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Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Maryland Terrapins Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Illinois Fighting Illini vs Maryland Terrapins – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 15, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Memorial Stadium, Champaign, IL

Game Overview

Big Ten conference matchup between the Illinois Fighting Illini (6-3) hosting the Maryland Terrapins (4-5). Illinois enters as a heavy favorite, laying 14.5 points with a moneyline of -750, reflecting their superior record and home-field advantage. Maryland faces a significant uphill battle as a double-digit underdog.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Illinois has been in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 games and covering the spread in all 4 of those wins. They are 4-1 ATS at home this season. Maryland has struggled, sitting at 4-5 overall with a 0-3 ATS record as an underdog. Illinois averages 40.6 implied points at home versus Maryland's 28.8 on the road, indicating a significant talent gap.
  • No recent head-to-head history provided in available data, suggesting this is a conference matchup between teams without significant recent rivalry context.
  • No injury information available in provided search results.
  • Weather forecast shows 68°F with 0% rain chance and 16 mph wind in Champaign, creating favorable playing conditions. Game will be broadcast on FS1 with national exposure. Illinois plays at home with crowd support.
  • Illinois is in playoff contention with a 6-3 record and recent winning streak, playing with confidence. Maryland must win to improve bowl eligibility chances at 4-5, creating motivation but limited expectation given the talent disparity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Illinois -750 | Maryland +530 Illinois Fighting Illini ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Illinois -14.5 -110 | Maryland +14.5 -110 Illinois -14.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 53.5 -110 | Under 53.5 -110 Under 53.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Illinois Fighting Illini -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 53.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 53.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Illinois dominates at home, covering the spread comfortably in a low-scoring affair. The Illini's defensive strength and home form should overwhelm a struggling Maryland team that cannot generate sufficient offense.

Predicted Score: Illinois 31, Maryland 10


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Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Oklahoma Sooners Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Alabama Crimson Tide vs Oklahoma Sooners – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, Alabama

Game Overview

The No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide host the No. 11 Oklahoma Sooners in a high-stakes NCAA football matchup. Alabama enters as favorite both on the moneyline and spread, with the total set near 45.5 points, reflecting expectations of a competitive but controlled scoring game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alabama holds an 8-1 record with a very strong home advantage (5-0 ATS at home) supported by the 14th-ranked passing offense. Oklahoma is 7-2 overall with a solid defense ranked 23rd against the pass but slightly weaker than Alabama's attack.
  • Recent matchups favor Alabama with strong performances vs Oklahoma; historical trends show Alabama's ability to cover moderate spreads at home against this team.
  • No major injuries reported impacting key offensive or defensive starters on either side, preserving both teams' depth and capabilities.
  • Home-field advantage for Alabama at Bryant-Denny Stadium is significant, with crowd support expected to influence momentum.
  • Alabama aims to consolidate a top 4 national ranking; Oklahoma seeks to break into the top 10. Both teams are highly motivated, but Alabama’s superior home convenience and recent form give them an edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alabama Crimson Tide: -225, Oklahoma Sooners: +185 Alabama Crimson Tide ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Alabama Crimson Tide -6: -108, Oklahoma Sooners +6: -112 Alabama Crimson Tide -6 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 45.5: -112, Under 45.5: -108 Over 45.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alabama Crimson Tide -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 45.5 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 45.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alabama Crimson Tide to win outright on the moneyline, cover the -6 spread, and the game to go over 45.5 points.

Predicted Score: Alabama Crimson Tide 31 – Oklahoma Sooners 20


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Duke Blue Devils vs. Virginia Cavaliers Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Duke Blue Devils vs Virginia Cavaliers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: Saturday, November 15, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Brooks Field at Wallace Wade Stadium, Durham, NC

