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New Mexico State Aggies vs. Sam Houston State Bearkats Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: New Mexico State Aggies vs Sam Houston State Bearkats – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-02
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Aggie Memorial Stadium, Las Cruces, New Mexico

Game Overview

Sam Houston State Bearkats (0-4) visit New Mexico State Aggies (2-2) in a CUSA conference matchup at New Mexico State's home field. Both teams have struggled offensively and defensively but present exploitable matchups, especially in the passing game. Sam Houston is favored by a narrow margin despite a winless record, while New Mexico State is seeking to rebound from recent losses.

Key Factors to Consider

  • New Mexico State has a slightly better record (2-2) but just lost their last two games; their offense is pass-heavy, accounting for 91% of total production but with a weak rushing attack (20 yards/game). Sam Houston averages just 16 points per game under a new pass-focused coach but has defensive vulnerabilities, conceding 37+ points in every game.
  • No recent direct matchup data available, but both teams show balanced vulnerabilities especially in pass defense, suggesting a potentially high-scoring and close contest.
  • No significant injury reports surfaced for either team; both appear to field mostly full-strength rosters.
  • Game played at New Mexico State's home stadium with warm, clear conditions and national TV coverage attracting focused betting interest.
  • Sam Houston is desperate for its first win of the season after a 0-4 start, while New Mexico State aims to stop a two-game losing streak and protect home field advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +108, away: -130 Sam Houston State β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Spread home: -114, away: -106 Sam Houston State to cover -2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under over: -115, under: -105 Over 52.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sam Houston State Bearkats 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 52.5 10%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 52.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sam Houston State to win on the moneyline, covering the 2.5-point spread, and the game to go over 52.5 points

Predicted Score: Sam Houston State 30 – New Mexico State 24


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Colorado Buffaloes vs. BYU Cougars Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Colorado Buffaloes vs BYU Cougars – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 2:15 AM UTC
  • Location: Folsom Field

Game Overview

The BYU Cougars (3-0) visit the Colorado Buffaloes (2-2) in Big 12 play. BYU enters undefeated with a strong balanced attack and elite defense, while Colorado struggles offensively and defensively, particularly against the run.

Key Factors to Consider

  • BYU is 3-0 with a top-20 scoring offense and the second-best total and scoring defense nationally, allowing only 5.3 points per game and 205 yards per game. Colorado is 2-2, with offensive struggles at quarterback and a defense ranked 112th against the run.
  • BYU crushed Colorado by 22 points in their last meeting despite Colorado having a more talented roster at that time. Recent form heavily favors BYU.
  • No major injuries reported impacting key BYU offensive and defensive personnel. Colorado has some questions at quarterback but no specific injury details noted.
  • The game is at Folsom Field, a notable home advantage for Colorado, but BYU's consistency and defense mitigate this factor.
  • BYU is motivated to maintain an undefeated record and prove dominance early in Big 12 play, while Colorado seeks to stabilize after losses and improve conference standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline BYU -260, Colorado +205 BYU β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread BYU -6.5 -115, Colorado +6.5 -105 BYU -6.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Over/under Over 47.5 -115, Under 47.5 -105 Under 47.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline BYU Cougars -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 27%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Take BYU straight up on the moneyline (-260), cover the spread (-6.5), and expect the total score to stay under 47.5.

Predicted Score: BYU 30 – Colorado 17


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UTEP Miners vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: UTEP Miners vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Sun Bowl, El Paso, TX

Game Overview

The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (3-1) face off against the struggling UTEP Miners (1-3) at the Sun Bowl. Louisiana Tech has shown stronger form this season with impressive offensive displays, while UTEP has struggled both offensively and defensively.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Louisiana Tech carries momentum from a dominant 49-14 win over NMSU and a solid 24-0 shutout against SELA, with one tough loss to LSU. UTEP has underperformed with a 1-3 record, including a heavy loss to Arkansas State last year and narrow defeats this season.
  • Recent H2H favors Louisiana Tech with comfortable victories in previous matchups, often covering spreads in similar games.
  • No major injuries reported for either side impacting key starters, allowing both teams to field near full strength.
  • Playing at home benefits UTEP slightly, but crowd impact is expected to be limited as Louisiana Tech is the favored team.
  • Louisiana Tech looks to continue their strong start and push for conference leadership, while UTEP aims to break their losing streak and gain confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -192 (LA Tech), +160 (UTEP) Louisiana Tech β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread -110 on both sides Louisiana Tech -4 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under -115 Over, -105 Under Under 47.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 19%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 27%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Louisiana Tech to win straight up, cover the 4-point spread, and the game to finish under 47.5 points.

