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Georgia Bulldogs vs. Alabama Crimson Tide Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Georgia Bulldogs vs Alabama Crimson Tide – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Neutral site (assumed home Georgia Bulldogs)

Game Overview

The matchup between the Georgia Bulldogs and Alabama Crimson Tide is highly competitive, featuring two top-20 teams with contrasting recent defensive performances and intriguing offensive weapons. Georgia holds a slight moneyline favor and home advantage, but Alabama’s improved passing offense and potential to exploit Georgia’s defense keep this game in a tossup range.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Georgia’s defense shows some vulnerability, ranking 79th in pressure rate and having recently been exposed in the secondary, while their offense remains solid and trusted. Alabama’s offense has dramatically improved after a shaky Week 1, notably with QB Ty Simpson's effective passing leading recent success.
  • Recent encounters between Georgia and Alabama have been close battles, with neither team dominating decisively. Michigan predictions and expert picks lean marginally towards Georgia winning by a close margin.
  • No critical injuries reported that drastically impact starting lineups or key positional battles for either team.
  • Weather and venue conditions favor Georgia as the home team, with no significant external disruptions expected that could affect gameplay.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to maintain undefeated or strong early-season records with high rankings, but Georgia’s home crowd and stakes for conference positioning could add slight edge to motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Georgia Bulldogs: -155, Alabama Crimson Tide: 130 Georgia Bulldogs ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Georgia Bulldogs -3: -112, Alabama Crimson Tide +3: -108 Georgia Bulldogs -3 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 52.5: -110, Under 52.5: -110 Over 52.5 ★★★☆☆ 57%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Georgia Bulldogs 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 52.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 52.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Georgia Bulldogs moneyline win with a close final score around 31-27.

Predicted Score: 31-27


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Missouri Tigers vs. UMass Minutemen Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Missouri Tigers vs UMass Minutemen – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Memorial Stadium, Columbia, MO

Game Overview

Missouri Tigers (4-0), ranked No. 20, host winless UMass Minutemen (0-3) at home in a matchup heavily favoring Missouri with a massive 44.5-point spread and a total set at 56.5.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Missouri enters undefeated (4-0), having recently beaten South Carolina 29-20, showing solid offense and defense. UMass is struggling at 0-3 with heavy losses, including a 47-7 defeat to Iowa, averaging only 14.3 points and allowing 38.7 points per game.
  • No recent direct head-to-head data available, but Missouri's dominant season performance versus UMass’s 0-3 start indicates a large talent and execution gap.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team that would materially impact the game outcome. Missouri appears healthy and motivated.
  • Game played at Missouri's home stadium, offering home crowd advantage and familiar conditions. Weather expected to be 76°F with no precipitation and light wind, favorable for offensive play.
  • Missouri aims to maintain undefeated status and top 20 ranking, highly motivated to dominate an overmatched opponent. UMass looks to avoid a fourth straight loss and prove resilience despite the odds.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Missouri -24900, UMass +2400 Missouri ★★★★★ 95%
Spread Missouri -44.5 (-114), UMass +44.5 (-106) Missouri -44.5 ★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under Over 56.5 -105, Under 56.5 -115 Over 56.5 ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 56.5 37%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 56.5 at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 38.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Missouri dominates in all markets due to superior talent, form, and home advantage. Expect Missouri moneyline win, cover of large spread, and total points going over the 56.5 line.

Predicted Score: Missouri 48 – UMass 7


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Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Oregon Ducks Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Penn State Nittany Lions vs Oregon Ducks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: West Shore Home Field at Beaver Stadium, University Park, Pennsylvania