Game Overview

ACC conference matchup between No. 20 Virginia Cavaliers (8-2) and Duke Blue Devils (5-4). Virginia enters as a road underdog despite their superior record, facing a Duke team that has struggled but possesses a top-20 offensive unit. This game represents a critical juncture for both teams with playoff implications tightening.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Duke has won 3 of last 5 games but is 2-3 ATS in that span, indicating inconsistent performance relative to market expectations. Virginia has won 8 of 10 games but posted just 9 points against Wake Forest in their most recent outing—their worst offensive performance of the season. Duke ranks 9th in net points per drive and averages over 35 PPG; Virginia's defense ranks 95th in points per quality drive, a critical mismatch. Duke's 3-2 record in road games ATS suggests adequate road performance, while the totals have gone OVER in 4 of Duke's last 5 games.
  • Virginia leads the series 2-1 in their last three matchups and covered the spread twice in those games. However, Duke has been outscored by 30 points in its last three meetings against Virginia, indicating historical struggles in this rivalry despite current form divergence.
  • No significant injury information available in current reports.
  • Virginia has benefited from a lighter schedule but now faces a Duke team with a more rigorous strength of schedule. Recency bias suggests both teams are in bounce-back mode after poor recent performances (UConn loss for Duke, Wake Forest loss for Virginia), but Duke's offensive firepower and defensive efficiency metrics are substantially superior.
  • Duke faces pressure to salvage a disappointing season at home. Virginia carries momentum from their 8-2 record but must prove their recent slump was an anomaly rather than a sign of deteriorating form. Home-field advantage and the need to establish legitimacy as a playoff contender favor Duke.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Duke -180 / Virginia +152 Duke Blue Devils ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Duke -4.5 -105 / Virginia +4.5 -115 Duke -4.5 ★★★☆☆ 64%
Over/under Over 58.5 -110 / Under 58.5 -110 Over 58.5 ★★★☆☆ 61%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Duke Blue Devils 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 58.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 58.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Duke Blue Devils win 31-24. The Blue Devils' elite offensive efficiency and superior defensive metrics at stopping quality drives will exploit Virginia's defensive vulnerabilities. Despite Virginia's regular-season record, their recent offensive collapse and defensive ranking suggest they lack the consistency to keep pace with Duke's high-octane attack.

Predicted Score: Duke 31, Virginia 24


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USC Trojans vs. Iowa Hawkeyes Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: USC Trojans vs Iowa Hawkeyes – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 15, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum, Los Angeles, California

Game Overview

No. 17 USC Trojans (7-2) host No. 5 Iowa Hawkeyes (6-3) in a Week 12 matchup featuring contrasting defensive and offensive strengths. USC brings the seventh-ranked scoring offense, while Iowa counters with the fifth-ranked scoring defense. This matchup pits USC's explosive offensive capabilities against Iowa's elite defensive unit in a critical late-season contest.

Key Factors to Consider

  • USC maintains a 7-2 record with a seventh-ranked scoring offense, averaging strong offensive output. Iowa enters at 6-3 with the nation's fifth-ranked scoring defense, allowing teams to score at significantly reduced rates. Iowa's road performance shows vulnerability (2-0-1 ATS away, but with a lower 23.3 implied total), while USC plays at home where it typically dominates.
  • Insufficient recent historical data provided in search results to establish reliable H2H patterns. Analysis relies on current season matchup dynamics.
  • No injury information provided in available search results. Assume full availability for both rosters pending official pre-game reports.
  • Home field advantage in Los Angeles favors USC. The game is scheduled for a Saturday afternoon slot on BTN, a neutral broadcast environment. Temperature and weather conditions at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum typically favor high-scoring contests in November.
  • Both teams entering critical stretch of season. Iowa needs to maintain bowl eligibility trajectory against ranked opponent. USC seeks to bolster resume with quality win at home. No significant external motivational disparities identified.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline USC -258, Iowa +210 USC Trojans Win ★★★★☆ 71%
Spread USC -7 (-112), Iowa +7 (-108) USC -7 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 49.5 (-110), Under 49.5 (-110) Over 49.5 ★★★☆☆ 64%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline USC Trojans -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 49.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 49.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

USC Trojans defeat Iowa Hawkeyes by 6-8 points. The Trojans' superior offensive firepower should overcome Iowa's defensive excellence in a moderately high-scoring affair. Home field advantage and offensive ranking differential favor the hosts, though Iowa's defensive unit will keep the contest competitive.

Predicted Score: USC 28, Iowa 21


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Miami Hurricanes vs. NC State Wolfpack Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Miami Hurricanes vs NC State Wolfpack – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Hard Rock Stadium