Predicted Score: Louisiana Tech 28 – UTEP 19


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Louisiana Ragin Cajuns vs. Marshall Thundering Herd Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Louisiana Ragin Cajuns vs Marshall Thundering Herd – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-28
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Our Lady of Lourdes Stadium, Lafayette, LA

Game Overview

Marshall Thundering Herd (2-2) visit Louisiana Ragin Cajuns (1-3) in a closely matched Sun Belt conference game with both teams looking to gain momentum early in the season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Marshall is currently 2-2 and riding a two-game winning streak indicating improving form; Louisiana is struggling at 1-3 with losses piling up and no recent wins.
  • Recent head-to-heads favor Louisiana slightly at home, but limited recent data suggests a closely contested matchup.
  • No major injuries reported for either team that would significantly impact key positions.
  • The game is played at Louisiana's home stadium in warm 77Β°F weather with low wind and no rain forecasted, neutral external conditions.
  • Marshall's recent wins give them better momentum and motivation, while Louisiana is under pressure to avoid another home loss.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Louisiana -108 / Marshall -112 Marshall β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Spread Louisiana +1.5 -118 / Marshall -1.5 -102 Marshall -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 46.5 -115 / Under 46.5 -105 Under 46.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Marshall Thundering Herd -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 46.5 17%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 46.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Marshall to win on the moneyline, cover the spread against Louisiana, and the game to go under the total of 46.5 points.

Predicted Score: Marshall 24 – Louisiana 20


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South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Kentucky Wildcats Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: South Carolina Gamecocks vs Kentucky Wildcats – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 11:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Williams-Brice Stadium, Columbia, South Carolina

Game Overview

South Carolina Gamecocks (2-2) host Kentucky Wildcats (2-1) in a key SEC matchup with South Carolina favored by about 5.5 to 6.5 points and a total around 46 to 46.5 points.

Key Factors to Consider

  • South Carolina struggled with consistency (recent loss to Missouri 29-20) but possesses a stronger passing game led by QB LaNorris Sellers. Kentucky boasts a powerful rushing attack, averaging 214 yards per game, exploiting South Carolina's subpar tackling.
  • Recent historical odds and analysis favor South Carolina as the stronger team overall with roughly 69% moneyline implied win chance, but Kentucky's defense and running game create potential challenges.
  • No explicit injury reports given in the data, but QB LaNorris Sellers has been under heavy pressure with 12 sacks in 4 games, indicating vulnerabilities on the offensive line.
  • South Carolina plays at home in Williams-Brice Stadium, offering a home-field edge. SEC conference context adds significance, increasing motivation to perform.
  • South Carolina aims to rebound after a loss, while Kentucky tries to maintain momentum from a convincing 48-23 win. Both teams are motivated but South Carolina’s home spotlight and ranking as favorites add pressure and incentive.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline South Carolina -210, Kentucky +172 South Carolina β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread South Carolina -5.5 -110, Kentucky +5.5 -110 South Carolina -5.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 46.5 -106, Under 46.5 -114 Under 46.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline South Carolina Gamecocks 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 46.5 16%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 46.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

South Carolina Gamecocks moneyline, South Carolina -5.5 spread, Under 46.5 total points

Predicted Score: South Carolina 27 – Kentucky 17


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Colorado State Rams vs. Washington State Cougars Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Colorado State Rams vs Washington State Cougars – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Sonny Lubick Field at Canvas Stadium, Fort Collins

