTSA aims to regain momentum late in the season, while Charlotte struggles for its first conference win.

Key Factors to Consider

  • UTSA has a 4-5 record but shows stronger offensive firepower and defensive capabilities compared to the 1-8 Charlotte 49ers. Charlotte's defense has vulnerabilities, especially against the pass, and they have struggled both overall and against the spread. UTSA’s road performance is weaker (1-4 ATS), though their talent level remains superior.
  • Recent meetings tend to favor UTSA comfortably, with the Roadrunners often winning by double-digit margins. The matchups historically show totals leaning under, due to defensive tendencies, but UTSA's offensive ability and Charlotte’s defensive frailties suggest a possible high-scoring game this time.
  • Charlotte is dealing with multiple injuries affecting key offensive players, including WR Willie McCoy III, TE Grant Laskey, and RB Henry Rutledge, limiting their offensive potential. UTSA’s injury report is lighter comparatively, preserving their more complete roster.
  • Home-field advantage for Charlotte exists but is muted by their poor recent form and roster challenges. Weather conditions are mild (69Β°F, no rain), unlikely to influence play significantly. Public betting heavily favors Charlotte ATS (72%), possibly indicating sharp money on UTSA.
  • UTSA seeks to build late-season momentum and improve from road inconsistencies, while Charlotte fights to avoid a winless conference campaign. UTSA’s higher motivation to rebound is a crucial edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +750, away: -1200 UTSA Roadrunners β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread home: +18.5 -110, away: -18.5 -110 UTSA to cover -18.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Over/under over: 59.5 -110, under: 59.5 -110 Over 59.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline UTSA Roadrunners -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 59.5 24%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 59.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

UTSA to win straight up on the moneyline

Predicted Score: UTSA 42 – Charlotte 17


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Oregon Ducks vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Oregon Ducks vs Minnesota Golden Gophers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 14, 2025
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Autzen Stadium, Eugene, Oregon

Game Overview

No. 7 Oregon (8-1) hosts Minnesota (6-3) in a Pac-12/Big Ten matchup. Oregon enters as a heavy 25.5-point favorite with a dominant home field advantage and elite offensive firepower. Minnesota seeks an upset as a road underdog coming off a bye week and recent bowl eligibility clinching victory.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Oregon ranks 13th nationally in points scored (38.7 PPG) with the 6th-ranked rushing attack and 5th-ranked rushing defense (13.8 PPG allowed). Minnesota scores just 23.8 PPG (101st) and allows 21.6 PPG (33rd). Oregon has won 5 of last 6 games as a moneyline favorite. Oregon's home splits show 40.0 average implied total at home vs 32.3 away, with 2-1 favorite record at Autzen.
  • These programs have limited recent history as this represents a scheduling mismatch between conferences. No significant historical trend data available.
  • Oregon potentially missing up to 5 offensive starters due to injuries sustained in last week's dramatic victory at Iowa. This represents a material concern for game execution despite overall talent advantage. Minnesota health status not specifically flagged as concern.
  • Oregon's emotional letdown risk following dramatic road victory is real. Minnesota's extended bye week (11 days) provides rare preparation and rest advantage for an underdog. Autzen Stadium is a hostile environment (+3 point advantage empirically for home teams). Game time (9 PM ET, 6 PM local) is neutral.
  • Oregon must manage bulletin board material and potential complacency; Minnesota energized by bowl eligibility and rare preparation time. This creates a classic 'flat spot' scenario despite talent disparity. Oregon's implied total of 40.0 at home suggests bookmakers pricing in some efficiency loss.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Oregon -7000 / Minnesota +2000 Oregon Ducks ML β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 87%
Spread Oregon -25.5 (-105) / Minnesota +25.5 (-115) Minnesota Golden Gophers +25.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%
Over/under Over 44.5 (-110) / Under 44.5 (-110) Under 44.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Oregon Ducks -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 44.5 13%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 44.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Oregon wins convincingly but the 25.5-point spread overvalues the gap given injury concerns and situational dynamics. Minnesota covers as a live underdog with strong rest advantage. Under 44.5 projects as optimal as Oregon's injuries and Minnesota's conservative offense limit total points.