Game Overview

Miami Hurricanes host NC State Wolfpack in a pivotal ACC matchup. Miami enters as heavy favorites, with playoff hopes on the line, while NC State looks to upset and salvage their season after a recent win over Georgia Tech.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Miami averages 32.9 points per game and allows just 15.0 points per game, showing strong offensive consistency and elite defense. NC State averages 57.5 points per game but allows 36+ points in three straight games, ranking near the bottom nationally in total and passing defense.
  • Miami has won 12 of its last 13 games against non-AP-ranked teams at home. NC State has lost five of its last six games against AP-ranked teams.
  • No major injuries reported for either team.
  • Game will be played at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL, with favorable weather conditions (78°F, 0% rain). Miami has a strong home-field advantage, especially against unranked opponents.
  • Miami is fighting for playoff contention and cannot afford a loss. NC State is motivated after an upset win but faces a much tougher opponent with more to play for.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -700, away: 500 Miami Hurricanes ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread home: -15.5 -112, away: 15.5 -108 Miami Hurricanes -15.5 ★★★★☆ 74%
Over/under over: 55.5 -108, under: 55.5 -112 Over 55.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Miami Hurricanes 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 55.5 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 55.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Miami Hurricanes to win and cover the spread, with the game going over the total points line.

Predicted Score: 42-24


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Boston College Eagles vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Boston College Eagles vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Alumni Stadium, Chestnut Hill, MA

Game Overview

No. 16 Georgia Tech (8-1) faces Boston College (1-9) in an ACC matchup with a massive talent and record gap. Georgia Tech is a heavy favorite, with the spread at 16.5 and the total set at 58.5 points. The Yellow Jackets have dominated offensively, while Boston College has struggled defensively and offensively all season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Georgia Tech averages 55.3 points per game and has a strong offensive efficiency (6.8 yards/play, 0.492 points/play). Boston College averages only 4.6 yards/play and 0.258 points/play, with a poor ATS record and a tendency to allow high totals. The Eagles have gone over in 5 of their last 5 games.
  • Georgia Tech has dominated recent matchups, with a clear edge in scoring, yardage, and efficiency. No recent H2H data suggests a competitive game.
  • No major injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
  • Game is played at Alumni Stadium, Boston College's home field, but the Eagles have not shown a strong home advantage this season. Weather is expected to be mild with no precipitation.
  • Georgia Tech is fighting for a top ACC spot and potential playoff implications. Boston College is playing for pride and to avoid a winless conference season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 610, away: -900 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Not available
Spread home: 16.5, away: -16.5 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets -16.5 Not available
Over/under over: 58.5, under: 58.5 Over 58.5 Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 58.5 38%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 58.5 at 38% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 44.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Georgia Tech will win decisively, likely covering the 16.5-point spread. The game is expected to be high-scoring, with both teams' recent trends and offensive stats favoring the over.

Predicted Score: Georgia Tech 41, Boston College 24


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James Madison Dukes vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: James Madison Dukes vs Appalachian State Mountaineers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Bridgeforth Stadium/Zane Showker Field, Harrisonburg, VA

Game Overview

James Madison Dukes (8-1, 1st Sun Belt) host Appalachian State Mountaineers (4-5) in a pivotal Sun Belt matchup. James Madison is a heavy favorite with a top-15 passing defense, while Appalachian State boasts the 16th-ranked pass offense but has struggled on the road and against conference opponents.

Key Factors to Consider

  • James Madison is 8-1 with a 4-0 home record, 6-3 ATS, and has covered the spread in 4 of its last 5 games in Virginia. Appalachian State is 4-5, 1-4 ATS as a road underdog, and has lost 7 of its last 8 road games against conference foes. The Dukes have won 10 straight as favorites, while the Mountaineers have failed to cover the spread in 4 of their last 5 as road dogs.
  • No recent H2H data available, but James Madison has dominated as a favorite and at home, while Appalachian State has struggled in similar matchups.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team.
  • Game is played at James Madison's home stadium, which has seen high-scoring games (average 50.5 points per home game). Weather is favorable with no rain and mild temperatures.
  • James Madison is fighting for a conference title and playoff positioning, while Appalachian State is out of contention and playing for pride.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -1800, away: 1000 James Madison Dukes ★★★★☆ 88%
Spread home: -21, away: 21 James Madison Dukes -21 ★★★★☆ 74%
Over/under over: 53.5 -110, under: 53.5 -110 Over 53.5 ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline James Madison Dukes -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 53.5 30%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 53.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

James Madison will win decisively, cover the spread, and the game will go over the total.