Game Overview

Colorado State Rams host Washington State Cougars in an important Pac-12/non-Pac-12 matchup. Colorado State enters at 1-2 and have shown moderate strength at home, while Washington State is 2-2 and coming off a recent loss to Washington. The Rams are favored by 5.5 points in what is expected to be a moderately competitive game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Colorado State has struggled early with a 1-2 record but is 2-1 ATS in recent games, displaying better value against the spread. Washington State is 2-2 but lost their last game to Washington and may be vulnerable coming off back-to-back losses. Colorado State’s home performance counters Washington State’s inconsistent road outings.
  • Recent direct matchups between these teams are limited; no notable dominant trends exist. Both teams have competitive histories but no clear H2H advantage.
  • No significant injury reports impacting key starters on either side available at this time, implying close to full strength squads.
  • Colorado State plays at home in Fort Collins, which may provide altitude advantage and local fan support. Weather conditions are not reported as a factor.
  • Colorado State aims to improve a subpar start by defending home turf, while Washington State looks to avoid a three-game losing streak after last week’s defeat, providing motivation but also pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Colorado State -225 / Washington State +185 Colorado State Rams β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread -5.5 -110 Colorado State / +5.5 -110 Washington State Colorado State Rams -5.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 50.5 -115 / Under 50.5 -105 Under 50.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Colorado State Rams -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 50.5 13%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 50.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Colorado State Rams to win outright on the moneyline, cover the 5.5 point spread, and the total score to stay under 50.5 points.

Predicted Score: Colorado State 27, Washington State 20


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Boise State Broncos vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Boise State Broncos vs Appalachian State Mountaineers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Albertsons Stadium

Game Overview

Boise State Broncos host Appalachian State Mountaineers in a key Mountain West Conference matchup with both teams holding 2-1 records. Boise State is a heavy favorite at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams are 2-1 overall, showing solid form. Boise State has a slightly stronger recent performance at home and a good spread record of 2-1 in last 5 games. Appalachian State plays tough but struggles against top competition.
  • Recent contests favor Boise State, with stronger offensive production and winning larger margins. Boise State is expected to cover a large spread based on prior matchups.
  • No critical injuries reported impacting starting units on either side, maintaining the strength of Boise State’s front seven and Appalachian’s skill positions.
  • Boise State’s home field advantage at Albertsons Stadium remains significant. Weather forecast does not indicate adverse conditions. Public betting overwhelmingly favors Boise State moneyline and spread.
  • Boise State aims to maintain strong conference standing with a home win; Appalachian State looks to prove competitiveness on the road but faces motivational pressure against a heavy favorite.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Boise State -670, Appalachian State +470 Boise State β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 82%
Spread Boise State -16.5 (-108), Appalachian State +16.5 (-112) Boise State -16.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Over/under Over 61.5 -110, Under 61.5 -110 Under 61.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Boise State Broncos -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 61.5 30%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 61.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Boise State Broncos to win straight up with a strong performance and cover the 16.5-point spread. The game total likely stays under 61.5 points due to Boise State's disciplined defense and Appalachian's inability to score high on the road.

Predicted Score: Boise State 37 – Appalachian State 19


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Georgia Bulldogs vs. Alabama Crimson Tide Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Georgia Bulldogs vs Alabama Crimson Tide – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Neutral site (assumed home Georgia Bulldogs)

Game Overview

The matchup between the Georgia Bulldogs and Alabama Crimson Tide is highly competitive, featuring two top-20 teams with contrasting recent defensive performances and intriguing offensive weapons. Georgia holds a slight moneyline favor and home advantage, but Alabama’s improved passing offense and potential to exploit Georgia’s defense keep this game in a tossup range.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Georgia’s defense shows some vulnerability, ranking 79th in pressure rate and having recently been exposed in the secondary, while their offense remains solid and trusted. Alabama’s offense has dramatically improved after a shaky Week 1, notably with QB Ty Simpson's effective passing leading recent success.
  • Recent encounters between Georgia and Alabama have been close battles, with neither team dominating decisively. Michigan predictions and expert picks lean marginally towards Georgia winning by a close margin.
  • No critical injuries reported that drastically impact starting lineups or key positional battles for either team.
  • Weather and venue conditions favor Georgia as the home team, with no significant external disruptions expected that could affect gameplay.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to maintain undefeated or strong early-season records with high rankings, but Georgia’s home crowd and stakes for conference positioning could add slight edge to motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Georgia Bulldogs: -155, Alabama Crimson Tide: 130 Georgia Bulldogs β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Spread Georgia Bulldogs -3: -112, Alabama Crimson Tide +3: -108 Georgia Bulldogs -3 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 52.5: -110, Under 52.5: -110 Over 52.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 57%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Georgia Bulldogs 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 52.5 5%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 52.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Georgia Bulldogs moneyline win with a close final score around 31-27.