Game Overview

This is a high-profile Big Ten-Pac-12 matchup between No. 3 Penn State Nittany Lions (3-0) and No. 6 Oregon Ducks (4-0), both undefeated. Oregon has been dominant offensively with a combined 203-37 scoring margin in their first four games, while Penn State boasts one of the top scoring defenses nationally. The teams have history from a wild 45-37 Oregon win last December in the conference championship, adding a revenge element for Penn State.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Penn State is 3-0 with a strong defense and recently routed Villanova 52-6. Oregon is 4-0, scoring high with a 41-7 last victory over Oregon State. Penn State has been solid but not tested against elite teams yet; Oregon has been dominant throughout the season so far.
  • Last meeting was December 7, 2024 with Oregon winning 45-37 in a competitive, high-scoring game. Historically, records are mixed, but recent momentum favors Oregon due to offensive prowess and last season's victory.
  • No significant injury reports impacting key starters for either team, allowing both squads to be near full strength for the matchup.
  • The game is played at Penn State's home stadium, which typically provides a strong home-field advantage. NBC national broadcast increases pressure and motivation. Weather conditions are usual for Pennsylvania early fall, no adverse factors reported.
  • Penn State motivated to avenge last year’s championship loss and prove themselves against a top-10 opponent. Oregon aims to maintain perfect season momentum and assert Pac-12 dominance, creating a high-stakes atmosphere for both.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Penn State -175, Oregon +145 Penn State ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Penn State -3.5 (-108), Oregon +3.5 (-112) Oregon +3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 51.5 (-115), Under 51.5 (-105) Over 51.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Penn State Nittany Lions -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 51.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 51.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Penn State to win straight up, but Oregon to cover the spread due to their offensive strength and Penn State's occasional struggles against top-tier competition. Expect a competitive, moderately high scoring game slightly over the total.

Predicted Score: Penn State 28 – Oregon 24


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Stanford Cardinal vs. San Jose State Spartans Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Stanford Cardinal vs San Jose State Spartans – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Stanford Stadium

Game Overview

Stanford Cardinal hosts San Jose State Spartans in a closely matched Pac-12 vs. Mountain West contest. Stanford is slight favorite at home despite a subpar 1-3 start, while San Jose State (1-2) seeks to improve and leverage a marginally better power ranking.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Stanford enters with a 1-3 record, struggling offensively but benefiting from home field. San Jose State is 1-2 but holds a slightly higher power ranking (94.67 vs 91.33) and better recent form in defensive metrics.
  • Limited recent H2H data, but the teams are competitively close with previous matchups often decided by single-digit margins.
  • No significant injuries reported impacting key starters for either team as of pregame assessments.
  • Game played at Stanford Stadium, giving Cardinal a home field edge. Weather and other external conditions expected neutral and not impacting gameplay.
  • Both teams motivated to reverse early season struggles; Stanford aims to protect home turf while San Jose State wants to prove superiority over Power 5 opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Stanford -142, San Jose State +120 Stanford ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Stanford -3 -108, San Jose State +3 -112 Stanford -3 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 49.5 -115, Under 49.5 -105 Under 49.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Stanford Cardinal 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 49.5 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 49.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Stanford Cardinal to win on the moneyline and cover the -3 point spread; total points expected to go under 49.5.

Predicted Score: Stanford 24 – San Jose State 17


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Iowa State Cyclones vs. Arizona Wildcats Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Iowa State Cyclones vs Arizona Wildcats – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Jack Trice Stadium

Game Overview

Iowa State Cyclones (4-0) host Arizona Wildcats (3-0) in a key Big 12 matchup with Iowa State favored. Both teams are unbeaten, but Iowa State shows stronger overall form and a slight edge in offensive efficiency.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Iowa State enters 4-0 with balanced offense and defense, ranked No. 14 nationally. Arizona is 3-0 but less tested in-conference. Iowa State's recent performances show stronger scoring and defensive consistency.
  • Limited recent H2H data available due to conference realignment; Iowa State favored in preseason projections with a predicted close score around 24-23.
  • No major injuries reported for either squad impacting starting lineups significantly as of current information.
  • Game played at Iowa State's home stadium, Jack Trice Stadium, favoring the Cyclones. Weather and other external factors currently neutral.
  • Iowa State aims to maintain undefeated record and top conference position; Arizona seeks to prove competitiveness in tougher conference play. Home advantage boosts Iowa State motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arizona Wildcats: +188, Iowa State Cyclones: -230 Iowa State Cyclones ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Arizona Wildcats +6.5: -115, Iowa State Cyclones -6.5: -105 Iowa State Cyclones -6.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 48.5: -110, Under 48.5: -110 Under 48.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Iowa State Cyclones 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 48.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 48.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Iowa State Cyclones to win outright on the moneyline, cover the -6.5 spread, and the total points to go under 48.5 given recent defensive trends and scoring pace.