Predicted Score: Oregon 28, Minnesota 10


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Louisville Cardinals vs. Clemson Tigers Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Louisville Cardinals vs Clemson Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium, Louisville, Kentucky

Game Overview

The No. 14 Louisville Cardinals (7-2, 4-2 ACC) host the Clemson Tigers (4-5, 3-4 ACC) in an Atlantic Coast Conference matchup. Louisville enters as the favorite with better recent form and home advantage. Both teams possess strong run defenses ranked in the top 25 nationally, predicting a competitive contest.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Louisville holds a superior season record (7-2) and a positive conference record with strong defensive stats. Clemson has struggled this season at 4-5 overall and 3-4 in ACC play. Louisville has consistently covered spreads as favorites and demonstrated resilience at home.
  • Recent head-to-head matchups show Louisville favored and successful against Clemson, with Louisville ranked No. 19 in run defense and Clemson No. 20. Louisville's home field advantage and stronger recent results favor them.
  • No significant injury reports impacting starting lineups for either team have been noted, suggesting both starters will likely play at full strength.
  • Playing at home under favorable conditions, Louisville benefits from crowd support and travel challenges for Clemson. Weather forecasts suggest no adverse conditions affecting gameplay.
  • Louisville, with a strong record and bowl prospects, has high motivation to secure a conference win. Clemson, under .500, will seek an upset but may lack consistency.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Louisville -142 / Clemson +120 Louisville Cardinals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Louisville -2.5 (-118), Clemson +2.5 (-102) Louisville Cardinals -2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 49.5 -115, Under 49.5 -105 Over 49.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Louisville Cardinals 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 49.5 7%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 49.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Pick Louisville Cardinals to win outright on the moneyline, cover the -2.5 spread, and for the game total to go Over 49.5 points.

Predicted Score: Louisville Cardinals 28 – Clemson Tigers 21


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Old Dominion Monarchs vs. Troy Trojans Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Old Dominion Monarchs vs Troy Trojans – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-14
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Kornblau Field at S.B. Ballard Stadium, Norfolk, VA

Game Overview

The matchup features evenly matched Sun Belt teams Old Dominion Monarchs and Troy Trojans, both at 6-3 records. Old Dominion hosts at home with slightly better recent form and home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Old Dominion is 4-1 in the last 5 games and 4-1 against the spread, showing stronger recent form. Both teams average similar records (6-3), but Old Dominion displays a balanced offense with 31.9 PPG and solid defense allowing 23.4 PPG.
  • Recent head-to-head data is limited, but Old Dominion holds a significant advantage in win probability models (79% pregame win probability vs. 21% for Troy), suggesting historical or situational dominance.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team influencing key positions, indicating full-strength squads.
  • Game played outdoors at Old Dominion’s home stadium with favorable weather (49Β°F, 0% rain, low wind), conditions favoring offensive execution.
  • Both teams are competing for better Sun Belt standings with 3-2 (Old Dominion) and 4-1 (Troy) conference records; Old Dominion motivated to defend home turf and improve its position with a recent strong run.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Old Dominion Monarchs: -450, Troy Trojans: +350 Old Dominion Monarchs β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 82%
Spread Old Dominion Monarchs -10.5: -115, Troy Trojans +10.5: -105 Old Dominion Monarchs -10.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Over/under Over 52.5: -110, Under 52.5: -110 Under 52.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Old Dominion Monarchs -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 52.5 11%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 52.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Old Dominion Monarchs to win straight up (moneyline), cover the spread (-10.5), and the total to go under 52.5 points.

Predicted Score: Old Dominion Monarchs 28 – Troy Trojans 17


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Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Buffalo Bulls Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Central Michigan Chippewas vs Buffalo Bulls – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 12, 2025
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Kelly/Shorts Stadium, Mount Pleasant, Michigan

Game Overview

Two 5-4 MAC contendersβ€”Central Michigan Chippewas and Buffalo Bullsβ€”meet in a tightly contested matchup. Both teams are on the fringes of conference title contention, with Buffalo holding a slight edge in defense and Central Michigan boasting recent momentum.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Central Michigan is 4-1 over its last 5 games (both straight up and against the spread), indicating upward momentum. Buffalo’s defense ranks 7th in PFF tackling and 14th in defensive rushing success rate, suggesting they can neutralize Central Michigan’s strong ground game. Offensively, both teams average about 24 points per game, but Buffalo allows 5 fewer points per game defensively[1][3][6].
  • No recent detailed head-to-head results available; both programs are of similar caliber, making this a true toss-up.
  • No injury details reported in available data; assume both teams at full strength.
  • No significant external factors reported; weather at game time is expected to be 39Β°F with 0% chance of rain and 11 mph wind, which should favor the defense and potentially slow down the passing game[1].
  • Both teams need this win to stay alive in the MAC East race; Buffalo (4-1 MAC) has a slight edge in the standings over Central Michigan (3-2 MAC)[4].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Buffalo Bulls +102, Central Michigan Chippewas -120 Buffalo Bulls +102 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 53%
Spread Buffalo Bulls +2.5 -115, Central Michigan Chippewas -2.5 -105 Buffalo Bulls +2.5 -115 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 44.5 -105, Under 44.5 -115 Under 44.5 -115 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Buffalo Bulls 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 44.5 8%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 44.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Buffalo’s defensive advantage and slight edge in motivation could tip this game, but Central Michigan’s home field and recent form are strong counterfactors. Expect a low-scoring, competitive game with value on Buffalo to keep it within a field goal on the road.

Predicted Score: Central Michigan 20, Buffalo 17


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