Predicted Score: 31-27


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Missouri Tigers vs. UMass Minutemen Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Missouri Tigers vs UMass Minutemen – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Memorial Stadium, Columbia, MO

Game Overview

Missouri Tigers (4-0), ranked No. 20, host winless UMass Minutemen (0-3) at home in a matchup heavily favoring Missouri with a massive 44.5-point spread and a total set at 56.5.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Missouri enters undefeated (4-0), having recently beaten South Carolina 29-20, showing solid offense and defense. UMass is struggling at 0-3 with heavy losses, including a 47-7 defeat to Iowa, averaging only 14.3 points and allowing 38.7 points per game.
  • No recent direct head-to-head data available, but Missouri's dominant season performance versus UMass’s 0-3 start indicates a large talent and execution gap.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team that would materially impact the game outcome. Missouri appears healthy and motivated.
  • Game played at Missouri's home stadium, offering home crowd advantage and familiar conditions. Weather expected to be 76Β°F with no precipitation and light wind, favorable for offensive play.
  • Missouri aims to maintain undefeated status and top 20 ranking, highly motivated to dominate an overmatched opponent. UMass looks to avoid a fourth straight loss and prove resilience despite the odds.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Missouri -24900, UMass +2400 Missouri β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜… 95%
Spread Missouri -44.5 (-114), UMass +44.5 (-106) Missouri -44.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Over/under Over 56.5 -105, Under 56.5 -115 Over 56.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 56.5 37%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 56.5 at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 38.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Missouri dominates in all markets due to superior talent, form, and home advantage. Expect Missouri moneyline win, cover of large spread, and total points going over the 56.5 line.

Predicted Score: Missouri 48 – UMass 7


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Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Oregon Ducks Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Penn State Nittany Lions vs Oregon Ducks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: West Shore Home Field at Beaver Stadium, University Park, Pennsylvania

Game Overview

This is a high-profile Big Ten-Pac-12 matchup between No. 3 Penn State Nittany Lions (3-0) and No. 6 Oregon Ducks (4-0), both undefeated. Oregon has been dominant offensively with a combined 203-37 scoring margin in their first four games, while Penn State boasts one of the top scoring defenses nationally. The teams have history from a wild 45-37 Oregon win last December in the conference championship, adding a revenge element for Penn State.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Penn State is 3-0 with a strong defense and recently routed Villanova 52-6. Oregon is 4-0, scoring high with a 41-7 last victory over Oregon State. Penn State has been solid but not tested against elite teams yet; Oregon has been dominant throughout the season so far.
  • Last meeting was December 7, 2024 with Oregon winning 45-37 in a competitive, high-scoring game. Historically, records are mixed, but recent momentum favors Oregon due to offensive prowess and last season's victory.
  • No significant injury reports impacting key starters for either team, allowing both squads to be near full strength for the matchup.
  • The game is played at Penn State's home stadium, which typically provides a strong home-field advantage. NBC national broadcast increases pressure and motivation. Weather conditions are usual for Pennsylvania early fall, no adverse factors reported.
  • Penn State motivated to avenge last year’s championship loss and prove themselves against a top-10 opponent. Oregon aims to maintain perfect season momentum and assert Pac-12 dominance, creating a high-stakes atmosphere for both.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Penn State -175, Oregon +145 Penn State β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Penn State -3.5 (-108), Oregon +3.5 (-112) Oregon +3.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 51.5 (-115), Under 51.5 (-105) Over 51.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Penn State Nittany Lions -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 51.5 8%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 51.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Penn State to win straight up, but Oregon to cover the spread due to their offensive strength and Penn State's occasional struggles against top-tier competition. Expect a competitive, moderately high scoring game slightly over the total.

Predicted Score: Penn State 28 – Oregon 24


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