Predicted Score: Iowa State 24 – Arizona 20


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Florida Atlantic Owls vs. Memphis Tigers Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Florida Atlantic Owls vs Memphis Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Flagler Credit Union Stadium, Boca Raton, Florida

Game Overview

The Memphis Tigers (4-0) travel to face the Florida Atlantic Owls (1-2) in an AAC matchup. Memphis enters as a heavy favorite with strong recent form and solid defensive metrics, while FAU struggles both on defense and overall record. The total points line is set quite high at 63.5, reflecting Memphis’ strong offensive output and high-scoring tendencies.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Memphis is unbeaten at 4-0 with a balanced offense averaging over 236 rushing yards and scoring roughly 32 points per game. Defensively, Memphis allows only 16 points and 308 yards per game, showing strong resistance. Florida Atlantic is 1-2, scoring 30 points per game but allowing over 30 points as well, with inconsistency evident especially on defense.
  • Last meeting in 2020 saw Memphis prevail 25-10. Memphis has generally dominated in recent matchups, indicating a clear upper hand historically.
  • No significant injury reports are mentioned, implying both teams likely have their key players available.
  • Game at Florida Atlantic’s home stadium could provide some edge, but minimal given Memphis’s superior talent and momentum. No adverse weather or other external disruptions noted.
  • Memphis aims to maintain an undefeated start and assert conference dominance, while Florida Atlantic is motivated to avoid a 1-3 start and salvage their season momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Florida Atlantic +375, Memphis -500 Memphis ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Florida Atlantic +13.5 -110, Memphis -13.5 -110 Memphis -13.5 ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 63.5 -110, Under 63.5 -110 Under 63.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Memphis Tigers -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 63.5 30%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 63.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Memphis Tigers to win straight up, cover the -13.5 spread, and the game to go under 63.5 points.

Predicted Score: Memphis 31 – Florida Atlantic 17


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Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: M.M. Roberts Stadium, Hattiesburg, Mississippi

Game Overview

Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles host Jacksonville State Gamecocks in a closely matched conference game with both teams holding 2-2 records. Southern Miss is favored by 4 points with a total set at 54.5 points.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams are 2-2, but Southern Miss lost their last outing 30-20 to Louisiana Tech, while Jacksonville State won convincingly 45-10 against Murray State, indicating Jacksonville State's recent offensive form is stronger.
  • Recent head-to-head data is limited, but simulations and models give Southern Miss a slight edge with approximately 58% win probability versus Jacksonville State's 42%.
  • No prominent injury reports affect key players on either team according to available information.
  • Southern Miss benefits from home-field advantage at M.M. Roberts Stadium with favorable weather conditions (~80°F, no rain, light wind).
  • Jacksonville State, coming off a strong offensive performance, is motivated to upset the home favorites and cover the 4-point spread. Southern Miss has motivation to rebound from their last loss and defend home turf.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -185, away: +154 Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread home: -110, away: -110 Jacksonville State +4 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under over: -115, under: -105 Over 54.5 points ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 54.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 54.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jacksonville State +4 on spread; Moneyline pick Southern Miss; Bet Over 54.5 total points

Predicted Score: Southern Miss 31 – Jacksonville State 28


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NC State Wolfpack vs. Virginia Tech Hokies Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: NC State Wolfpack vs Virginia Tech Hokies – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Wayne Day Family Field at Carter-Finley Stadium, Raleigh, North Carolina

Game Overview

NC State Wolfpack (3-1) host Virginia Tech Hokies (1-3) in an ACC matchup. NC State is favored by 10 points with a total of 57.5 points projected.