Predicted Score: James Madison 38 – Appalachian State 24


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Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles vs. Texas State Bobcats Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles vs Texas State Bobcats – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: M.M. Roberts Stadium, Hattiesburg, Mississippi

Game Overview

The Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles (7-2) host the Texas State Bobcats (3-6) in a Sun Belt conference matchup. Southern Miss enters with a strong record and defensive edge, while Texas State struggles, especially on defense and getting turnovers.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Southern Miss holds a 7-2 record with a solid defense ranking 63rd in points allowed (24.2 per game) and an opportunistic turnover margin (forced 25, allowed 9). Texas State is 3-6, ranking near the bottom defensively (125th in points allowed at 34.8) and has struggled to force turnovers (5 forced, 13 allowed). Southern Miss also has better recent form, winning 4 of the last 5 games.
  • Historically, Southern Miss has dominated Texas State, winning their last 11 home games as favorites against Texas teams. Texas State has lost its last four road games and failed to cover the spread in seven consecutive games.
  • No major injury reports affecting starters reported for either team, allowing full-strength lineups.
  • Weather forecast expects 77°F and clear conditions with no wind or rain, favoring a stable offensive game environment at home advantage for Southern Miss.
  • Southern Miss is motivated to maintain momentum late in the season for potential bowl positioning, while Texas State's motivation is tempered by a losing record and underdog status.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Southern Miss -175, Texas State +145 Southern Miss ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Southern Miss -3.5 -112, Texas State +3.5 -108 Southern Miss -3.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 65.5 -112, Under 65.5 -108 Under 65.5 ★★★☆☆ 67%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 65.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 65.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles to win straight up, cover the -3.5 spread, and the total points to go under 65.5.

Predicted Score: Southern Miss 31, Texas State 24


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Missouri State Bears vs. UTEP Miners Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Missouri State Bears vs UTEP Miners – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Robert W. Plaster Stadium

Game Overview

Missouri State Bears (6-3) host UTEP Miners (2-7) in a Conference USA matchup. The Bears are favored on the moneyline and spread, with a total set at 49.5 points. Both teams have struggled with injuries and inconsistent offensive production.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Missouri State has won 3 of their last 5 games and 3 of their last 5 ATS, but their offense has been limited, averaging 3.49 YPC and 13.9 yards per point. UTEP has lost 5 straight, averaging 3.58 YPC and 15.58 yards per point, with a weak turnover margin and poor road record.
  • No recent H2H data available, but Missouri State has a clear edge in overall record and conference standing.
  • Missouri State is missing LB Jalen Brooks (out). UTEP has multiple key injuries: WRs Tate, Rhone, Smith, Bell Jr., TEs Ezinwa, Cheeks, Clinton, RB Thomas, LB Dyman, and WR Hill. These absences severely impact UTEP's offensive and defensive depth.
  • Game is at Missouri State's home stadium. Weather is favorable (74°F, 0% rain, light wind). Missouri State’s home totals have gone under in 4 of their last 5 games.
  • Missouri State is fighting for a winning season and bowl eligibility. UTEP is out of contention and has little to play for, which may affect effort and focus.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -192 Missouri State Bears ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread -4.5 -108 Missouri State Bears -4.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under 49.5 -108 Under ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Missouri State Bears -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 49.5 33%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 49.5 at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 36.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Missouri State Bears to win outright and cover the spread, with the game finishing under the total.

Predicted Score: Missouri State 24, UTEP 17


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New Mexico Lobos vs. Colorado State Rams Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: New Mexico Lobos vs Colorado State Rams – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: University Stadium (NM), Albuquerque, New Mexico

Game Overview

New Mexico Lobos (6-3, 3-2 MW) host Colorado State Rams (2-7, 1-4 MW) in a Mountain West matchup. The Lobos are strong favorites at home, while the Rams are struggling offensively and defensively, especially on the road.

Key Factors to Consider

  • New Mexico has won 6 of 9, including 5 straight at home, and has scored at least 33 in their last two games. Colorado State has lost 3 in a row, scoring only 29 total points in those losses, and has failed to cover the spread in 5 of their last 6 games as underdogs.
  • The favorite has covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 meetings. New Mexico has won the first half in 3 of their last 4 home games against conference opponents.
  • No major injuries reported for either team.
  • Game is at altitude in Albuquerque, which favors New Mexico’s home advantage. Weather is expected to be clear.
  • New Mexico is playing for a strong conference finish and bowl eligibility. Colorado State is out of contention and has lost 9 of their last 10 November games as underdogs.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -700, away: 500 New Mexico Lobos Not available
Spread home: -14.5, away: 14.5 New Mexico Lobos -14.5 Not available
Over/under over: 53.5, under: 53.5 Under 53.5 Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New Mexico Lobos 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 53.5 30%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 53.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

New Mexico wins comfortably and covers the spread. The game stays under the total due to Colorado State’s offensive struggles and New Mexico’s defensive consistency.

Predicted Score: 34-17


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