Key Factors to Consider

  • NC State is coming off a high-scoring loss (33-45) to Duke but holds a stronger overall record (3-1) compared to Virginia Tech's 1-3 record, which includes a recent 38-6 win over Wofford. NC State has been strong offensively and defensively but shows vulnerability giving up 45 points recently. Virginia Tech’s big recent win may boost confidence but against weaker opposition.
  • Historical matchups favor NC State slightly with home advantage. Recent betting lines and trends lean heavily towards NC State based on consistency and home field.
  • No significant injury reports affecting either side have been noted for this matchup, suggesting both teams will field close to full strength.
  • The game is played in Raleigh with favorable weather conditions (73°F, mild wind, moderate humidity, 43% rain chance). Public betting heavily favors NC State moneyline and spread.
  • NC State aims to rebound from a loss and maintain ACC dominance at home, while Virginia Tech looks for momentum and redemption after slow start to the season. NC State has stronger motivation to defend home turf against a struggling opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline NC State Wolfpack: -375, Virginia Tech Hokies: +295 NC State Wolfpack ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread NC State Wolfpack -10: -110, Virginia Tech Hokies +10: -110 NC State Wolfpack -10 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 57.5: -112, Under 57.5: -108 Over 57.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline NC State Wolfpack -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 57.5 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 57.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

NC State to win outright (moneyline), cover the -10 spread, and the total points will go over 57.5

Predicted Score: NC State Wolfpack 34 – Virginia Tech Hokies 21


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Missouri State Bears vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Missouri State Bears vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Robert W. Plaster Stadium

Game Overview

Missouri State Bears (2-2) host Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (3-1) in a key September college football matchup. Western Kentucky enters with a stronger record and better ATS stats this month, but Missouri State's home advantage and recent performances provide a competitive scenario.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Western Kentucky has a 3-1 record showing strong offensive firepower, while Missouri State has been inconsistent at 2-2. WKU is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 September games, evidencing strong form against the spread.
  • Recent head-to-head data is limited, but previous encounters show Western Kentucky generally outperforming Missouri State, often covering spreads and winning by multiple scores.
  • No major injury reports currently affecting key starters for either team, suggesting both squads will be near full strength.
  • Game played at Missouri State’s home stadium, offering Bears a home-field advantage. Weather and conditions expected to be neutral. No significant travel or scheduling issues.
  • Both teams seeking momentum in early season; WKU aiming to maintain superior record and top conference positioning, Missouri State motivated to prove competitiveness at home after mixed results.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Missouri State Bears: +160, Western Kentucky Hilltoppers: -192 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Missouri State Bears: +4.5 -112, Western Kentucky Hilltoppers: -4.5 -108 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers -4.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over: 61.5 -115, Under: 61.5 -105 Over 61.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Western Kentucky Hilltoppers -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 61.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 61.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers to win straight up, cover the -4.5 spread, and the total points to go over 61.5.

Predicted Score: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 38 – Missouri State Bears 27


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Western Michigan Broncos vs. Rhode Island Rams Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Western Michigan Broncos vs Rhode Island Rams – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 10:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Waldo Stadium, Kalamazoo, MI

Game Overview

Western Michigan Broncos (1-3) host the unbeaten Rhode Island Rams (4-0) in a Mid-America showdown. WMU is a solid favorite despite a struggling offense this season, while Rhode Island boasts a strong 4-0 start with a top-10 FCS program and an explosive passing attack.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Western Michigan has covered the spread 3-1 with a struggling offense, particularly in the passing game with only one passing TD in 2025. Rhode Island is undefeated with a potent passing offense led by QB Devin Farrell and receiver Marquis Buchanan, averaging 18.5 yards per reception.
  • No recent or significant direct H2H data available suggesting either team has a definitive matchup advantage; Rhode Island hasn't been tested as an underdog previously this season.
  • No major injuries reported for either team that would significantly impact offensive or defensive capability.
  • Game played indoors at Waldo Stadium with mild weather (74°F), no rain, and minimal wind – conditions favor quality quarterback play and offense.
  • Western Michigan may face a letdown after a recent signature victory against a conference favorite. Rhode Island is motivated to prove dominance against a Group of 5 opponent to bolster their strong start.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -295, away: 235 Away (Rhode Island Rams) ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread home: -7.5 -115, away: +7.5 -105 Away +7.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over: 47.5 -110, under: 47.5 -110 Under 47.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Western Michigan Broncos 94%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Western Michigan Broncos at 94% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 40.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Take Rhode Island Rams moneyline for a high expected value contrarian play; despite odds favoring Western Michigan, Rhode Island’s unbeaten momentum and offensive strength against a struggling WMU offense suggest an upset.

Predicted Score: Rhode Island Rams 24 – Western Michigan Broncos 20


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